Experiments are conducted on the evacuation rate of pedestrians through exits with queued evacuation pattern and random evacuation pattern. The experimental results show that the flow rate of pedestrians is larger wit...Experiments are conducted on the evacuation rate of pedestrians through exits with queued evacuation pattern and random evacuation pattern. The experimental results show that the flow rate of pedestrians is larger with the random evacuation pattern than with the queued evacuation pattern. Therefore, the exit width calculated based on the minimum evacuation clear width for every 100 persons, which is on the assumption that the pedestrians pass through the exit in one queue or several queues, is conservative. The number of people crossing the exit simultaneously is greater in the random evacuation experiments than in the queued evacuation experiments, and the time interval between the front row and rear row of people is shortened in large-exit conditions when pedestrians evacuate randomly. The difference between the flow rate with a queued evacuation pattern and the flow rate with a random evacuation pattern is related to the surplus width of the exit, which is greater than the total width of all accommodated people streams. Two dimensionless quantities are defined to explore this relationship. It is found that the difference in flow rate between the two evacuation patterns is stable at a low level when the surplus width of the exit is no more than 45% of the width of a single pedestrian stream. There is a great difference between the flow rate with the queued evacuation pattern and the flow rate with the random evacuation pattern in a scenario with a larger surplus width of the exit. Meanwhile, the pedestrians crowd extraordinarily at the exit in these conditions as well, since the number of pedestrians who want to evacuate through exit simultaneously greatly exceeds the accommodated level. Therefore, the surplus width of exit should be limited especially in the narrow exit condition, and the relationship between the two dimensionless quantities mentioned above could provide the basis to some extent.展开更多
Building exit as a bottleneck structure is the last and the most congested stage in building evacuation.It is well known that obstacles at the exit affect the evacuation process,but few researchers pay attention to th...Building exit as a bottleneck structure is the last and the most congested stage in building evacuation.It is well known that obstacles at the exit affect the evacuation process,but few researchers pay attention to the effect of stationary pedestrians(the elderly with slow speed,the injured,and the static evacuation guide)as obstacles at the exit on the evacuation process.This paper explores the influence of the presence of a stationary pedestrian as an obstacle at the exit on the evacuation from experiments and simulations.We use a software,Pathfinder,based on the agent-based model to study the effect of ratios of exit width(D)to distance(d)between the static pedestrian and the exit,the asymmetric structure by shifting the static pedestrian upward,and types of obstacles on evacuation.Results show that the evacuation time of scenes with a static pedestrian is longer than that of scenes with an obstacle due to the unexpected hindering effect of the static pedestrian.Different ratios of D/d have different effects on evacuation efficiency.Among the five D/d ratios in this paper,the evacuation efficiency is the largest when d is equal to 0.75D,and the existence of the static pedestrian has a positive impact on evacuation in this condition.The influence of the asymmetric structure of the static pedestrian on evacuation efficiency is affected by D/d.This study can provide a theoretical basis for crowd management and evacuation plan near the exit of complex buildings and facilities.展开更多
The long-term management of patients with inflammatory bowel disease(IBD)is still a matter of debate,and no clear guidelines have been issued.In clinical practice,gastroenterologists often have to deal with patients i...The long-term management of patients with inflammatory bowel disease(IBD)is still a matter of debate,and no clear guidelines have been issued.In clinical practice,gastroenterologists often have to deal with patients in prolonged remission after immunomodulatory or immunosuppressive therapies.When planning an exit strategy for drug withdrawal,the risk of disease relapse must be balanced against the risk of drug-related adverse events and healthcare costs.Furthermore,there is still a dearth of data on the withdrawal of novel biologics,such as the anti-α4β7 integrin antibody(vedolizumab)and anti-IL12/23 antibody(ustekinumab),as well as the small molecule tofacitinib.Models for estimating the risk of disease relapse and the efficacy of retreatment should be evaluated according to the patient's age and IBD phenotype.These models should guide clinicians in programming a temporary drug withdrawal after discussing realistic outcomes with the patient.This would shift the paradigm from an exit strategy to a holiday strategy.展开更多
