In March 2017, Narendra Modi led his Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP) to victory in state elections, among which he gained parliamentary election of Uttar Pradesh(state in northern India), known as the weather vane of Indi...In March 2017, Narendra Modi led his Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP) to victory in state elections, among which he gained parliamentary election of Uttar Pradesh(state in northern India), known as the weather vane of Indian elections. Back in 2014, the BJP had already won a simple majority in Lok Sabha(the lower house of parliament), bringing an end to more than 30 years of coalition government. Now, the BJP is exhibiting stronger presence as a one-party-rule at both federal and local levels, with no counter-balance from the Indian National Congress, local parties, or left wing parties now or in the foreseeable future. This increases the likelihood of Modi's re-election as prime minister in 2019. Obviously,Indian political development is characterized by complexity, accidental factors and intrinsic logic, which will definitely exert great influence on the future of India.展开更多
China's insistence on the non-interference principle has been increasingly inconsistent. While China's concern with sovereignty, regime security, and legitimacy, as well as its developing country identity, have push...China's insistence on the non-interference principle has been increasingly inconsistent. While China's concern with sovereignty, regime security, and legitimacy, as well as its developing country identity, have pushed it to continue its insistence on the principle of non-interference, China's further adaptation to the international system, increasing engagement in intemational institutions, and new identity as a responsible power have led China to drag its feet on the same principle. To reconcile these competing forces, China has to make concessions, namely, setting preconditions to legitimize intervention, designing a sovereignty-first solution, and/or complementing the non-interference principle with alternative principles. China's application of the non-interference principle has thus been made contingent. It is more inflexible at one end of a spectrum and more flexible at the other end, with China's foreign policies shifting back and forth between them.展开更多
文摘In March 2017, Narendra Modi led his Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP) to victory in state elections, among which he gained parliamentary election of Uttar Pradesh(state in northern India), known as the weather vane of Indian elections. Back in 2014, the BJP had already won a simple majority in Lok Sabha(the lower house of parliament), bringing an end to more than 30 years of coalition government. Now, the BJP is exhibiting stronger presence as a one-party-rule at both federal and local levels, with no counter-balance from the Indian National Congress, local parties, or left wing parties now or in the foreseeable future. This increases the likelihood of Modi's re-election as prime minister in 2019. Obviously,Indian political development is characterized by complexity, accidental factors and intrinsic logic, which will definitely exert great influence on the future of India.
文摘China's insistence on the non-interference principle has been increasingly inconsistent. While China's concern with sovereignty, regime security, and legitimacy, as well as its developing country identity, have pushed it to continue its insistence on the principle of non-interference, China's further adaptation to the international system, increasing engagement in intemational institutions, and new identity as a responsible power have led China to drag its feet on the same principle. To reconcile these competing forces, China has to make concessions, namely, setting preconditions to legitimize intervention, designing a sovereignty-first solution, and/or complementing the non-interference principle with alternative principles. China's application of the non-interference principle has thus been made contingent. It is more inflexible at one end of a spectrum and more flexible at the other end, with China's foreign policies shifting back and forth between them.