Traffic in today’s cities is a serious problem that increases travel times,negatively affects the environment,and drains financial resources.This study presents an Artificial Intelligence(AI)augmentedMobile Ad Hoc Ne...Traffic in today’s cities is a serious problem that increases travel times,negatively affects the environment,and drains financial resources.This study presents an Artificial Intelligence(AI)augmentedMobile Ad Hoc Networks(MANETs)based real-time prediction paradigm for urban traffic challenges.MANETs are wireless networks that are based on mobile devices and may self-organize.The distributed nature of MANETs and the power of AI approaches are leveraged in this framework to provide reliable and timely traffic congestion forecasts.This study suggests a unique Chaotic Spatial Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network(CSFPNN)technique to assess real-time data acquired from various sources within theMANETs.The framework uses the proposed approach to learn from the data and create predictionmodels to detect possible traffic problems and their severity in real time.Real-time traffic prediction allows for proactive actions like resource allocation,dynamic route advice,and traffic signal optimization to reduce congestion.The framework supports effective decision-making,decreases travel time,lowers fuel use,and enhances overall urban mobility by giving timely information to pedestrians,drivers,and urban planners.Extensive simulations and real-world datasets are used to test the proposed framework’s prediction accuracy,responsiveness,and scalability.Experimental results show that the suggested framework successfully anticipates urban traffic issues in real-time,enables proactive traffic management,and aids in creating smarter,more sustainable cities.展开更多
In order to control the large-scale urban traffic network through hierarchical or decentralized methods, it is necessary to exploit a network partition method, which should be both effective in extracting subnetworks ...In order to control the large-scale urban traffic network through hierarchical or decentralized methods, it is necessary to exploit a network partition method, which should be both effective in extracting subnetworks and fast to compute. In this paper, a new approach to calculate the correlation degree, which determines the desire for interconnection between two adjacent intersections, is first proposed. It is used as a weight of a link in an urban traffic network, which considers both the physical characteristics and the dynamic traffic information of the link. Then, a fast network division approach by optimizing the modularity, which is a criterion to distinguish the quality of the partition results, is applied to identify the subnetworks for large-scale urban traffic networks. Finally, an application to a specified urban traffic network is investigated using the proposed algorithm. The results show that it is an effective and efficient method for partitioning urban traffic networks automatically in real world.展开更多
Urban buildings and urban traffic network are considered as the vital arteries of cities which have particular effects especially after the crisis in the search and rescue operations. The aim of this study is to deter...Urban buildings and urban traffic network are considered as the vital arteries of cities which have particular effects especially after the crisis in the search and rescue operations. The aim of this study is to determine the vulnerability of urban areas especially, buildings and traffic networks using multicriteria geographic information systems and decisionmaking methods. As there are many effective criteria on the seismic vulnerability that they have uncertain and vague properties, the method of this paper is applying fuzzy ordered weighted average(OWA) to model the seismic vulnerability of urban buildings and traffic networks in the most optimistic and pessimistic states. The study area is district 6 of Tehran that is affected by the four major faults, and thus will be threatened by the earthquakes. The achieved results illustrated the vulnerability with different degrees of risk levels including very high, high, medium, low and very low. The results show that in the most optimistic case 14% and in the pessimistic case 1% of buildings tolerate in very low vulnerability. The vulnerability of urban street network also indicates that in the optimistic case 12% and in the pessimistic case at most 9% of the area are in appropriate condition and the North and NorthEast of the study area are more vulnerable than South of it.展开更多
