摘要
本文试图建立一个在财政压力周期变动基础之上的分析失业、产业结构调整和所有制改革的基本框架,核心是对经济增长方式的探讨。改革之初,迫于财政压力,选择资本推动型的增长模式保证了政府的财政收益并缓解了失业。目前,资本链条开始断裂,该模式已难以维持,财政压力凸现,失业现象加剧。所有制的改革不能根本解决失业问题,产业结构的调整应该同时注重劳动替代资本。劳动力的质量决定了经济增长的路径,也界定了失业问题解决的通道。政府需要在经济增长和失业的均衡中定位自身的角色。适当调整增长模式,通过财政转移支付提高劳动力的收益率、对不同所有制主体施以国民待遇是可行的选择。
The paper attempts to offer a basic framework based on the periodical variation of fiscal crisis to analyze the relationship among employment,adjustment of industry structure and ownership reform,with the discussion of ways of economic growth as its core.At the beginning of reform,owing to the financial pressure,the selection of capitalpromoting growth model guaranteed the revenue of the government and relieved unemployment.At present,as the capi-tal chain starts to break,it is very difficult to maintain such a model,financial pressure appears and unemployment rate is increasing.The reform of ownership is unable to thoroughly solve the problem of unemployment,and in the adjustment of industry structure attention should be paid at the same time to the laborsubstitute capital.The quality of labor force decides the route of economic growth,thus determining the passage of solving the unemployment problem.The go-vernment should decide its role in the equilibrium of economic growth and unemployment .It is a feasible choice to properly adjust the growth model to increase the profit rate of labor force through financial transference and to offer national treatment to all entities of ownership.
出处
《财经研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2003年第9期3-9,共7页
Journal of Finance and Economics
关键词
财政压力
失业
产业结构调整
所有制
financial pressure
unemployment
adjustment of industry structure
ownership
