摘要
在对旅游业综合指数和新型城镇化综合指数进行定量测度的基础上,文章利用2004—2019年中国内地省际面板数据,分别采用面板空间计量模型、面板分位数模型和门槛空间动态面板模型,对新型城镇化影响旅游业的空间效应及非线性门槛效应进行实证检验。结果发现:新型城镇化不仅对本地区旅游业具有促进效应,还对邻接地区存在积极的空间溢出效应;在旅游业发展水平由低到高的动态过程中,新型城镇化建设对旅游业发展的边际影响效应呈现显著递增的非线性特征;当考虑地区间新型城镇化建设水平差异时,旅游业发展策略存在显著的地区间非对称空间互动,即新型城镇化建设对旅游业发展的影响存在正向的非线性时空效应。
Based on the quantitative measurement of the comprehensive index of tourism and new urbanization,this paper used the provincial panel data in China's Mainland from 2004 to 2019,and employed spatial panel econometric model,panel quantile regression model and threshold spatial dynamic panel model to empirically test the spatial effect and nonlinear threshold effect of new urbanization on tourism.The results show that new urbanization not only improves tourism development of one region but also has a significantly positive spatial spillover effect on adjacent areas.In the dynamic process of tourism development level from low to high,new urbanization construction has a nonlinear marginal increase on tourism development.When considering the differences in the level of new urbanization construction between regions,there is a significant asymmetric spatial interaction of the development strategies of tourism between regions,that is,the impact of new urbanization construction on tourism development has a positive nonlinear space-time effect.
作者
赵磊
张文杰
康敏
ZHAO Lei;ZHANG Wenjie;KANG Min(School of Management,Zhejiang University of Technology,Hangzhou 310014,China;School of Tourism,Qinghai Minzu University,Xining 810007,China)
出处
《旅游科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第7期1-21,共21页
Tourism Science
基金
国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“旅游业与农村贫困减缓:理论分析与实证检验”(22FGLB070)
浙江省哲学社会科学规划项目“中国旅游业与经济增长关系研究:基于内生增长理论的实证考察”(22ZJQN18YB)
浙江省属高校基本科研业务费优秀青年学者专项“旅游业、城乡收入差距与共同富裕”(GB202202004)
关键词
新型城镇化
旅游业
非线性特征
门槛空间动态面板模型
new urbanization
tourism
nonlinear characteristics
threshold spatial dynamic panel model
