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能源互联网下基于实物期权的电能替代模型研究

Research on Real Option-based Electric Power Replacement Model under Energy Internet
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摘要 能源互联网核心思想之一是电能替代,如何使用户主动参与实施电能替代项目,是能源互联网格局规划的重要研究内容。以"电代煤"为实例,利用实物期权中的二叉树分析方法系统研究电能替代过程中经济环境效益。在考虑燃煤工业初始投资、年运行成本和环境费用的情况下,建立实物期权分析模型;进一步利用实物期权下二叉树模型进行电能替代项目价值分析,从而探讨影响用户主动参与的经济因素和环境保护责任约束。 Electric power replacement is one of the core ideas for energy internet. To make users actively participate in the implementation of electric power replacement is a key step in energy internet planning. By taking the 'replacing coal by electricity ' as an example, the binary tree analytical method for real option is used to estimate the economic and environmental benefits in the process of electric power replacement. With consideration of the initial investment of coal-fired industry, the annual running cost and environmental costs, a real option analytical model is established and the real option binary tree model is used to make a value analysis of the electric power replacement project. Consequently, the economic factors and environmental protection responsibilities that affect the active participation of users are explored.
出处 《中国电力》 CSCD 北大核心 2016年第S1期111-115,共5页 Electric Power
基金 中国南方电网公司科技项目(CSGTRC-K142033)~~
关键词 能源互联网 电能替代 实物期权 二叉树模型 energy internet electric power replacement real option binary tree
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