In this study, the variability of tropical cyclone (TC) landfall and approach over Mozambique as well as the environmental factors influencing were investigated. The frequencies of tropical cyclone landfall and approa...In this study, the variability of tropical cyclone (TC) landfall and approach over Mozambique as well as the environmental factors influencing were investigated. The frequencies of tropical cyclone landfall and approach as well as environmental factors were compared between the two periods (1980 to 1999 and 2000 to 2020). This study found that, according to International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) tropical cyclone data, the number of tropical cyclones making landfall over Mozambique increased by about 66% in the second period (2000-2020), compared to 34% in the first period (1980-1999). While the number of tropical cyclone approaches reduced from 59% in the first period to 41% in the second period. An assessment of the environmental conditions showed that warmer sea surface temperature (SST) and low vertical wind shear (VWS) were favorable to more TC genesis and, consequently, an increase in landfalls and a reduction in TC confined to the approach.展开更多
Endodontic diseases are a kind of chronic infectious oral disease. Common endodontic treatment concepts are based on the removal of inflamed or necrotic pulp tissue and the replacement by gutta-percha. However, it is ...Endodontic diseases are a kind of chronic infectious oral disease. Common endodontic treatment concepts are based on the removal of inflamed or necrotic pulp tissue and the replacement by gutta-percha. However, it is very essential for endodontic treatment to debride the root canal system and prevent the root canal system from bacterial reinfection after root canal therapy(RCT). Recent research, encompassing bacterial etiology and advanced imaging techniques, contributes to our understanding of the root canal system’s anatomy intricacies and the technique sensitivity of RCT. Success in RCT hinges on factors like patients, infection severity, root canal anatomy, and treatment techniques. Therefore, improving disease management is a key issue to combat endodontic diseases and cure periapical lesions. The clinical difficulty assessment system of RCT is established based on patient conditions, tooth conditions, root canal configuration, and root canal needing retreatment, and emphasizes pre-treatment risk assessment for optimal outcomes. The findings suggest that the presence of risk factors may correlate with the challenge of achieving the high standard required for RCT. These insights contribute not only to improve education but also aid practitioners in treatment planning and referral decision-making within the field of endodontics.展开更多
Chemical cleaning and disinfection are crucial steps for eliminating infection in root canal treatment. However, irrigant selection or irrigation procedures are far from clear. The vapor lock effect in the apical regi...Chemical cleaning and disinfection are crucial steps for eliminating infection in root canal treatment. However, irrigant selection or irrigation procedures are far from clear. The vapor lock effect in the apical region has yet to be solved, impeding irrigation efficacy and resulting in residual infections and compromised treatment outcomes.展开更多
Like other countries in East Africa, Tanzania has been affected by extreme precipitation incidences both socially and economically. Determining the trend and variability features of extreme precipitation in the countr...Like other countries in East Africa, Tanzania has been affected by extreme precipitation incidences both socially and economically. Determining the trend and variability features of extreme precipitation in the country is crucial. This study used data from 28 meteorological stations for 1981-2020 period to give an annual and seasonal analysis of the patterns of 10 ETCCDI’s extreme precipitation indices over the regions. At annual scale, the results showed that increasing trends had high frequency percentage than the decreasing ones, collecting about 76% in total. The decreasing trend was approximately 24%, and most of the stations with increasing percentage in trend are concentrated in Northern coast, Central, West, North-eastern highlands and Lake Victoria Basin. Most of the stations depicted negative trend are concentrated over Southern region. This highlights that extreme precipitation events have increased over the country for the period 1981-2020. At seasonal scale, during October to December (OND);the patterns of extreme precipitation climatic indices except R99p, showed positive significant increasing trend over Lake Victoria Basin and some Western parts of the country. In general, spatial patterns indicate decrease of precipitation over most parts of the country during OND. The seasonal average time series depicted non-significant positive trend during March to April (MAM) season, except for Consecutive Wet Days (CWD) which showed non-significant decreasing trend. Over the highest mountain in Africa, Kilimanjaro;the study has revealed significant decrease in Annual total-wet Precipitation (PRCPTOT), the number of heavy (very heavy) days of precipitation R10 mm (R20 mm) and Consecutive Wet Days (CWD) during MAM season. While the maximum one-day precipitation amount (RX1 day) was observed to decrease significantly over the Mountain during OND season. The result is very important in risk assessment and preparedness perspective in planning climate change mitigation and adaptations for different sectors like Tourism, Agriculture, Water and Energy.展开更多
