摘要
电子商务成为全球经济下行趋势中逆势增长的新引擎,是实现双循环新发展、提升区域创业活跃度的重要支撑力量。本文以国家电子商务示范城市建设作为研究对象,利用多期双重差分模型考察城市电商化转型对创业活跃度的影响。研究发现,国家电子商务示范城市建设显著提升了城市创业活跃度,并且该政策效应在东部地区、高互联网发展水平、非资源依赖型、大规模型的城市以及非生产性服务业表现更为明显。国家电子商务示范城市建设实现了国内国际两个市场的联合互动,通过扩大创业资源供给、激发市场需求潜力两条作用渠道提升城市创业活跃度。本文研究为充分发挥电子商务的创业效应,进而激发城市的经济活力提供了政策参考。
E-commerce,as one of the important manifestations of the digital economy,has emerged as a new engine of counter-cyclical growth amid the downward trend of the global economy,serving as a vital support for realizing the new development paradigm of dual circulation and increasing regional entrepreneurial activity.This paper employs the national e-commerce demonstration cities(NEDC)policy as a quasi-natural experiment,utilizing panel data from 283 prefecture-level cities in China from 2006 to 2019.Employing a multi-period difference-in-differences(DID)model,it investigates the impact of e-commerce on regional entrepreneurial activity.The findings reveal that the NEDC policy increases the entrepreneurial activity of cities.The result holds even after a series of robustness tests,including the parallel trend test,heterogeneity treatment effect test,placebo test,and instrumental variable estimation.Furthermore,the entrepreneurial enhancement effect of the NEDC policy is more pronounced in the eastern region,cities with high levels of Internet development,non-resource-dependent cities,large-scale cities,and non-productive service industries.Mechanism analysis indicates that the NEDC policy facilitates the synergy between domestic and international markets,thereby enhancing entrepreneurial activity by expanding entrepreneurial resource supply and stimulating market demand potential.Based on the above conclusions,this paper puts forward the following policy recommendations.First,it advocates for the continued promotion of NEDC to stimulate entrepreneurial activity,generate more employment,and alleviate the current employment pressure.Second,it suggests exploring the path of e-commerce-oriented transformation that suits the local conditions of cities.Third,it underscores the need to fully leverage the expanding role of e-commerce in both domestic and international markets,and to stimulate regional entrepreneurial vitality with the two-way pull of supply and demand.The marginal contributions lie in three aspects.(1)This paper empirically tests the net effect of e-commerce development on regional entrepreneurial activity using the DID model,broadening the scope of effectiveness evaluation for the NEDC policy and providing new insights into enhancing entrepreneurial activity.(2)Based on the expansive role of e-commerce in domestic and international markets,it systematically verifies the theoretical mechanism of the impact of the NEDC policy on urban entrepreneurial activity from both the supply and demand sides,deepening understanding of the policy’s influence on entrepreneurial activity.(3)It conducts heterogeneity analysis based on the characteristics of different cities and examines the time lag in the impact of this policy on entrepreneurial activity,deepening understanding of the temporal and spatial effects.The conclusions provide policy implications for fully leveraging the entrepreneurial effects of e-commerce and stimulating economic vitality.
作者
张继武
吕丽娟
ZHANG Jiwu;LYU Lijuan(Shandong University,Jinan 250100)
出处
《经济与管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第6期95-111,共17页
Research on Economics and Management
关键词
国家电子商务示范城市
电子商务
创业活跃度
城市活力
异质性处理效应
national e-commerce demonstration city
e-commerce
entrepreneurial activity
city vitality
heterogeneity treatment effect