Traffic network is an importance asp ect of researching controllable parameters of an urban spatial morpholo-gy.Based on GIS,traffic network str ucture complexity can be understood by using fractal geometry in which t...Traffic network is an importance asp ect of researching controllable parameters of an urban spatial morpholo-gy.Based on GIS,traffic network str ucture complexity can be understood by using fractal geometry in which th e length-radius dimension describes change of network density,and ramification-radius dimension describes complexity and accessibility of urban network.It i s propitious to analyze urban traffic network and to understand dynamic c hange process of traffic network using expanding f ractal-dimension quantification.Meanwhile the length-radius dimension and ramifica-tion-radius dimension could be rega rd as reference factor of quantitative describing urban traffic network.展开更多
An adaptive fuzzy logic controller (AFC) is presented for the signal control of the urban traffic network. The AFC is composed of the signal control system-oriented control level and the signal controller-oriented fuz...An adaptive fuzzy logic controller (AFC) is presented for the signal control of the urban traffic network. The AFC is composed of the signal control system-oriented control level and the signal controller-oriented fuzzy rules regulation level. The control level decides the signal timings in an intersection with a fuzzy logic controller. The regulation level optimizes the fuzzy rules by the Adaptive Rule Module in AFC according to both the system performance index in current control period and the traffic flows in the last one. Consequently the system performances are improved. A weight coefficient controller (WCC) is also developed to describe the interactions of traffic flow among the adjacent intersections. So the AFC combined with the WCC can be applied in a road network for signal timings. Simulations of the AFC on a real traffic scenario have been conducted. Simulation results indicate that the adaptive controller for traffic control shows better performance than the actuated one.展开更多
At present,problems such as insufficient road infrastructure and supporting facilities,and limited parking spaces are increasingly prevalent,and there are large conflicts of interest in the process of urban renewal.Th...At present,problems such as insufficient road infrastructure and supporting facilities,and limited parking spaces are increasingly prevalent,and there are large conflicts of interest in the process of urban renewal.Therefore,it is crucial to improve the quality of the road network.This paper presents an analysis on the current situation of the road traffic system in a completed area outside the Third Ring Road in Xindu District,Chengdu,and provides corresponding road traffic optimization strategies,with aims of solving the existing road traffic problems,improve road service levels,and promote the overall development of the area and improve the quality of urban space.展开更多
This paper considers the optimal traffic signal setting for an urban arterial road. By introducing the concepts of synchronization rate and non-synchronization degree, a mathematical model is constructed and an optimi...This paper considers the optimal traffic signal setting for an urban arterial road. By introducing the concepts of synchronization rate and non-synchronization degree, a mathematical model is constructed and an optimization problem is posed. Then, a new iterative algorithm is developed to solve this optimal traffic control signal setting problem. Convergence properties for this iterative algorithm are established. Finally, a numerical example is solved to illustrate the effectiveness of the method.展开更多
The effects of real-time traffic information system(RTTIS)on traffic performance under parallel,grid and ring networks were investigated.The simulation results show that the effects of the proportion of RTTIS usage de...The effects of real-time traffic information system(RTTIS)on traffic performance under parallel,grid and ring networks were investigated.The simulation results show that the effects of the proportion of RTTIS usage depend on the road network structures.For traffic on a parallel network,the performance of groups with and without RTTIS level is improved when the proportion of vehicles using RTTIS is greater than 0 and less than 30%,and a proportion of RTTIS usage higher than 90%would actually deteriorate the performance.For both grid and ring networks,a higher proportion of RTTIS usage always improves the performance of groups with and without RTTIS.For all three network structures,vehicles without RTTIS benefit from some proportion of RTTIS usage in a system.展开更多
