摘要
通过分析2000年和2010年两次人口普查中287个地级市的流动人口数据,发现十年间中国流动人口的城市分布格局出现新变化。进一步从经济发展水平、经济结构、产业结构和人口规模等方面分析流入地的城市特征,结果发现:2000年,投资和第二产业产值占比较高的城市吸纳流动人口具有显著优势;流动人口随着城市人口规模的扩大而增加,增加的速度存在收敛趋势。然而在2010年,投资占比较高的城市吸纳流动人口不再具有显著优势甚至呈现劣势;第三产业产值占比较高的城市吸纳流动人口的能力更强;流动人口随着城市人口规模的扩大依然存在增加趋势,且增加的速度不再随人口规模的增加而减慢。
This paper analyzes the floating population of China's 287 prefecture-level cities using the data from 2000 and 2010 population census data.The paper finds that there are some new changes China's floating population spatial distribution from 2000 to 2010.This paper also analyzes the relationship of the floating population with the level of economic development,economic structure,industrial structure and city population size of the destination cities.The paper finds that investment had significant positive effects in attracting floating population in 2000,however this kind of attracting effect disappeared and even became significant negative effect in 2010.The tertiary industry has became the main force for cities to attract floating population.The number of floating population was increasing with the expansion of the city population size,but the increasing speed with city population size was descending in 2000 and not descending in 2010.
出处
《人口与经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第3期13-22,共10页
Population & Economics
基金
教育部人文社科项目“农民工永久迁移意愿研究--基于地域流动与职业流动的交互关系”(10YJCZH178)
浙江省社科规划课题“地方公共服务影响劳动力流动的微观实证研究”(13NDJC085YB)
国家自然科学基金重大项目“应对老龄社会的公共政策和公共管理体系重构研究”(71490735)
关键词
流动人口
流入地
城市特征
floating population
destination cities
characteristics of cities
