摘要
海洋渔业作为海洋经济的重要组成部分,对其进行经济韧性评价有助于了解系统应对内外部冲击的能力,促进海洋渔业经济的可持续发展。基于此,以海洋渔业经济系统为研究对象,从抗压恢复能力、结构调整能力和科技转型能力三个维度构建韧性评价体系,分析我国11个沿海省份2006—2020年海洋渔业经济韧性水平的整体变化趋势以及不同省(区、市)韧性演变的异质性,最后通过地区固定效应模型和系统GMM方法来探究“科技-产业”双轮驱动对中国海洋渔业经济韧性的影响。结果显示,中国沿海地区海洋渔业经济韧性水平整体呈增长趋势,其中抗压恢复能力得分最低,结构调整能力发展较慢。各地区逐渐向中、高韧性区域发展且区域经济差异逐渐缩小。研究表明,科技创新和产业结构优化对海洋渔业经济韧性具有显著促进作用。
Assessing the economic resilience of marine fisheries is a crucial component of the marine economy,as it helps to understand the system’s ability to cope with internal and external shocks,thus promoting the sustainable development of the marine fisheries economy.To this end,this study explores the marine fisheries economy and constructs a resilience evaluation system comprising three dimensions:stress resistance and recovery capacity,structural adjustment capability and technological transformation ability.The study analyzes the overall trend of change in the economic resilience level of marine fisheries across 11 coastal provinces of China from 2006 to 2020,as well as the heterogeneity in resilience evolution across different provinces and cities.Furthermore,the impact of the“Technology-Industry”dual-drive on the economic resilience of China’s marine fisheries is investigated using a regional fixed-effects model and System Generalized Method of Moments.The results indicate that the overall resilience level of marine fisheries in China’s coastal areas is increasing,with the lowest scores observed in stress resistance and recovery,and slower development in structural adjustment capability.These regions are gradually advancing towards medium and high resilience,while regional economic disparities are gradually narrowing.The results suggest that technological innovation and industrial structural optimization significantly enhance the economic resilience of marine fisheries.
作者
刘杨
张家燕
LIU Yang;ZHANG Jiayan(School of Economics and Management,Zhejiang Ocean University,Zhoushan 316022,China)
出处
《浙江海洋大学学报（人文科学版）》
2024年第2期11-19,共9页
Journal of Zhejiang Ocean University(Humanities Sciences)
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“数字智能时代文化鸿沟的形成机理、现状评价及政策治理研究”(编号:23BJL066)
浙江省属高校基本科研业务费项目“浙江自贸试验区数字贸易高质量发展研究”(编号:2023T01)。
关键词
海洋渔业
经济韧性
科技创新
产业结构
marine fisheries
economic resilience
technological innovation
industrial structure
