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农业经济增长与污染性要素投入——基于简约式及结构式模型的实证分析 被引量:13
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作者 杜江 罗珺 《经济评论》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第3期56-65,117,共11页
本文以农业生产中污染性要素(化肥、农药和农用塑料薄膜)的投入为例,利用1997-2010年省际面板数据,运用简约式与结构式模型,实证分析农业经济增长对环境的影响。研究发现,化肥、农药投入与以人均收入表示的农业增长之间存在倒U型曲线关... 本文以农业生产中污染性要素(化肥、农药和农用塑料薄膜)的投入为例,利用1997-2010年省际面板数据,运用简约式与结构式模型,实证分析农业经济增长对环境的影响。研究发现,化肥、农药投入与以人均收入表示的农业增长之间存在倒U型曲线关系,且农药投入与人均收入的关系受控制变量的影响较大;倒U型曲线转折点对应的收入水平大于地方及全国平均水平,意味着投入量将随着人均收入的增加而增加;农药、农膜投入与收入不平等正相关,与价格指数比负相关;经济结构变动对不同污染性投入的影响不同;农业增长对环境影响的规模效应、结构效应和技术效应均为正,三类污染性要素的投入量随着农业的增长而增加。 展开更多
关键词 种植业 环境库兹涅茨曲线 结构式模型 面板数据
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基于信息流角度的企业结构式和简式模型选择
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作者 李海涛 李福忠 《情报杂志》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第3期22-24,共3页
通过分析结构式模型和简式模型的基本理论框架,推导出了各自违约概率的显性表达式;将企业获得信息的能力利用信息集的概念进行抽象,并同时对两者的关系在不同信息流下进行了比较研究,得出了两者之间存在差异的深层原因;并对前面的分析... 通过分析结构式模型和简式模型的基本理论框架,推导出了各自违约概率的显性表达式;将企业获得信息的能力利用信息集的概念进行抽象,并同时对两者的关系在不同信息流下进行了比较研究,得出了两者之间存在差异的深层原因;并对前面的分析进行了总结,得出企业在不同目标下该如何选择这两类度量模型。 展开更多
关键词 信息集 结构式模型 简式模型 信息流 企业
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我国货币政策传导机制的结构式VAR分析
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作者 徐文强 《聊城大学学报(自然科学版)》 2012年第3期57-61,共5页
使用结构式VAR模型分析中国的货币政策传导机制,向量自回归模型的识别约束是建立在成对变量的恩格尔-格兰杰因果检验和协整检验等实证关系基础上,而不是直接来源于经济理论,从产出、价格、短期利率、信贷以及资本价格五个渠道研究了我... 使用结构式VAR模型分析中国的货币政策传导机制,向量自回归模型的识别约束是建立在成对变量的恩格尔-格兰杰因果检验和协整检验等实证关系基础上,而不是直接来源于经济理论,从产出、价格、短期利率、信贷以及资本价格五个渠道研究了我国货币政策的传导机制.研究发现,货币政策的效果主要通过利率渠道反映出来,而产出、价格、信贷以及资本价格等渠道则相对微弱,表明除短期利率之外,货币政策在金融机构内部的传导以及从金融机构到实体经济的传导效果微弱. 展开更多
关键词 货币政策 传导机制 结构式VAR模型
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Physical and numerical modeling of a framed anti-sliding structure for a mountainous railway line
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作者 QIU Ruizhe LIU Kaiwen +3 位作者 YANG Zhixiang MA Chiyuan XIAO Jian SU Qian 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 2025年第1期12-19,共8页
To ensure the operational safety of railways in the landslide-prone areas of mountainous regions,a large-scale model test and numerical simulation were conducted to study the bending moment distribution,internal force... To ensure the operational safety of railways in the landslide-prone areas of mountainous regions,a large-scale model test and numerical simulation were conducted to study the bending moment distribution,internal force distribution,deformation development,and crack propagation characteristics of a framed anti-sliding structure(FAS)under landslide thrust up to the point of failure.Results show that the maximum bending moment and its increase rate in the fore pile are greater than those in the rear pile,with the maximum bending moment of the fore pile approximately 1.1 times that of the rear pile.When the FAS fails,the displacement at the top of the fore pile is significantly greater,about 1.27 times that of the rear pile in the experiment.Major cracks develop at locations corresponding to the peak bending moments.Small transverse cracks initially appear on the upper surface at the intersection between the primary beam and rear pile and then spread to the side of the structure.At the failure stage,major cracks are observed at the pil-beam intersections and near the anchor points.Strengthening flexural stiffness at intersections where major cracks occur can improve the overall thrust-deformation coordination of the FAS,thereby maximizing its performance. 展开更多
关键词 mountainous railway SLOPE framed anti-sliding structure model test finite element modeling mechanical responses
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能源对外直接投资的进口贸易效应与类型甄别——基于结构式引力模型的系统GMM估计 被引量:16
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作者 程中海 袁凯彬 《世界经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2015年第11期99-108,117,共11页
