摘要
中国式现代化进程中三次产业间应当呈现怎样的比例关系?这一重大问题关乎强国建设、民族复兴伟业。从先发国家工业化进程中三次产业间比例关系的两种经典模式看,结合经典工业化理论的解释困境和中国式现代化进程中合理优化三次产业间比例关系的内在规定性,到2035年我国三次产业间比例关系优化将保持第一产业占比稳步下降至5%左右;保持制造业比重基本稳定,维持第二产业占比在35%左右;保持第三产业占比在60%左右,生产性服务业占服务业比重在60%以上。为此,必须构建目标导向下三次产业间比例结构合理化的系统性措施体系;以加快发展新质生产力为重点不断推动第一产业和第二产业实现质的有效提升;以增强产业链供应链安全韧性水平为抓手,进一步夯实第一产业和第二产业根基。
In the process of Chinese path to modernization,what kind of proportional relationship should be presented among the three industries?This major issue is related to the construction of a strong country and the great cause of national rejuvenation.Starting from the two classical models of the proportional relationship among the three industries in the process of industrialization in advanced countries,combined with the interpretation dilemma of the classical industrialization theory and the internal regulation of reasonably optimizing the proportional relationship among the three industries in the process of Chinese path to modernization,it is predicted that by 2035,the optimization of the proportional relationship among the three industries in China will steadily decline to about 5%in accordance with maintaining the proportion of the primary industry;Maintain the basic stability of the proportion of manufacturing industry and keep the proportion of the secondary industry at around 35%;Maintain the proportion of the tertiary industry at around 60%,and the proportion of productive services in the service industry at over 60%.Therefore,it is necessary to establish a systematic measure system for rationalizing the proportion structure of the three industries under the guidance of goals;Focusing on accelerating the development of new quality productive forces,continuously promoting the effective improvement of the quality of the primary and secondary industries;Taking the enhancement of the security and resilience level of the industrial and supply chains as the starting point,we will further consolidate the foundation of the primary and secondary industries.
作者
李江涛
李珊珊
仲伟东
Li Jiangtao;Li Shanshan;Zhong Weidong
出处
《行政管理改革》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第8期23-33,共11页
Administration Reform
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“中国式现代化进程中重大经济结构优化研究”(22STA038)。
关键词
中国式现代化
三次产业间比例关系
制造业比重
Chinese Path to Modernization
Proportional Relationship among the Three industries
Proportion of Manufacturing Industry