The identification and analysis of spatiotemporal traffic patterns in road networks constitute a crucial process for sophisticated traffic management and control.Traditional methods based on mathematical equations and...The identification and analysis of spatiotemporal traffic patterns in road networks constitute a crucial process for sophisticated traffic management and control.Traditional methods based on mathematical equations and statistical models can hardly be applicable to large-scale urban road networks,where traffic states exhibit high degrees of dynamics and complexity.Recently,advances in data collection and processing have provided new opportunities to effectively understand spatiotemporal traffic patterns in large-scale road networks using data-driven methods.However,limited efforts have been exerted to explore the essential structure of the networks when conducting a spatiotemporal analysis of traffic characteristics.To this end,this study proposes a modified nonnegative matrix factorization algorithm that processes high-dimensional traffic data and provides an improved representation of the global traffic state.After matrix factorization,cluster analysis is conducted based on the obtained low-dimensional representative matrices,which contain different traffic patterns and serve as the basis for exploring the temporal dynamics and spatial structure of network congestion.The applicability and effectiveness of the proposed approach are examined in a road network of Beijing,China.Results show that the methods exhibit considerable potential for identifying and interpreting the spatiotemporal traffic patterns over the entire network and provide a systematic and efficient approach for analyzing the network-level traffic state.展开更多
With the great prosperity of national economy, there has been a dramatic rise of vehicles on city road, which makes increasing pressure of road transportation. Currently, many countries are confronting the severe situ...With the great prosperity of national economy, there has been a dramatic rise of vehicles on city road, which makes increasing pressure of road transportation. Currently, many countries are confronting the severe situation of traffic jam in different degrees. Nevertheless, there are many triggers contributing to this congestion, one of which is the blocking of residential quarters towards vital traffic line. Therefore, it is extremely necessary to study whether the opening of residential quarters can improve the road capacity of the entire city and remit the traffic pressure. Our paper is based on graph theory, density theory and random utility theory. First of all, we demonstrate a mathematical model of road traffic. Secondly, we explore the influence of residential quarters opening on urban traffic, taking three factors into account listed as road traffic capacity, road network density and network average running time. On the basis of above contents, the impact analysis of vehicle traffic caused by pedestrians is added afterwards. Finally, our paper takes three different types of residential areas into account as an example to empirically analyze the tangible impact of the opening, and finally come to the benefit of the traffic system after the opening.展开更多
Traffic congestion in road transportation networks is a persistent problem in major metropolitan cities around the world.In this context,this paper deals with exploiting underutilized road capacities in a network to l...Traffic congestion in road transportation networks is a persistent problem in major metropolitan cities around the world.In this context,this paper deals with exploiting underutilized road capacities in a network to lower the congestion on overutilized links while simultaneously satisfying the system optimal flow assignment for sustainable transportation.Four congestion mitigation strategies are identified based on deviation and relative deviation of link volume from the corresponding capacity.Consequently,four biobjective mathematical programming optimal flow distribution(OFD)models are proposed.The case study results demonstrate that all the proposed models improve system performance and reduce congestion on high volume links by shifting flows to low