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评价湖泊富营养化的一个综合模型(英文) 被引量:68
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作者 蔡庆华 刘建康 lorenz king 《应用生态学报》 CAS CSCD 2002年第12期1674-1678,共5页
湖泊富营养化的评价 ,即确定水体的状态属性 ,实际上是一个将定性问题定量化的多变量的综合决策过程 ,因此 ,对湖泊的富营养化程度进行评价应以综合评价为主 .在综述国内外若干综合评价方法的基础上 ,指出营养状态指数 (TSI)法应可作为... 湖泊富营养化的评价 ,即确定水体的状态属性 ,实际上是一个将定性问题定量化的多变量的综合决策过程 ,因此 ,对湖泊的富营养化程度进行评价应以综合评价为主 .在综述国内外若干综合评价方法的基础上 ,指出营养状态指数 (TSI)法应可作为湖泊富营养化评价的主要方法 ,因其可对湖泊的营养状态进行连续的数值化分级 ,从而为富营养化机理的定量研究提供坚实基础 .采用层次分析 (AHP)法确定综合评价指标中的权重分配 ,构建一综合评价模型 :TSI =W (Chla)×TSI(Chla) +W (Sd)×TSI(Sd) +W (TP)×TSI(TP)或TSIM=W (Chla)×TSIM(Chla) +W (Sd)×TSIM(Sd) +W (TP)×TSIM(TP) .此外 ,文中简要讨论了综合评价与其他统计方法如聚类分析的关系 . 展开更多
关键词 评价湖泊 富营养化 综合模型 营养状态指数 层次分析
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20世纪重大自然灾害评析 被引量:37
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作者 王润 姜彤 +2 位作者 lorenz king Marco Gemmer Anja Holl 《自然灾害学报》 CSCD 2000年第4期9-15,共7页
人类在科学技术上取得了辉煌成绩的同时,在认识自然和改造自然方面也得到了教训和新的认识、这一教训主要是来自自然灾害。根据收集到的全球自然灾害有关数据,对20世纪全球主要自然灾害特征和分布特点进行了分析,并对其成因提出了... 人类在科学技术上取得了辉煌成绩的同时,在认识自然和改造自然方面也得到了教训和新的认识、这一教训主要是来自自然灾害。根据收集到的全球自然灾害有关数据,对20世纪全球主要自然灾害特征和分布特点进行了分析,并对其成因提出了看法。 展开更多
关键词 20世纪 自然灾害 成因 分布 洪水 风暴 地震
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太湖流域北部潜在洪涝风险区分析及影响评估 被引量:5
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作者 高俊峰 lorenz king +1 位作者 姜彤 王润 《自然灾害学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2002年第4期37-41,共5页
太湖流域历来遭受严重的洪涝灾害,并且近年来有不断加重的趋势。本文选择太湖流域北部的无锡市作为典型研究地区,研究其洪涝的危险性并进行潜在损失评估。人类活动,包括修筑圩区、森林破坏、人口增长、城市化等,对这个地区的洪涝形势有... 太湖流域历来遭受严重的洪涝灾害,并且近年来有不断加重的趋势。本文选择太湖流域北部的无锡市作为典型研究地区,研究其洪涝的危险性并进行潜在损失评估。人类活动,包括修筑圩区、森林破坏、人口增长、城市化等,对这个地区的洪涝形势有较大的影响;自然条件的变化使河道水位升高,洪涝历时缩短,洪峰增高。本文选择不同回归年(2,5,10,20,50年),结合地理信息系统分析模型,计算了潜在洪涝危险区域和洪涝损失,主要结论为:(1)人类活动已经改变了自然的洪涝形势,增大了汇流和洪涝;(2)洪涝危险区与降雨中心有关;(3)筑圩成功地保护了圩内的土地,缩短了洪涝历时,增高了圩外河道的洪涝水位;(4)经济发展使洪涝损失增加。 展开更多
关键词 太湖流域 洪涝危险区 潜在洪涝损失 地理信息系统 人类活动
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2000年全球重大自然灾害概述 被引量:4
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作者 姜彤 王润 lorenz king 《自然灾害学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2002年第1期15-19,共5页
2000年是全球自然灾害经济损失较为一般的年份。根据收集到的全球自然灾害记录的数据,客观地对全球主要自然灾害的特征和分布特点进行了分析,并对其成因进行了探讨.
