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Improvement of the prediction accuracy of polar motion using empirical mode decomposition 被引量:2
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作者 Yu Lei Hongbing Cai Danning Zhao 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2017年第2期141-146,共6页
Previous studies revealed that the error of pole coordinate prediction will significantly increase for a prediction period longer than 100 days, and this is mainly caused by short period oscillations. Empirical mode d... Previous studies revealed that the error of pole coordinate prediction will significantly increase for a prediction period longer than 100 days, and this is mainly caused by short period oscillations. Empirical mode decomposition (EMD), which is increasingly popular and has advantages over classical wavelet decomposition, can be used to remove short period variations from observed time series of pole co- ordinates. A hybrid model combing EMD and extreme learning machine (ELM), where high frequency signals are removed and processed time series is then modeled and predicted, is summarized in this paper. The prediction performance of the hybrid model is compared with that of the ELM-only method created from original time series. The results show that the proposed hybrid model outperforms the pure ELM method for both short-term and long-term prediction of pole coordinates. The improvement of prediction accuracy up to 360 days in the future is found to be 24.91% and 26.79% on average in terms of mean absolute error (MAE) for the xp and yp components of pole coordinates, respectively. 展开更多
关键词 Polar motion Prediction model empirical mode decomposition (emd)Neural networks (NN)Extreme learning machine (ELM)
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Determination of Instantaneous Frequencies of Low Plasma Waves in the Magnetosheath Using Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) and Hilbert Transform (HT)
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作者 Ekong Ufot Nathaniel Nyakno Jimmy George Sunday Edet Etuk 《Atmospheric and Climate Sciences》 2013年第4期576-580,共5页
The observations of in-situ spacecraft mission in the magnetosheath and a region of thermalized subsonic plasma behind the bow shock reveal a non-linear behaviour of plasma waves. The study of waves and optics in Phys... The observations of in-situ spacecraft mission in the magnetosheath and a region of thermalized subsonic plasma behind the bow shock reveal a non-linear behaviour of plasma waves. The study of waves and optics in Physics has given the understanding of the effect of many waves coming together to form a wave field or wave packet. The common aspect of such study shows that two or more waves can superimpose constructively or destructively. The sudden high magnetic field data in the magnetosheath displays such possibility of superposition of waves. In this paper, we use the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and Hilbert transform (HT) techniques to determine the instantaneous frequencies of low frequency plasma waves in the magnetosheath. Our analysis has shown that the turbulent behavior of magnetic field in the magnetosheath within the selected period is due to superposition of waves. 展开更多
关键词 Plasma WAVES Instantaneous Frequency empirical mode decomposition (emd) HILBERT TRANSFORM (HT)
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Satellite fault diagnosis method based on predictive filter and empirical mode decomposition 被引量:8
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作者 Yi Shen Yingchun Zhang Zhenhua Wang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2011年第1期83-87,共5页
A novel satellite fault diagnosis scheme is presented based on the predictive filter and empirical mode composition(EMD).First,the predictive filter is utilized to obtain the fault estimation,which is corrupted by n... A novel satellite fault diagnosis scheme is presented based on the predictive filter and empirical mode composition(EMD).First,the predictive filter is utilized to obtain the fault estimation,which is corrupted by noise.Then the EMD method is introduced to decompose the fault estimation into a finite number of intrinsic mode functions and extract the trend of faults for fault diagnosis.The proposed scheme has the ability of diagnosing both abrupt and incipient faults of the actuator in a satellite attitude control subsystem.A mathematical simulation is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed scheme. 展开更多
关键词 satellite fault diagnosis predictive filter empirical mode decomposition(emd).
