摘要
一国的碳排放与该经济体的内部性质和结构密切相关。建构了关于碳排放的简单贫富二分模型,在此基础上提出假设,分析1960—2020年东盟9国碳排放数据,发现基尼系数与碳排放之间显著正相关。拓展分析发现,这种经济不平等的增碳效应主要通过市场机制发挥作用,对较高水平的碳排放影响更为显著,换言之,而在国际竞争力较好、市场发育更成熟的国家,收入差距对碳排放的促进效应更明显。机制分析表明,收入差距扩大会显著增加碳排放强度,抑制进出口贸易,导致人均碳排放的增加,而政府干预和产业结构优化会削弱甚至逆转这一效应。碳排放的膨胀是经济增长中出现的问题,最终需要在高质量发展中解决,其真正控制或许也需要抑制经济不平等的不懈努力。
The carbon emissions of a country are closely related to the internal nature and structure of the economy.We constructed a simple binary model of wealth and poverty regarding carbon emissions,based on which we proposed hypotheses and analyzed the carbon emissions data of nine ASEAN countries from 1960 to 2020.We found a significant positive correlation between the Gini coefficient and carbon emissions.Expansion analysis reveals that the carbon increasing effect of economic inequality is mainly exerted through market mechanisms,with a more significant impact on higher levels of carbon emissions.In countries with better international competitiveness and more mature market development,income inequality should have a more significant promoting effect on carbon emissions.By mechanism analysis,widening income inequality significantly increases carbon emission intensity,suppresses import and export trade,and leads to an increase in per capita carbon emissions.However,government intervention and industrial structure optimization can weaken or even reverse this effect.The expansion of carbon emissions is a problem that arises in economic growth and ultimately needs to be addressed in high-quality development.Its true control may also require unremitting efforts to curb economic inequality.
作者
陈元勋
CHEN Yuanxun(School of Public Affairs,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou,310012,China)
出处
《中国林业经济》
2024年第2期69-82,共14页
China Forestry Economics
关键词
收入差距
基尼系数
碳排放
共同富裕
Income gap
Gini coefficient
Carbon emissions
Common prosperity
