摘要
经济全球化背景下,建立更高层级的经济生态系统平衡对于区域协调和可持续发展具有重要意义。论文基于区域层面经济生态系统理论,从系统论视角分析2000—2022年海南岛经济生态系统人口、产业、资源主体耦合协调的时空演化过程并划分类型,采用面板数据回归模型测算经济主体与开放性、稳定性和持续性等社会经济环境因素间的制约关系和作用机制。结果发现:①海南岛经济生态系统耦合协调发展经历三次峰—峰周期性波动,由单一极点的空间极化转向多核分布,仅海口处于高度协调状态,中部山区耦合协调路径“锁定”在失调无优势状态,人口子系统相对滞后是主要制约因素。②社会经济环境中持续性强于稳定性,居民福利、资本投资和教育投入有效促进系统主体耦合协调,而开放性因素作用效果较弱。③海南岛经济生态系统形成了动力和整合多层面的作用机制。主体自动力、环境推动力和政策拉动力是系统运行的动力来源,在多重复杂关系中,亟需较强的整合作用进行规范和控制,提高系统动态适应和自校平衡能力。④自由贸易港建设中系统新的平衡可通过强化政策调控和制度保障、扩大社会生产、完善公共服务、优化产业结构等途径建立。
Under the background of global economic integration,the establishment of a higher-level balance of economic and ecological systems is of great significance for regional coordinated and sustainable development.This study analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution process and coupling and coordination degree of population,industry,and resource agents of the economic-ecological system of Hainan Island from the perspective of system theory in 2000-2022,and examined the roles of the economic agents and the socioeconomic environment factors,such as openness,stability,and continuity,and the mechanism of impact,through the panel data regression model.The results show that:1)In the past 23 years,the coupled and coordinated development of the economic and ecological systems on the Hainan Island has experienced three cyclical fluctuations,and the spatial pattern has been transformed from the original single core to the multi-core distribution of Haikou,Sanya,and Danzhou,forming a layout characterized by high values at the periphery and low values in the central area.2)Among the socioeconomic environment factors,continuity had a stronger impact than stability,welfare of the residents,capital investment,and educational input promoted the coupled and coordinated development of the economic and ecological systems,while the openness factor has not yet produced a significant effect.3)The economic-ecological system of Hainan Island has formed a multifaceted driving mechanism and integration.Subjects'internal drive,environmental forces,and policy drivers are the power sources of the system operation,and in the multiple and complex relationships,there is an urgent need for a strong integration mechanism to regulate and control,and to improve the system's dynamic adaptation and self-calibrating and balancing ability.4)The establishment of a new equilibrium of the system in the construction of the free trade port can be achieved by strengthening policy regulation and institutional security,expanding societal production,improving public services,and optimizing the industrial structure in order to build up the system's own regulation and coping capacity.
作者
陈妍
张金萍
程叶青
CHEN Yan;ZHANG Jinping;CHENG Yeqing(College of Geography and Environmental Science,Hainan Normal University,Haikou 571158,China;Hainan Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Environmental Change,Haikou 571158,China)
出处
《地理科学进展》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2024年第9期1756-1770,共15页
Progress in Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(42301279,42261054)
海南省哲学社会科学规划基地课题项目(JD(ZC)21-50)。
关键词
经济生态系统
经济主体
耦合协调
海南岛
economic-ecological system
economic agents
coupling and coordination
Hainan Island
