Reliable calculations of nuclear binding energies are crucial for advancing the research of nuclear physics. Machine learning provides an innovative approach to exploring complex physical problems. In this study, the ...Reliable calculations of nuclear binding energies are crucial for advancing the research of nuclear physics. Machine learning provides an innovative approach to exploring complex physical problems. In this study, the nuclear binding energies are modeled directly using a machine-learning method called the Gaussian process. First, the binding energies for 2238 nuclei with Z > 20 and N > 20 are calculated using the Gaussian process in a physically motivated feature space, yielding an average deviation of 0.046 MeV and a standard deviation of 0.066 MeV. The results show the good learning ability of the Gaussian process in the studies of binding energies. Then, the predictive power of the Gaussian process is studied by calculating the binding energies for 108 nuclei newly included in AME2020. The theoretical results are in good agreement with the experimental data, reflecting the good predictive power of the Gaussian process. Moreover, the α-decay energies for 1169 nuclei with 50 ≤ Z ≤ 110 are derived from the theoretical binding energies calculated using the Gaussian process. The average deviation and the standard deviation are, respectively, 0.047 MeV and 0.070 MeV. Noticeably, the calculated α-decay energies for the two new isotopes ^ (204 )Ac(Huang et al. Phys Lett B 834, 137484(2022)) and ^ (207) Th(Yang et al. Phys Rev C 105, L051302(2022)) agree well with the latest experimental data. These results demonstrate that the Gaussian process is reliable for the calculations of nuclear binding energies. Finally, the α-decay properties of some unknown actinide nuclei are predicted using the Gaussian process. The predicted results can be useful guides for future research on binding energies and α-decay properties.展开更多
Concentrate copper grade(CCG)is one of the important production indicators of copper flotation processes,and keeping the CCG at the set value is of great significance to the economic benefit of copper flotation indust...Concentrate copper grade(CCG)is one of the important production indicators of copper flotation processes,and keeping the CCG at the set value is of great significance to the economic benefit of copper flotation industrial processes.This paper addresses the fluctuation problem of CCG through an operational optimization method.Firstly,a density-based affinity propagationalgorithm is proposed so that more ideal working condition categories can be obtained for the complex raw ore properties.Next,a Bayesian network(BN)is applied to explore the relationship between the operational variables and the CCG.Based on the analysis results of BN,a weighted Gaussian process regression model is constructed to predict the CCG that a higher prediction accuracy can be obtained.To ensure the predicted CCG is close to the set value with a smaller magnitude of the operation adjustments and a smaller uncertainty of the prediction results,an index-oriented adaptive differential evolution(IOADE)algorithm is proposed,and the convergence performance of IOADE is superior to the traditional differential evolution and adaptive differential evolution methods.Finally,the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed methods are verified by the experiments on a copper flotation industrial process.展开更多
In order to obtain high-precision GPS control point results and provide high-precision known points for various projects,this study uses a variety of mature GPS post-processing software to process the observation data...In order to obtain high-precision GPS control point results and provide high-precision known points for various projects,this study uses a variety of mature GPS post-processing software to process the observation data of the GPS control network of Guanyinge Reservoir,and compares the results obtained by several kinds of software.According to the test results,the reasons for the accuracy differences between different software are analyzed,and the optimal results are obtained in the analysis and comparison.The purpose of this paper is to provide useful reference for GPS software users to process data.展开更多
