摘要
碳定价政策是实现“双碳”目标的核心市场机制,创新发展是推动新型工业化的内在驱动力。如何协同设计碳定价政策和创新投入政策,加速工业绿色低碳转型,是中国实现新型工业化过程中的关键问题。研究构建了一个包含创新要素和创新活动部门的动态可计算一般均衡模型,重点描述创新活动对于可再生能源技术进步和工业部门能源效率提升的促进机制。基于该模型,评估不同碳定价政策和碳收入用于创新活动的多种情景的政策效果,结合新型工业化主要特征,从经济、碳排放、减排成本、能源消耗、电气化水平和创新活动水平等维度进行了模拟分析和比较,得到了优化的政策组合。结果表明,通过将碳定价政策结合碳收入按一定比例分配给创新活动部门和风电光伏,可以在实现节能减排的同时稳定经济增长,降低减排成本,提高可再生能源比例,促进能源低碳转型,实现工业部门的低碳增长,推动新型工业化进程。
Carbon pricing policy is the core market mechanism for realizing the dual carbon goal,and innovative development is the internal driving force for promoting new industrialization.How to collaboratively design carbon pricing policies and innovation investment policies to accelerate the green and low-carbon transition of the industry is a key issue in the process of achieving new industrialization in China.This paper constructs a new dynamic computable general equilibrium(CGE)model that includes innovation elements and innovation sectors and focuses on the promotion mechanism of innovation activities for the progress of renewable energy technology and the improvement of ener-gy efficiency in the industrial sectors.Based on this model,it evaluates the policy effects of different carbon pricing policies and various scenarios of using carbon revenues for innovation activities.Combining the main characteristics of new industrialization,the paper carries out the simulation analysis and comparison from several dimensions of economy,carbon emissions,emission reducation costs,energy consumption,electrification level,and level of innovation activities,and obtains optimized policy mix.The results show that by integrating carbon pricing policies with allocating a certain proportion of carbon revenues to the innovation activity sectors and subsidizing wind and photovoltaic power,it is likely to stabilize economic growth,reduce emission reduction costs,increase the proportion of renewable energy,promote low-carbon energy transition,achieve low-carbon growth in the industrial sectors,and advance the process of new industrialization,while realizing energy conservation and emission reduction.
作者
范英
肖旭
FAN Ying;XIAO Xu(Ministry of Education Lab for Low-Carbon Intelligent Governance,Beihang University,Beijing 100083,China;School of Economics and Management,Beihang University,Beijing 100083,China)
出处
《北京航空航天大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2024年第5期1-14,共14页
Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics：Social Sciences Edition
基金
国家重点研发计划项目(2020YFA0608603)
国家基金创新研究群体项目(72021001)。
关键词
创新活动
碳定价
新型工业化
可计算一般均衡模型
绿色转型
innovation activities
carbon pricing
new industrialization
computable general equilibrium(CGE)model
green transition