volumeto-capacity links compared to UE and SO models.Among the models,the system optimality with minimal sum and maximum absolute relative-deviation models(SO-SAR and SO-MAR)showed superior results for different performance measures.The SO-SAR model yielded 50%and 30%fewer links at higher link utilization factors than UE and SO models,respectively.Also,it showed more than 25%improvement in path travel times compared to UE travel time for about 100 paths and resulted in the least network congestion index of1.04 compared to the other OFD and UE models.Conversely,the SO-MAR model yielded the least total distance and total system travel time,resulting in lower fuel consumption and emissions,thus contributing to sustainability.The proposed models contribute towards efficient transportation infrastructure management and will be of interest to transportation planners and traffic managers.展开更多
Traffic congestion is associated with increased environmental pollutions, as well as reduced socio-economic productivity due to significant delays in travel times. The consequences are worse in least developed countri...Traffic congestion is associated with increased environmental pollutions, as well as reduced socio-economic productivity due to significant delays in travel times. The consequences are worse in least developed countries where motorized road transport networks are often inefficiently managed in addition to being largely underdeveloped. Recent research on traffic congestion has mostly focused on infrastructural aspects of road networks, with little or no emphasis at all on motorists’ on-the-road behavior (MB). The current study thus aimed to bridge this knowledge gap by characterizing traffic jam incidents (TJI) observed over a period of 80 days in Uganda’s Capital City, Kampala. MB as well as road network infrastructural factors such as road blockage (RB), were captured for each of the observed TJI. A total of 483 peak-time TJI were recorded, and exploratory data analysis (EDA) subsequently performed on the TJI dataset. EDA involved Hierarchical clustering analysis (HCA) and K-means clustering of the TJI dataset, as well as a detailed descriptive statistical analysis of both the entire dataset and the emerging TJI clusters. A highlight finding of this study is that 48.2% of the observed TJIs were as a result of on-the-road motorist behavior. Furthermore, the intervention of traffic police officers in a bid to regulate traffic flow was equally responsible for 25.9% of the TJIs observed in this study. Overall, these results indicate that whereas road infrastructural improvement is warranted in order to improve traffic flow, introducing interventions to address inappropriate on-the-road motorists’ behavior could alone improve traffic flow in Kampala, by over 48%. Additionally, in-order to effectively regulate traffic flow in Kampala and other least developed cities with similar traffic congestion management practices, motorists’ on-the-road behavior ought to be factored into any data-driven mechanisms deployed to regulate traffic flow and thus potentially significantly curbing traffic congestion.展开更多
深入分析交通事故数据可以为规避事故发生、降低事故严重程度提供重要理论依据,然而,在事故数据采集、传输、存储过程中往往会产生数据缺失,导致统计分析结果的准确性下降、模型的误判风险上升。本文以芝加哥2016—2021年的101452条追...深入分析交通事故数据可以为规避事故发生、降低事故严重程度提供重要理论依据,然而,在事故数据采集、传输、存储过程中往往会产生数据缺失,导致统计分析结果的准确性下降、模型的误判风险上升。本文以芝加哥2016—2021年的101452条追尾事故数据为研究对象,将原始数据按照7∶3随机分为训练集和测试集。在训练集数据上,利用生成式插补网络(Generative Adversarial Imputation Network,GAIN)实现对缺失数据的填补。为对比不同数据填补方法的效果,同时选择多重插补(Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations,MICE)算法、期望最大化(Expectation Maximization,EM)填充算法、缺失森林(MissForest)算法和K最近邻(K-Nearest Neighbor,KNN)算法对同一数据集进行数据填补,并基于填补前后变量方差变化比较不同填补算法对数据变异性的影响。在完成数据填补的基础上,构建LightGBM三分类事故严重程度影响因素分析模型。使用原始训练集数据,以及填补后的训练集数据分别训练模型,并使用未经填补的测试集数据检验模型预测效果。结果表明,经缺失值填补后,模型性能得到一定改善,使用GAIN填补数据集训练的模型,相较于原始数据训练的模型,准确率提高了6.84%,F1提高了4.61%,AUC(Area Under the Curve)提高了10.09%,且改善效果优于其他4种填补方法。展开更多
由于现有的城市交通汽车目标检测方法主要使用神经网络来定位回归检测区域,这种方法忽略了特征在损失函数中的关联性,易受到场景立体匹配距离变化的影响,进而导致平均检测精度较低。基于级联卷积神经网络,设计一种全新的城市交通汽车目...由于现有的城市交通汽车目标检测方法主要使用神经网络来定位回归检测区域,这种方法忽略了特征在损失函数中的关联性,易受到场景立体匹配距离变化的影响,进而导致平均检测精度较低。基于级联卷积神经网络,设计一种全新的城市交通汽车目标图像检测方法。提取城市交通汽车目标检测特征,采用逐级匹配法提升检测样本质量。不同类型的检测目标的IOU分配阈值不同,利用Iterative Bbox at Inference级联卷积神经网络进行分类回归处理,得到基于级联神经网络的汽车目标检测损失函数,对于每个栅格,需要预设先验框根据损失函数,计算预测参数,设计城市交通汽车多目标检测算法,从而实现城市交通汽车目标检测。实验结果表明:该设计方法的平均检测精度较高,说明所设计方法的检测效果较好,具有较高的准确性,有一定的应用价值,能够为城市交通安全性的提升作出一定的贡献。展开更多
基金the Deanship of Scientific Research at Majmaah University for supporting this work under Project No.R-2024-1008.