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A novel noise reduction technique for underwater acoustic signals based on complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise,minimum mean square variance criterion and least mean square adaptive filter 被引量:8
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作者 Yu-xing Li Long Wang 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第3期543-554,共12页
Underwater acoustic signal processing is one of the research hotspots in underwater acoustics.Noise reduction of underwater acoustic signals is the key to underwater acoustic signal processing.Owing to the complexity ... Underwater acoustic signal processing is one of the research hotspots in underwater acoustics.Noise reduction of underwater acoustic signals is the key to underwater acoustic signal processing.Owing to the complexity of marine environment and the particularity of underwater acoustic channel,noise reduction of underwater acoustic signals has always been a difficult challenge in the field of underwater acoustic signal processing.In order to solve the dilemma,we proposed a novel noise reduction technique for underwater acoustic signals based on complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise(CEEMDAN),minimum mean square variance criterion(MMSVC) and least mean square adaptive filter(LMSAF).This noise reduction technique,named CEEMDAN-MMSVC-LMSAF,has three main advantages:(i) as an improved algorithm of empirical mode decomposition(EMD) and ensemble EMD(EEMD),CEEMDAN can better suppress mode mixing,and can avoid selecting the number of decomposition in variational mode decomposition(VMD);(ii) MMSVC can identify noisy intrinsic mode function(IMF),and can avoid selecting thresholds of different permutation entropies;(iii) for noise reduction of noisy IMFs,LMSAF overcomes the selection of deco mposition number and basis function for wavelet noise reduction.Firstly,CEEMDAN decomposes the original signal into IMFs,which can be divided into noisy IMFs and real IMFs.Then,MMSVC and LMSAF are used to detect identify noisy IMFs and remove noise components from noisy IMFs.Finally,both denoised noisy IMFs and real IMFs are reconstructed and the final denoised signal is obtained.Compared with other noise reduction techniques,the validity of CEEMDAN-MMSVC-LMSAF can be proved by the analysis of simulation signals and real underwater acoustic signals,which has the better noise reduction effect and has practical application value.CEEMDAN-MMSVC-LMSAF also provides a reliable basis for the detection,feature extraction,classification and recognition of underwater acoustic signals. 展开更多
关键词 Underwater acoustic signal Noise reduction empirical mode decomposition(emd) Ensemble emd(Eemd) Complete Eemd with adaptive noise(CEemdAN) Minimum mean square variance criterion(MMSVC) Least mean square adaptive filter(LMSAF) Ship-radiated noise
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FAULT DIAGNOSIS APPROACH FOR ROLLER BEARINGS BASED ON EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION METHOD AND HILBERT TRANSFORM 被引量:14
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作者 YuDejie ChengJunsheng YangYu 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2005年第2期267-270,共4页