Nonlinearity and randomness are both the essential attributes for the real world,and the case is the same for the models of infectious diseases,for which the deterministic models can not give a complete picture of the...Nonlinearity and randomness are both the essential attributes for the real world,and the case is the same for the models of infectious diseases,for which the deterministic models can not give a complete picture of the evolution.However,although there has been a lot of work on stochastic epidemic models,most of them focus mainly on qualitative properties,which makes us somewhat ignore the original meaning of the parameter value.In this paper we extend the classic susceptible-infectious-removed(SIR)epidemic model by adding a white noise excitation and then we utilize the large deviation theory to quantitatively study the long-term coexistence exit problem with epidemic.Finally,in order to extend the meaning of parameters in the corresponding deterministic system,we tentatively introduce two new thresholds which then prove rational.展开更多
In this paper,we study the asymptotic relation between the first crossing point and the last exit time for Gaussian order statistics which are generated by stationary weakly and strongly dependent Gaussian sequences.I...In this paper,we study the asymptotic relation between the first crossing point and the last exit time for Gaussian order statistics which are generated by stationary weakly and strongly dependent Gaussian sequences.It is shown that the first crossing point and the last exit time are asymptotically independent and dependent for weakly and strongly dependent cases,respectively.The asymptotic relations between the first crossing point and the last exit time for stationary weakly and strongly dependent Gaussian sequences are also obtained.展开更多
Highway tunnel entrances have a high rate of expressway traffic accidents.In this paper,the reasons for the high incidence of traffic accidents at highway tunnel entrances are analyzed in detail,and corresponding solu...Highway tunnel entrances have a high rate of expressway traffic accidents.In this paper,the reasons for the high incidence of traffic accidents at highway tunnel entrances are analyzed in detail,and corresponding solutions are proposed,hoping to provide some reference to relevant parties.展开更多
In order to improve the safety of the exit of expressway interchanges,the main problems and influencing factors of interchange exits are analyzed according to the number of traffic accidents at expressway interchange ...In order to improve the safety of the exit of expressway interchanges,the main problems and influencing factors of interchange exits are analyzed according to the number of traffic accidents at expressway interchange exits in China.Some suggestions and countermeasures are then put forward from the aspect of safety technology for future reference.展开更多
EXIT(EXtrinsic Information Transfer)图分析方法可以看作密度进化技术的一种简化,具有实现简单的优点,并且在不同的信道、调制方案以及检测器中都可以使用。在详细阐述了EXIT图分析方法的基础上,给出了基于EXIT图的正则LDPC码的门限...EXIT(EXtrinsic Information Transfer)图分析方法可以看作密度进化技术的一种简化,具有实现简单的优点,并且在不同的信道、调制方案以及检测器中都可以使用。在详细阐述了EXIT图分析方法的基础上,给出了基于EXIT图的正则LDPC码的门限判决算法,进一步通过计算机仿真分别给出了变量节点译码器和校验节点译码器的EXIT曲线,以及不同的信道信噪比下(3,6)正则LDPC码EXIT图的变化规律,直观地对迭代译码过程中的互信息变化进行了描述分析。展开更多
Poverty incidence is the key index that needs to be measured in the poverty exit examination and evaluation of 832 poverty-stricken counties and 128 000 poverty-stricken villages. In this paper, based on the statement...Poverty incidence is the key index that needs to be measured in the poverty exit examination and evaluation of 832 poverty-stricken counties and 128 000 poverty-stricken villages. In this paper, based on the statement of general concept and conventional calculation method of the poverty incidence, the calculation method of poverty incidence in the exit evaluation of poverty-stricken counties （also including poverty-stricken township and poverty-stricken villages） was investigated through the view of the third-party evaluation. In addition to considering the previous ＂number of planned poverty remaining population＂, the method also needed to give consideration to the exiting mistaken population, evaluation missing population. Based on the case in Yuanyang County, Honghe Hani and Yi Autonomous Prefecture, Yunnan Province, the poverty incidences of 10 exit planning villages by the end of 2017 in Yuanyang County were investigated and estimated, and suggestions were proposed to promote the precise poverty alleviation and poverty relief of the county.展开更多
两边类型低密度奇偶校验码(two-edge type low density parity check,TET-LDPC码)是一种高效的信道纠错码,其性能受到删余变量节点度(punctured variable node degree,PVN度)的影响.为了分析PVN度对TET-LDPC码纠错性能的影响,基于外信...两边类型低密度奇偶校验码(two-edge type low density parity check,TET-LDPC码)是一种高效的信道纠错码,其性能受到删余变量节点度(punctured variable node degree,PVN度)的影响.为了分析PVN度对TET-LDPC码纠错性能的影响,基于外信息转移图(extrinsic information transfer,EXIT图)估算了TET-LDPC码在不同PVN度情况下的门限值,利用门限值的好坏来分析纠错性能的优劣,进而通过选取门限值好的PVN度优化TET-LDPC码.仿真结果显示,经过EXIT图优化的TET-LDPC码具有更好的纠错性能.利用EXIT图优化分析TET-LDPC码的方法,比现有的仿真试值法更加简捷、直观.展开更多