Based on the reforecast data(1999–2010)of three operational models[the China Meteorological Administration(CMA),the National Centers for Environmental Prediction of the U.S.(NCEP)and the European Centre for Medium-Ra...Based on the reforecast data(1999–2010)of three operational models[the China Meteorological Administration(CMA),the National Centers for Environmental Prediction of the U.S.(NCEP)and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF)]that participated in the Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction(S2S)project,we identified the major sources of subseasonal prediction skill for heatwaves over the Yangtze River basin(YRB).The three models show limited prediction skills in terms of the fraction of correct predictions for heatwave days in summer;the Heidke Skill Score drops quickly after a 5-day forecast lead and falls down close to zero beyond the lead time of 15 days.The superior skill of the ECMWF model in predicting the intensity and duration of the YRB heatwave is attributable to its fidelity in capturing the phase evolution and amplitude of high-pressure anomalies associated with the intraseasonal oscillation and the dryness of soil moisture induced by less precipitation via the land–atmosphere coupling.The effects of 10–30-day and 30–90-day circulation prediction skills on heatwave predictions are comparable at shorter forecast leads(10 days),while the biases in 30–90-day circulation amplitude prediction show close connection with the degradation of heatwave prediction skill at longer forecast leads(>15–20 days).The biases of intraseasonal circulation anomalies further affect precipitation anomalies and thus land conditions,causing difficulty in capturing extremely hot days and their persistence in the S2S models.展开更多
The geometric characteristics of tropical cyclone（TC） eyes before landfall in South China are examined using groundbased radar reflectivity. It is found that the median and mean eye area decrease with TC intensity, ...The geometric characteristics of tropical cyclone（TC） eyes before landfall in South China are examined using groundbased radar reflectivity. It is found that the median and mean eye area decrease with TC intensity, except for the severe typhoon category, and the eye size increases with height. The increasing rate of eye size is relatively greater in upper layers.Moreover, the ratio of eye size change in the vertical direction does not correlate with TC intensity. No relationship is presented between the ratio of eye size change in the vertical direction and the vertical wind shear. No relationship between the vertical change in eye size and the eye size at a certain level is found, inconsistent with other studies. No relationship exists between the vertical change in eye size and the intensity tendency. The eye roundness values range mainly from 0.5 to 0.7, and more intense TCs generally have eyes that are more circular.展开更多
Objective: To evaluate the effect of different irradiation times on the occlusion of dentinal tubules when using Nd:YAG laser. Background data: Dentin hypersensitivity is a frequent problem that has limited treatment ...Objective: To evaluate the effect of different irradiation times on the occlusion of dentinal tubules when using Nd:YAG laser. Background data: Dentin hypersensitivity is a frequent problem that has limited treatment success despite many chemical and physical therapies. Methods: Four coronal dentin disks 2 mm thick were cut with a low-speed diamond saw from four freshly extracted intact first molars. The coronal dentin surface of each disk was divided into four regions, each approximately 2 mm × 3 mm. The dentin surfaces were treated with 27% EDTA then the four regions irradiated separately in a randomized pattern with a Nd:YAG laser (120 mJ, 5 Hz), using irradiation times of 0 s, 20 s, 40 s and 60 s, representing laser energies of 0 J/cm2, 200 J/cm2, 400 J/cm2 and 600 J/cm2, respectively. SEM photomicro-graphs were taken at 1500× and 3000× to calculate the dentinal tubule orifice occlusion rates and to measure the tubule diameters, respectively. Results: For the laser irradiation times of 0 s, 20 s, 40 s and 60 s, the corresponding dentinal tubule occlusion rates were 2.05 (SD 0.29)%, 10.01 (1.71)%, 23.58 (2.51)% and 90.23 (2.24)%, respectively;and the tubule diameters were 4.18 (0.32) μm, 3.46 (0.24) μm, 1.69 (0.32) μm and 0.12 (0.02) μm, respectively. There were significant differences among all groups for both measured variables (p ≤ 0.005). Conclusions: Within the limitations of this in Vitro study, when using a Nd:YAG laser at 120 mJ and 5 Hz, an irradiation time of 60 s achieved the best sealing of the coronal dentinal tubule orifices.展开更多
This study employs the regional Climate-Weather Research and Forecasting model(CWRF)to first investigate the primary physical mechanisms causing biases in simulating summer precipitation over the Yangtze River Basin(Y...This study employs the regional Climate-Weather Research and Forecasting model(CWRF)to first investigate the primary physical mechanisms causing biases in simulating summer precipitation over the Yangtze River Basin(YRB),and then enhance its predictive ability through an optimal multi-physics ensemble approach.The CWRF 30-km simulations in China are compared among 28 combinations of varying physics parameterizations during 1980−2015.Long-term average summer biases in YRB precipitation are remotely correlated with those of large-scale circulations.These teleconnections of biases are highly consistent with the observed correlation patterns between interannual variations of precipitation and circulations,despite minor shifts in their primary action centers.Increased YRB precipitation aligns with a southward shifted East Asian westerly jet,an intensified low-level southerly flow south of YRB,and a south-eastward shifted South Asian high,alongside higher moisture availability over YRB.Conversely,decreased YRB precipitation corresponds to an opposite circulation pattern.The CWRF