The noise that comes from finite element simulation often causes the model to fall into the local optimal solution and over fitting during optimization of generator.Thus,this paper proposes a Gaussian Process Regressi...The noise that comes from finite element simulation often causes the model to fall into the local optimal solution and over fitting during optimization of generator.Thus,this paper proposes a Gaussian Process Regression(GPR)model based on Conditional Likelihood Lower Bound Search(CLLBS)to optimize the design of the generator,which can filter the noise in the data and search for global optimization by combining the Conditional Likelihood Lower Bound Search method.Taking the efficiency optimization of 15 kW Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor as an example.Firstly,this method uses the elementary effect analysis to choose the sensitive variables,combining the evolutionary algorithm to design the super Latin cube sampling plan;Then the generator-converter system is simulated by establishing a co-simulation platform to obtain data.A Gaussian process regression model combing the method of the conditional likelihood lower bound search is established,which combined the chi-square test to optimize the accuracy of the model globally.Secondly,after the model reaches the accuracy,the Pareto frontier is obtained through the NSGA-II algorithm by considering the maximum output torque as a constraint.Last,the constrained optimization is transformed into an unconstrained optimizing problem by introducing maximum constrained improvement expectation(CEI)optimization method based on the re-interpolation model,which cross-validated the optimization results of the Gaussian process regression model.The above method increase the efficiency of generator by 0.76%and 0.5%respectively;And this method can be used for rapid modeling and multi-objective optimization of generator systems.展开更多
The performance of lithium-ion batteries(LIBs)gradually declines over time,making it critical to predict the battery’s state of health(SOH)in real-time.This paper presents a model that incorporates health indicators ...The performance of lithium-ion batteries(LIBs)gradually declines over time,making it critical to predict the battery’s state of health(SOH)in real-time.This paper presents a model that incorporates health indicators and ensemble Gaussian process regression(EGPR)to predict the SOH of LIBs.Firstly,the degradation process of an LIB is analyzed through indirect health indicators(HIs)derived from voltage and temperature during discharge.Next,the parameters in the EGPR model are optimized using the gannet optimization algorithm(GOA),and the EGPR is employed to estimate the SOH of LIBs.Finally,the proposed model is tested under various experimental scenarios and compared with other machine learning models.The effectiveness of EGPR model is demonstrated using the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA)LIB.The root mean square error(RMSE)is maintained within 0.20%,and the mean absolute error(MAE)is below 0.16%,illustrating the proposed approach’s excellent predictive accuracy and wide applicability.展开更多
为了对柴油机的经济性和排放参数进行高效、准确的预测,根据4190型船用柴油机实验数据与边界参数,建立AVL-BOOST甲醇/柴油混合燃料柴油机仿真模型;利用模型进行仿真实验,并建立甲醇掺混比、废气再循环(exhaust gas recirculation,EGR)...为了对柴油机的经济性和排放参数进行高效、准确的预测,根据4190型船用柴油机实验数据与边界参数,建立AVL-BOOST甲醇/柴油混合燃料柴油机仿真模型;利用模型进行仿真实验,并建立甲醇掺混比、废气再循环(exhaust gas recirculation,EGR)率、喷油提前角和进气压力4个控制参数对有效油耗率和NO x排放预测数据集;利用该数据集对5种不同核函数的高斯过程回归(Gaussian process regression,GPR)模型进行训练;最后将最优的平方指数高斯过程回归(squared exponential-Gaussian process regression,SE-GPR)模型、AVL-BOOST仿真数据和柴油机实验数据进行对比。结果表明:在数据量为180组时,SE-GPR模型对有效油耗率和NO x排放均取得拟合关联度99%以上,均方根误差(root mean square error,RMSE)分别为1.859,0.3445,平均绝对误差(mean absolute error,MAE)分别为0.954,0.2489;并且,相较于AVL-BOOST仿真实验,SE-GPR模型对实验数据具有更好的拟合性。展开更多
It remains challenging to effectively estimate the remaining capacity of the secondary lithium-ion batteries that have been widely adopted for consumer electronics,energy storage,and electric vehicles.Herein,by integr...It remains challenging to effectively estimate the remaining capacity of the secondary lithium-ion batteries that have been widely adopted for consumer electronics,energy storage,and electric vehicles.Herein,by integrating regular real-time current short pulse tests with data-driven Gaussian process regression algorithm,an efficient battery estimation has been successfully developed and validated for batteries with capacity ranging from 100%of the state of health(SOH)to below 50%,reaching an average accuracy as high as 95%.Interestingly,the proposed pulse test strategy for battery capacity measurement could reduce test time by more than 80%compared with regular long charge/discharge tests.The short-term features of the current pulse test were selected for an optimal training process.Data at different voltage stages and state of charge(SOC)are collected and explored to find the most suitable estimation model.In particular,we explore the validity of five different machine-learning methods for estimating capacity driven by pulse features,whereas Gaussian process regression with Matern kernel performs the best,providing guidance for future exploration.The new strategy of combining short pulse tests with machine-learning algorithms could further open window for efficiently forecasting lithium-ion battery remaining capacity.展开更多
