The continuous rainy precipitation process from February to March in 2019 was selected to analyze the effect of meteorological service in Tangpu Reservoir basin,so as to sum up service experience and then lay a better...The continuous rainy precipitation process from February to March in 2019 was selected to analyze the effect of meteorological service in Tangpu Reservoir basin,so as to sum up service experience and then lay a better foundation for subsequent services.In response to the rainy weather from December 2018 to early 2019,three rounds of flood discharge were carried out in Tangpu Reservoir.During February-March in 2019,the hit rate of short-term area rainfall forecast for Tangpu Reservoir was 80.0%.Compared with the median of forecast interval,the average absolute error was 7.6 mm,and the relative error was 32.7%.The large deviation in the forecast from March 27 to 28 was deeply analyzed,and it is found that the main reasons were excessive reliance on and trust in a single model,insufficient correction of the actual situation,and insufficient judgment of the nature of precipitation.For the future reservoir meteorological service,three aspects of thinking were put forward,such as further strengthening the sharing of hydrological and meteorological information,improving the forecasting ability,and deepening the research of runoff forecast models.展开更多
The solar greenhouse's construction and its demand on meteorological service in the process of production management in China were analyzed,and the current situation of meteorological service on it was summarized....The solar greenhouse's construction and its demand on meteorological service in the process of production management in China were analyzed,and the current situation of meteorological service on it was summarized.Combined with the trend of related technology,the future development of solar greenhouse meteorological service was prospected.展开更多
In order to change the distributed status of the meteorological service platform,based on the integration of the self-built service platforms including meteorology,climate,observation and service,National Meteorologic...In order to change the distributed status of the meteorological service platform,based on the integration of the self-built service platforms including meteorology,climate,observation and service,National Meteorological Information Center( NMIC) constructs National Meteorological Service Platform( NMSP). NMSP is a unified national meteorological service platform to provide browsing,searching and displaying of observation,weather forecasting,warning information,historical climate data and network information. NMSP uses the MVC design pattern.For adapting the characteristics of meteorological application,above J2 EE application framework( Struts + Spring + Hibernate),NMSP encapsulates data exchange module which improves flexibility and efficiency of the system development. On March 2015,NMSP( version 2. 0)has been on operational running,which covers six core sections,nearly 100 sub-modules,2000 kinds of service products. It plays an effective supporting role on various types of meteorological service.展开更多
Socialization of meteorological services is important guarantee of servicing national major development strategy,strategic selection of adapting to national reform,urgent need of meeting the development of related ind...Socialization of meteorological services is important guarantee of servicing national major development strategy,strategic selection of adapting to national reform,urgent need of meeting the development of related industries,and necessary way of solving public demand on meticulous,targeted and personalized meteorological services. At present,socialization construction of meteorological services in China still has many problems,such as weak service capability of intelligent weather,inadequate and imbalanced urban-rural and regional development,insufficient sharing and opening of meteorological data,and deficient role of social organization. It should vigorously impel socialization of meteorological services by exploring sharing and opening mechanism of basic meteorological data,establishing policy,regulation and standard system adapting to socialization of meteorological services,establishing operation mechanism for socialization of meteorological services of government dominance combining market,enriching content and means of meteorological socialization service.展开更多
[Objective] The aim was to analyze and conclude highlights of meteorolog- ical services for agriculture with the case of Celery industry belts in regions of Hulu River. [Method] In the research, a regression equation ...[Objective] The aim was to analyze and conclude highlights of meteorolog- ical services for agriculture with the case of Celery industry belts in regions of Hulu River. [Method] In the research, a regression equation of celery growth and meteoro- logical factors was established, and meteorological indices of celery in growth period, meteorological disaster indices and highlights of meteorological service for farmers were analyzed in terms of meteorology based on observation of biomass, growth period, and information in national basic stations and automatic stations in regions of Hulu River. [Result] The sowing period and germination period of celery were more significantly influenced by lower temperature of spring in northern area, compared with southern area, hence, celery plants in northern area should be sown later. The suitable germination stage differed about ten days in the four regions from south to north from middle Apdl to middle May. In common climate, the regions in south of Xiao River are not suitable to grow celery under influence of higher temperature at 26 ℃. Hence, celery industry belts should be moved to the north along Hulu River. During growth period of outer leaf, however, celery were less influenced by hail. [Conclusion] The research lays foundation for meteorological service for agriculture.展开更多