control configuration using the ensemble cumulus parameterization(ECP),compared to other cumulus schemes,best captures the observed YRB precipitation characteristics and associated circulation patterns.Coupling ECP with the Morrison or Morrison-aerosol microphysics and the CCCMA or CAML radiation schemes enhances the overall CWRF skills.Compared to the control CWRF,the ensemble average of these skill-enhanced physics configurations more accurately reproduces YRB summer precipitation’s spatial distributions,interannual anomalies,and associated circulation patterns.The Bayesian Joint Probability calibration to these configurations improves the ensemble’s spatial distributions but compromises its interannual anomalies and teleconnection patterns.Our findings highlight substantial potential for refining the representation of climate system physics to improve YRB precipitation prediction.This is notably achieved by realistically coupling cumulus,microphysics,and radiation processes to accurately capture circulation teleconnections.Further enhancements can be achieved by optimizing the multi-physics ensemble among skill-enhanced configurations.展开更多
In the presence of an MMC-HVDC system,current differential protection(CDP)has the risk of failure in operation under an internal fault.In addition,CDP may also incur security issues in the presence of current transfor...In the presence of an MMC-HVDC system,current differential protection(CDP)has the risk of failure in operation under an internal fault.In addition,CDP may also incur security issues in the presence of current transformer(CT)saturation and outliers.In this paper,a current trajectory image-based protection algorithm is proposed for AC lines connected to MMC-HVDC stations using a convolution neural network improved by a channel attention mechanism(CA-CNN).Taking the dual differential currents as two-dimensional coordinates of the moving point,the moving-point trajectories formed by differential currents have significant differences under internal and external faults.Therefore,internal faults can be identified using image recognition based on CA-CNN.This is improved by a channel attention mechanism,data augmentation,and adaptive learning rate.In comparison with other machine learning algorithms,the feature extraction ability and accuracy of CA-CNN are greatly improved.Various fault conditions like different net-work structures,operation modes,fault resistances,outliers,and current transformer saturation,are fully considered to verify the superiority of the proposed protection algorithm.The results confirm that the proposed current trajectory image-based protection algorithm has strong learning and generalizability,and can identify internal faults reliably.展开更多
Model simulations show that drought may become more severe and widespread in the 21st century due to humaninduced global warming. However, the contributions from the key factors to the model-projected drought changes ...Model simulations show that drought may become more severe and widespread in the 21st century due to humaninduced global warming. However, the contributions from the key factors to the model-projected drought changes in China have not yet been examined in detail. We used the self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index with Penman–Monteith potential evapotranspiration(scPDSIpm) based on 10 model simulations selected from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6). We investigated the contributions from precipitation(P), near-surface air temperature and specific humidity [Δ(T + q)], net surface longwave radiation(LW), net surface shortwave radiation(SW), and wind speed(WS) to the future changes in scPDSIpm, including the long-term mean, drying area,probability distribution function(PDF), drought frequency, and drought duration based on the scPDSIpm over China.Our results show that model-projected drying mainly occurs over southern China, whereas the dry areas under drought conditions increase from 20% to about 23%/30% under the two scenarios of the shared socioeconomic pathway(SSP2-4.5/SSP5-8.5) from 1985 to 2100, despite large uncertainties in individual projections partly due to internal variability. Drought frequency is projected to increases by about 10%–54%(15%–88%) under the SSP2-4.5(SSP5-8.5) scenario by the late 21st century, along with increases in drought duration. These changes are accompanied by a decrease in the mean scPDSIpm and flattening of the PDFs. The changes in drying over southern China are mainly attributed to surface warming and the increased surface vapor pressure deficit(VPD), with small contributions from changes in the surface net radiation. The changes in wetting over northern China mostly result from increased precipitation along with a small wetting effect from the changes in wind speed.展开更多
As a common but critical dynamic crossover in glass-forming liquids(GFLs),the discovery of fragile-to-strong(F-S)transition promises a novel route for understanding supercooled liquid and glass transition.The present ...As a common but critical dynamic crossover in glass-forming liquids(GFLs),the discovery of fragile-to-strong(F-S)transition promises a novel route for understanding supercooled liquid and glass transition.The present work,for the first time,successfully realizes the quantitative prediction of the F-S transition in nine metallic glass-forming liquids,by a counter-intuitive approach that focuses on local atomic activation events,rather than relaxation,upon cooling.The dynamic crossover originates from a disorder-to-order transition by self-regulating behavior of atomic position within a cage controlled by finite atomic activation events,due to the appearance of local cooperative motion of nearest neighborhood atoms.Moreover,the dominant role of entropy in this anomaly has been discovered,and the correspondence between the crossover of configuration entropy involved in activation events and the occurrence of F-S transition has been found.Our work implies that the feature of atomic energy fluctuations reflected by atomic activation events has a close linkage to complex dynamic behaviors of disordered systems.展开更多
