摘要
合理的人口预测在城市总体规划中具有重要意义,有利于城市的可持续发展。其首要任务便是研究人口总数的影响因素。本文依据1990、2000、2010年的全国人口普查数据,对青海省海西州德令哈市的人口要素进行分析,研究其分别与城市人口数量灰色关联度。据此提出针对我国西部小型城市人口数量控制的政策建议。结论表明:老年抚养比与人口关系最为密切,其次分别为性别比、平均家庭户规模、城镇人口比重、幼年抚养比、汉族占比。据此,本文给出了西部城市规划中的相关建议。
The urban population forecast is a priority for the overall urban planning, the urban sustainable development has the extremely vital significance.Reasonable prediction of the primary study on the influence factors of population.Based on 1990, 2000, the 2010 national census data, the population of qinghai province, DE delingha elements were analyzed, and research its respectively and the urban population of grey correlation degree.Some advices on western China small urban population control policy recommendations.Conclusion shows that the elderly dependency ratio of population and the closest relationship, the second respectively, sex ratio, average household size, proportion of urban population, the dependency ratio, the han nationality accounts for than youth.On this basis, this paper gives the Suggestions in the western city planning.
出处
《经贸实践》
2017年第20期4-6,共3页
Economic Practice
关键词
西部城市
人口分析
灰色关联度
Western city
the population analysis
grey correlation degree
