BACKGROUND Biliary microlithiasis/sludge is detected in approximately 30%of patients with idiopathic acute pancreatitis(IAP).As recurrent biliary pancreatitis can be prevented,the underlying aetiology of IAP should be...BACKGROUND Biliary microlithiasis/sludge is detected in approximately 30%of patients with idiopathic acute pancreatitis(IAP).As recurrent biliary pancreatitis can be prevented,the underlying aetiology of IAP should be established.AIM To develop a machine learning(ML)based decision tool for the use of endosonography(EUS)in pancreatitis patients to detect sludge and microlithiasis.METHODS We retrospectively used routinely recorded clinical and laboratory parameters of 218 consecutive patients with confirmed AP admitted to our tertiary care hospital between 2015 and 2020.Patients who did not receive EUS as part of the diagnostic work-up and whose pancreatitis episode could be adequately explained by other causes than biliary sludge and microlithiasis were excluded.We trained supervised ML classifiers using H_(2)O.ai automatically selecting the best suitable predictor model to predict microlithiasis/sludge.The predictor model was further validated in two independent retrospective cohorts from two tertiary care centers(117 patients).RESULTS Twenty-eight categorized patients’variables recorded at admission were identified to compute the predictor model with an accuracy of 0.84[95%confidence interval(CI):0.791-0.9185],positive predictive value of 0.84,and negative predictive value of 0.80 in the identification cohort(218 patients).In the validation cohort,the robustness of the prediction model was confirmed with an accuracy of 0.76(95%CI:0.673-0.8347),positive predictive value of 0.76,and negative predictive value of 0.78(117 patients).CONCLUSION We present a robust and validated ML-based predictor model consisting of routinely recorded parameters at admission that can predict biliary sludge and microlithiasis as the cause of AP.展开更多
Acute pancreatitis(AP) is a potentially life-threatening disease with a wide spectrum of severity. The overall mortality of AP is approximately 5%. According to the revised Atlanta classification system, AP can be cla...Acute pancreatitis(AP) is a potentially life-threatening disease with a wide spectrum of severity. The overall mortality of AP is approximately 5%. According to the revised Atlanta classification system, AP can be classified as mild, moderate, or severe. Severe AP often takes a clinical course with two phases, an early and a late phase, which should both be considered separately. In this review article, we first discuss general aspects of AP, including incidence, pathophysiology, etiology, and grading of severity, then focus on the assessment of patients with suspected AP, including diagnosis and risk stratification, followed by the management of AP during the early phase, with special emphasis on fluid therapy, pain management, nutrition, and antibiotic prophylaxis.展开更多
基金the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft(German Research Foundation),No.413635475 to Sirtl Sthe LMU Munich Clinician Scientist ProgramŻorniak M is supported by the United European Gastroenterology Research Fellowship.
文摘BACKGROUND Biliary microlithiasis/sludge is detected in approximately 30%of patients with idiopathic acute pancreatitis(IAP).As recurrent biliary pancreatitis can be prevented,the underlying aetiology of IAP should be established.AIM To develop a machine learning(ML)based decision tool for the use of endosonography(EUS)in pancreatitis patients to detect sludge and microlithiasis.METHODS We retrospectively used routinely recorded clinical and laboratory parameters of 218 consecutive patients with confirmed AP admitted to our tertiary care hospital between 2015 and 2020.Patients who did not receive EUS as part of the diagnostic work-up and whose pancreatitis episode could be adequately explained by other causes than biliary sludge and microlithiasis were excluded.We trained supervised ML classifiers using H_(2)O.ai automatically selecting the best suitable predictor model to predict microlithiasis/sludge.The predictor model was further validated in two independent retrospective cohorts from two tertiary care centers(117 patients).RESULTS Twenty-eight categorized patients’variables recorded at admission were identified to compute the predictor model with an accuracy of 0.84[95%confidence interval(CI):0.791-0.9185],positive predictive value of 0.84,and negative predictive value of 0.80 in the identification cohort(218 patients).In the validation cohort,the robustness of the prediction model was confirmed with an accuracy of 0.76(95%CI:0.673-0.8347),positive predictive value of 0.76,and negative predictive value of 0.78(117 patients).CONCLUSION We present a robust and validated ML-based predictor model consisting of routinely recorded parameters at admission that can predict biliary sludge and microlithiasis as the cause of AP.
文摘Acute pancreatitis(AP) is a potentially life-threatening disease with a wide spectrum of severity. The overall mortality of AP is approximately 5%. According to the revised Atlanta classification system, AP can be classified as mild, moderate, or severe. Severe AP often takes a clinical course with two phases, an early and a late phase, which should both be considered separately. In this review article, we first discuss general aspects of AP, including incidence, pathophysiology, etiology, and grading of severity, then focus on the assessment of patients with suspected AP, including diagnosis and risk stratification, followed by the management of AP during the early phase, with special emphasis on fluid therapy, pain management, nutrition, and antibiotic prophylaxis.