文摘Traffic in today’s cities is a serious problem that increases travel times,negatively affects the environment,and drains financial resources.This study presents an Artificial Intelligence(AI)augmentedMobile Ad Hoc Networks(MANETs)based real-time prediction paradigm for urban traffic challenges.MANETs are wireless networks that are based on mobile devices and may self-organize.The distributed nature of MANETs and the power of AI approaches are leveraged in this framework to provide reliable and timely traffic congestion forecasts.This study suggests a unique Chaotic Spatial Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network(CSFPNN)technique to assess real-time data acquired from various sources within theMANETs.The framework uses the proposed approach to learn from the data and create predictionmodels to detect possible traffic problems and their severity in real time.Real-time traffic prediction allows for proactive actions like resource allocation,dynamic route advice,and traffic signal optimization to reduce congestion.The framework supports effective decision-making,decreases travel time,lowers fuel use,and enhances overall urban mobility by giving timely information to pedestrians,drivers,and urban planners.Extensive simulations and real-world datasets are used to test the proposed framework’s prediction accuracy,responsiveness,and scalability.Experimental results show that the suggested framework successfully anticipates urban traffic issues in real-time,enables proactive traffic management,and aids in creating smarter,more sustainable cities.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 60934007, 61203169, 61104160)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No. 2011M500776)+1 种基金the Shanghai Education Council Innovation Research Project (No. 12ZZ024)the International Cooperation Project of National Science Committee (No. 71361130012)
文摘In order to control the large-scale urban traffic network through hierarchical or decentralized methods, it is necessary to exploit a network partition method, which should be both effective in extracting subnetworks and fast to compute. In this paper, a new approach to calculate the correlation degree, which determines the desire for interconnection between two adjacent intersections, is first proposed. It is used as a weight of a link in an urban traffic network, which considers both the physical characteristics and the dynamic traffic information of the link. Then, a fast network division approach by optimizing the modularity, which is a criterion to distinguish the quality of the partition results, is applied to identify the subnetworks for large-scale urban traffic networks. Finally, an application to a specified urban traffic network is investigated using the proposed algorithm. The results show that it is an effective and efficient method for partitioning urban traffic networks automatically in real world.
文摘Urban buildings and urban traffic network are considered as the vital arteries of cities which have particular effects especially after the crisis in the search and rescue operations. The aim of this study is to determine the vulnerability of urban areas especially, buildings and traffic networks using multicriteria geographic information systems and decisionmaking methods. As there are many effective criteria on the seismic vulnerability that they have uncertain and vague properties, the method of this paper is applying fuzzy ordered weighted average(OWA) to model the seismic vulnerability of urban buildings and traffic networks in the most optimistic and pessimistic states. The study area is district 6 of Tehran that is affected by the four major faults, and thus will be threatened by the earthquakes. The achieved results illustrated the vulnerability with different degrees of risk levels including very high, high, medium, low and very low. The results show that in the most optimistic case 14% and in the pessimistic case 1% of buildings tolerate in very low vulnerability. The vulnerability of urban street network also indicates that in the optimistic case 12% and in the pessimistic case at most 9% of the area are in appropriate condition and the North and NorthEast of the study area are more vulnerable than South of it.
文摘Traffic network is an importance asp ect of researching controllable parameters of an urban spatial morpholo-gy.Based on GIS,traffic network str ucture complexity can be understood by using fractal geometry in which th e length-radius dimension describes change of network density,and ramification-radius dimension describes complexity and accessibility of urban network.It i s propitious to analyze urban traffic network and to understand dynamic c hange process of traffic network using expanding f ractal-dimension quantification.Meanwhile the length-radius dimension and ramifica-tion-radius dimension could be rega rd as reference factor of quantitative describing urban traffic network.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.60774023)
文摘An adaptive fuzzy logic controller (AFC) is presented for the signal control of the urban traffic network. The AFC is composed of the signal control system-oriented control level and the signal controller-oriented fuzzy rules regulation level. The control level decides the signal timings in an intersection with a fuzzy logic controller. The regulation level optimizes the fuzzy rules by the Adaptive Rule Module in AFC according to both the system performance index in current control period and the traffic flows in the last one. Consequently the system performances are improved. A weight coefficient controller (WCC) is also developed to describe the interactions of traffic flow among the adjacent intersections. So the AFC combined with the WCC can be applied in a road network for signal timings. Simulations of the AFC on a real traffic scenario have been conducted. Simulation results indicate that the adaptive controller for traffic control shows better performance than the actuated one.
文摘At present,problems such as insufficient road infrastructure and supporting facilities,and limited parking spaces are increasingly prevalent,and there are large conflicts of interest in the process of urban renewal.Therefore,it is crucial to improve the quality of the road network.This paper presents an analysis on the current situation of the road traffic system in a completed area outside the Third Ring Road in Xindu District,Chengdu,and provides corresponding road traffic optimization strategies,with aims of solving the existing road traffic problems,improve road service levels,and promote the overall development of the area and improve the quality of urban space.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (10671045)
文摘This paper considers the optimal traffic signal setting for an urban arterial road. By introducing the concepts of synchronization rate and non-synchronization degree, a mathematical model is constructed and an optimization problem is posed. Then, a new iterative algorithm is developed to solve this optimal traffic control signal setting problem. Convergence properties for this iterative algorithm are established. Finally, a numerical example is solved to illustrate the effectiveness of the method.
