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“混合战争”的兴起与北约安全政策的调整

Rise of Hybrid Warfare and NATO's Adjustment of Security Policy
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摘要 [研究目的]伴随大国战略竞争的加剧与新兴军事技术的发展,“混合战争”逐渐成为当前较为流行的战争形态。通过系统分析北约对“混合战争”的认知与反应,判断北约针对俄罗斯与中国的“混合战争”行动,对我国更有效地维护国家安全与周边安全提供相应的政策启发。[研究方法]采取文献研究法、内容分析法以及比较研究法,通过对北约的官方文件、政策报告、领导人讲话等开源信息的系统搜集与有力分析,讨论北约对“混合战争”的认知理解、政策重点与实践进程。[研究结论]面对“混合战争”的兴起,北约构建相应的认知框架,涉及到“混合战争”的概念建构、威胁认知、政策重点等方面。“混合战争”的兴起对北约组织发展与安全战略产生相应的影响,涉及到强化北约存续的合法性基础、扩大北约集体防御的安全空间、推动北约安全战略思维方式的转变。基于对“混合战争”的威胁认知,北约不断调整安全政策,包括加强顶层设计与战略规划、推进军事组织机构建设、同欧盟等行为体合作、深化韧性能力建设等。 [Research purpose]With the intensification of strategic competition among major powers and the development of emerging military technologies,hybrid warfare has gradually become a popular form of warfare.Through analyzing NATO's perception and response to hybrid warfare systematically,we could judge NATO's actions against Russia and China by means of hybrid warfare,and provide corresponding policy inspiration for China to maintain national and peripheral security effectively.[Research method]Through systematic collection and convincing analysis of open source information such as NATO official documents,policy reports and leader speeches,the paper uses the methods of literature review,content analysis and comparative study to discuss NATO's perception,policy emphasis and practice process for hybrid warfare.[Research conclusion]In the face of the rise of hybrid warfare,NATO has constructed corresponding cognitive framework,which involves the concept construction,threat perception,policy priorities.The rise of hybrid warfare has brought about corresponding impact on the development and security strategy of NATO,including strengthening the legitimacy basis of NATO's survival,expanding the security space of NATO's collective defense and promoting the transformation of NATO's security strategic thought.Based on the threat perception of hybrid warfare,NATO has been adjusting its security policy continuously,including strengthening top-level design and strategic planning,promoting military organizational structure construction,cooperating with EU and other actors,and deepening resilience capacity building.
作者 陈翔 Chen Xiang(School of International Relations,University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029)
出处 《情报杂志》 CSSCI 北大核心 2024年第11期33-41,共9页 Journal of Intelligence
基金 国家社会科学基金一般项目“大国竞争背景下美国推行‘混合战争’的动因、路径及应对策略研究”(编号:23BGJ022)研究成果。
关键词 混合战争 安全战略 安全政策 威胁认知 北约 hybrid warfare security strategy security policy threat perception NATO
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