With complex terrain and developed economy, Zhejiang Province has suffered a lot from the frequent geological disasters, which have done great damages to the construction and development of the whole province. Therefo...With complex terrain and developed economy, Zhejiang Province has suffered a lot from the frequent geological disasters, which have done great damages to the construction and development of the whole province. Therefore, it is particularly important to improve the geological disasters meteorological service. Electronic sand table system, a high-tech product of three-dimensional visualization, can provide the geological disaster meteorological service with the intuitive and visual application environment. In this study, we developed electronic sand table system based on GIS and established the geological disasters meteorological service database. In addition, we also analyzed and discussed the applications of meteorological service in online weather forecast, meteorological warning message, and multimedia meteorological electronic display. The application of electronic sand table system in geological disaster meteorological services for disaster prevention and mitigation is of great importance that it provides intuitive terrain analysis data for the forecast of geological disasters warning, which greatly enhances the ability of geological disasters meteorological service.展开更多
To study the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources to serve agricultural production and economic development. The climate data from 1958 to 2017 were selected, and the temporal and spatial changes of heat res...To study the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources to serve agricultural production and economic development. The climate data from 1958 to 2017 were selected, and the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources in Liaoning, China were analyzed by using the method of climate diagnosis and analysis. The results show that: the southern coastal area of Liaoning has the most heat resources, the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area the least, and the central plain area in the middle distribution pattern;compared with 1958-1980, 1981-2017 ≥0°C, ≥10°C accumulated temperature, etc. The value line is advanced 100-160km northward. The accumulated temperature of ≥0°C and ≥10°C in Liaoning experienced abrupt changes in climate in 1993 and 1994, and the climate abrupt change in the southern coastal area was earlier than that in the inland. , the increase in the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area is less than that in the central plain area and the southern coastal area. The study on the impact on meteorological services found that the increase or decrease of heat resources has a significant impact on agro-meteorological services, which can prolong the growing season of crops, relatively reduce the damage of frost, improve comprehensive utilization of land, and increase crop yields;at the same time, with the increase of heat resources and the northward expansion of the isoline of accumulated temperature, the area affected by pests and diseases has expanded, which has aggravated the harm to agriculture economic burden.展开更多
According to the current situation of modern meteorological services and smart agriculture in Tongliao City,the demand for meteorological services in smart agriculture was analyzed,including accurate meteorological se...According to the current situation of modern meteorological services and smart agriculture in Tongliao City,the demand for meteorological services in smart agriculture was analyzed,including accurate meteorological services,point-to-point meteorological services,improved agro-meteorological disaster prevention system,and a comprehensive platform for agricultural services.Besides,some countermeasures to strengthen meteorological services for smart agriculture were proposed,such as promoting the construction of agro-meteorological big data,jointly carrying out the work of meteorological information into villages and households,promoting the construction of modern agricultural meteorological service demonstration areas,and advancing weather modification capacity construction.展开更多
