摘要
西部大开发是我国一项长期的区域发展战略,客观准确地评估其实施效果,对制定实施后续政策和其他区域发展政策具有借鉴意义。利用1980—2016年我国31个省份的面板数据,运用合成控制法评估了西部大开发对西部地区经济发展的影响。结果表明:①西部大开发对西部地区经济发展没有明显的改善作用;②显著促进了内蒙古、重庆、陕西和宁夏地区经济发展,抑制了广西、贵州、云南、西藏、甘肃和新疆地区经济发展,而对四川和青海无显著作用;③对第一、三产业具有促进作用,而对第二产业具有抑制作用。建议继续把基础设施建设放在首位,推进产业结构调整,使西部大开发真正促进西部地区的经济增长。
China’s western development strategy was a long-term regional development policy. The objective and accurate evaluation of its implementation effect did not only provide the reference for the implementation of follow-up policies,but also provide the reference for other regional development policies. This paper assessed the impact of western development strategy on the economic development of the western region,by using the synthetic control method based on panel data of 31 provinces in China's Mainland from 1980 to2016. The results showed that: ①Western development strategy had no obvious promoting effect on the economic development of western regions. ② Western development strategy had a significant promoting effect on the economic development of Inner Mongolia,Chongqing,Shaanxi and Ningxia,and a significant inhibiting effect on the economic development of Guangxi,Guizhou,Yunnan,Xizang,Gansu and Xinjiang,while it had no significant effect on Sichuan and Qinghai. ③Western development strategy had a promoting effect on the primary industry and the tertiary industry,while it had a inhibiting effect on the secondary industry. It was suggested that should continue to give top priority to infrastructure construction and promote industrial restructuring,so that the western development could really boost the economic growth of the western region.
作者
王小丽
李娜娜
朱嘉澍
李强
WANG Xiao-li;LI Na-na;ZHU Jia-shu;LI Qiang(College of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China)
出处
《资源开发与市场》
CAS
2019年第4期463-469,共7页
Resource Development & Market
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(编号:2015ZCQ-JG-03
RW2011-33)
关键词
西部地区
西部大开发
政策评价
经济增长
合成控制法
western region
western development strategy
policy evaluation
synthetic control method
economic growth