文章根据2005~2013年中国能源对外投资与能源进出口贸易数据,构造结构式水平型与垂直型投资引力模型,运用系统广义矩估计法(GMM),实证检验了中国能源对外直接投资的进口贸易效应,并依据模型假设对能源投资的类型予以甄别。研究... 文章根据2005~2013年中国能源对外投资与能源进出口贸易数据,构造结构式水平型与垂直型投资引力模型,运用系统广义矩估计法(GMM),实证检验了中国能源对外直接投资的进口贸易效应,并依据模型假设对能源投资的类型予以甄别。研究结果表明:总体上中国能源对外直接投资促进了能源进口贸易,且贸易量与中国及贸易伙伴国的GDP显著正相关,与地理距离显著负相关。与双边GDP之和(市场支付能力)弱负相关,与相对要素禀赋显著正相关;中国对高收入国家进行能源直接投资产生负向进口贸易效应即替代关系,而对非高收入国家产生正向进口贸易效应即互补关系;整体上中国能源对外直接投资表现为垂直分割生产型投资,其中对高收入国家的能源直接投资显著为垂直型投资,对非高收入国家则兼有水平型和垂直型投资特征。 展开更多
关键词 能源 对外直接投资 进口贸易效应 类型甄别 结构式引力模型
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对恰好识别和过度识别的看法 被引量:1
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作者 王世英 《新疆大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 1997年第3期87-90,共4页
本文对线性联立计量经济学模型的识别做了较系统地整理与证明.同时由本文定理1的证明过程知,恰好识别和过度识别无本质的区别,故作者建议:在计量经济学中,不引入恰好识别和过度识别两概念为妥.||关键词##4结构式模型;;简化式模型;;
关键词 结构式模型 计量经济学模型 恰好识别 过度识别
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基于结构式VAR模型的我国核心通货膨胀的估计
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作者 徐文强 《经济研究导刊》 2019年第12期1-5,共5页
核心通货膨胀揭示观测到的通货膨胀的中长期、持续的部分。通过建立产出、通货膨胀和货币供给量等三个核心宏观变量在内的结构式向量自回归模型,并施加来自经济理论的长期约束对我国核心通货膨胀进行估计。估计得到的核心通货膨胀揭开&q... 核心通货膨胀揭示观测到的通货膨胀的中长期、持续的部分。通过建立产出、通货膨胀和货币供给量等三个核心宏观变量在内的结构式向量自回归模型,并施加来自经济理论的长期约束对我国核心通货膨胀进行估计。估计得到的核心通货膨胀揭开"货币面纱",将识别出的货币冲击对通货膨胀的影响排除,反映出通货膨胀中来自于总供给冲击和实际需求冲击,对于准确把握实体经济周期波动,制定经济政策具有重要的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 通货膨胀 核心通货膨胀 结构式VAR模型
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经济冲击对称性与区域经济合作:东亚与其他区域的比较研究 被引量:24
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作者 李晓 丁一兵 《吉林大学社会科学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第4期46-58,共13页
经济冲击对称性是区域经济合作的重要基础条件。我们运用三变量结构式VAR方法,对东亚、欧元区和美洲南锥体三个区域内部实际供给、实际需求与货币冲击对称性进行了实证分析。结果表明,东亚地区的实际经济冲击对称性总体上低于欧元区但... 经济冲击对称性是区域经济合作的重要基础条件。我们运用三变量结构式VAR方法,对东亚、欧元区和美洲南锥体三个区域内部实际供给、实际需求与货币冲击对称性进行了实证分析。结果表明,东亚地区的实际经济冲击对称性总体上低于欧元区但高于南锥体国家,在东亚某些次区域集团中,实际经济冲击对称性已经达到或超过欧元区的水平;同时,东亚地区经济冲击规模高于欧元区而与美洲相近,但其冲击调整速度则明显快于其他区域。考虑到目前各地区经济合作的发展进程,东亚地区有足够的条件在现有基础上进一步推动制度化的区域经济合作与政策协调。 展开更多
关键词 经济冲击对称性 东亚 经济合作 三变量结构式VAR模型
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Application of discrete choice model in trip mode structure forecast:a case study of Bengbu
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作者 任刚 周竹萍 张浩然 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2011年第1期83-87,共5页
In order to find the main factors that influence the urban traffic structure,a relational model between the travelers' characteristics and the trip mode choice is built.The data of urban residents' characteristics a... In order to find the main factors that influence the urban traffic structure,a relational model between the travelers' characteristics and the trip mode choice is built.The data of urban residents' characteristics are obtained from statistical data,while the trip mode split data is collected through a trip survey in Bengbu.In addition,the discrete choice model is adopted to build the functional relationship between the mode choice and the travelers' personal characteristics,as well as family characteristics and trip characteristics.The model shows that the relationship between the mode split and the personal,as well as family and trip characteristics is stable and changes little as the time changes.Deduced by the discrete model,the mode split result is relatively accurate and can be feasibly used for trip mode structure forecasts.Furthermore,the proposed model can also contribute to find the key influencing factors on trip mode choice,and restructure or optimize the urban trip mode structure. 展开更多
关键词 trip mode split trip mode structure discrete choice model forecasting
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Investigation on transformation process of trip mode choice for planned special events
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作者 吴娇蓉 王晨 +1 位作者 陈非 陈小鸿 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2013年第2期199-206,共8页