We present a Gaussian process(GP)approach,called Gaussian process hydrodynamics(GPH)for approximating the solution to the Euler and Navier-Stokes(NS)equations.Similar to smoothed particle hydrodynamics(SPH),GPH is a L...We present a Gaussian process(GP)approach,called Gaussian process hydrodynamics(GPH)for approximating the solution to the Euler and Navier-Stokes(NS)equations.Similar to smoothed particle hydrodynamics(SPH),GPH is a Lagrangian particle-based approach that involves the tracking of a finite number of particles transported by a flow.However,these particles do not represent mollified particles of matter but carry discrete/partial information about the continuous flow.Closure is achieved by placing a divergence-free GP priorξon the velocity field and conditioning it on the vorticity at the particle locations.Known physics(e.g.,the Richardson cascade and velocityincrement power laws)is incorporated into the GP prior by using physics-informed additive kernels.This is equivalent to expressingξas a sum of independent GPsξl,which we call modes,acting at different scales(each modeξlself-activates to represent the formation of eddies at the corresponding scales).This approach enables a quantitative analysis of the Richardson cascade through the analysis of the activation of these modes,and enables us to analyze coarse-grain turbulence statistically rather than deterministically.Because GPH is formulated by using the vorticity equations,it does not require solving a pressure equation.By enforcing incompressibility and fluid-structure boundary conditions through the selection of a kernel,GPH requires significantly fewer particles than SPH.Because GPH has a natural probabilistic interpretation,the numerical results come with uncertainty estimates,enabling their incorporation into an uncertainty quantification(UQ)pipeline and adding/removing particles(quanta of information)in an adapted manner.The proposed approach is suitable for analysis because it inherits the complexity of state-of-the-art solvers for dense kernel matrices and results in a natural definition of turbulence as information loss.Numerical experiments support the importance of selecting physics-informed kernels and illustrate the major impact of such kernels on the accuracy and stability.Because the proposed approach uses a Bayesian interpretation,it naturally enables data assimilation and predictions and estimations by mixing simulation data and experimental data.展开更多
In polyester fiber industrial processes,the prediction of key performance indicators is vital for product quality.The esterification process is an indispensable step in the polyester polymerization process.It has the ...In polyester fiber industrial processes,the prediction of key performance indicators is vital for product quality.The esterification process is an indispensable step in the polyester polymerization process.It has the characteristics of strong coupling,nonlinearity and complex mechanism.To solve these problems,we put forward a multi-output Gaussian process regression(MGPR)model based on the combined kernel function for the polyester esterification process.Since the seasonal and trend decomposition using loess(STL)can extract the periodic and trend characteristics of time series,a combined kernel function based on the STL and the kernel function analysis is constructed for the MGPR.The effectiveness of the proposed model is verified by the actual polyester esterification process data collected from fiber production.展开更多
高斯过程回归(Gaussian process regression,GPR)是一种基于高斯过程的非参数化贝叶斯回归方法,其可以灵活适应不同类型数据,用于建模和预测数据之间的复杂关系,具有拟合能力强、泛化能力好等特点。针对海量用户场景下用户量实时预测问...高斯过程回归(Gaussian process regression,GPR)是一种基于高斯过程的非参数化贝叶斯回归方法,其可以灵活适应不同类型数据,用于建模和预测数据之间的复杂关系,具有拟合能力强、泛化能力好等特点。针对海量用户场景下用户量实时预测问题,提出一种基于GPR的用户量预测优化方法。在滑动窗口方法处理数据的基础上,选择合适的核函数,基于k折交叉验证得到最佳超参数组合以实现GPR模型训练,完成在线用户量的实时预测并进行性能评估。实验结果表明,相比于采用训练集中输出数据方差的50%作为信号噪声估计量的传统方案,所提方法具有较高的预测准确度,并且在测试集均方根误差(root mean square,RMS)、平均绝对误差(mean absolute error,MAE)、平均偏差(mean bias error,MBE)和决定系数R 2这4个评估指标方面均有提升,其中MBE至少提升了43.3%。展开更多
基金the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2023YFA1606503)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.12035011,11975167,11947211,11905103,11881240623,and 11961141003).