It is very important to analyze and evaluate the benefi ts of meteorological services for policy decision-making and taking precautions against meteorological disasters.In this study,a model for evaluating the benef i...It is very important to analyze and evaluate the benefi ts of meteorological services for policy decision-making and taking precautions against meteorological disasters.In this study,a model for evaluating the benef its of meteorological services for industries is constructed,with the combining method of dose-response and contingency assessment,and also absorbing other countries' experience.According to this model,and referring to the practical value of the contribution of meteorological services to typical enterprises,experts calculated the benef its of meteo-rological services for every industry.By applying this model,and taking the evaluation framework of "to determine which industries are meteorology-sensitive" - "to evaluate the benefi ts of meteorological services" - "to get the total benef its of meteorological service",evaluation and analysis on the total benef its of meteorological services was done with case study.According to this study,the annual mean benef its of meteorological services are known as no less than 279.3 billion yuan(cost excluded) in present national economical environment.展开更多
In the context of rural revitalization and development,meteorological services for agricultural disaster prevention and reduction are facing new opportunities and challenges.It is needed to fully understand the import...In the context of rural revitalization and development,meteorological services for agricultural disaster prevention and reduction are facing new opportunities and challenges.It is needed to fully understand the importance of strengthening meteorological disaster prevention and reduction services,accurately grasp the strategy of rural revitalization,recognize the shortcomings in work,adhere to modern capacity building,improve the meteorological monitoring network,build a meteorological service system for agriculture and meteorological disaster prevention mechanism in line with rural revitalization,enhance the research and development capability of meteorological service products,expand the coverage of meteorological services,and effectively make greater contributions to rural revitalization.展开更多
In this paper,the design idea,working process and functional characteristics of Nanjing Urban Specialized Meteorological Service System are systematically described.Some advanced techniques,such as Internet/Intranet(W...In this paper,the design idea,working process and functional characteristics of Nanjing Urban Specialized Meteorological Service System are systematically described.Some advanced techniques,such as Internet/Intranet(WWW)technique,Active Server Pages(ASP)design and Automatic Voice Composition etc.,are adopted here.By using Opening TCP/IP Agreement.the system realizes connecting the three networks of Novell,Windows NT and 9210 project (Meteorological Satellite Integrated Application Professional System)with ground meteorological special telephone line,thus the new process for collecting and processing data,making and disseminating specialized meteorological information,serving and managing users is established.展开更多
The development course of China＇s meteorological movie and television was analyzed firstly, and then the improvement strategies of meteorological movie and television services facing public needs were put forward bas...The development course of China＇s meteorological movie and television was analyzed firstly, and then the improvement strategies of meteorological movie and television services facing public needs were put forward based on the statistical results of a meteorological service questionnaire.展开更多
Detailed statistics of characteristics of climatic factors in Liaocheng in 2015 were carried out. The main points of meteorological service＇ were summed up to im- prove the ability of meteorological forecast, thereby...Detailed statistics of characteristics of climatic factors in Liaocheng in 2015 were carried out. The main points of meteorological service＇ were summed up to im- prove the ability of meteorological forecast, thereby meeting the new requirements of the public for meteorological cause. The results showed that the annual average temperature in various Counties was in the range of 13.6-14.5 ℃, which was slight- ly higher than that in an average year and lower than that in the past year; the average annual precipitation of various counties ranged from 376.9 to 592.1 mm, which was slightly less than those in an average year and the past year; the aver- age sunshine duration across the city was 2 026 h, which was less than that in an average year and slightly more than that in the past year. The main climatic events included fog and haze, heavy snowfall, thunderstorm, gale, hail, high temperature, heavy rain and rainy sparse sunlight, which produced a negative impact on the agri- culture, tourism, transportation and people＇s daily life. This is the focus of future services.展开更多
On August 1,2022,a rainstorm process occurred in Bayannur City,Inner Mongolia.An extreme precipitation event occurred in Wuyuan County,Urat Middle Banner and Urat Front Banner,causing rainstorm,flood,strong convective...On August 1,2022,a rainstorm process occurred in Bayannur City,Inner Mongolia.An extreme precipitation event occurred in Wuyuan County,Urat Middle Banner and Urat Front Banner,causing rainstorm,flood,strong convective wind and other disasters,thereby resulting in crop damage,livestock death and other losses.Meteorological departments made a series of forecast and early warning,meteorological service and basin joint prevention for the rainstorm process,set an example for dealing with the rainstorm disaster,and accumulated experience for the forecast service of rainstorm in future.展开更多
