摘要
国际石油市场油价在2002年继续走高,布伦特油价从年初的不到20美元/桶上涨到年底的近30美元/桶。2003年初,委内瑞拉石油出口中断及美国对伊拉克的战争威胁将导致油价高涨,供应问题可能使油价在上半年大部分时间里高位徘徊;委内瑞拉生产的恢复和伊拉克战后石油禁运的解除将使两国出口增加,欧佩克内部的配额之争和与非欧佩克的市场份额之争可能使油价在下半年回落。
Oil price in international market continued to rise in 2002, with Brent increasing to nearly $30/bbl at the end of 2002 from less than $20/bbl at the start of the year. At the beginning of 2003, the disruption in Venezuela oil exports and the nearing of Iraq war will cause oil price go up and supply problems may keep it at a higher level in most of the first half of 2003. Resume of Venezuela production and deregulation of Iraq oil embargo will result in oil export from the two countries increase, and output quota disputes inside OPEC and market share contend between OPEC and Non-OPEC may lead to oil price drop in the second half of the year.
出处
《当代石油石化》
CAS
2003年第2期15-19,共5页
Petroleum & Petrochemical Today
关键词
国际石油市场
供需
油价
欧佩克
非欧佩克
库存
international oil market, supply/demand, oil price, OPEC, Non-OPEC, stocks