This paper aims to provide a decision-making method for the transportation management strategies in guiding the transformation of trip mode choice during planned special events. The Expo 2010 Shanghai is taken as an e... This paper aims to provide a decision-making method for the transportation management strategies in guiding the transformation of trip mode choice during planned special events. The Expo 2010 Shanghai is taken as an example, and a structural equation model is employed to analyze the dynamic mechanism of trip mode choice behavior and the effectiveness of the transportation management measures at different stages. Based on the difference between the objective-oriented stated preference (SP) survey results and the objectives, together with the feedback from the previous stage survey, some adjustments on the transportation management measures are made in the next stage of the planning process until the objectives are eventually achieved. The results indicate that the adjustments on transportation management measures at different stages can effectively raise the transit share to 88.6%. Nonlocal visitors are inclined to choose nonstop modes of transportation and the companion attributes have the most significant effects on the trip mode choices of visitors. The research method is proved to be an effective way to support the decision making process of transportation management measures during planned special events in the future. 展开更多
关键词 planned special events trip mode choice structural equation model objective-oriented stated preferencesurvey
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Effect of pile-cap connection on behavior of torsionally loaded pile groups 被引量:2
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作者 Ling-gang KONG Li-min ZHANG 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第3期303-312,共10页
To evaluate the responses of fixed and pinned pile groups under torsion, a method is presented to analyze the nonlinear behavior of free-standing pile groups with rigid pile caps. The method is capable of simulating t... To evaluate the responses of fixed and pinned pile groups under torsion, a method is presented to analyze the nonlinear behavior of free-standing pile groups with rigid pile caps. The method is capable of simulating the nonlinear soil response in the near field usingp-y and r-θ curves, the far-field interactions through Mindlin's and Randolph's elastic solutions, and the coupling effect of lateral resistance on torsional resistance of the individual piles using an empirical factor. Based on comparisons of the solutions for fixed- and pinned-head, 1×2, 2×2, and 3×3 pile groups subjected to torsion, it was found that pile-cap connection significantly influences the torsional capacity of pile groups and the assignment of applied torques in the pile groups. In this study, the applied torques for the pinned-head pile groups are only 44%-64% of those for the corresponding fixed-head pile groups at a twist angle of 2^o. Such a difference is mainly due to the change of the lateral resistances of individual piles in the groups. 展开更多
关键词 Pile group Pile foundations Torsional response Pile-cap connection Nonlinear analysis
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Research on the Fragment Impact Resistance of a Composite Mast
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作者 Wei Zhang Chao Wu +2 位作者 Wenshan Yang Shanshan Xu Shaofei Ren 《Journal of Marine Science and Application》 2011年第3期300-305,共6页
Due to the unique structural mode and material property of a composite sandwich plate, related research such as fragment impact resistance of a composite mast is short of publication and urgent in this field. In this ... Due to the unique structural mode and material property of a composite sandwich plate, related research such as fragment impact resistance of a composite mast is short of publication and urgent in this field. In this paper, the commonly accepted sandwich core board theory was modified. Damage caused by a fragment attack was simulated onto a sandwich plate model built with solid and shell elements. It was shown that shear failure and vast matrix cracking are the main reasons for outer coat damage, and tension failure and partial matrix cracking are the cause for inner coat damage. Additionally, according to complexities in actual sea battles, different work conditions of missile attacks were set. Ballistic limit values of different fragment sizes were also obtained, which provides references for enhancing the fragment impact resistance of a composite mast. 展开更多