It is imperative to prioritize the development of agriculture and rural areas and improve the efficiency of smart meteorological services for agricultural products under the strategy of rural revitalization. In this a...It is imperative to prioritize the development of agriculture and rural areas and improve the efficiency of smart meteorological services for agricultural products under the strategy of rural revitalization. In this article, we take Mingshan tea, one of the characteristic industries in Sichuan Province, as an example to explore the related issues of smart meteorology serving agriculture. The status, value, and demand of tea smart meteorological services have been analyzed in this article. In addition, in response to the increasing demand for meteorological services in agricultural production, we have proposed to solve problem of tea meteorological service by strengthening talent, technology, product refinement, and dissemination. We have also proposed specific measures for tea intelligent meteorology to serve agriculture, in order to provide reference for future service practices. We need to continuously improve the methods and content of meteorological services, and improve the level of meteorological services. At the same time, utilizing smart meteorological service methods provides strong support for rural revitalization. This not only increases the income of tea farmers, but also maximizes the technical support role of meteorology in disaster prevention and reduction.展开更多
Forecasting soil temperature at multiple depths is considered to be a core decision-making task for examining future changes in surface and sub-surface meteorological processes,land-atmosphere energy exchange,resilien...Forecasting soil temperature at multiple depths is considered to be a core decision-making task for examining future changes in surface and sub-surface meteorological processes,land-atmosphere energy exchange,resilient agricultural systems for improved crop health and eco-environmental risk assessment.The aim of this paper is to estimate monthly soil temperature(ST)at multiple depth:5,10,20,50 and 100 cm with a hybrid multi-layer perceptron algorithm integrated with the firefly optimizer algorithm(MLP-FFA).To develop the hybrid MLP-FFA model,the monthly ST and relevant meteorological variables for the city of Adana(Turkey)are collated for the period of 2000–2007.Construction of hybrid MLP-FFA model is drawn upon a limited set of predictors,denoted as soil depth,periodicity(or the respective month),air temperature,pressure and solar radiation,while the objective variable for MLP-FFA model is the forecasted ST at multiple depths.To the evaluate MLPFFA,statistical metrics applied to test the model’s performance are:the root mean square error(RMSE),mean absolute error(MAE),mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)and mean bias error(MBE)where the sign of the difference is also considered.In conjunction with statistical metrics,a Taylor diagram is utilized to visualize the degree of similarity between the observed and forecasted soil moisture.In terms of the forecasted results,the hybrid MLPFFA model is seen to outperform the standalone MLP model.The optimal MLP-FFA is attained for soil temperature forecasting at a depth of 20 cm(RMSE,MAPE of 0.546C,2.40%)whereas the optimal MLP is attained for soil temperature forecasting at a depth of 50 cm(RMSE of 0.544℃,2.21%).Conclusively,the study advocates through statistical metrics attained the better utility of the hybrid MLP-FFA hybrid model.Given its superior performance,it is ascertained that the hybrid MLP model integrated with Firefly optimizer is a qualified ancillary tool that can be applied to generate precise soil temperature forecasts at multiple soil depths.展开更多
文摘The continuous rainy precipitation process from February to March in 2019 was selected to analyze the effect of meteorological service in Tangpu Reservoir basin,so as to sum up service experience and then lay a better foundation for subsequent services.In response to the rainy weather from December 2018 to early 2019,three rounds of flood discharge were carried out in Tangpu Reservoir.During February-March in 2019,the hit rate of short-term area rainfall forecast for Tangpu Reservoir was 80.0%.Compared with the median of forecast interval,the average absolute error was 7.6 mm,and the relative error was 32.7%.The large deviation in the forecast from March 27 to 28 was deeply analyzed,and it is found that the main reasons were excessive reliance on and trust in a single model,insufficient correction of the actual situation,and insufficient judgment of the nature of precipitation.For the future reservoir meteorological service,three aspects of thinking were put forward,such as further strengthening the sharing of hydrological and meteorological information,improving the forecasting ability,and deepening the research of runoff forecast models.
