Rockburst is a phenomenon in which free surfaces are formed during excavation,which subsequently causes the sudden release of energy in the construction of mines and tunnels.Light rockburst only peels off rock slices ...Rockburst is a phenomenon in which free surfaces are formed during excavation,which subsequently causes the sudden release of energy in the construction of mines and tunnels.Light rockburst only peels off rock slices without ejection,while severe rockburst causes casualties and property loss.The frequency and degree of rockburst damage increases with the excavation depth.Moreover,rockburst is the leading engineering geological hazard in the excavation process,and thus the prediction of its intensity grade is of great significance to the development of geotechnical engineering.Therefore,the prediction of rockburst intensity grade is one problem that needs to be solved urgently.By comprehensively considering the occurrence mechanism of rockburst,this paper selects the stress index(σθ/σc),brittleness index(σ_(c)/σ_(t)),and rock elastic energy index(Wet)as the rockburst evaluation indexes through the Spearman coefficient method.This overcomes the low accuracy problem of a single evaluation index prediction method.Following this,the BGD-MSR-DNN rockburst intensity grade prediction model based on batch gradient descent and a multi-scale residual deep neural network is proposed.The batch gradient descent(BGD)module is used to replace the gradient descent algorithm,which effectively improves the efficiency of the network and reduces the model training time.Moreover,the multi-scale residual(MSR)module solves the problem of network degradation when there are too many hidden layers of the deep neural network(DNN),thus improving the model prediction accuracy.The experimental results reveal the BGDMSR-DNN model accuracy to reach 97.1%,outperforming other comparable models.Finally,actual projects such as Qinling Tunnel and Daxiangling Tunnel,reached an accuracy of 100%.The model can be applied in mines and tunnel engineering to realize the accurate and rapid prediction of rockburst intensity grade.展开更多
Today flotation column has become an acceptable means of froth flotation for a fairly broad range of applications, in particular the cleaning of sulfides. Even after having been used for several years in mineral proce...Today flotation column has become an acceptable means of froth flotation for a fairly broad range of applications, in particular the cleaning of sulfides. Even after having been used for several years in mineral processing plants, the full potential of the flotation column process is still not fully exploited. There is no prediction of process performance for the complete use of available control capabilities. The on-line estimation of grade usually requires a significant amount of work in maintenance and calibration of on-stream analyzers, in order to maintain good accuracy and high availability. These difficulties and the high cost of investment and maintenance of these devices have encouraged the approach of prediction of metal grade and recovery. In this paper, a new approach has been proposed for metallurgical performance prediction in flotation columns using Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Despite of the wide range of applications and flexibility of NNs, there is still no general framework or procedure through which the appropriate network for a specific task can be designed. Design and structural optimization of NNs is still strongly dependent upon the designer's experience. To mitigate this problem, a new method for the auto-design of NNs was used, based on Genetic Algorithm (GA). The new proposed method was evaluated by a case study in pilot plant flotation column at Sarcheshmeh copper plant. The chemical reagents dosage, froth height, air, wash water flow rates, gas holdup, Cu grade in the rougher feed, flotation column feed, column tail and final concentrate streams were used to the simulation by GANN. In this work, multi-layer NNs with Back Propagation (BP) algorithm with 8-17-10-2 and 8- 13-6-2 arrangements have been applied to predict the Cu and Mo grades and recoveries, respectively. The correlation coefficient (R) values for the testing sets for Cu and Mo grades were 0.93, 0.94 and for their recoveries were 0.93, 0.92, respectively. The results discussed in this paper indicate that the proposed model can be used to predict the Cu and Mo grades and recoveries with a reasonable error.展开更多
