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安徽省数字经济驱动人口高质量发展的门槛与空间溢出效应

Threshold Effect and Spatial Spillover Effect of Digital Economy-Driven High-Quality Population Development in Anhui Province
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摘要 文章使用安徽省2010—2022年16个地级市面板数据,构建数字经济与人口高质量发展指标体系,实证研究了数字经济对人口高质量发展的影响。研究发现:数字经济对人口高质量发展具有正向影响,有助于缩小地区间人口发展差距;同时这种影响呈非线性,具有累积乘数效应;智慧城市政策能够显著提高政策示范地区人口发展质量,对邻近地区具有“示范效应”与“学习效应”。建议增强数字经济政策导向,提高数字经济行业与地区渗透率,加强地区间数字经济建设交流。 In order to investigate the impact and mechanism of the digital economy driving the high-quality development of population,we use the panel data of 16 prefectural-level cities in Anhui Province from 2010 to 2022 to construct the indicator system of the digital economy and high-quality development of population,and empirically study the association between the digital economy and high-quality development of population.The study finds that:the digital economy has a positive impact on the high-quality development of population and helps to narrow the gap of population development between regions;the digital economy has a nonlinear impact on the high-quality development of population and has a cumulative multiplier effect;the policy of"smart city"can significantly improve the quality of population development in the area of the demonstration of the policy and has a"demonstration effect"on the neighbouring areas;The"smart city"policy can significantly improve the quality of population development in the policy demonstration area,and has"demonstration effect"and"learning effect"on the neighbouring areas.Suggestions:Strengthen the digital economy policy orientation,increase the penetration rate of digital economy industries and regions,and strengthen the exchange of digital economy construction among regions.
作者 邬登辉 蔡弘 WU Deng-hui;CAI Hong(School of Public Administration,Anhui University of Architecture,Hefei Anhui 230601,China)
出处 《铜陵学院学报》 2024年第4期47-52,91,共7页 Journal of Tongling University
基金 安徽建筑大学科研储备库培育项目“城乡民生发展指数测度与基层治理研究”(2022XMK05) 安徽省高校协同创新项目“乡村振兴背景下农村数字经济发展评价体系研究”(GXXT-2021-044)。
关键词 数字经济 人口高质量发展 门槛效应 空间双重差分 溢出效应 digital economy high-quality population development threshold effect spatial double-difference spillover effects
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