关键词 composite mast sandwich plate fragment impact ballistic limit
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Developing Mechanism of Rubber-tea-chicken Agro-forestry Model in Tropical Area of China
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作者 Meng Qingyan Miao Zewei Wang Zhaoqian 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2012年第3期100-106,共7页
As a typical tropical agro-forestry ecosystem in Wenchang, Hainan Province, China, rational mechanisms of the rubber-tea-chicken eco-agricultural model were studied with the Solow technological level index, stability ... As a typical tropical agro-forestry ecosystem in Wenchang, Hainan Province, China, rational mechanisms of the rubber-tea-chicken eco-agricultural model were studied with the Solow technological level index, stability indicator, harmonizing coefficient, grey corretation coefficient and production dominance. This study focused on rational hierarchical structure, the limiting factors and optimal strategies of the model development based on model structure, resource conditions and external market demands. Results showed that rational mechanism of the rubber-tea-chicken ecosystem model mainly included technological contributions, leverage function of dominance component (livestock husbandry), stability of the model structure and harmony of its components, the model dominant product's market demand and government's supporting policies. The contributions of fund, technology, information and talent resources played an important role in improving sustainability and productivity of the agro-forestry model. 展开更多
关键词 eco-agricultural model the Solow technological levelindex stability indicator harmonizing coefficient grey correlationcoefficient
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Modifi cation of sleep architecture in an animal model of experimental cirrhosis 被引量:2
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作者 Anabel Jiménez-Anguiano Vanessa Díaz-Medina +5 位作者 Blanca Eugenia Farfán-Labonne Gloria Giono-Chiang David Kersenobich Mario García-Lorenzana Maria Concepción Gutiérrez-Ruiz Javier Velázquez-Moctezuma 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2009年第41期5176-5180,共5页
AIM: To analyze the polygraphic sleep patterns during cirrhosis progression in a rat model by repeated CCh administration. METHODS: Male Wistar rats received three weekly injections of CCl4 for 11 wk, and were analy... AIM: To analyze the polygraphic sleep patterns during cirrhosis progression in a rat model by repeated CCh administration. METHODS: Male Wistar rats received three weekly injections of CCl4 for 11 wk, and were analyzed before and during the induction of cirrhosis. Rats were im- planted with electrodes to record their sleep patterns. Polygraph recordings were made weekly over 11 wk for 8 h, during the light period. After a basal recording, rats received three weekly injections of CCl4. Histological confirmation of cirrhosis was performed after 11 wk. RESULTS: The results showed a progressive decrease in total wake time that reached statistical significance from the second week of treatment. In addition, there was an increase in total time of slow wave sleep (SWS)Ⅱ and rapid eye movement sleep (REM sleep) in most of the 11 wk. SWS I showed no significant variations. During the final weeks, a significant increase in REM sleep frequency was also observed. Histological analyses of the livers showed unequivocal signs of cirrhosis. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that hepatic failure produced by CCh administration is capable of modifying the sleep pattern even after only a few doses. 展开更多
