摘要
CPI和PPI是反映一国经济状况的重要指标,2011年10月我国PPI指数的同比增长率相对于CPI开始走低,并在2012年3月下降到0以下,至今为止持续了长达50个月的负增长。面对PPI与CPI这种持续"背离"的现象,基于VAR模型通过内部和外部两个方面对背离的原因进行分析并提出了相应的结论与建议。
PPI and CPI are important indicators of a country's economic situation.On October 2011,the PPI monthly index of china began to decline and under the CPI monthly index.In march 2012 it fell to less than 0,up to 50 months of negative growth so far.Facing with the phenomenon of 'deviation'from CPI and PPI,this paper analyzes the reason of the deviation from two aspects:internal and external based on the VAR model and gives the corresponding conclusions and recommendations.
出处
《中国林业经济》
2016年第4期49-52,共4页
China Forestry Economics
