摘要
数字经济与绿色发展协同共进是高质量发展的题中之义。在厘清耦合协调机理基础上,运用耦合协调度模型、Markov链和时空地理加权回归模型(GTWR)等方法探析中国数字经济与绿色发展耦合协调的时空格局特征及其分异机理。结果发现:第一,研究期内全国及各地区的耦合协调度均不断提升,但仅有北京、上海、江苏、浙江、广东、四川6省市进入良好协调阶段。第二,从空间格局看,耦合协调度整体上表现为“东—中—西”梯式递减,省域上则表现出“低值集聚、高值分散”空间分布,且呈现以河南为中心的“东北—西南”走向演进趋势。第三,从动态演变看,耦合协调度的变动具有“路径依赖”效应,且因“与邻为善”和“以邻为壑”并重的空间溢出效应形成了“高拉动低、低抑制高”俱乐部收敛现象。第四,机理分析表明,人力资本和城镇化对各地区耦合协调发展均具有显著的促进作用,产业结构对西部地区的促进作用逐渐增强,科技创新则对东中部地区的赋能作用更明显。
Synergizing the digital economy with green development is essential for high-quality development.On the basis of clarifying the coupling coordination mechanism,this paper uses the coupling coordination degree model,Markov Chain and Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression(GTWR)model to analyze the spatial-temporal pattern and differentiation mechanism of the coupling coordination between China s digital economy and green development.The results showed that,firstly,during the research period,the coupling coordination degree between digital economy and green development of the whole country and various regions continued to improve,but only six provinces and municipalities including Beijing,Shanghai,Jiangsu,Zhejiang,Guangdong and Sichuan have entered the stage of good coordination.Secondly,from the spatial pattern,the overall coupling coordination degree shows a gradient decrease from“east-central-west”,and the provincial area shows a“concentration 3 of low value,dispersion of high value”distribution,and presents a“northeast-southwest”trend with Henan as the center.Thirdly,from the dynamic evolution,the change of coupling coordination has a“path-dependent”effect,and the Club Convergence phenomenon of“high pull low,low inhibit high”is formed by the Spatial Spillover Effect of“being kind to neighbors”and“being troublesome to neighbors”.And fourthly,the mechanism analysis shows that human capital and urbanization have had significant impacts on the coordinated development between digital economy and green development in all areas,and industrial structure plays a gradually increasing in promoting the Western Area,while scientific and technological innovation has a more obvious impact on the Eastern and Central Areas.
作者
肖沁霖
邓宗兵
王炬
XIAO Qinlin;DENG Zongbing;WANG Ju(Research Center for Inclusive Finance and Agricultural and Rural Development,Southwest University,Chongqing400715,China;College of Economics and Management,Southwest University,Chongqing 400715,China)
出处
《西南大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第5期167-182,共16页
Journal of Southwest University(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“中国农业地理集聚的生产率效应及其增强路径研究”(19YJA790005),项目负责人:邓宗兵
重庆市社会科学规划项目“基于农户视角的重庆农村基本公务水平提升研究”(2021NDYB058),项目负责人:邓宗兵
西南大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目“中国农业产业集聚的生产率效应及其增进研究”(SWU2009221),项目负责人:邓宗兵。
关键词
数字经济
绿色发展
耦合协调度
时空格局
动态演变
GTWR模型
digital economy
green development
coupling coordination degree
spatial-temporal pattern
dynamic evolution
GTWR model
