摘要
对重大型号工程进度风险的识别和估计方法进行了讨论,研究了总工期风险的蒙特卡罗仿真方法,并结合实例对某型号项目研制进度风险进行了定量分析。
The progress risk research in identifying and estimating of major model projects is described first, then a method of progress risk analysis based on Monte Carlo simulation is provided and a case study is presented in detail to illustrate the total process of the method.
出处
《空军工程大学学报（自然科学版）》
CSCD
2003年第5期7-9,共3页
Journal of Air Force Engineering University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
空军科研基金资助项目
关键词
进度风险
风险分析
蒙特卡罗仿真
progress risk
risk analysis
Monte Carlo simulation
