摘要
为有效评估区域水资源承载力系统演变特征并诊断脆弱性影响因素,引入物理学热传递思想,在集对分析传统减法集对势基础上进一步深化确定性项和不确定项之间的势差概念,构建了基于热传递减法集对势的区域水资源承载力评价方法,并应用于安徽省江淮丘陵区。结果表明:2011—2018年安徽省江淮丘陵区除合肥市外,其余地市水资源承载力水平整体有所改善,合肥市水资源承载力等级较低;人均水资源量、产水模数、生态用水率等因素是影响安徽省江淮丘陵区水资源承载力变化的重要脆弱性因素。整体而言,本文计算分析结果与传统减法集对势及半偏减法集对势计算结果基本一致,这表明构建的基于热传递减法集对势的水资源承载力评价方法计算结果合理有效,且丰富和发展了集对势的内涵,可为开展区域水资源承载力评价及脆弱性因素识别提供新的研究途径。
Effective evaluation of the evolution characteristics of regional water resources carrying capacity system and diagnosis of vulnerability influencing factors,introducing the idea of physical heat transfer,further deepening the concept of potential difference between deterministic items and uncertain items on the basis of set pair analysis of traditional subtraction set pair potential,and constructing an evaluation method of regional water resources carrying capacity based on heat transfer subtraction set pair potential,and an empirical application study is carried out in Jianghuai hilly area of Anhui Province.The results show that from 2011 to 2018,except Hefei,the water resources carrying capacity of other cities in Jianghuai hilly region of Anhui Province showed an overall upward trend,and the level of water resources carrying capacity in Hefei was low,and the factors such as per capita water resources,water production modulus and ecological water use rate were important fragile factors affecting the change of water resources carrying capacity in Jianghuai hilly region of Anhui Province.On the whole,the calculation and analysis results of this paper are basically consistent with those of traditional subtraction and semi-partial subtraction set pair potential,which shows that the calculation results of the water resources carrying capacity evaluation method based on heat transfer subtraction set pair potential are reasonable and effective,and further enrich and develop the rich connotation of set pair potential,which can provide a new research way for regional water resources carrying capacity evaluation and vulnerability factor identification.
作者
吴啸骎
吴成国
秦广虎
杨振龙
赵齐雅
金菊良
WU Xiaoqin;WU Chengguo;QIN Guanghu;YANG Zhenlong;ZHAO Qiya;JIN Juliang(School of Civil Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China;Institute of Water Resources and Environmental Systems Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China)
出处
《水利水运工程学报》
CSCD
北大核心
2024年第3期62-71,共10页
Hydro-Science and Engineering
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(U2240223,52109009)
安徽省自然科学基金资助项目(2208085US03,2208085QE179,2108085QE254)
安徽省高等科研计划重点项目(2022AH051105)。
关键词
水资源承载力评价
减法集对势
热传递减法集对势
江淮丘陵区
evaluation of water resources carrying capacity
subtraction set pair potential
heat transfer subtraction set pair potential
Jianghuai hilly area