Based upon empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and Hilbert spectrum, a method for fault diagnosis of roller bearing is proposed. The orthogonal wavelet bases are used to translate vibration signals of a roller b... Based upon empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and Hilbert spectrum, a method for fault diagnosis of roller bearing is proposed. The orthogonal wavelet bases are used to translate vibration signals of a roller bearing into time-scale representation, then, an envelope signal can be obtained by envelope spectrum analysis of wavelet coefficients of high scales. By applying EMD method and Hilbert transform to the envelope signal, we can get the local Hilbert marginal spectrum from which the faults in a roller bearing can be diagnosed and fault patterns can be identified. Practical vibration signals measured from roller bearings with out-race faults or inner-race faults are analyzed by the proposed method. The results show that the proposed method is superior to the traditional envelope spectrum method in extracting the fault characteristics of roller bearings. 展开更多
关键词 Roller bearing empirical mode decomposition(emd) Hilbert spectrum Local Hilbert marginal spectrum Wavelet bases Envelope analysis
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HARMONIC COMPONENT EXTRACTION FROM A CHAOTIC SIGNAL BASED ON EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION METHOD 被引量:1
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作者 李鸿光 孟光 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2006年第2期221-225,共5页
A novel approach of signal extraction of a harmonic component fRom a chaotic signal generated by a Duffing oscillator was proposed. Based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and concept that any signal is composed... A novel approach of signal extraction of a harmonic component fRom a chaotic signal generated by a Duffing oscillator was proposed. Based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and concept that any signal is composed of a series of the simple intrinsic modes, the harmonic components were extracted f^om the chaotic signals. Simulation results show the approach is satisfactory. 展开更多
关键词 chaotic signal signal processing empirical mode decomposition(emd) Duffing function
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Computational Intelligence Prediction Model Integrating Empirical Mode Decomposition,Principal Component Analysis,and Weighted k-Nearest Neighbor 被引量:2
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作者 Li Tang He-Ping Pan Yi-Yong Yao 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology》 CAS CSCD 2020年第4期341-349,共9页
On the basis of machine leaning,suitable algorithms can make advanced time series analysis.This paper proposes a complex k-nearest neighbor(KNN)model for predicting financial time series.This model uses a complex feat... On the basis of machine leaning,suitable algorithms can make advanced time series analysis.This paper proposes a complex k-nearest neighbor(KNN)model for predicting financial time series.This model uses a complex feature extraction process integrating a forward rolling empirical mode decomposition(EMD)for financial time series signal analysis and principal component analysis(PCA)for the dimension reduction.The information-rich features are extracted then input to a weighted KNN classifier where the features are weighted with PCA loading.Finally,prediction is generated via regression on the selected nearest neighbors.The structure of the model as a whole is original.The test results on real historical data sets confirm the effectiveness of the models for predicting the Chinese stock index,an individual stock,and the EUR/USD exchange rate. 展开更多
关键词 empirical mode decomposition(emd) k-nearest neighbor(KNN) principal component analysis(PCA) time series
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Signal prediction based on empirical mode decomposition and artificial neural networks 被引量:1
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作者 Wang Yong Liu Yanping Yang Jing 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2012年第1期52-56,共5页