Massive Open Online Course(MOOC)has become a popular way of online learning used across the world by millions of people.Meanwhile,a vast amount of information has been collected from the MOOC learners and institutions...Massive Open Online Course(MOOC)has become a popular way of online learning used across the world by millions of people.Meanwhile,a vast amount of information has been collected from the MOOC learners and institutions.Based on the educational data,a lot of researches have been investigated for the prediction of the MOOC learner’s final grade.However,there are still two problems in this research field.The first problem is how to select the most proper features to improve the prediction accuracy,and the second problem is how to use or modify the data mining algorithms for a better analysis of the MOOC data.In order to solve these two problems,an improved random forests method is proposed in this paper.First,a hybrid indicator is defined to measure the importance of the features,and a rule is further established for the feature selection;then,a Clustering-Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique(SMOTE)is embedded into the traditional random forests algorithm to solve the class imbalance problem.In experiment part,we verify the performance of the proposed method by using the Canvas Network Person-Course(CNPC)dataset.Furthermore,four well-known prediction methods have been applied for comparison,where the superiority of our method has been proved.展开更多
Highway–rail grade crossings(HRGCs)are one of the most dangerous segments of the transportation network.Every year numerous accidents are recorded at HRGCs between highway users and trains,between highway users and t...Highway–rail grade crossings(HRGCs)are one of the most dangerous segments of the transportation network.Every year numerous accidents are recorded at HRGCs between highway users and trains,between highway users and traffic control devices,and solely between highway users.These accidents cause fatalities,severe injuries,property damage,and release of hazardous materials.Researchers and state Departments of Transportation(DOTs)have addressed safety concerns at HRGCs in the USA by investigating the factors that may cause accidents at HRGCs and developed certain accident and hazard prediction models to forecast the occurrence of accidents and crossing vulnerability.The accident and hazard prediction models are used to identify the most hazardous HRGCs that require safety improvements.This study provides an extensive review of the state-of-the-practice to identify the existing accident and hazard prediction formulae that have been used over the years by different state DOTs.Furthermore,this study analyzes the common factors that have been considered in the existing accident and hazard prediction formulae.The reported performance and implementation challenges of the identified accident and hazard prediction formulae are discussed in this study as well.Based on the review results,the US DOT Accident Prediction Formula was found to be the most commonly used formula due to its accuracy in predicting the number of accidents at HRGCs.However,certain states still prefer customized models due to some practical considerations.Data availability and data accuracy were identified as some of the key model implementation challenges in many states across the country.展开更多
This paper presents the ZINDOT model,a methodology utilizing a zero-inflated negative binomial model with the variables used in the United States Department of Transportation(USDOT)accident prediction formula,to deter...This paper presents the ZINDOT model,a methodology utilizing a zero-inflated negative binomial model with the variables used in the United States Department of Transportation(USDOT)accident prediction formula,to determine the expected accident count at a highway-rail grade crossing.The model developed contains separate formulas to estimate the crash prediction value depending on the warning device type installed at the crossing:crossings with gates,crossings with flashing lights and no gates,and crossings with crossbucks.The proposed methodology also accounts for the observed accident count at a crossing using the Empirical Bayes method.The ZINDOT model estimates were compared to the USDOT model estimates to rank the crossings based on the expected accident frequency.It is observed that the new model can identify crossings with a greater number of accidents with Gates and Flashing Lights and Crossbucks in both Illinois(data which were used to develop the model)and Texas(data which were used to validate the model).A practitioner already using the USDOT formulae to estimate expected accident count at a crossing could easily use the ZINDOT model as it employs the same variables used in the USDOT formula.This methodology could be used to rank highway-rail grade crossings for resource allocation and safety improvement.展开更多
This paper proposes a novel method to predict the spur gear pair’s static transmission error based on the accuracy grade,in which manufacturing errors(MEs),assembly errors(AEs),tooth deflections(TDs)and profile modif...This paper proposes a novel method to predict the spur gear pair’s static transmission error based on the accuracy grade,in which manufacturing errors(MEs),assembly errors(AEs),tooth deflections(TDs)and profile modifications(PMs)are considered.For the prediction,a discrete gear model for generating the error tooth profile based on the ISO accuracy grade is presented.Then,the gear model and a tooth deflection model for calculating the tooth compliance on gear meshing are coupled with the transmission error model to make the prediction by checking the interference status between gear and pinion.The prediction method is validated by comparison with the experimental results from the literature,and a set of cases are simulated to study the effects of MEs,AEs,TDs and PMs on the static transmission error.In addition,the time-varying backlash caused by both MEs and AEs,and the contact ratio under load conditions are also investigated.The results show that the novel method can effectively predict the range of the static transmission error under different accuracy grades.The prediction results can provide references for the selection of gear design parameters and the optimization of transmission performance in the design stage of gear systems.展开更多