文摘Reliable calculations of nuclear binding energies are crucial for advancing the research of nuclear physics. Machine learning provides an innovative approach to exploring complex physical problems. In this study, the nuclear binding energies are modeled directly using a machine-learning method called the Gaussian process. First, the binding energies for 2238 nuclei with Z > 20 and N > 20 are calculated using the Gaussian process in a physically motivated feature space, yielding an average deviation of 0.046 MeV and a standard deviation of 0.066 MeV. The results show the good learning ability of the Gaussian process in the studies of binding energies. Then, the predictive power of the Gaussian process is studied by calculating the binding energies for 108 nuclei newly included in AME2020. The theoretical results are in good agreement with the experimental data, reflecting the good predictive power of the Gaussian process. Moreover, the α-decay energies for 1169 nuclei with 50 ≤ Z ≤ 110 are derived from the theoretical binding energies calculated using the Gaussian process. The average deviation and the standard deviation are, respectively, 0.047 MeV and 0.070 MeV. Noticeably, the calculated α-decay energies for the two new isotopes ^ (204 )Ac(Huang et al. Phys Lett B 834, 137484(2022)) and ^ (207) Th(Yang et al. Phys Rev C 105, L051302(2022)) agree well with the latest experimental data. These results demonstrate that the Gaussian process is reliable for the calculations of nuclear binding energies. Finally, the α-decay properties of some unknown actinide nuclei are predicted using the Gaussian process. The predicted results can be useful guides for future research on binding energies and α-decay properties.
基金supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2021YFC2902703)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62173078,61773105,61533007,61873049,61873053,61703085,61374147)。
文摘Concentrate copper grade(CCG)is one of the important production indicators of copper flotation processes,and keeping the CCG at the set value is of great significance to the economic benefit of copper flotation industrial processes.This paper addresses the fluctuation problem of CCG through an operational optimization method.Firstly,a density-based affinity propagationalgorithm is proposed so that more ideal working condition categories can be obtained for the complex raw ore properties.Next,a Bayesian network(BN)is applied to explore the relationship between the operational variables and the CCG.Based on the analysis results of BN,a weighted Gaussian process regression model is constructed to predict the CCG that a higher prediction accuracy can be obtained.To ensure the predicted CCG is close to the set value with a smaller magnitude of the operation adjustments and a smaller uncertainty of the prediction results,an index-oriented adaptive differential evolution(IOADE)algorithm is proposed,and the convergence performance of IOADE is superior to the traditional differential evolution and adaptive differential evolution methods.Finally,the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed methods are verified by the experiments on a copper flotation industrial process.
文摘In order to obtain high-precision GPS control point results and provide high-precision known points for various projects,this study uses a variety of mature GPS post-processing software to process the observation data of the GPS control network of Guanyinge Reservoir,and compares the results obtained by several kinds of software.According to the test results,the reasons for the accuracy differences between different software are analyzed,and the optimal results are obtained in the analysis and comparison.The purpose of this paper is to provide useful reference for GPS software users to process data.