关键词 Experimental cirrhosis SLEEP Rapid eye movement sleep CCI4 WAKEFULNESS
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Hydroelastic Analysis of a Very Large Floating Structure Edged with a Pair of Submerged Horizontal Plates 被引量:2
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作者 MA Zhe CHENG Yong +1 位作者 ZHAI Gangjun OU Jinping 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 SCIE CAS 2015年第2期228-236,共9页
This paper is concerned with the hydroelastic problem of a very large pontoon-type floating structure(VLFS) edged with a pair of submerged horizontal plates, which is a combination of perforated and non-perforated pla... This paper is concerned with the hydroelastic problem of a very large pontoon-type floating structure(VLFS) edged with a pair of submerged horizontal plates, which is a combination of perforated and non-perforated plates attached to the for-end and back-end of the VLFS. For the hydroelastic analysis, the fluid is assumed to be ideal and its motion is irrotational so that a velocity potential exists. The VLFS is modeled as an elastic plate according to the classical thin plate theory. The fluid-structure interaction problem is separated into conventional hydrodynamics and structure dynamics by using modal expansion method in the frequency-domain. It involves, firstly, the deflection of the VLFS, which is expressed by a superposition of modal functions and corresponding modal amplitudes. Then the boundary element method is used to solve the integral equations of diffraction and radiation on the body surface for the velocity potential, whereas the vibration equation is solved by the Galerkin's method for modal amplitudes, and then the deflection is obtained by the sum of multiplying modal functions with modal amplitudes. This study examines the effects of the width and location of the non-perforated horizontal plates on the hydroelastic response of the VLFS, then the performance of perforated plates is investigated to reduce the motion near the fore-end of the VLFS. Considering the advantages and disadvantages of submerged plates without and with cylindrical holes, we propose a simple anti-motion device, which is a combination of a pair of perforated and non-perforated plates attached to the for-end and back-end of the VLFS. The effectiveness of this device in reducing the deformation and bending moment of the VLFS has been confirmed, and is compared with the results in cases without and with the submerged horizontal plates by the analysis in this paper. 展开更多
关键词 VLFS anti-motion device hydroelastic problems perforate horizontal plate submerged horizontal plate
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Design and Implementation of Mobile Farmland Fertilization Expert System Based on iOS
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作者 Liu Tao Li TingXuan Wang YongDong Zhang XiZhou 《International Journal of Technology Management》 2015年第2期122-124,共3页
In this study, taking cultivated land fertility evaluation data for example, we conducted a preliminary study of GIS theory and spatial data management, and construct the frame system of mobile structure based on the ... In this study, taking cultivated land fertility evaluation data for example, we conducted a preliminary study of GIS theory and spatial data management, and construct the frame system of mobile structure based on the three layer structure model of application layer, business logic layer and data layer. Then we established a spatial data storage model, which has unified the data standards and achieved the management of spatial data and attribute database. Taking ArcGIS API for iOS as GIS platform, Xcode as the tool, we have realized the functions of data integration, data query, data statistics and fertilization recommendation, and constructed the management and service platform of mobile fertilization expert system. 展开更多
