摘要
百年大变局下,全球经历了疫情冲击、地缘冲突、通胀高企、债务危机等外部因素的影响,导致全球经贸关系面临诸多不确定性,贸易格局的重大调整正进入深水区。中国外贸总量呈现稳中向好态势,但未来增长仍面临诸多不确定性。中国“新三样”出口实现突破性增长,引领绿色国际贸易新趋势;中间品贸易地位凸显,有望成为外贸“质升量稳”的压舱石;跨境电商逆势增长,引领外贸新业态蓬勃发展。由于国际局势动荡,中国外贸面临诸多新挑战:外贸出口即将面临“碳关税”征收问题,全球供应链“去中国化”趋势明显,数字贸易关键规则和议题较难达成共识等问题严重制约着中国外贸高质量发展的进程。为此,文章提出推动绿色低碳贸易高质量发展,通过做优中间品强韧产业链供应链,利用数字技术持续推动贸易方式创新以及提升经贸规则话语权等中国方案,以期为助力中国外贸实现高质量发展提供有益的政策建议。
Under the great changes in a century,the world has experienced the impact of COVID-19 pandemic,geopolitical conflicts,high inflation,debt crisis and other external factors,resulting in many uncertainties in global economic and trade relations,and the major adjustment of trade pattern is entering the deep water.China's foreign trade volume shows a steady and good trend,but the future growth still faces many uncertainties.China's“new three”exports have achieved breakthrough growth,leading the new trend of green international trade.The trade status of intermediate goods is prominent,and it is expected to become the ballast stone of the high quality and stable scale of foreign trade.Cross-border E-commerce grows opposite the trend and leads the vigorous development of new forms of foreign trade.Due to the unstable international situation,China's foreign trade still faces many new challenges.Foreign trade exports will soon face the problem of“carbon tariff”imposition,the global supply chain“De-Sinification”trend is obvious,and the key rules and issues of digital trade are difficult to reach consensus,which seriously restricts the process of high-quality development of foreign trade in China.To this end,this paper proposes some Chinese countermeasures such as promoting the high-quality development of green and low-carbon trade,strengthening industrial chain and supply chain by optimizing intermediate products,continuously promoting trade mode innovation by using digital technology,and enhancing the discourse right of economic and trade rules,in an attempt to provide useful policy suggestions for helping China's foreign trade achieve high-quality development.
作者
施贞怀
龙飞扬
雷新华
SHI Zhenhuai;LONG Feiyang;LEI Xinhua(Information Center for Social Science,RUC;Nanjing Audit University;Beijing Sozhi Data Technology Co.,LTD)
出处
《国际贸易》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第6期54-62,共9页
Intertrade
基金
国家社科基金青年项目“制造业嵌入双重价值链的动力机制、效应与路径研究”(21CJL019)
国家自然科学基金面上项目“迈向高质量的中国城市技术创新:测度、机理与效应”(72073093)的阶段性成果
EPS数据平台“中国商品贸易数据库”的资助。
关键词
外贸高质量发展
绿色贸易
中间品贸易
友岸外包
high-quality development of foreign trade
green trade
intermediate goods trade
friend outsourcing
