摘要
介绍了交通安全的研究方法和预测模型 ,并对统计分析、模糊数学分析及灰色理论方法进行了比较。在此基础上 ,介绍了适应我国目前交通安全研究现状的交通事故灰色预测研究方法 ,对交通事故发展趋势进行了预测。论文给出了相应的灰色预测模型及预测方法 。
Study method and predicting models for traffic safety are introduced. Comparisons on statistical analysis, fuzzy mathematical analysis and method of gray theory are made. It is on this basis, gray prediction method for traffic accidents, which is feasible for the study of the traffic safety in China, is introduced, and further development of the traffic accidents is predicted. Relevant model of gray prediction and predicting method are provided and exemplified in practice.
出处
《中国安全科学学报》
CAS
CSCD
2000年第6期14-19,共6页
China Safety Science Journal
基金
江苏省交通厅基金项目,编号:991113
关键词
交通安全
灰色理论
模型
Traffic safety
Gray prediction
Model