By using core, thin section, well logging, seismic, well testing and other data, the reservoir grading evaluation parameters were selected, the classification criterion considering multiple factors for carbonate reser...By using core, thin section, well logging, seismic, well testing and other data, the reservoir grading evaluation parameters were selected, the classification criterion considering multiple factors for carbonate reservoirs in this area were established, and the main factors affecting the development of high quality reservoir were determined. By employing Formation MicroScanner Image(FMI) logging fracture-cavity recognition technology and reservoir seismic waveform classification technology, the spatial distribution of reservoirs of all grades were predicted. On the basis of identifying four types of reservoir space developed in the study area by mercury injection experiment, a classification criterion was established using four reservoir grading evaluation parameters, median throat radius, effective porosity and effective permeability of fracture-cavity development zone, relationship between fracture and dissolution pore development and assemblage, and the reservoirs in the study area were classified into grade I high quality reservoir of fracture and cavity type, grade II average reservoir of fracture and porosity type, grade Ⅲ poor reservoir of intergranular pore type. Based on the three main factors controlling the development of high quality reservoir, structural location, sedimentary facies and epigenesis, the distribution of the 3 grades reservoirs in each well area and formation were predicted using geophysical response and percolation characteristics. Follow-up drilling has confirmed that the classification evaluation standard and prediction methods established are effective.展开更多
针对浮选过程变量滞后、耦合特征及建模样本数量少所导致精矿品位难以准确预测的问题,提出了一种基于改进麻雀搜索算法(Improved Sparrow Search Algorithm,ISSA)优化混核最小二乘支持向量机(Hybrid Kernel Least Squares Support Vecto...针对浮选过程变量滞后、耦合特征及建模样本数量少所导致精矿品位难以准确预测的问题,提出了一种基于改进麻雀搜索算法(Improved Sparrow Search Algorithm,ISSA)优化混核最小二乘支持向量机(Hybrid Kernel Least Squares Support Vector Machine,HKLSSVM)的浮选过程精矿品位预测方法.首先采集浮选现场载流X荧光品位分析仪数据作为建模变量并进行预处理,建立基于最小二乘支持向量机(Least Squares Support Vector Machine,LSSVM)的预测模型,以此构建新型混合核函数,将输入空间映射至高维特征空间,再引入改进麻雀搜索算法对模型参数进行优化,提出基于ISSA-HKLSSVM方法实现精矿品位预测,最后开发基于LabVIEW的浮选精矿品位预测系统对本文提出方法实际验证.实验结果表明,本文提出方法对于浮选过程小样本建模具有良好拟合能力,相比现有方法提高了预测准确率,可实现精矿品位的准确在线预测,为浮选过程的智能调控提供实时可靠的精矿品位反馈信息.展开更多
基金funded by State Key Laboratory for GeoMechanics and Deep Underground Engineering&Institute for Deep Underground Science and Engineering,Grant Number XD2021021BUCEA Post Graduate Innovation Project under Grant,Grant Number PG2023092.
文摘Rockburst is a phenomenon in which free surfaces are formed during excavation,which subsequently causes the sudden release of energy in the construction of mines and tunnels.Light rockburst only peels off rock slices without ejection,while severe rockburst causes casualties and property loss.The frequency and degree of rockburst damage increases with the excavation depth.Moreover,rockburst is the leading engineering geological hazard in the excavation process,and thus the prediction of its intensity grade is of great significance to the development of geotechnical engineering.Therefore,the prediction of rockburst intensity grade is one problem that needs to be solved urgently.By comprehensively considering the occurrence mechanism of rockburst,this paper selects the stress index(σθ/σc),brittleness index(σ_(c)/σ_(t)),and rock elastic energy index(Wet)as the rockburst evaluation indexes through the Spearman coefficient method.This overcomes the low accuracy problem of a single evaluation index prediction method.Following this,the BGD-MSR-DNN rockburst intensity grade prediction model based on batch gradient descent and a multi-scale residual deep neural network is proposed.The batch gradient descent(BGD)module is used to replace the gradient descent algorithm,which effectively improves the efficiency of the network and reduces the model training time.Moreover,the multi-scale residual(MSR)module solves the problem of network degradation when there are too many hidden layers of the deep neural network(DNN),thus improving the model prediction accuracy.The experimental results reveal the BGDMSR-DNN model accuracy to reach 97.1%,outperforming other comparable models.Finally,actual projects such as Qinling Tunnel and Daxiangling Tunnel,reached an accuracy of 100%.The model can be applied in mines and tunnel engineering to realize the accurate and rapid prediction of rockburst intensity grade.