The research concluded peasants＇ willingness on homestead exiting and influential factors by questionnaire survey and interviewing in two villages with varied levels of economic development in Anhui Province.Comparis...The research concluded peasants＇ willingness on homestead exiting and influential factors by questionnaire survey and interviewing in two villages with varied levels of economic development in Anhui Province.Comparisons were performed on subjective factors and objective factors were explored by Logistic regression.The results showed that both of education background and homestead use have positive correlation with peasants＇ willingness on homestead exit;the number of family members has negative effects on peasants in advanced village but the number of migrant workers or members living in cities has positive effects;the area of homestead has positive effects on peasants in underdeveloped village.Therefore,the emphasis should be varied on homestead exit upon village economy and it is necessary to reinforce homestead exit promotion at improving immigrants＇ reception work,social security,employment,and education.展开更多
基金Project supported by the Special Funds for Basic Operating Expenses of the Centre University of China (Grant No.23ZYJS006)。
文摘Experiments are conducted on the evacuation rate of pedestrians through exits with queued evacuation pattern and random evacuation pattern. The experimental results show that the flow rate of pedestrians is larger with the random evacuation pattern than with the queued evacuation pattern. Therefore, the exit width calculated based on the minimum evacuation clear width for every 100 persons, which is on the assumption that the pedestrians pass through the exit in one queue or several queues, is conservative. The number of people crossing the exit simultaneously is greater in the random evacuation experiments than in the queued evacuation experiments, and the time interval between the front row and rear row of people is shortened in large-exit conditions when pedestrians evacuate randomly. The difference between the flow rate with a queued evacuation pattern and the flow rate with a random evacuation pattern is related to the surplus width of the exit, which is greater than the total width of all accommodated people streams. Two dimensionless quantities are defined to explore this relationship. It is found that the difference in flow rate between the two evacuation patterns is stable at a low level when the surplus width of the exit is no more than 45% of the width of a single pedestrian stream. There is a great difference between the flow rate with the queued evacuation pattern and the flow rate with the random evacuation pattern in a scenario with a larger surplus width of the exit. Meanwhile, the pedestrians crowd extraordinarily at the exit in these conditions as well, since the number of pedestrians who want to evacuate through exit simultaneously greatly exceeds the accommodated level. Therefore, the surplus width of exit should be limited especially in the narrow exit condition, and the relationship between the two dimensionless quantities mentioned above could provide the basis to some extent.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.52104186,71904006,U1933105,and 72174189)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grant Nos.DUT21JC01 and DUT2020TB03)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grant No.WK2320000050)。
文摘Building exit as a bottleneck structure is the last and the most congested stage in building evacuation.It is well known that obstacles at the exit affect the evacuation process,but few researchers pay attention to the effect of stationary pedestrians(the elderly with slow speed,the injured,and the static evacuation guide)as obstacles at the exit on the evacuation process.This paper explores the influence of the presence of a stationary pedestrian as an obstacle at the exit on the evacuation from experiments and simulations.We use a software,Pathfinder,based on the agent-based model to study the effect of ratios of exit width(D)to distance(d)between the static pedestrian and the exit,the asymmetric structure by shifting the static pedestrian upward,and types of obstacles on evacuation.Results show that the evacuation time of scenes with a static pedestrian is longer than that of scenes with an obstacle due to the unexpected hindering effect of the static pedestrian.Different ratios of D/d have different effects on evacuation efficiency.Among the five D/d ratios in this paper,the evacuation efficiency is the largest when d is equal to 0.75D,and the existence of the static pedestrian has a positive impact on evacuation in this condition.The influence of the asymmetric structure of the static pedestrian on evacuation efficiency is affected by D/d.This study can provide a theoretical basis for crowd management and evacuation plan near the exit of complex buildings and facilities.
