摘要
现代化是指人类从传统的农业社会向现代工业社会转变的历史过程。人口转变实际是现代化过程在人口发展中的体现,完整意义的人口转变,除涉及出生、死亡、自然增长等内容外,还应包括人口构成、人口素质等方面内容。从欧美国家实现现代化情况看,人口转变完成的主要标志是,人口城市化进程、非农化进程结束,人口进入零增长。中国目前正处在工业化过程的前期,现正向工业化中期逼进,中国目前不仅没有进入人口转变时期,更谈不上进入后人口转变时期。
Modernization is a process of transition from agricultural society to industrial society. Demographic transition is a part of the process. Demographic transition includes not only changes in fertility, mortality, and natural increase, but also population structure and quality of population. According to the experience of more developed countries, indicators of the completion of the transition are urbanization, industrialization, and zero population increase. China is now in the early stage of industrialization. China has not entered into demographic transition yet, thus is far from post-demographic transition.
出处
《市场与人口分析》
CSSCI
2002年第6期8-13,共6页
Market & Demographic Analysis