In view of the usefulness of Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD), Artificial Neural Networks ( ANN), and Most Relevant Matching Extension (MRME) methods in dealing with nonlinear signals, we pro- pose a new way o... In view of the usefulness of Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD), Artificial Neural Networks ( ANN), and Most Relevant Matching Extension (MRME) methods in dealing with nonlinear signals, we pro- pose a new way of combining these methods to deal with signal prediction. We found the results of combining EMD with either ANN or MRME to have higher prediction precision for a time series than the result of using EMD alone. 展开更多
关键词 emd empirical mode decomposition ANN (Artificial Neural Networks) MRME (Most Relevant Matching Extension) IMF (Intrinsic mode Function) endpoint problem RBF (Radial Basis Function)
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NON-DESTRUCTIVE PAVEMENT LAYER THICKNESS MEASUREMENT USING EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION WITH GPR 被引量:1
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作者 Li Qiang Chen Jie +1 位作者 Liu Xiaojun Fang Guangyou 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2014年第6期619-627,共9页
Ground Penetrating Radar(GPR) is an effective Non-Destructive Testing(NDT) technique for highway pavement surveys, which is able to acquire continuous pavement data compared with traditional core drilling method. In t... Ground Penetrating Radar(GPR) is an effective Non-Destructive Testing(NDT) technique for highway pavement surveys, which is able to acquire continuous pavement data compared with traditional core drilling method. In this study, we proposed an accurate and efficient method to estimate the thickness of each pavement layer using an air-coupled GPR system. For this work, the main difficulties are estimating each pavement layer's time delay and dielectric constant. We first give the basic signal model for pavement evaluation, and then present an Intrinsic Mode Functions(IMFs) product detector to determine each pavement layer's time delay. This method is based on Empirical Mode Decomposition(EMD), which is an adaptive signal decomposition procedure and proved to be suitable for suppressing noises in GPR signal. The dielectric constant was determined by metal reflection measurement. The laboratory and highway experiments illustrate that the proposed thickness estimation method yields reasonable result, thus meets the requirements of practical highway pavement survey with massive GPR data. 展开更多
关键词 Ground Penetrating Radar(GPR) Pavement thickness Non-Destructive Testing(NDT) Dielectric constant empirical mode decomposition(emd)
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Segmented second algorithm of empirical mode decomposition
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作者 张敏聪 朱开玉 李从心 《Journal of Shanghai University(English Edition)》 CAS 2008年第5期444-449,共6页
A new algorithm, named segmented second empirical mode decomposition (EMD) algorithm, is proposed in this paper in order to reduce the computing time of EMD and make EMD algorithm available to online time-frequency ... A new algorithm, named segmented second empirical mode decomposition (EMD) algorithm, is proposed in this paper in order to reduce the computing time of EMD and make EMD algorithm available to online time-frequency analysis. The original data is divided into some segments with the same length. Each segment data is processed based on the principle of the first-level EMD decomposition. The algorithm is compared with the traditional EMD and results show that it is more useful and effective for analyzing nonlinear and non-stationary signals. 展开更多