基金Supported by The Project of the Transformation and Popularization of Tianjin Agricultural Technique Achievement (0804170 )Scientific and Technology Achievements Transfer Capital Project (2009GB24160499)
文摘The solar greenhouse's construction and its demand on meteorological service in the process of production management in China were analyzed,and the current situation of meteorological service on it was summarized.Combined with the trend of related technology,the future development of solar greenhouse meteorological service was prospected.
基金Supported by Meteorological Protection Project of China Meteorological Administration for Mountain Flood and Geological Disaster Prevention in 2015
文摘In order to change the distributed status of the meteorological service platform,based on the integration of the self-built service platforms including meteorology,climate,observation and service,National Meteorological Information Center( NMIC) constructs National Meteorological Service Platform( NMSP). NMSP is a unified national meteorological service platform to provide browsing,searching and displaying of observation,weather forecasting,warning information,historical climate data and network information. NMSP uses the MVC design pattern.For adapting the characteristics of meteorological application,above J2 EE application framework( Struts + Spring + Hibernate),NMSP encapsulates data exchange module which improves flexibility and efficiency of the system development. On March 2015,NMSP( version 2. 0)has been on operational running,which covers six core sections,nearly 100 sub-modules,2000 kinds of service products. It plays an effective supporting role on various types of meteorological service.
基金Supported by Soft Science Research Project of Hubei Meteorological Bureau in 2018(02)
文摘Socialization of meteorological services is important guarantee of servicing national major development strategy,strategic selection of adapting to national reform,urgent need of meeting the development of related industries,and necessary way of solving public demand on meticulous,targeted and personalized meteorological services. At present,socialization construction of meteorological services in China still has many problems,such as weak service capability of intelligent weather,inadequate and imbalanced urban-rural and regional development,insufficient sharing and opening of meteorological data,and deficient role of social organization. It should vigorously impel socialization of meteorological services by exploring sharing and opening mechanism of basic meteorological data,establishing policy,regulation and standard system adapting to socialization of meteorological services,establishing operation mechanism for socialization of meteorological services of government dominance combining market,enriching content and means of meteorological socialization service.
文摘[Objective] The aim was to analyze and conclude highlights of meteorolog- ical services for agriculture with the case of Celery industry belts in regions of Hulu River. [Method] In the research, a regression equation of celery growth and meteoro- logical factors was established, and meteorological indices of celery in growth period, meteorological disaster indices and highlights of meteorological service for farmers were analyzed in terms of meteorology based on observation of biomass, growth period, and information in national basic stations and automatic stations in regions of Hulu River. [Result] The sowing period and germination period of celery were more significantly influenced by lower temperature of spring in northern area, compared with southern area, hence, celery plants in northern area should be sown later. The suitable germination stage differed about ten days in the four regions from south to north from middle Apdl to middle May. In common climate, the regions in south of Xiao River are not suitable to grow celery under influence of higher temperature at 26 ℃. Hence, celery industry belts should be moved to the north along Hulu River. During growth period of outer leaf, however, celery were less influenced by hail. [Conclusion] The research lays foundation for meteorological service for agriculture.
基金Supported by the Program of the Science and Technology Department of Zhejiang Province(2011C23052)
文摘With complex terrain and developed economy, Zhejiang Province has suffered a lot from the frequent geological disasters, which have done great damages to the construction and development of the whole province. Therefore, it is particularly important to improve the geological disasters meteorological service. Electronic sand table system, a high-tech product of three-dimensional visualization, can provide the geological disaster meteorological service with the intuitive and visual application environment. In this study, we developed electronic sand table system based on GIS and established the geological disasters meteorological service database. In addition, we also analyzed and discussed the applications of meteorological service in online weather forecast, meteorological warning message, and multimedia meteorological electronic display. The application of electronic sand table system in geological disaster meteorological services for disaster prevention and mitigation is of great importance that it provides intuitive terrain analysis data for the forecast of geological disasters warning, which greatly enhances the ability of geological disasters meteorological service.