Understanding the impact of anthropogenic climate change on drought is of great significance to the prevention of its adverse effects.Two drought indices,standardized precipitation index(SPI)and standardized precipita...Understanding the impact of anthropogenic climate change on drought is of great significance to the prevention of its adverse effects.Two drought indices,standardized precipitation index(SPI)and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index(SPEI),are used here for the detection and attribution of autumn droughts in China,and for the exploration of the role played by the anthropogenic climate change.SPI is only related to precipitation,but SPEI involves both precipitation and potential evapotranspiration.For their trend’s spatial patterns,the historical simulations(including all forcings,noted as ALL)from 11 models of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6,as an ensemble,are able to reproduce their observational counterpart.SPI shows wetting trend in the north of 35°N and drying trend in the south.SPEI shows drying trend in almost whole China.The drying trend in historical simulations ALL is significantly stronger,compared with the counterpart from the accompanying simulations(called NAT)with only natural forcings implemented.This result clearly indicates that anthropogenic climate change plays a dominant role in the enhancement of autumn drought in China.A more rigorous detection work is also performed with the signal’s fingerprint of ALL(and NAT)projected onto the observation and assessed with the background noise from no external-forcing control simulations.The trend pattern signal in ALL is significantly detected in observation for both SPI and SPEI,with a more pronounced signal in SPEI than in SPI,while the signal of NAT is not detected for neither SPI nor SPEI.Finally,extreme droughts(with indices beyond-2)are assessed in terms of probability ratio between ALL and NAT.It is shown that the anthropogenic precipitation change plays a leading role in the south of 35°N,while the anthropogenic temperature change leads in the north.展开更多
The accuracy of eight tropical cyclone(TC) intensity guidance techniques currently used in the East China Regional Meteorological Center during the 2008 and 2009 western North Pacific seasons has been evaluated within...The accuracy of eight tropical cyclone(TC) intensity guidance techniques currently used in the East China Regional Meteorological Center during the 2008 and 2009 western North Pacific seasons has been evaluated within two intensity phases:intensification and decay.In the intensification stage,the majority of the techniques indicated > 60% probabilities of the errors of forecast 12-h intensity change within ±5 ms-1 from the 12- to 60-h forecast intervals,while none had capability to predict the rapid intensification and most of them had a bias toward smaller 48-h intensity changes at the beginning of the stage.The majority of the guidance techniques showed > 70% probabilities of the errors of forecast 12-h intensity change within ±5 ms-1 through 60 h during the decay phase,and the techniques had little capability of predicting rapid decay events.It is found that the evaluated statistical models had difficulty in predicting the strongest cases of decay 36 h after peak intensity,whereas the dynamical and official forecasts were seemingly able to produce some large decay rates.展开更多
The overall statistics of the accuracy of eight statistical and dynamical tropical cyclone intensity guidance techniques used in the East China Regional Meteorological Center during the 2008 and 2009 western North Pac...The overall statistics of the accuracy of eight statistical and dynamical tropical cyclone intensity guidance techniques used in the East China Regional Meteorological Center during the 2008 and 2009 western North Pacific typhoon seasons were evaluated herein. Skill scores which were calculated based on contingency tables show that the forecast skill of the selected techniques did not persistently decline with the increasing forecast time. The probabilities of the forecast intensity inaccuracy being within 6 m s-1 and greater than 15 m s-1 were examined in the study. Additionally, the majority of the forecasts were featured by underintensity forecasts in 2008, while some guidance showed pronounced overforecasts at relatively long forecast intervals in 2009. The forecast biases and overintensity forecast errors at typhoon dissipation were verified as well.展开更多
文摘In this study, the variability of tropical cyclone (TC) landfall and approach over Mozambique as well as the environmental factors influencing were investigated. The frequencies of tropical cyclone landfall and approach as well as environmental factors were compared between the two periods (1980 to 1999 and 2000 to 2020). This study found that, according to International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) tropical cyclone data, the number of tropical cyclones making landfall over Mozambique increased by about 66% in the second period (2000-2020), compared to 34% in the first period (1980-1999). While the number of tropical cyclone approaches reduced from 59% in the first period to 41% in the second period. An assessment of the environmental conditions showed that warmer sea surface temperature (SST) and low vertical wind shear (VWS) were favorable to more TC genesis and, consequently, an increase in landfalls and a reduction in TC confined to the approach.