基金supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2019YFB1503700)the Hunan Natural Science Foundation-Science and Education Joint Project(2019JJ70063)。
文摘The noise that comes from finite element simulation often causes the model to fall into the local optimal solution and over fitting during optimization of generator.Thus,this paper proposes a Gaussian Process Regression(GPR)model based on Conditional Likelihood Lower Bound Search(CLLBS)to optimize the design of the generator,which can filter the noise in the data and search for global optimization by combining the Conditional Likelihood Lower Bound Search method.Taking the efficiency optimization of 15 kW Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor as an example.Firstly,this method uses the elementary effect analysis to choose the sensitive variables,combining the evolutionary algorithm to design the super Latin cube sampling plan;Then the generator-converter system is simulated by establishing a co-simulation platform to obtain data.A Gaussian process regression model combing the method of the conditional likelihood lower bound search is established,which combined the chi-square test to optimize the accuracy of the model globally.Secondly,after the model reaches the accuracy,the Pareto frontier is obtained through the NSGA-II algorithm by considering the maximum output torque as a constraint.Last,the constrained optimization is transformed into an unconstrained optimizing problem by introducing maximum constrained improvement expectation(CEI)optimization method based on the re-interpolation model,which cross-validated the optimization results of the Gaussian process regression model.The above method increase the efficiency of generator by 0.76%and 0.5%respectively;And this method can be used for rapid modeling and multi-objective optimization of generator systems.
基金supported by Fundamental Research Program of Shanxi Province(No.202203021211088)Shanxi Provincial Natural Science Foundation(No.202204021301049).
文摘The performance of lithium-ion batteries(LIBs)gradually declines over time,making it critical to predict the battery’s state of health(SOH)in real-time.This paper presents a model that incorporates health indicators and ensemble Gaussian process regression(EGPR)to predict the SOH of LIBs.Firstly,the degradation process of an LIB is analyzed through indirect health indicators(HIs)derived from voltage and temperature during discharge.Next,the parameters in the EGPR model are optimized using the gannet optimization algorithm(GOA),and the EGPR is employed to estimate the SOH of LIBs.Finally,the proposed model is tested under various experimental scenarios and compared with other machine learning models.The effectiveness of EGPR model is demonstrated using the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA)LIB.The root mean square error(RMSE)is maintained within 0.20%,and the mean absolute error(MAE)is below 0.16%,illustrating the proposed approach’s excellent predictive accuracy and wide applicability.
文摘为了对柴油机的经济性和排放参数进行高效、准确的预测,根据4190型船用柴油机实验数据与边界参数,建立AVL-BOOST甲醇/柴油混合燃料柴油机仿真模型;利用模型进行仿真实验,并建立甲醇掺混比、废气再循环(exhaust gas recirculation,EGR)率、喷油提前角和进气压力4个控制参数对有效油耗率和NO x排放预测数据集;利用该数据集对5种不同核函数的高斯过程回归(Gaussian process regression,GPR)模型进行训练;最后将最优的平方指数高斯过程回归(squared exponential-Gaussian process regression,SE-GPR)模型、AVL-BOOST仿真数据和柴油机实验数据进行对比。结果表明:在数据量为180组时,SE-GPR模型对有效油耗率和NO x排放均取得拟合关联度99%以上,均方根误差(root mean square error,RMSE)分别为1.859,0.3445,平均绝对误差(mean absolute error,MAE)分别为0.954,0.2489;并且,相较于AVL-BOOST仿真实验,SE-GPR模型对实验数据具有更好的拟合性。
基金support from Shenzhen Municipal Development and Reform Commission(Grant Number:SDRC[2016]172)Shenzhen Science and Technology Program(Grant No.KQTD20170810150821146)Interdisciplinary Research and Innovation Fund of Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School,and Shanghai Shun Feng Machinery Co.,Ltd.
文摘It remains challenging to effectively estimate the remaining capacity of the secondary lithium-ion batteries that have been widely adopted for consumer electronics,energy storage,and electric vehicles.Herein,by integrating regular real-time current short pulse tests with data-driven Gaussian process regression algorithm,an efficient battery estimation has been successfully developed and validated for batteries with capacity ranging from 100%of the state of health(SOH)to below 50%,reaching an average accuracy as high as 95%.Interestingly,the proposed pulse test strategy for battery capacity measurement could reduce test time by more than 80%compared with regular long charge/discharge tests.The short-term features of the current pulse test were selected for an optimal training process.Data at different voltage stages and state of charge(SOC)are collected and explored to find the most suitable estimation model.In particular,we explore the validity of five different machine-learning methods for estimating capacity driven by pulse features,whereas Gaussian process regression with Matern kernel performs the best,providing guidance for future exploration.The new strategy of combining short pulse tests with machine-learning algorithms could further open window for efficiently forecasting lithium-ion battery remaining capacity.