文摘To study the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources to serve agricultural production and economic development. The climate data from 1958 to 2017 were selected, and the temporal and spatial changes of heat resources in Liaoning, China were analyzed by using the method of climate diagnosis and analysis. The results show that: the southern coastal area of Liaoning has the most heat resources, the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area the least, and the central plain area in the middle distribution pattern;compared with 1958-1980, 1981-2017 ≥0°C, ≥10°C accumulated temperature, etc. The value line is advanced 100-160km northward. The accumulated temperature of ≥0°C and ≥10°C in Liaoning experienced abrupt changes in climate in 1993 and 1994, and the climate abrupt change in the southern coastal area was earlier than that in the inland. , the increase in the northwestern hilly area and the eastern mountainous area is less than that in the central plain area and the southern coastal area. The study on the impact on meteorological services found that the increase or decrease of heat resources has a significant impact on agro-meteorological services, which can prolong the growing season of crops, relatively reduce the damage of frost, improve comprehensive utilization of land, and increase crop yields;at the same time, with the increase of heat resources and the northward expansion of the isoline of accumulated temperature, the area affected by pests and diseases has expanded, which has aggravated the harm to agriculture economic burden.
文摘According to the current situation of modern meteorological services and smart agriculture in Tongliao City,the demand for meteorological services in smart agriculture was analyzed,including accurate meteorological services,point-to-point meteorological services,improved agro-meteorological disaster prevention system,and a comprehensive platform for agricultural services.Besides,some countermeasures to strengthen meteorological services for smart agriculture were proposed,such as promoting the construction of agro-meteorological big data,jointly carrying out the work of meteorological information into villages and households,promoting the construction of modern agricultural meteorological service demonstration areas,and advancing weather modification capacity construction.
文摘It is very important to analyze and evaluate the benefi ts of meteorological services for policy decision-making and taking precautions against meteorological disasters.In this study,a model for evaluating the benef its of meteorological services for industries is constructed,with the combining method of dose-response and contingency assessment,and also absorbing other countries' experience.According to this model,and referring to the practical value of the contribution of meteorological services to typical enterprises,experts calculated the benef its of meteo-rological services for every industry.By applying this model,and taking the evaluation framework of "to determine which industries are meteorology-sensitive" - "to evaluate the benefi ts of meteorological services" - "to get the total benef its of meteorological service",evaluation and analysis on the total benef its of meteorological services was done with case study.According to this study,the annual mean benef its of meteorological services are known as no less than 279.3 billion yuan(cost excluded) in present national economical environment.
文摘In the context of rural revitalization and development,meteorological services for agricultural disaster prevention and reduction are facing new opportunities and challenges.It is needed to fully understand the importance of strengthening meteorological disaster prevention and reduction services,accurately grasp the strategy of rural revitalization,recognize the shortcomings in work,adhere to modern capacity building,improve the meteorological monitoring network,build a meteorological service system for agriculture and meteorological disaster prevention mechanism in line with rural revitalization,enhance the research and development capability of meteorological service products,expand the coverage of meteorological services,and effectively make greater contributions to rural revitalization.
文摘In this paper,the design idea,working process and functional characteristics of Nanjing Urban Specialized Meteorological Service System are systematically described.Some advanced techniques,such as Internet/Intranet(WWW)technique,Active Server Pages(ASP)design and Automatic Voice Composition etc.,are adopted here.By using Opening TCP/IP Agreement.the system realizes connecting the three networks of Novell,Windows NT and 9210 project (Meteorological Satellite Integrated Application Professional System)with ground meteorological special telephone line,thus the new process for collecting and processing data,making and disseminating specialized meteorological information,serving and managing users is established.
文摘The development course of China＇s meteorological movie and television was analyzed firstly, and then the improvement strategies of meteorological movie and television services facing public needs were put forward based on the statistical results of a meteorological service questionnaire.