关键词 IOS MOBILE FERTILIZATION Expert System
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Based on the ISM model embedded geriatric rehabilitation nursing facility development restriction factor analysis
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作者 XU YiJun 《International English Education Research》 2015年第12期62-64,共3页
This article through to new embedded geriatric rehabilitation care development present situation, pointed out that in the popularization of its restriction factors, and then asked a further analysis of various factors... This article through to new embedded geriatric rehabilitation care development present situation, pointed out that in the popularization of its restriction factors, and then asked a further analysis of various factors, constructed the obstacle factors explanation structure model (ISM).According to the result of classification model and find out the problem, the most direct factors and put forward the corresponding Suggestions, facilities for embedded geriatric rehabilitation nursing mode to find out the key points of development, provide a reference value to scientific basis. 展开更多
关键词 Embedded pattern Geriatric rehabilitation nursing facility ISM model
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STRUCTURE AND STABILITY OF MAIN ROOF AFTER ITS FRACTURE
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作者 朱德仁 钱鸣高 《Journal of China University of Mining and Technology》 1990年第1期21-30,共10页
A series of physical modelings in which a main roof is considered as a Kirchhoff plate supported or clammed by Winkler elastic foundation were performed to simulate the fracturing process of the main roof in longwall ... A series of physical modelings in which a main roof is considered as a Kirchhoff plate supported or clammed by Winkler elastic foundation were performed to simulate the fracturing process of the main roof in longwall mining. Based on these modelings spatial structures of the main roof after its fracture are described, blocks of the fractured main roof are classified and their behaviors are analyzed in this paper. Additionally, two stability indexes of the structures are defined, and the factors affecting stability of the structures with different boundaries and geometric conditions are discussed. 展开更多
关键词 coal mining main roof FRACTURE STABILITY MODELING
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男性产业工人抑郁症状影响因素研究 被引量:4
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作者 郭天蔚 张文悦 +8 位作者 马文昊 梁佳 郭卓 杨昕婧 王思涵 孙岚 阿英格 马学红 图娅 《中华行为医学与脑科学杂志》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第10期928-930,共3页
目的 基于结构式方程模型评价分析男性产业工人人格特质、生活事件与抑郁症状的相关性,识别抑郁症状高危因素.方法 对首钢迁安公司工人分层随机整群抽样,通过生活事件量表(LES)、大五人格简表(NEO-FFI)以及流调用抑郁自评量表(CES-... 目的 基于结构式方程模型评价分析男性产业工人人格特质、生活事件与抑郁症状的相关性,识别抑郁症状高危因素.方法 对首钢迁安公司工人分层随机整群抽样,通过生活事件量表(LES)、大五人格简表(NEO-FFI)以及流调用抑郁自评量表(CES-D)进行评价;应用最大似然法估计结构式方程模型参数,通过修正指数确定最终模型.结果 本研究中抑郁症状(CES-D≥16分)检出率为41.05%,神经质、外向性、宜人性以及负性生活事件对抑郁症状有显著预测作用(r=0.356、-0.304、-0.135、0.227);正性与负性生活事件、神经质与外向性、外向性与责任感、神经质与宜人性共变关系显著,相关系数分别为0.614、-0.469、0.432、-0.402,抑郁症状测量模型中情绪症状、躯体症状及人际关系症状因素载荷分别为0.779、0.678、0.464.结论 男性产业工人抑郁症状发生与神经质、外向性、宜人性以及负性生活事件有关,相关部门应当采取措施对高危工人进行疏导和干预,加强抑郁症的预防. 展开更多
关键词 产业工人 抑郁症状 人格特质 生活事件 结构式方程模型
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中国经济波动的总供给与总需求冲击作用分析 被引量:72
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作者 龚敏 李文溥 《经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第11期32-44,共13页
基于AD-AS模型,本文估计了一个包含产出和价格水平的结构式向量自回归模型,以此揭示1996—2005年期间驱动中国经济波动的总供需力量变化,并发现,近年来的"高增长、低通胀"是在有效供给能力改善的强有力推动下实现的。这意味着... 基于AD-AS模型,本文估计了一个包含产出和价格水平的结构式向量自回归模型,以此揭示1996—2005年期间驱动中国经济波动的总供需力量变化,并发现,近年来的"高增长、低通胀"是在有效供给能力改善的强有力推动下实现的。这意味着,全球化条件下实现我国经济稳定持续增长的关键因素正在从需求转向供给。因此,现阶段的宏观调控应更加重视供给管理,把提升本国经济竞争力、增加有效供给能力、提高国民收入水平放在宏观经济政策的首位。 展开更多
关键词 总供需冲击分析 结构式向量自回归模型 供给管理政策
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