摘要
以福建省惠安县为例,基于水资源紧缺程度、城镇节水管理程度等准则层指标,构建了城镇节水综合评价指标体系。在此基础上,运用AHM-CRITIC赋权法建立城镇综合节水水平评判模型,评判了惠安县2015—2020年,2025年和2035年的综合节水水平。结果表明:①2015—2020年惠安县的城镇综合节水水平属于中等级别,能满足初步控制目标。②预测惠安县的节水水平在2025年达到中等偏上水平,在2035年达到良好级别,各指标发展状况均满足福建省泉州市向惠安县下达的“三条红线”的要求标准。③基于可获取的数据进行评价指标体系的构建,可较为全面地评价当地综合节水水平;采用AHM-CRITIC赋权法在一定程度上平衡了AHM赋权法和CRITIC赋权法的优缺点,提高了评估结果的合理性和有效性。研究成果可为建立城镇节水管控一体化长效机制,评判及预测城市综合节水水平提供决策依据。
Taking Huian County in Fujian Province as an example,a comprehensive evaluation index system for urban water conservation was constructed based on criteria such as water scarcity and urban water-saving management.On this basis,the AHM-CRITIC weighting method was used to establish a comprehensive water-saving level evaluation model for urban areas,and the comprehensive water-saving level of Huian County from 2015 to 2020,2025,and 2035 was evaluated.The results are as follows.Firstly,the comprehensive water-saving level of urban areas in Huian County from 2015 to 2020 is at a moderate level,which can meet the initial control targets.Secondly,it is expected that the level of water saving in Huian County will reach an upper medium level in 2025 and a sound level in 2035.The development status of each indicator meets the requirements and standards of the″three red lines″issued by Quanzhou City to Huian County in Fujian Province.Thirdly,the construction of an evaluation index system based on available data can comprehensively evaluate the local comprehensive water-saving level.The adoption of AHM-CRITIC weighting method to some extent balances the advantages and disadvantages of AHM weighting method and CRITIC weighting method,and improves the rationality and effectiveness of the evaluation results.The research results provide decision-making basis for establishing a long-term integrated mechanism for urban water-saving management and control,evaluating and predicting the comprehensive water-saving level of cities.
作者
尹泰来
郝仕龙
张岩
YIN Tailai;HAO Shilong;ZHANG Yan(College of Surveying and Geo-informatics,North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power,Zhengzhou 450046,China;Henan Provincial Water and Soil Conservation Monitoring Station,Zhengzhou 450002,China)
出处
《华北水利水电大学学报（自然科学版）》
北大核心
2024年第6期49-56,共8页
Journal of North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power：Natural Science Edition
基金
河南省重点研发与推广专项(科技攻关)(222102320281)。