文摘Endodontic diseases are a kind of chronic infectious oral disease. Common endodontic treatment concepts are based on the removal of inflamed or necrotic pulp tissue and the replacement by gutta-percha. However, it is very essential for endodontic treatment to debride the root canal system and prevent the root canal system from bacterial reinfection after root canal therapy(RCT). Recent research, encompassing bacterial etiology and advanced imaging techniques, contributes to our understanding of the root canal system’s anatomy intricacies and the technique sensitivity of RCT. Success in RCT hinges on factors like patients, infection severity, root canal anatomy, and treatment techniques. Therefore, improving disease management is a key issue to combat endodontic diseases and cure periapical lesions. The clinical difficulty assessment system of RCT is established based on patient conditions, tooth conditions, root canal configuration, and root canal needing retreatment, and emphasizes pre-treatment risk assessment for optimal outcomes. The findings suggest that the presence of risk factors may correlate with the challenge of achieving the high standard required for RCT. These insights contribute not only to improve education but also aid practitioners in treatment planning and referral decision-making within the field of endodontics.
文摘Chemical cleaning and disinfection are crucial steps for eliminating infection in root canal treatment. However, irrigant selection or irrigation procedures are far from clear. The vapor lock effect in the apical region has yet to be solved, impeding irrigation efficacy and resulting in residual infections and compromised treatment outcomes.
文摘Like other countries in East Africa, Tanzania has been affected by extreme precipitation incidences both socially and economically. Determining the trend and variability features of extreme precipitation in the country is crucial. This study used data from 28 meteorological stations for 1981-2020 period to give an annual and seasonal analysis of the patterns of 10 ETCCDI’s extreme precipitation indices over the regions. At annual scale, the results showed that increasing trends had high frequency percentage than the decreasing ones, collecting about 76% in total. The decreasing trend was approximately 24%, and most of the stations with increasing percentage in trend are concentrated in Northern coast, Central, West, North-eastern highlands and Lake Victoria Basin. Most of the stations depicted negative trend are concentrated over Southern region. This highlights that extreme precipitation events have increased over the country for the period 1981-2020. At seasonal scale, during October to December (OND);the patterns of extreme precipitation climatic indices except R99p, showed positive significant increasing trend over Lake Victoria Basin and some Western parts of the country. In general, spatial patterns indicate decrease of precipitation over most parts of the country during OND. The seasonal average time series depicted non-significant positive trend during March to April (MAM) season, except for Consecutive Wet Days (CWD) which showed non-significant decreasing trend. Over the highest mountain in Africa, Kilimanjaro;the study has revealed significant decrease in Annual total-wet Precipitation (PRCPTOT), the number of heavy (very heavy) days of precipitation R10 mm (R20 mm) and Consecutive Wet Days (CWD) during MAM season. While the maximum one-day precipitation amount (RX1 day) was observed to decrease significantly over the Mountain during OND season. The result is very important in risk assessment and preparedness perspective in planning climate change mitigation and adaptations for different sectors like Tourism, Agriculture, Water and Energy.
基金The authors would like to thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments,which helped improve the manuscript.This study was supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant Nos.2018YFC1505804 and 2018YFC1507704)NSFC(Grant No.41625019).We appreciate the operational centers for providing their model outputs through the S2S database.