文摘The long-term management of patients with inflammatory bowel disease(IBD)is still a matter of debate,and no clear guidelines have been issued.In clinical practice,gastroenterologists often have to deal with patients in prolonged remission after immunomodulatory or immunosuppressive therapies.When planning an exit strategy for drug withdrawal,the risk of disease relapse must be balanced against the risk of drug-related adverse events and healthcare costs.Furthermore,there is still a dearth of data on the withdrawal of novel biologics,such as the anti-α4β7 integrin antibody(vedolizumab)and anti-IL12/23 antibody(ustekinumab),as well as the small molecule tofacitinib.Models for estimating the risk of disease relapse and the efficacy of retreatment should be evaluated according to the patient's age and IBD phenotype.These models should guide clinicians in programming a temporary drug withdrawal after discussing realistic outcomes with the patient.This would shift the paradigm from an exit strategy to a holiday strategy.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.12172167)。
文摘Nonlinearity and randomness are both the essential attributes for the real world,and the case is the same for the models of infectious diseases,for which the deterministic models can not give a complete picture of the evolution.However,although there has been a lot of work on stochastic epidemic models,most of them focus mainly on qualitative properties,which makes us somewhat ignore the original meaning of the parameter value.In this paper we extend the classic susceptible-infectious-removed(SIR)epidemic model by adding a white noise excitation and then we utilize the large deviation theory to quantitatively study the long-term coexistence exit problem with epidemic.Finally,in order to extend the meaning of parameters in the corresponding deterministic system,we tentatively introduce two new thresholds which then prove rational.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11501250)Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(LY18A010020)Innovation of Jiaxing City:a program to support the talented persons。
文摘In this paper,we study the asymptotic relation between the first crossing point and the last exit time for Gaussian order statistics which are generated by stationary weakly and strongly dependent Gaussian sequences.It is shown that the first crossing point and the last exit time are asymptotically independent and dependent for weakly and strongly dependent cases,respectively.The asymptotic relations between the first crossing point and the last exit time for stationary weakly and strongly dependent Gaussian sequences are also obtained.
文摘Highway tunnel entrances have a high rate of expressway traffic accidents.In this paper,the reasons for the high incidence of traffic accidents at highway tunnel entrances are analyzed in detail,and corresponding solutions are proposed,hoping to provide some reference to relevant parties.
文摘In order to improve the safety of the exit of expressway interchanges,the main problems and influencing factors of interchange exits are analyzed according to the number of traffic accidents at expressway interchange exits in China.Some suggestions and countermeasures are then put forward from the aspect of safety technology for future reference.
文摘EXIT(EXtrinsic Information Transfer)图分析方法可以看作密度进化技术的一种简化,具有实现简单的优点,并且在不同的信道、调制方案以及检测器中都可以使用。在详细阐述了EXIT图分析方法的基础上,给出了基于EXIT图的正则LDPC码的门限判决算法,进一步通过计算机仿真分别给出了变量节点译码器和校验节点译码器的EXIT曲线,以及不同的信道信噪比下(3,6)正则LDPC码EXIT图的变化规律,直观地对迭代译码过程中的互信息变化进行了描述分析。
文摘Poverty incidence is the key index that needs to be measured in the poverty exit examination and evaluation of 832 poverty-stricken counties and 128 000 poverty-stricken villages. In this paper, based on the statement of general concept and conventional calculation method of the poverty incidence, the calculation method of poverty incidence in the exit evaluation of poverty-stricken counties （also including poverty-stricken township and poverty-stricken villages） was investigated through the view of the third-party evaluation. In addition to considering the previous ＂number of planned poverty remaining population＂, the method also needed to give consideration to the exiting mistaken population, evaluation missing population. Based on the case in Yuanyang County, Honghe Hani and Yi Autonomous Prefecture, Yunnan Province, the poverty incidences of 10 exit planning villages by the end of 2017 in Yuanyang County were investigated and estimated, and suggestions were proposed to promote the precise poverty alleviation and poverty relief of the county.
文摘两边类型低密度奇偶校验码(two-edge type low density parity check,TET-LDPC码)是一种高效的信道纠错码,其性能受到删余变量节点度(punctured variable node degree,PVN度)的影响.为了分析PVN度对TET-LDPC码纠错性能的影响,基于外信息转移图(extrinsic information transfer,EXIT图)估算了TET-LDPC码在不同PVN度情况下的门限值,利用门限值的好坏来分析纠错性能的优劣,进而通过选取门限值好的PVN度优化TET-LDPC码.仿真结果显示,经过EXIT图优化的TET-LDPC码具有更好的纠错性能.利用EXIT图优化分析TET-LDPC码的方法,比现有的仿真试值法更加简捷、直观.
文摘The research concluded peasants＇ willingness on homestead exiting and influential factors by questionnaire survey and interviewing in two villages with varied levels of economic development in Anhui Province.Comparisons were performed on subjective factors and objective factors were explored by Logistic regression.The results showed that both of education background and homestead use have positive correlation with peasants＇ willingness on homestead exit;the number of family members has negative effects on peasants in advanced village but the number of migrant workers or members living in cities has positive effects;the area of homestead has positive effects on peasants in underdeveloped village.Therefore,the emphasis should be varied on homestead exit upon village economy and it is necessary to reinforce homestead exit promotion at improving immigrants＇ reception work,social security,employment,and education.