文摘The effects of real-time traffic information system(RTTIS)on traffic performance under parallel,grid and ring networks were investigated.The simulation results show that the effects of the proportion of RTTIS usage depend on the road network structures.For traffic on a parallel network,the performance of groups with and without RTTIS level is improved when the proportion of vehicles using RTTIS is greater than 0 and less than 30%,and a proportion of RTTIS usage higher than 90%would actually deteriorate the performance.For both grid and ring networks,a higher proportion of RTTIS usage always improves the performance of groups with and without RTTIS.For all three network structures,vehicles without RTTIS benefit from some proportion of RTTIS usage in a system.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1564212,61773036,51508014)Beijing Natural Science Foundation(9172011)Young Elite Scientist Sponsorship Program of the China Association for Science and Technology(2016QNRC001)。
文摘The identification and analysis of spatiotemporal traffic patterns in road networks constitute a crucial process for sophisticated traffic management and control.Traditional methods based on mathematical equations and statistical models can hardly be applicable to large-scale urban road networks,where traffic states exhibit high degrees of dynamics and complexity.Recently,advances in data collection and processing have provided new opportunities to effectively understand spatiotemporal traffic patterns in large-scale road networks using data-driven methods.However,limited efforts have been exerted to explore the essential structure of the networks when conducting a spatiotemporal analysis of traffic characteristics.To this end,this study proposes a modified nonnegative matrix factorization algorithm that processes high-dimensional traffic data and provides an improved representation of the global traffic state.After matrix factorization,cluster analysis is conducted based on the obtained low-dimensional representative matrices,which contain different traffic patterns and serve as the basis for exploring the temporal dynamics and spatial structure of network congestion.The applicability and effectiveness of the proposed approach are examined in a road network of Beijing,China.Results show that the methods exhibit considerable potential for identifying and interpreting the spatiotemporal traffic patterns over the entire network and provide a systematic and efficient approach for analyzing the network-level traffic state.
文摘With the great prosperity of national economy, there has been a dramatic rise of vehicles on city road, which makes increasing pressure of road transportation. Currently, many countries are confronting the severe situation of traffic jam in different degrees. Nevertheless, there are many triggers contributing to this congestion, one of which is the blocking of residential quarters towards vital traffic line. Therefore, it is extremely necessary to study whether the opening of residential quarters can improve the road capacity of the entire city and remit the traffic pressure. Our paper is based on graph theory, density theory and random utility theory. First of all, we demonstrate a mathematical model of road traffic. Secondly, we explore the influence of residential quarters opening on urban traffic, taking three factors into account listed as road traffic capacity, road network density and network average running time. On the basis of above contents, the impact analysis of vehicle traffic caused by pedestrians is added afterwards. Finally, our paper takes three different types of residential areas into account as an example to empirically analyze the tangible impact of the opening, and finally come to the benefit of the traffic system after the opening.
文摘Traffic congestion in road transportation networks is a persistent problem in major metropolitan cities around the world.In this context,this paper deals with exploiting underutilized road capacities in a network to lower the congestion on overutilized links while simultaneously satisfying the system optimal flow assignment for sustainable transportation.Four congestion mitigation strategies are identified based on deviation and relative deviation of link volume from the corresponding capacity.Consequently,four biobjective mathematical programming optimal flow distribution(OFD)models are proposed.The case study results demonstrate that all the proposed models improve system performance and reduce congestion on high volume links by shifting flows to low volumeto-capacity links compared to UE and SO models.Among the models,the system optimality with minimal sum and maximum absolute relative-deviation models(SO-SAR and SO-MAR)showed superior results for different performance measures.The SO-SAR model yielded 50%and 30%fewer links at higher link utilization factors than UE and SO models,respectively.Also,it showed more than 25%improvement in path travel times compared to UE travel time for about 100 paths and resulted in the least network congestion index of1.04 compared to the other OFD and UE models.Conversely,the SO-MAR model yielded the least total distance and total system travel time,resulting in lower fuel consumption and emissions,thus contributing to sustainability.The proposed models contribute towards efficient transportation infrastructure management and will be of interest to transportation planners and traffic managers.