文摘Based on the reforecast data(1999–2010)of three operational models[the China Meteorological Administration(CMA),the National Centers for Environmental Prediction of the U.S.(NCEP)and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF)]that participated in the Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction(S2S)project,we identified the major sources of subseasonal prediction skill for heatwaves over the Yangtze River basin(YRB).The three models show limited prediction skills in terms of the fraction of correct predictions for heatwave days in summer;the Heidke Skill Score drops quickly after a 5-day forecast lead and falls down close to zero beyond the lead time of 15 days.The superior skill of the ECMWF model in predicting the intensity and duration of the YRB heatwave is attributable to its fidelity in capturing the phase evolution and amplitude of high-pressure anomalies associated with the intraseasonal oscillation and the dryness of soil moisture induced by less precipitation via the land–atmosphere coupling.The effects of 10–30-day and 30–90-day circulation prediction skills on heatwave predictions are comparable at shorter forecast leads(10 days),while the biases in 30–90-day circulation amplitude prediction show close connection with the degradation of heatwave prediction skill at longer forecast leads(>15–20 days).The biases of intraseasonal circulation anomalies further affect precipitation anomalies and thus land conditions,causing difficulty in capturing extremely hot days and their persistence in the S2S models.
基金supported by the National (Key) Basic Research and Development (973) Program of China (Grant No.2015CB452803)the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No.2017YFC1501601)+2 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.41475058,41730961 and 41575083)the Basic Research Fund of CAMS (Grant No.2016Z003)the Top-notch Academic Programs Project of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions (TAPP)
文摘The geometric characteristics of tropical cyclone（TC） eyes before landfall in South China are examined using groundbased radar reflectivity. It is found that the median and mean eye area decrease with TC intensity, except for the severe typhoon category, and the eye size increases with height. The increasing rate of eye size is relatively greater in upper layers.Moreover, the ratio of eye size change in the vertical direction does not correlate with TC intensity. No relationship is presented between the ratio of eye size change in the vertical direction and the vertical wind shear. No relationship between the vertical change in eye size and the eye size at a certain level is found, inconsistent with other studies. No relationship exists between the vertical change in eye size and the intensity tendency. The eye roundness values range mainly from 0.5 to 0.7, and more intense TCs generally have eyes that are more circular.
文摘Objective: To evaluate the effect of different irradiation times on the occlusion of dentinal tubules when using Nd:YAG laser. Background data: Dentin hypersensitivity is a frequent problem that has limited treatment success despite many chemical and physical therapies. Methods: Four coronal dentin disks 2 mm thick were cut with a low-speed diamond saw from four freshly extracted intact first molars. The coronal dentin surface of each disk was divided into four regions, each approximately 2 mm × 3 mm. The dentin surfaces were treated with 27% EDTA then the four regions irradiated separately in a randomized pattern with a Nd:YAG laser (120 mJ, 5 Hz), using irradiation times of 0 s, 20 s, 40 s and 60 s, representing laser energies of 0 J/cm2, 200 J/cm2, 400 J/cm2 and 600 J/cm2, respectively. SEM photomicro-graphs were taken at 1500× and 3000× to calculate the dentinal tubule orifice occlusion rates and to measure the tubule diameters, respectively. Results: For the laser irradiation times of 0 s, 20 s, 40 s and 60 s, the corresponding dentinal tubule occlusion rates were 2.05 (SD 0.29)%, 10.01 (1.71)%, 23.58 (2.51)% and 90.23 (2.24)%, respectively;and the tubule diameters were 4.18 (0.32) μm, 3.46 (0.24) μm, 1.69 (0.32) μm and 0.12 (0.02) μm, respectively. There were significant differences among all groups for both measured variables (p ≤ 0.005). Conclusions: Within the limitations of this in Vitro study, when using a Nd:YAG laser at 120 mJ and 5 Hz, an irradiation time of 60 s achieved the best sealing of the coronal dentinal tubule orifices.
基金funded by the US National Science Foundation Innovations at the Nexus of Food,Energy and Water Systems(US-China INFEWS)under Grant EAR1903249the China Meteorological Administration/National Climate Center research subcontract 2211011816501the the Shanghai 2021“Scientific and technological innovation action plan”Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.21ZR1420400).