关键词 segmented second empirical mode decomposition (emd algorithm time-frequency analysis intrinsic mode functions (IMF) first-level decomposition
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Weighing axle weight of moving vehicle based on empirical mode decomposition
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作者 周志峰 蔡萍 《Journal of Shanghai University(English Edition)》 CAS 2008年第1期76-79,共4页
Dynanfic forces are the main factor that influences the axle weight measurement accuracy of moving vehicle. Empirical mode decomposition (EMD) is presented to separate the dynamic forces contained in the axle weight... Dynanfic forces are the main factor that influences the axle weight measurement accuracy of moving vehicle. Empirical mode decomposition (EMD) is presented to separate the dynamic forces contained in the axle weight signal. The concept and algorithm of EMD are introduced. The characteristic of the axle weight signal is analyzed. The method of judging pseudo intrinsic mode function (pseudo-IMF) is presented to improve the weighing accuracy. Numerical simulation and field experiments are conducted to evaluate the performance of EMD. The result shows effectiveness of the proposed method. Maximum weighing errors of the front axle, the rear axle and the gross weight at the speed of 15 km/h or lower are 2.22%, 6.26% and 4.11% respectively. 展开更多
关键词 WEIGH-IN-MOTION empirical mode decomposition (emd pseudo intrinsic mode function (pseudo-IMF)
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A Hybrid Air Quality Prediction Model Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition
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作者 Yuxuan Cao Difei Zhang +2 位作者 Shaoqi Ding Weiyi Zhong Chao Yan 《Tsinghua Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第1期99-111,共13页
Air pollution is a severe environmental problem in urban areas.Accurate air quality prediction can help governments and individuals make proper decisions to cope with potential air pollution.As a classic time series f... Air pollution is a severe environmental problem in urban areas.Accurate air quality prediction can help governments and individuals make proper decisions to cope with potential air pollution.As a classic time series forecasting model,the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA)has been widely adopted in air quality prediction.However,because of the volatility of air quality and the lack of additional context information,i.e.,the spatial relationships among monitor stations,traditional ARIMA models suffer from unstable prediction performance.Though some deep networks can achieve higher accuracy,a mass of training data,heavy computing,and time cost are required.In this paper,we propose a hybrid model to simultaneously predict seven air pollution indicators from multiple monitoring stations.The proposed model consists of three components:(1)an extended ARIMA to predict matrix series of multiple air quality indicators from several adjacent monitoring stations;(2)the Empirical Mode Decomposition(EMD)to decompose the air quality time series data into multiple smooth sub-series;and(3)the truncated Singular Value Decomposition(SvD)to compress and denoise the expanded matrix.Experimental results on the public dataset show that our proposed model outperforms the state-of-art air quality forecasting models in both accuracy and time cost. 展开更多
关键词 air quality prediction empirical mode decomposition(emd) Singular Value decomposition(SVD) AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA)
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基于改进EMD和ARMA的MEMS陀螺仪随机误差补偿方法 被引量:1
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作者 曾鑫 先苏杰 +2 位作者 王康 司鹏 吴志林 《兵工学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第9期3297-3306,共10页