文摘Traffic congestion is associated with increased environmental pollutions, as well as reduced socio-economic productivity due to significant delays in travel times. The consequences are worse in least developed countries where motorized road transport networks are often inefficiently managed in addition to being largely underdeveloped. Recent research on traffic congestion has mostly focused on infrastructural aspects of road networks, with little or no emphasis at all on motorists’ on-the-road behavior (MB). The current study thus aimed to bridge this knowledge gap by characterizing traffic jam incidents (TJI) observed over a period of 80 days in Uganda’s Capital City, Kampala. MB as well as road network infrastructural factors such as road blockage (RB), were captured for each of the observed TJI. A total of 483 peak-time TJI were recorded, and exploratory data analysis (EDA) subsequently performed on the TJI dataset. EDA involved Hierarchical clustering analysis (HCA) and K-means clustering of the TJI dataset, as well as a detailed descriptive statistical analysis of both the entire dataset and the emerging TJI clusters. A highlight finding of this study is that 48.2% of the observed TJIs were as a result of on-the-road motorist behavior. Furthermore, the intervention of traffic police officers in a bid to regulate traffic flow was equally responsible for 25.9% of the TJIs observed in this study. Overall, these results indicate that whereas road infrastructural improvement is warranted in order to improve traffic flow, introducing interventions to address inappropriate on-the-road motorists’ behavior could alone improve traffic flow in Kampala, by over 48%. Additionally, in-order to effectively regulate traffic flow in Kampala and other least developed cities with similar traffic congestion management practices, motorists’ on-the-road behavior ought to be factored into any data-driven mechanisms deployed to regulate traffic flow and thus potentially significantly curbing traffic congestion.
文摘深入分析交通事故数据可以为规避事故发生、降低事故严重程度提供重要理论依据,然而,在事故数据采集、传输、存储过程中往往会产生数据缺失,导致统计分析结果的准确性下降、模型的误判风险上升。本文以芝加哥2016—2021年的101452条追尾事故数据为研究对象,将原始数据按照7∶3随机分为训练集和测试集。在训练集数据上,利用生成式插补网络(Generative Adversarial Imputation Network,GAIN)实现对缺失数据的填补。为对比不同数据填补方法的效果,同时选择多重插补(Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations,MICE)算法、期望最大化(Expectation Maximization,EM)填充算法、缺失森林(MissForest)算法和K最近邻(K-Nearest Neighbor,KNN)算法对同一数据集进行数据填补,并基于填补前后变量方差变化比较不同填补算法对数据变异性的影响。在完成数据填补的基础上,构建LightGBM三分类事故严重程度影响因素分析模型。使用原始训练集数据,以及填补后的训练集数据分别训练模型,并使用未经填补的测试集数据检验模型预测效果。结果表明,经缺失值填补后,模型性能得到一定改善,使用GAIN填补数据集训练的模型,相较于原始数据训练的模型,准确率提高了6.84%,F1提高了4.61%,AUC(Area Under the Curve)提高了10.09%,且改善效果优于其他4种填补方法。
文摘由于现有的城市交通汽车目标检测方法主要使用神经网络来定位回归检测区域,这种方法忽略了特征在损失函数中的关联性,易受到场景立体匹配距离变化的影响,进而导致平均检测精度较低。基于级联卷积神经网络,设计一种全新的城市交通汽车目标图像检测方法。提取城市交通汽车目标检测特征,采用逐级匹配法提升检测样本质量。不同类型的检测目标的IOU分配阈值不同,利用Iterative Bbox at Inference级联卷积神经网络进行分类回归处理,得到基于级联神经网络的汽车目标检测损失函数,对于每个栅格,需要预设先验框根据损失函数,计算预测参数,设计城市交通汽车多目标检测算法,从而实现城市交通汽车目标检测。实验结果表明:该设计方法的平均检测精度较高,说明所设计方法的检测效果较好,具有较高的准确性,有一定的应用价值,能够为城市交通安全性的提升作出一定的贡献。