文摘This study employs the regional Climate-Weather Research and Forecasting model(CWRF)to first investigate the primary physical mechanisms causing biases in simulating summer precipitation over the Yangtze River Basin(YRB),and then enhance its predictive ability through an optimal multi-physics ensemble approach.The CWRF 30-km simulations in China are compared among 28 combinations of varying physics parameterizations during 1980−2015.Long-term average summer biases in YRB precipitation are remotely correlated with those of large-scale circulations.These teleconnections of biases are highly consistent with the observed correlation patterns between interannual variations of precipitation and circulations,despite minor shifts in their primary action centers.Increased YRB precipitation aligns with a southward shifted East Asian westerly jet,an intensified low-level southerly flow south of YRB,and a south-eastward shifted South Asian high,alongside higher moisture availability over YRB.Conversely,decreased YRB precipitation corresponds to an opposite circulation pattern.The CWRF control configuration using the ensemble cumulus parameterization(ECP),compared to other cumulus schemes,best captures the observed YRB precipitation characteristics and associated circulation patterns.Coupling ECP with the Morrison or Morrison-aerosol microphysics and the CCCMA or CAML radiation schemes enhances the overall CWRF skills.Compared to the control CWRF,the ensemble average of these skill-enhanced physics configurations more accurately reproduces YRB summer precipitation’s spatial distributions,interannual anomalies,and associated circulation patterns.The Bayesian Joint Probability calibration to these configurations improves the ensemble’s spatial distributions but compromises its interannual anomalies and teleconnection patterns.Our findings highlight substantial potential for refining the representation of climate system physics to improve YRB precipitation prediction.This is notably achieved by realistically coupling cumulus,microphysics,and radiation processes to accurately capture circulation teleconnections.Further enhancements can be achieved by optimizing the multi-physics ensemble among skill-enhanced configurations.
基金supported in part by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under Grant 2022JCCXJD01in part by Training Program of Innovation and Entrepreneurship for Undergraduates of China University of Mining and Technology(Beijing)under Grant 202204009.
文摘In the presence of an MMC-HVDC system,current differential protection(CDP)has the risk of failure in operation under an internal fault.In addition,CDP may also incur security issues in the presence of current transformer(CT)saturation and outliers.In this paper,a current trajectory image-based protection algorithm is proposed for AC lines connected to MMC-HVDC stations using a convolution neural network improved by a channel attention mechanism(CA-CNN).Taking the dual differential currents as two-dimensional coordinates of the moving point,the moving-point trajectories formed by differential currents have significant differences under internal and external faults.Therefore,internal faults can be identified using image recognition based on CA-CNN.This is improved by a channel attention mechanism,data augmentation,and adaptive learning rate.In comparison with other machine learning algorithms,the feature extraction ability and accuracy of CA-CNN are greatly improved.Various fault conditions like different net-work structures,operation modes,fault resistances,outliers,and current transformer saturation,are fully considered to verify the superiority of the proposed protection algorithm.The results confirm that the proposed current trajectory image-based protection algorithm has strong learning and generalizability,and can identify internal faults reliably.
基金Supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (2020YFA0608904)National Natural Science Foundation of China(42275185, 41975115, and 41675094)。
文摘Model simulations show that drought may become more severe and widespread in the 21st century due to humaninduced global warming. However, the contributions from the key factors to the model-projected drought changes in China have not yet been examined in detail. We used the self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index with Penman–Monteith potential evapotranspiration(scPDSIpm) based on 10 model simulations selected from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6). We investigated the contributions from precipitation(P), near-surface air temperature and specific humidity [Δ(T + q)], net surface longwave radiation(LW), net surface shortwave radiation(SW), and wind speed(WS) to the future changes in scPDSIpm, including the long-term mean, drying area,probability distribution function(PDF), drought frequency, and drought duration based on the scPDSIpm over China.Our results show that model-projected drying mainly occurs over southern China, whereas the dry areas under drought conditions increase from 20% to about 23%/30% under the two scenarios of the shared socioeconomic pathway(SSP2-4.5/SSP5-8.5) from 1985 to 2100, despite large uncertainties in individual projections partly due to internal variability. Drought frequency is projected to increases by about 10%–54%(15%–88%) under the SSP2-4.5(SSP5-8.5) scenario by the late 21st century, along with increases in drought duration. These changes are accompanied by a decrease in the mean scPDSIpm and flattening of the PDFs. The changes in drying over southern China are mainly attributed to surface warming and the increased surface vapor pressure deficit(VPD), with small contributions from changes in the surface net radiation. The changes in wetting over northern China mostly result from increased precipitation along with a small wetting effect from the changes in wind speed.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.51901139,U1902221,51971120,and 51971093)the Taishan Scholars Program of Shandong Province(Grant No.tsqn201909010)the Key Basic and Applied Research Program of Guangdong Province(Grant No.2019B030302010)。