基金the support of the Department of Research and Development of Sarcheshmeh copper plants for this research
文摘Today flotation column has become an acceptable means of froth flotation for a fairly broad range of applications, in particular the cleaning of sulfides. Even after having been used for several years in mineral processing plants, the full potential of the flotation column process is still not fully exploited. There is no prediction of process performance for the complete use of available control capabilities. The on-line estimation of grade usually requires a significant amount of work in maintenance and calibration of on-stream analyzers, in order to maintain good accuracy and high availability. These difficulties and the high cost of investment and maintenance of these devices have encouraged the approach of prediction of metal grade and recovery. In this paper, a new approach has been proposed for metallurgical performance prediction in flotation columns using Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Despite of the wide range of applications and flexibility of NNs, there is still no general framework or procedure through which the appropriate network for a specific task can be designed. Design and structural optimization of NNs is still strongly dependent upon the designer's experience. To mitigate this problem, a new method for the auto-design of NNs was used, based on Genetic Algorithm (GA). The new proposed method was evaluated by a case study in pilot plant flotation column at Sarcheshmeh copper plant. The chemical reagents dosage, froth height, air, wash water flow rates, gas holdup, Cu grade in the rougher feed, flotation column feed, column tail and final concentrate streams were used to the simulation by GANN. In this work, multi-layer NNs with Back Propagation (BP) algorithm with 8-17-10-2 and 8- 13-6-2 arrangements have been applied to predict the Cu and Mo grades and recoveries, respectively. The correlation coefficient (R) values for the testing sets for Cu and Mo grades were 0.93, 0.94 and for their recoveries were 0.93, 0.92, respectively. The results discussed in this paper indicate that the proposed model can be used to predict the Cu and Mo grades and recoveries with a reasonable error.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.61801222in part supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under Grant No.30919011230in part supported by the Jiangsu Provincial Department of Education Degree and Graduate Education Research Fund under Grant No.JGZD18_012.
文摘Massive Open Online Course(MOOC)has become a popular way of online learning used across the world by millions of people.Meanwhile,a vast amount of information has been collected from the MOOC learners and institutions.Based on the educational data,a lot of researches have been investigated for the prediction of the MOOC learner’s final grade.However,there are still two problems in this research field.The first problem is how to select the most proper features to improve the prediction accuracy,and the second problem is how to use or modify the data mining algorithms for a better analysis of the MOOC data.In order to solve these two problems,an improved random forests method is proposed in this paper.First,a hybrid indicator is defined to measure the importance of the features,and a rule is further established for the feature selection;then,a Clustering-Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique(SMOTE)is embedded into the traditional random forests algorithm to solve the class imbalance problem.In experiment part,we verify the performance of the proposed method by using the Canvas Network Person-Course(CNPC)dataset.Furthermore,four well-known prediction methods have been applied for comparison,where the superiority of our method has been proved.
文摘Highway–rail grade crossings(HRGCs)are one of the most dangerous segments of the transportation network.Every year numerous accidents are recorded at HRGCs between highway users and trains,between highway users and traffic control devices,and solely between highway users.These accidents cause fatalities,severe injuries,property damage,and release of hazardous materials.Researchers and state Departments of Transportation(DOTs)have addressed safety concerns at HRGCs in the USA by investigating the factors that may cause accidents at HRGCs and developed certain accident and hazard prediction models to forecast the occurrence of accidents and crossing vulnerability.The accident and hazard prediction models are used to identify the most hazardous HRGCs that require safety improvements.This study provides an extensive review of the state-of-the-practice to identify the existing accident and hazard prediction formulae that have been used over the years by different state DOTs.Furthermore,this study analyzes the common factors that have been considered in the existing accident and hazard prediction formulae.The reported performance and implementation challenges of the identified accident and hazard prediction formulae are discussed in this study as well.Based on the review results,the US DOT Accident Prediction Formula was found to be the most commonly used formula due to its accuracy in predicting the number of accidents at HRGCs.However,certain states still prefer customized models due to some practical considerations.Data availability and data accuracy were identified as some of the key model implementation challenges in many states across the country.