关键词 全球自然灾害 回顾 评析 2000年 天气 气候
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Flood Risk Analysis and Flood Potential Losses Assessment
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作者 高俊峰 lorenz king +1 位作者 姜彤 王润 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2003年第1期1-9,共9页
The heavy floods in the Taihu Basin showed increasing trend in recent years. In this work, a typical area in the northern Taihu Basin was selected for flood risk analysis and potential flood losses assessment. Human a... The heavy floods in the Taihu Basin showed increasing trend in recent years. In this work, a typical area in the northern Taihu Basin was selected for flood risk analysis and potential flood losses assessment. Human activities have strong impact on the study area’s flood situation (as affected by the polders built, deforestation, population increase, urbanization, etc.), and have made water level higher, flood duration shorter, and flood peaks sharper. Five years of different flood return periods [(1970), 5 (1962), 10 (1987), 20 (1954), 50 (1991)] were used to calculate the potential flood risk area and its losses. The potential flood risk map, economic losses, and flood-impacted population were also calculated. The study’s main conclusions are: 1) Human activities have strongly changed the natural flood situation in the study area, increasing runoff and flooding; 2) The flood risk area is closely related with the precipitation center; 3) Polder construction has successfully protected land from flood, shortened the flood duration, and elevated water level in rivers outside the polders; 4) Economic and social development have caused flood losses to increase in recent years. 展开更多
关键词 圩田 太湖盆地 潜在损失评估 洪水危险地区 经济损失 社会损失 湖南
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Land Use Change and Causes in the Xiangxi Catchment, Three Gorges Area Derived from Multispectral Data 被引量:12
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作者 Christoph Seeber Heike Hartmann +1 位作者 项伟 lorenz king 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2010年第6期846-855,共10页
The construction of the Three Gorges Dam on the Yangtze River has extensive impact on the ecosystems and the population of the Three Gorges Area (TGA). Inundation and resettlement have induced far-reaching land use an... The construction of the Three Gorges Dam on the Yangtze River has extensive impact on the ecosystems and the population of the Three Gorges Area (TGA). Inundation and resettlement have induced far-reaching land use and land cover change (LUCC). The areas that are affected by measures of resettlement are in a tense situation between the implementation of various governmental tasks addressing sustainable land use and water retention and the fulfilment of the population’s economic needs, which primarily depend on agricultural production. Destabilization of slopes and soil erosion are immediate hazards induced by the impoundment. Farming is a very important source of income and has to persist on the one hand to assure the income of the rural population. On the other hand, the environment has to be protected from runoff, soil erosion and instabilities connected to relief, geology and hydraulic influences. In this study, supervised classifications are performed using Landsat-TM (1987 and 2007) and ASTER (2007) images. LUCC is assessed by post-classification change analysis. On the catchment scale, arable land has decreased significantly, while garden land (citrus orchards) and woodland have increased. LUCC mainly affects the area surrounding the reservoir ("backwater") of the Xiangxi ( 香溪 ) River, driven by local resettlement, newly built infrastructure, relocation of land cultivation, and conversion of arable land to garden land. In the hinterland, LUCC occurs in form of abandonment of land cultivation as a consequence of the Grain-forGreen programme. 展开更多
关键词 土地利用变化 三峡地区 流域尺度 数据来源 湘西 多光谱 LANDSAT 原因
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REVIEW ON GLOBAL NATURAL DISASTERS IN 2000
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作者 lorenz king 《Natural Disaster Reduction in China》 2002年第3期11-16,共6页
Globally, 2000 was an normal year in terms of economic loss from natural disasters. An analysis of the characters and distribution of major global natural disasters in the year 2000 is made and a discussion on the cau... Globally, 2000 was an normal year in terms of economic loss from natural disasters. An analysis of the characters and distribution of major global natural disasters in the year 2000 is made and a discussion on the causes of these disasters is presented in accordance with collected data of global natural disasters. 展开更多
关键词 GLOBAL NATURAL DISASTERS REVIEW ANALYSIS
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