摘要
在服务业高质量发展大背景下,本文采用半参数的OP法,对中国自2007-2016年间服务业全要素生产率进行了测算。研究发现:在服务业细分行业中,房地产和金融业等共计7个行业的技术进步程度,在直观上要高于公共管理和社会组织以及卫生、社会保障和社会福利业等行业。在分地区中,北京、上海、浙江、广东等地的技术进步程度明显高于中西部省区市。从增长趋势来看,服务业内部不同行业之间增减不一,但自2007年以来,中国服务业全要素生产率整体呈现出明显的递增态势。虽然部分行业在技术进步方面存在短板,但从发展趋势来看,这些差距正在明显缩小。在四大经济区域中,除了西部地区呈现下降趋势外,东部、中部和东北地区的服务业全要素生产率明显上升。从影响因素来看,服务业发展水平、城市化率、贸易依存度和人口出生率,都是促进服务业全要素生产率增长的重要变量。据此,应实行大力促进服务业"提质增效"、稳步提升城市化发展水平、促进对外贸易平稳健康发展和出台切实有效的人口管理办法等政策措施。
This paper uses the semi-parametric OP method(Olley and Pakes, 1996) to measure the total factor productivity of the service industry in China from 2007 to 2016. The study found that in the subsectors of the service industry, the degree of technological progress of seven industries, including real estate and finance, is higher than that of public management and social organizations, as well as health, social security and social welfare industries intuitively. In the sub-regions, the degree of technological progress of Beijing, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Guangdong and other places is significantly higher than that of the central and western provinces and cities. From the perspective of growth trends, there are different increases and decreases between different industries within the service industry. However, since 2007, the total factor productivity of China’s service industry has shown a significant increase. Although some industries have shortcomings in technological progress, these gaps are shrinking significantly in terms of development trends.Among the four major economic regions, in addition to the downward trend in the western region,the total factor productivity of the service industry in the eastern, central and northeastern regions of China has increased significantly. From the perspective of influencing factors, the level of service industry development, urbanization rate, trade dependence and birth rate are all important variables to promote the growth of total factor productivity in the service industry.
作者
夏杰长
肖宇
李诗林
XIA Jiechang;XIAO Yu;LI Shilin
出处
《学术月刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第2期34-43,56,共11页
Academic Monthly
基金
国家社科基金重大项目"扩大我国服务业对外开放的路径与战略研究"(14ZDA084)的阶段性成果
关键词
服务业
全要素生产率
提质增效
高质量发展
service industry
total factor productivity
improving quality and efficiency
high-quality development
