摘要
推动产业共生发展是打造“一带一路”命运共同体的重要途径。在4种典型的中国与沿线国家产业共生模式中,对称互惠共生模式是最稳定、最有效率的共生模式,共生模式的稳定状态及演化方向主要取决于合作双方共生作用系数;观察期内100个与我国产业合作的沿线国家中,4个处在偏利共生阶段,其余96个均处在非对称互惠共生阶段,且绝大部分沿线国家的合作受益程度远大于中国。根据影响双边共生作用系数的前三种关键因素偏效应特征可知,产业依存关系、经济规模、GVC嵌入程度以及双边友好关系对共生作用系数的影响呈现非线性特征,当双边产业依存关系达到一定程度或者双边友好关系不断提升时,能够有效推进中国与“一带一路”沿线国家产业合作向对称互惠共生模式演化。
Promoting industrial symbiotic development is an important way to build a“Belt and Road”community of shared future.In four typical industrial symbiosis models between China and countries along the route,symmetrical mutualism is the most stable and efficient symbiosis model,and the stable state and evolution direction of symbiosis model mainly depend on the coefficient of symbiosis between the partners.During the observation period,among the 100 countries along the route that cooperate with our industry,four of them are in the commensalism stage,the remaining 96 are all in the asymmetrical mutualism stage,moreover,the degree of cooperation benefit of most countries along the route is much greater than that of China according to the first three key factors that affect the coefficient of bilateral symbiosis.It can be seen that the effects of industrial dependency,economic scale,GVC embedding degree and bilateral friendly relations on the symbiosis coefficient present nonlinear characteristics.When the bilateral industrial dependence relationship reaches a certain degree or the bilateral friendly relationship continues to improve,it can effectively promote the industrial cooperation between China and the countries along the“Belt and Road”to evolve into a symmetrical mutualism and symbiosis model.
作者
周健
刘友金
曾小明
ZHOU Jian;LIU Youjin;ZENG Xiaoming(School of Business,Hunan University of Science and Technology,Xiangtan,Hunan 411201,China;Research Foundation of Strategic Emerging Industries in Hunan Province,Hunan University of Science and Technology,Xiangtan,Hunan 411201,China)
出处
《江西师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第2期66-77,共12页
Journal of Jiangxi Normal University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)
基金
国家社科基金重大项目“共生理论视角下中国与‘一带一路’国家间产业转移模式与路径研究”(编号:17ZDA046)
湖南省社科基金基地项目“中国与‘一带一路’国家间产业共生网络演化机理及产业转移适配路径研究”(编号:23JD026)
国家资助博士后研究人员计划(编号:GZC20230774)。
关键词
“一带一路”
产业共生
模式演化
机器学习
“the Belt and Road”
industrial symbiosis
model evolution
machine learning