基金supported by the Air Force Office of Scientific Research under the MURI award number FA9550-20-1-0358(Machine Learning and Physics-Based Modeling and Simulation)by the Department of Energy under the award number DE-SC0023163(SEA-CROGS:Scalable,Efficient,and Accelerated Causal Reasoning Operators,Graphs and Spikes for Earth and Embedded Systems)。
文摘We present a Gaussian process(GP)approach,called Gaussian process hydrodynamics(GPH)for approximating the solution to the Euler and Navier-Stokes(NS)equations.Similar to smoothed particle hydrodynamics(SPH),GPH is a Lagrangian particle-based approach that involves the tracking of a finite number of particles transported by a flow.However,these particles do not represent mollified particles of matter but carry discrete/partial information about the continuous flow.Closure is achieved by placing a divergence-free GP priorξon the velocity field and conditioning it on the vorticity at the particle locations.Known physics(e.g.,the Richardson cascade and velocityincrement power laws)is incorporated into the GP prior by using physics-informed additive kernels.This is equivalent to expressingξas a sum of independent GPsξl,which we call modes,acting at different scales(each modeξlself-activates to represent the formation of eddies at the corresponding scales).This approach enables a quantitative analysis of the Richardson cascade through the analysis of the activation of these modes,and enables us to analyze coarse-grain turbulence statistically rather than deterministically.Because GPH is formulated by using the vorticity equations,it does not require solving a pressure equation.By enforcing incompressibility and fluid-structure boundary conditions through the selection of a kernel,GPH requires significantly fewer particles than SPH.Because GPH has a natural probabilistic interpretation,the numerical results come with uncertainty estimates,enabling their incorporation into an uncertainty quantification(UQ)pipeline and adding/removing particles(quanta of information)in an adapted manner.The proposed approach is suitable for analysis because it inherits the complexity of state-of-the-art solvers for dense kernel matrices and results in a natural definition of turbulence as information loss.Numerical experiments support the importance of selecting physics-informed kernels and illustrate the major impact of such kernels on the accuracy and stability.Because the proposed approach uses a Bayesian interpretation,it naturally enables data assimilation and predictions and estimations by mixing simulation data and experimental data.
基金Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai,China(No.19ZR1402300)。
文摘In polyester fiber industrial processes,the prediction of key performance indicators is vital for product quality.The esterification process is an indispensable step in the polyester polymerization process.It has the characteristics of strong coupling,nonlinearity and complex mechanism.To solve these problems,we put forward a multi-output Gaussian process regression(MGPR)model based on the combined kernel function for the polyester esterification process.Since the seasonal and trend decomposition using loess(STL)can extract the periodic and trend characteristics of time series,a combined kernel function based on the STL and the kernel function analysis is constructed for the MGPR.The effectiveness of the proposed model is verified by the actual polyester esterification process data collected from fiber production.
文摘高斯过程回归(Gaussian process regression,GPR)是一种基于高斯过程的非参数化贝叶斯回归方法,其可以灵活适应不同类型数据,用于建模和预测数据之间的复杂关系,具有拟合能力强、泛化能力好等特点。针对海量用户场景下用户量实时预测问题,提出一种基于GPR的用户量预测优化方法。在滑动窗口方法处理数据的基础上,选择合适的核函数,基于k折交叉验证得到最佳超参数组合以实现GPR模型训练,完成在线用户量的实时预测并进行性能评估。实验结果表明,相比于采用训练集中输出数据方差的50%作为信号噪声估计量的传统方案,所提方法具有较高的预测准确度,并且在测试集均方根误差(root mean square,RMS)、平均绝对误差(mean absolute error,MAE)、平均偏差(mean bias error,MBE)和决定系数R 2这4个评估指标方面均有提升,其中MBE至少提升了43.3%。
