摘要
化石燃料的使用是CO_(2)和大气污染物的主要来源,两者具有同源性。在中国提出碳中和目标背景下,各省份均面临较严峻的减排形势。四川省是中国优质能源供应基地和西部经济高质量发展的重要增长极,减排责任尤为重大。基于2011—2020年的四川统计年鉴和中国能源统计年鉴相关数据,设计基准、低碳和强化低碳3个情景,通过Leap模型对四川省2022—2050年的能源消费量和CO_(2)、大气污染物排放量进行预测,并分析不同情景下CO_(2)和大气污染物的减排效果,最后基于分析结果提出相应建议。
The use of fossil fuels is the main source of CO_(2)and air pollutants,both of which have homology.Under the background of China's carbon neutrality goal,all provinces are facing a serious situation of emission reduction.As a high-quality clean energy supply base and an important growth pole for high-quality economic development in western China,Sichuan Province has a particularly significant responsibility for emission reduction.Based on the relevant data of Sichuan Statistical Yearbook and China Energy Statistical Yearbook from 2011 to 2020,three scenarios(baseline,low-carbon and enhanced low-carbon)were designed.The energy consumption and CO_(2),air pollutants emissions in Sichuan Province from 2022 to 2050 were predicted by Leap model,and the emission reduction effects of CO_(2)and air pollutants under different scenarios were analyzed.Finally,corresponding suggestions were put forward based on the analysis results.
作者
张志伟
庞敏
张军
ZHANG Zhiwei;PANG Min;ZHANG Jun(School of Economics and Management,Southwest Petroleum University,Chengdu Sichuan 610500;Nanchong Key Laboratory of Intelligent Financial Technology and System,Nanchong Sichuan 637000)
出处
《环境污染与防治》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2024年第9期1334-1339,共6页
Environmental Pollution & Control
基金
国家社会科学基金资助项目(No.20XJY006)
西南石油大学市校科技战略合作项目(No.23XNSYSX0007)
西南石油大学人文社会科学一般基金资助项目(No.2024RW067)。
关键词
碳中和
CO_(2)
大气污染物
协同减排
carbon neutrality
CO_(2)
air pollutants
coordinated emission reduction