微机电系统(Micro-Electro-Mechanical System,MEMS)陀螺仪的随机误差限制了其测量精度。为了降低MEMS陀螺仪的随机误差,提出一种基于改进的经验模态分解(Empirical Mode Decomposition,EMD)和优化的自回归滑动平均(Autoregressive Movi... 微机电系统(Micro-Electro-Mechanical System,MEMS)陀螺仪的随机误差限制了其测量精度。为了降低MEMS陀螺仪的随机误差,提出一种基于改进的经验模态分解(Empirical Mode Decomposition,EMD)和优化的自回归滑动平均(Autoregressive Moving Average,ARMA)模型的方法。该方法在传统EMD的基础上,结合Hausdorff距离和累积标准化模态均值以提取信号中的噪声和趋势项,对剩余信号进行ARMA建模和滤波。采用沙猫群优化算法优化建模的定阶过程,采用改进的自适应滤波补偿随机误差。试验结果表明:相较于传统EMD和传统ARMA方法,新方法在静态试验中得到的均方根误差分别降低52.5%和34.4%,在动态试验中得到的均方根误差分别降低50%和32.35%;新方法有效抑制了随机误差,提升了MEMS陀螺仪的使用精度。 展开更多
关键词 微机电系统 陀螺仪 改进经验模态分解 时间序列建模 HAUSDORFF距离 自适应滤波
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基于ICEEMDAN和分布熵的SS-Y伸缩仪信号随机噪声压制方法 被引量:1
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作者 吴林斌 《大地测量与地球动力学》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期429-435,共7页
结合改进的自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解(ICEEMDAN)与分布熵(DistEn),提出一种无需自定义算法参数、去噪效果较好的伸缩仪信号随机噪声压制方法。首先将伸缩仪信号进行ICEEMDAN处理,得到若干个本征模态函数(IMF);然后计算各IMF分量... 结合改进的自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解(ICEEMDAN)与分布熵(DistEn),提出一种无需自定义算法参数、去噪效果较好的伸缩仪信号随机噪声压制方法。首先将伸缩仪信号进行ICEEMDAN处理,得到若干个本征模态函数(IMF);然后计算各IMF分量的分布熵值,根据不同分布熵值的大小和表征的分量信号混乱程度,有针对性地对各IMF进行取舍;最后进行线性重构。设计仿真信号去噪实验和SS-Y伸缩仪信号去噪实验,结果表明,基于ICEEMDAN-DistEn去噪模型的伸缩仪信号重构还原度较好,去噪效果显著,明显优于CEEMDAN-DistEn、小波去噪和卡尔曼滤波等去噪模型。 展开更多
关键词 SS-Y伸缩仪 随机噪声压制 改进的自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解 分布熵 信噪比
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APPLICATION OF IMPROVED EMD IN VIBRATION SIGNAL FEATURE EXTRACTION OF VEHICLE
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作者 辛江慧 安木金 +1 位作者 张雨 任成龙 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2012年第2期193-198,共6页
In order to truly obtain the feature extraction of vibration signals under the strong background noise, the analysis and improvement of empirical mode decomposition (EMD) is carried on. After that, the improved EMD ... In order to truly obtain the feature extraction of vibration signals under the strong background noise, the analysis and improvement of empirical mode decomposition (EMD) is carried on. After that, the improved EMD is applied to the feature extraction of vehicle vibration signals. First, the multi-autocorrelation method is adopted in each input signal,so the noise is reduced effectively. Then, EMD is used to deal with these signals,and the intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) are obtained. Finally, for obtaining the feature information of these signals, the Hilbert transformation and the spectrum analysis are performed in some IMFs. Theoretical analysis and ex- periment verify the effectiveness of the method, which are valuable reference for the same engineering problems. 展开更多
关键词 empirical mode decomposition (emd vehicle vibration signal multi-autocorrelation feature ex- traction
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一种灰色关联分析优化ICEEMDAN的VP倾斜仪信号降噪模型
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作者 庞聪 孙海洋 +3 位作者 刘天龙 姚瑶 李忠亚 马武刚 《大地测量与地球动力学》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第6期654-660,共7页
VP倾斜仪固体潮信号受仪器监测复杂环境限制,多含有大量环境噪声。为获得真实固体潮曲线,提出一种基于灰色关联分析优化改进的自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解(ICEEMDAN)VP倾斜仪信号降噪模型(GRA-ICEEMDAN)。该方法首先将含噪信号进行I... VP倾斜仪固体潮信号受仪器监测复杂环境限制,多含有大量环境噪声。为获得真实固体潮曲线,提出一种基于灰色关联分析优化改进的自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解(ICEEMDAN)VP倾斜仪信号降噪模型(GRA-ICEEMDAN)。该方法首先将含噪信号进行ICCEMDAN处理,得到若干个固有模态函数(IMF),并依次排列与标记;然后基于这些IMF分别计算相关系数、互信息、R^(2)、Adj-R^(2)、MSE、SSE、RMSE、MAE、MAPE、样本熵等10个评价指标值,构建IMF可信度评价指标矩阵;最后借助灰色关联分析(GRA)计算各评价指标与不同IMF之间的关联系数和关联度,依据关联度大小对各个IMF进行排序,将排名靠前的IMF进行线性重构,即可完成信号降噪。仿真去噪实验和实测去噪实验均表明,GRA-ICEEMDAN模型优于卡尔曼滤波、70阶低通FIR滤波、Savitzky-Golay等经典降噪模型,能显著区分噪声成分和有效成分,原始信号分解后的重构误差与信号损失极小,可推广至其他仪器的复杂信号降噪中。 展开更多
