期刊文献+
共找到1篇文章
< 1 >
每页显示 20 50 100
Role of children in the Bulgarian COVID-19 epidemic:A mathematical model study
1
作者 Latchezar Tomov Hristiana Batselova +3 位作者 Snezhina Lazova borislav ganev Iren Tzocheva Tsvetelina Velikova 《World Journal of Experimental Medicine》 2023年第3期28-46,共19页
BACKGROUND The coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic affects all aspects of our lives,including children.With the advancement of the pandemic,children under five years old are at increased risk of hospitalization... BACKGROUND The coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic affects all aspects of our lives,including children.With the advancement of the pandemic,children under five years old are at increased risk of hospitalization relative to other age groups.This makes it paramount that we develop tools to address the two critical aspects of preserving children's health–new treatment protocols and new predictive models.For those purposes,we need to understand better the effects of COVID-19 on children,and we need to be able to predict the number of affected children as a proportion of the number of infected children.This is why our research focuses on clinical and epidemiological pictures of children with heart damage post-COVID,as a part of the general picture of post-COVID among this age group.AIM To demonstrate the role of children in the COVID-19 spread in Bulgaria and to test the hypothesis that there are no secondary transmissions in schools and from children to adults.METHODS Our modeling and data show with high probability that in Bulgaria,with our current measures,vaccination strategy and contact structure,the pandemic is driven by the children and their contacts in school.RESULTS This makes it paramount that we develop tools to address the two critical aspects of preserving children's health–new treatment protocols and new predictive models.For those purposes,we need to understand better the effects of COVID-19 on children,and we need to be able to predict the number of affected children as a proportion of the number of infected children.This is why our research focuses on clinical and epidemiological pictures of children with heart damage post-COVID,as a part of the general picture of post-Covid among this age group.CONCLUSION Our modeling rejects that hypothesis,and the epidemiological data supports that.We used epidemiological data to support the validity of our modeling.The first summer wave in 2020 from the listed here school proms endorse the idea of transmissions from students to teachers. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 PANDEMIC CHILDREN Cardiac involvement Multisystem inflammation in children ARIMA Time-series modeling Regression model
下载PDF
上一页 1 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部