文摘This paper presents the ZINDOT model,a methodology utilizing a zero-inflated negative binomial model with the variables used in the United States Department of Transportation(USDOT)accident prediction formula,to determine the expected accident count at a highway-rail grade crossing.The model developed contains separate formulas to estimate the crash prediction value depending on the warning device type installed at the crossing:crossings with gates,crossings with flashing lights and no gates,and crossings with crossbucks.The proposed methodology also accounts for the observed accident count at a crossing using the Empirical Bayes method.The ZINDOT model estimates were compared to the USDOT model estimates to rank the crossings based on the expected accident frequency.It is observed that the new model can identify crossings with a greater number of accidents with Gates and Flashing Lights and Crossbucks in both Illinois(data which were used to develop the model)and Texas(data which were used to validate the model).A practitioner already using the USDOT formulae to estimate expected accident count at a crossing could easily use the ZINDOT model as it employs the same variables used in the USDOT formula.This methodology could be used to rank highway-rail grade crossings for resource allocation and safety improvement.
基金Project(51675061)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China。
文摘This paper proposes a novel method to predict the spur gear pair’s static transmission error based on the accuracy grade,in which manufacturing errors(MEs),assembly errors(AEs),tooth deflections(TDs)and profile modifications(PMs)are considered.For the prediction,a discrete gear model for generating the error tooth profile based on the ISO accuracy grade is presented.Then,the gear model and a tooth deflection model for calculating the tooth compliance on gear meshing are coupled with the transmission error model to make the prediction by checking the interference status between gear and pinion.The prediction method is validated by comparison with the experimental results from the literature,and a set of cases are simulated to study the effects of MEs,AEs,TDs and PMs on the static transmission error.In addition,the time-varying backlash caused by both MEs and AEs,and the contact ratio under load conditions are also investigated.The results show that the novel method can effectively predict the range of the static transmission error under different accuracy grades.The prediction results can provide references for the selection of gear design parameters and the optimization of transmission performance in the design stage of gear systems.
基金Supported by CNPC Science and Technology Major Project(2016ZX052,2016ZX05015-003)
文摘By using core, thin section, well logging, seismic, well testing and other data, the reservoir grading evaluation parameters were selected, the classification criterion considering multiple factors for carbonate reservoirs in this area were established, and the main factors affecting the development of high quality reservoir were determined. By employing Formation MicroScanner Image(FMI) logging fracture-cavity recognition technology and reservoir seismic waveform classification technology, the spatial distribution of reservoirs of all grades were predicted. On the basis of identifying four types of reservoir space developed in the study area by mercury injection experiment, a classification criterion was established using four reservoir grading evaluation parameters, median throat radius, effective porosity and effective permeability of fracture-cavity development zone, relationship between fracture and dissolution pore development and assemblage, and the reservoirs in the study area were classified into grade I high quality reservoir of fracture and cavity type, grade II average reservoir of fracture and porosity type, grade Ⅲ poor reservoir of intergranular pore type. Based on the three main factors controlling the development of high quality reservoir, structural location, sedimentary facies and epigenesis, the distribution of the 3 grades reservoirs in each well area and formation were predicted using geophysical response and percolation characteristics. Follow-up drilling has confirmed that the classification evaluation standard and prediction methods established are effective.
文摘针对浮选过程变量滞后、耦合特征及建模样本数量少所导致精矿品位难以准确预测的问题,提出了一种基于改进麻雀搜索算法(Improved Sparrow Search Algorithm,ISSA)优化混核最小二乘支持向量机(Hybrid Kernel Least Squares Support Vector Machine,HKLSSVM)的浮选过程精矿品位预测方法.首先采集浮选现场载流X荧光品位分析仪数据作为建模变量并进行预处理,建立基于最小二乘支持向量机(Least Squares Support Vector Machine,LSSVM)的预测模型,以此构建新型混合核函数,将输入空间映射至高维特征空间,再引入改进麻雀搜索算法对模型参数进行优化,提出基于ISSA-HKLSSVM方法实现精矿品位预测,最后开发基于LabVIEW的浮选精矿品位预测系统对本文提出方法实际验证.实验结果表明,本文提出方法对于浮选过程小样本建模具有良好拟合能力,相比现有方法提高了预测准确率,可实现精矿品位的准确在线预测,为浮选过程的智能调控提供实时可靠的精矿品位反馈信息.
