摘要
应用均生函数逐步回归模型,经过十次变长序列动态建模进行多步预测,再对多个结果进行合成分析,可以更好地揭示、归纳及利用好自身的规律。对降温、降水等长期天气过程预测,得到较可信的结果。
The stepwise regression model is applied to the multistep forecast by 10 times of drawout sequence dynamic modeling, and a synthetic analysis is made for the results with a view to reveal, generalize and utilize the law of itself. The use of this model leads to a reliable result in the forecast of longterm weather process such as temperature decreasing and precipitation.
出处
《广西气象》
2003年第1期15-17,共3页
Journal of Guangxi Meteorology