文摘As a common but critical dynamic crossover in glass-forming liquids(GFLs),the discovery of fragile-to-strong(F-S)transition promises a novel route for understanding supercooled liquid and glass transition.The present work,for the first time,successfully realizes the quantitative prediction of the F-S transition in nine metallic glass-forming liquids,by a counter-intuitive approach that focuses on local atomic activation events,rather than relaxation,upon cooling.The dynamic crossover originates from a disorder-to-order transition by self-regulating behavior of atomic position within a cage controlled by finite atomic activation events,due to the appearance of local cooperative motion of nearest neighborhood atoms.Moreover,the dominant role of entropy in this anomaly has been discovered,and the correspondence between the crossover of configuration entropy involved in activation events and the occurrence of F-S transition has been found.Our work implies that the feature of atomic energy fluctuations reflected by atomic activation events has a close linkage to complex dynamic behaviors of disordered systems.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2018YFC1507704)。
文摘Understanding the impact of anthropogenic climate change on drought is of great significance to the prevention of its adverse effects.Two drought indices,standardized precipitation index(SPI)and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index(SPEI),are used here for the detection and attribution of autumn droughts in China,and for the exploration of the role played by the anthropogenic climate change.SPI is only related to precipitation,but SPEI involves both precipitation and potential evapotranspiration.For their trend’s spatial patterns,the historical simulations(including all forcings,noted as ALL)from 11 models of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6,as an ensemble,are able to reproduce their observational counterpart.SPI shows wetting trend in the north of 35°N and drying trend in the south.SPEI shows drying trend in almost whole China.The drying trend in historical simulations ALL is significantly stronger,compared with the counterpart from the accompanying simulations(called NAT)with only natural forcings implemented.This result clearly indicates that anthropogenic climate change plays a dominant role in the enhancement of autumn drought in China.A more rigorous detection work is also performed with the signal’s fingerprint of ALL(and NAT)projected onto the observation and assessed with the background noise from no external-forcing control simulations.The trend pattern signal in ALL is significantly detected in observation for both SPI and SPEI,with a more pronounced signal in SPEI than in SPI,while the signal of NAT is not detected for neither SPI nor SPEI.Finally,extreme droughts(with indices beyond-2)are assessed in terms of probability ratio between ALL and NAT.It is shown that the anthropogenic precipitation change plays a leading role in the south of 35°N,while the anthropogenic temperature change leads in the north.
文摘The accuracy of eight tropical cyclone(TC) intensity guidance techniques currently used in the East China Regional Meteorological Center during the 2008 and 2009 western North Pacific seasons has been evaluated within two intensity phases:intensification and decay.In the intensification stage,the majority of the techniques indicated > 60% probabilities of the errors of forecast 12-h intensity change within ±5 ms-1 from the 12- to 60-h forecast intervals,while none had capability to predict the rapid intensification and most of them had a bias toward smaller 48-h intensity changes at the beginning of the stage.The majority of the guidance techniques showed > 70% probabilities of the errors of forecast 12-h intensity change within ±5 ms-1 through 60 h during the decay phase,and the techniques had little capability of predicting rapid decay events.It is found that the evaluated statistical models had difficulty in predicting the strongest cases of decay 36 h after peak intensity,whereas the dynamical and official forecasts were seemingly able to produce some large decay rates.
基金National Basic Research Program of China(2009CB421505)the Shanghai Typhoon Foundation(2009ST09)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(40775060 and 40921160381)the Program of China Meteorological Administration under Grants GYHY201006008 and GYHY200906002.
文摘The overall statistics of the accuracy of eight statistical and dynamical tropical cyclone intensity guidance techniques used in the East China Regional Meteorological Center during the 2008 and 2009 western North Pacific typhoon seasons were evaluated herein. Skill scores which were calculated based on contingency tables show that the forecast skill of the selected techniques did not persistently decline with the increasing forecast time. The probabilities of the forecast intensity inaccuracy being within 6 m s-1 and greater than 15 m s-1 were examined in the study. Additionally, the majority of the forecasts were featured by underintensity forecasts in 2008, while some guidance showed pronounced overforecasts at relatively long forecast intervals in 2009. The forecast biases and overintensity forecast errors at typhoon dissipation were verified as well.