基金Supported by Trial on Change Rules of CO_2 in Solar Greenhouse and Its Effect on Tomato(2015sdqxm10)~~
文摘Detailed statistics of characteristics of climatic factors in Liaocheng in 2015 were carried out. The main points of meteorological service＇ were summed up to im- prove the ability of meteorological forecast, thereby meeting the new requirements of the public for meteorological cause. The results showed that the annual average temperature in various Counties was in the range of 13.6-14.5 ℃, which was slight- ly higher than that in an average year and lower than that in the past year; the average annual precipitation of various counties ranged from 376.9 to 592.1 mm, which was slightly less than those in an average year and the past year; the aver- age sunshine duration across the city was 2 026 h, which was less than that in an average year and slightly more than that in the past year. The main climatic events included fog and haze, heavy snowfall, thunderstorm, gale, hail, high temperature, heavy rain and rainy sparse sunlight, which produced a negative impact on the agri- culture, tourism, transportation and people＇s daily life. This is the focus of future services.
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,China(2019BS04001,2021MS04019)。
文摘On August 1,2022,a rainstorm process occurred in Bayannur City,Inner Mongolia.An extreme precipitation event occurred in Wuyuan County,Urat Middle Banner and Urat Front Banner,causing rainstorm,flood,strong convective wind and other disasters,thereby resulting in crop damage,livestock death and other losses.Meteorological departments made a series of forecast and early warning,meteorological service and basin joint prevention for the rainstorm process,set an example for dealing with the rainstorm disaster,and accumulated experience for the forecast service of rainstorm in future.
文摘It is imperative to prioritize the development of agriculture and rural areas and improve the efficiency of smart meteorological services for agricultural products under the strategy of rural revitalization. In this article, we take Mingshan tea, one of the characteristic industries in Sichuan Province, as an example to explore the related issues of smart meteorology serving agriculture. The status, value, and demand of tea smart meteorological services have been analyzed in this article. In addition, in response to the increasing demand for meteorological services in agricultural production, we have proposed to solve problem of tea meteorological service by strengthening talent, technology, product refinement, and dissemination. We have also proposed specific measures for tea intelligent meteorology to serve agriculture, in order to provide reference for future service practices. We need to continuously improve the methods and content of meteorological services, and improve the level of meteorological services. At the same time, utilizing smart meteorological service methods provides strong support for rural revitalization. This not only increases the income of tea farmers, but also maximizes the technical support role of meteorology in disaster prevention and reduction.
文摘Forecasting soil temperature at multiple depths is considered to be a core decision-making task for examining future changes in surface and sub-surface meteorological processes,land-atmosphere energy exchange,resilient agricultural systems for improved crop health and eco-environmental risk assessment.The aim of this paper is to estimate monthly soil temperature(ST)at multiple depth:5,10,20,50 and 100 cm with a hybrid multi-layer perceptron algorithm integrated with the firefly optimizer algorithm(MLP-FFA).To develop the hybrid MLP-FFA model,the monthly ST and relevant meteorological variables for the city of Adana(Turkey)are collated for the period of 2000–2007.Construction of hybrid MLP-FFA model is drawn upon a limited set of predictors,denoted as soil depth,periodicity(or the respective month),air temperature,pressure and solar radiation,while the objective variable for MLP-FFA model is the forecasted ST at multiple depths.To the evaluate MLPFFA,statistical metrics applied to test the model’s performance are:the root mean square error(RMSE),mean absolute error(MAE),mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)and mean bias error(MBE)where the sign of the difference is also considered.In conjunction with statistical metrics,a Taylor diagram is utilized to visualize the degree of similarity between the observed and forecasted soil moisture.In terms of the forecasted results,the hybrid MLPFFA model is seen to outperform the standalone MLP model.The optimal MLP-FFA is attained for soil temperature forecasting at a depth of 20 cm(RMSE,MAPE of 0.546C,2.40%)whereas the optimal MLP is attained for soil temperature forecasting at a depth of 50 cm(RMSE of 0.544℃,2.21%).Conclusively,the study advocates through statistical metrics attained the better utility of the hybrid MLP-FFA hybrid model.Given its superior performance,it is ascertained that the hybrid MLP model integrated with Firefly optimizer is a qualified ancillary tool that can be applied to generate precise soil temperature forecasts at multiple soil depths.
