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Stability and bifurcation analysis for a delayed viral infection model with full logistic proliferation
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作者 Yan Geng jinhu xu 《International Journal of Biomathematics》 SCIE 2020年第5期33-62,共30页
In this paper,we study a delayed viral infection model with cellular infection and full logistic proliferations for both healthy and infected cells.The global asymptotic stabil-ities of the equilibria are studied by c... In this paper,we study a delayed viral infection model with cellular infection and full logistic proliferations for both healthy and infected cells.The global asymptotic stabil-ities of the equilibria are studied by constructing Lyapunov functionals.Moreover,we investigated the existence of Hopf bifurcation at the infected equilibrium by regarding the possible combination of the two delays as bifurcation pararmeters.The results show that time delays may destabilize the infected equilibrium and lead to Hopf bifurcation.Finally,numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the main results and explore the dynamics including Hopf bifurcation and stability switches. 展开更多
关键词 Time delay Full logistic proliferation Global stability Hopf bifurcation Stability switches
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A Markov based model to estimate the number of syphilis cases among floating population
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作者 Chentong Li Jiawei Liu +3 位作者 Yingying Zhang Huan Lei jinhu xu Yao Rong 《Infectious Disease Modelling》 2022年第1期243-251,共9页
Syphilis is a sexually transmitted disease that spreads widely around the world,infecting tens of millions of people every year.In China,syphilis not only causes more than 1 million infections every year,but also has ... Syphilis is a sexually transmitted disease that spreads widely around the world,infecting tens of millions of people every year.In China,syphilis not only causes more than 1 million infections every year,but also has its own characteristics in spreading pattern:this disease always spreads with the migration of floating population.There have been many related investigations and studies on the transmission of syphilis with the floating population in China,but the study of quantitative modeling in this field is very limited.In this paper,based on the Markov process model and datasets collected in Zhejiang Province,China,we construct a new model to analyze the transmission and immigration process of syphilis.The results show that immigrant patients are one of the sources of infection of syphilis in Zhejiang province,and the infection rate is remarkable which should not be ignored.By using the PRCC method to analyze the relationship between parameters and infected cases,we also find two main effective measures that can control the spread of syphilis and reduce the infection rate:the self-attention of infected persons,and the use of sexual protection measures.With the increasing frequent exchanges of people among different countries and regions,studying the transmission of diseases with the floating populations has become more and more important.The method we use in this paper gives a new insight studying this issue,providing a quantitative research method using the data of diagnosed cases.All the methods and models in this paper can be extendly used in the studies of other diseases where immigrant patients should be considered. 展开更多
关键词 SYPHILIS Markov process Immigrant workers Sexual workers
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