关键词 VP倾斜仪 信号降噪 改进的自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解 灰色关联分析 固有模态函数 样本熵 互信息
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基于CEEMD-IDWT的受载煤岩微震电压去噪算法
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作者 李鑫 刘志勇 +4 位作者 杨桢 李昊 周婧 卜婧然 王艺儒 《电子测量与仪器学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第8期124-136,共13页
受载复合煤岩变形破裂过程中产生的微小震动信号包含煤岩内部结构破裂信息,传统设备采集的微震信号存在大量环境噪声而无法直接进行分析。为有效提取受载煤岩变形破裂过程微震信号的变化特征,采用互补集合经验模态分解算法(CEEMD)与改进... 受载复合煤岩变形破裂过程中产生的微小震动信号包含煤岩内部结构破裂信息,传统设备采集的微震信号存在大量环境噪声而无法直接进行分析。为有效提取受载煤岩变形破裂过程微震信号的变化特征,采用互补集合经验模态分解算法(CEEMD)与改进dmey小波(IDWT)算法相融合,提出一种新型CEEMD-IDWT联合去噪算法。该算法首先利用CEEMD算法对原始信号进行分解,然后对分解得到的IMF分量应用IDWT算法进行去噪处理,最终将处理过的分量进行重构得到去噪信号。利用仿真分析和单轴压缩实验对该算法的有效性进行验证,结果表明:CEEMD-IDWT联合算法在仿真分析中,相比传统算法信噪比最大提高204.5%,对于其他改进去噪算法信噪比最少提高11.8%,去噪能力具有明显优势;将该算法嵌入自研微震电压采集设备,在复合煤岩单轴压缩实验中得到的微震电压信号噪噪比仅为0.08975,实际去噪效果明显;经CEEMD-IDWT联合算法去噪之后的微震电压具有明显的变化特征,显著提升了信号去噪效果,有效避免了微震电压信号的失真,可以作为受载煤岩变形破裂微震电压信号去噪处理的理想算法,为煤岩动力灾害的准确预判提供了一种可靠且先进的技术参考。 展开更多
关键词 受载煤岩 微震电压 互补集合经验模态分解 改进dmey小波 去噪算法
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基于ICEEMDAN分解与SE重构和DBO-LSTM的滑坡位移预测 被引量:1
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作者 封青青 李丽敏 +2 位作者 陈飞阳 张碧涵 余兵 《电子测量技术》 北大核心 2024年第7期80-87,共8页
滑坡位移预测是防灾减灾的一项重要工作,针对位移分解后趋势项和周期项重构的合理性问题以及周期项位移预测精度不高的问题,提出了一种改进的自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解(ICEEMDAN)、样本熵(SE)以及蜣螂算法(DBO)优化的长短期记忆网... 滑坡位移预测是防灾减灾的一项重要工作,针对位移分解后趋势项和周期项重构的合理性问题以及周期项位移预测精度不高的问题,提出了一种改进的自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解(ICEEMDAN)、样本熵(SE)以及蜣螂算法(DBO)优化的长短期记忆网络(LSTM)组合模型进行位移预测。以八字门滑坡为研究对象,利用ICEEMDAN方法将滑坡累计位移进行分解,并用样本熵值表征分解得到的子序列,将其重构为趋势项和周期项位移。之后利用LSTM模型预测趋势项和周期项位移;通过灰色关联度的方法确定周期项位移的影响因素。考虑到LSTM网络中超参数的随机性会影响模型预测精度,引入蜣螂优化算法获取LSTM最优超参数,最终将预测得到的趋势项和周期项位移叠加得到累计位移。本文所提的ICEEMDAN-SE-DBO-LSTM模型预测周期项位移的RMSE、MAE、R23项指标分别为1.803 mm、1.584 mm、0.988,相较于DBO-BP,LSTM,GRU和BP模型预测效果更优,证明了模型的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 滑坡位移 改进的自适应噪声完备集合经验模态分解 样本熵 蜣螂优化算法
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基于EMD-DESN的无人机集群航迹目的地预测
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作者 薛锡瑞 黄树彩 +1 位作者 韦道知 吴建峰 《系统工程与电子技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期290-299,共10页
无人机(unmanned aerial vehicle,UAV)集群作战样式多样、运动模式复杂,导致集群航迹目的地难以预测。为解决上述问题,本文提出了一种基于经验模态分解(empirical mode decomposition,EMD)和深度回声状态网络(deep echo state network,D... 无人机(unmanned aerial vehicle,UAV)集群作战样式多样、运动模式复杂,导致集群航迹目的地难以预测。为解决上述问题,本文提出了一种基于经验模态分解(empirical mode decomposition,EMD)和深度回声状态网络(deep echo state network,DESN)的UAV集群航迹目的地预测算法。为使集群运动模型更真实地模拟UAV集群作战过程,本文引入航向误差时变方差,改进了Olfati-Saber集群运动模型的虚拟领导项。为处理因群内的协同作用和集群航向误差导致的运动非平稳性,引入了EMD,对UAV航迹序列进行重构。考虑到获知航迹的时序性,设计了滑窗结构,采用DESN对重构航迹的不同时段进行目的地预测。仿真实验结果表明,本文提出的EMD-DESN算法较基本DESN算法能以更高的准确度预测UAV集群航迹目的地,并能更早地实现稳定的正确预测。 展开更多
关键词 无人机集群 目的地预测 深度回声状态网络 经验模态分解 改进Olfati-Saber模型
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基于CEEMDAN和改进的混合时间序列模型工作面涌水量预测研究
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作者 丁莹莹 尹尚先 +4 位作者 连会青 卜昌森 刘伟 夏向学 周旺 《中国安全生产科学技术》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期110-117,共8页
为提高采煤工作面涌水量预测准确度,收集大量工作面涌水量观测数据进行整理、统计、分析,将涌水量稳定性、周期性和季节性特征考虑在内,提出1种基于数据驱动的完全自适应模态分解算法(CEEMDAN)和改进的混合时间序列模型工作面涌水量预... 为提高采煤工作面涌水量预测准确度,收集大量工作面涌水量观测数据进行整理、统计、分析,将涌水量稳定性、周期性和季节性特征考虑在内,提出1种基于数据驱动的完全自适应模态分解算法(CEEMDAN)和改进的混合时间序列模型工作面涌水量预测方法。该方法利用CEEMDAN处理涌水量数据,构建麻雀搜索算法(SSA)优化的长短期记忆网络(LSTM)和自回归移动平均模型(ARIMA)并行级联而成的混合时间序列模型对工作面涌水量进行预测。研究结果表明:该模型预测结果与真实数据相差更小,平均绝对误差为6.36 m 3/h,均方根误差为10.6 m 3/h,模型拟合系数为0.95,更适用于工作面涌水量预测。研究结果可为矿井工作面涌水量预测及防控提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 涌水量预测 时间序列预测 混合模型 经验模态分解 麻雀搜索算法
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