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基于ARIMA-PSO-LSTM的太阳能预测 被引量:1
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作者 沈露露 黄晋浩 +1 位作者 花敏 周雯 《无线电通信技术》 北大核心 2024年第4期771-778,共8页
太阳能是新兴的可再生能源之一,可将其转化为电能以供无线传感器网络(Wireless Sensor Networks, WSN)使用,对太阳能进行预测可以有效地利用能量,从而达到节省能源、维持网络持续稳定运行的目的。提出了一种新的组合预测模型来预测太阳... 太阳能是新兴的可再生能源之一,可将其转化为电能以供无线传感器网络(Wireless Sensor Networks, WSN)使用,对太阳能进行预测可以有效地利用能量,从而达到节省能源、维持网络持续稳定运行的目的。提出了一种新的组合预测模型来预测太阳能辐照强度,其中改进的粒子群优化(Particle Swarm Optimization, PSO)算法被引入寻找长短期记忆(Long Short Term Memory, LSTM)神经网络模型的最优参数。选取自回归差分移动平均(Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average, ARIMA)模型来预测太阳辐照数据中的线性分量;采用PSO算法来优化LSTM神经网络模型的超参数,有助于提高模型预测的精度和鲁棒性;采用优化的LSTM神经网络模型来预测数据中的非线性分量;最后将两个模型的预测结果进行叠加。实验结果表明,新的组合模型比ARIMA、LSTM等模型,具有更高的预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 自回归差分移动平均模型 长短期记忆神经网络模型 粒子群优化算法 能量预测算法
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Energy-absorption forecast of thin-walled structure by GA-BP hybrid algorithm 被引量:7
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作者 谢素超 周辉 +1 位作者 赵俊杰 章易程 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第4期1122-1128,共7页
In order to analyze the influence rule of experimental parameters on the energy-absorption characteristics and effectively forecast energy-absorption characteristic of thin-walled structure, the forecast model of GA-B... In order to analyze the influence rule of experimental parameters on the energy-absorption characteristics and effectively forecast energy-absorption characteristic of thin-walled structure, the forecast model of GA-BP hybrid algorithm was presented by uniting respective applicability of back-propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) and genetic algorithm (GA). The detailed process was as follows. Firstly, the GA trained the best weights and thresholds as the initial values of BP-ANN to initialize the neural network. Then, the BP-ANN after initialization was trained until the errors converged to the required precision. Finally, the network model, which met the requirements after being examined by the test samples, was applied to energy-absorption forecast of thin-walled cylindrical structure impacting. After example analysis, the GA-BP network model was trained until getting the desired network error only by 46 steps, while the single BP-ANN model achieved the same network error by 992 steps, which obviously shows that the GA-BP hybrid algorithm has faster convergence rate. The average relative forecast error (ARE) of the SEA predictive results obtained by GA-BP hybrid algorithm is 1.543%, while the ARE of the SEA predictive results obtained by BP-ANN is 2.950%, which clearly indicates that the forecast precision of the GA-BP hybrid algorithm is higher than that of the BP-ANN. 展开更多
关键词 thin-walled structure GA-BP hybrid algorithm IMPACT energy-absorption characteristic FORECAST
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Prediction of the lowest energy configuration for Lennard-Jones clusters 被引量:1
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作者 LAI XiangJing XU RuChu HUANG WenQi 《Science China Chemistry》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第6期985-991,共7页
Based on the work of previous researchers, a new unbiased optimization algorithm—the dynamic lattice searching method with two-phase local search and interior operation (DLS-TPIO)—is proposed in this paper. This alg... Based on the work of previous researchers, a new unbiased optimization algorithm—the dynamic lattice searching method with two-phase local search and interior operation (DLS-TPIO)—is proposed in this paper. This algorithm is applied to the optimization of Lennard-Jones (LJ) clusters with N=2–650, 660, and 665–680. For each case, the putative global minimum reported in the Cambridge Cluster Database (CCD) is successfully found. Furthermore, for LJ533 and LJ536, the potential energies obtained in this study are superior to the previous best results. In DLS-TPIO, a combination of the interior operation, two-phase local search method and dynamic lattice searching method is adopted. At the initial stage of the optimization, the interior operation reduces the energy of the cluster, and gradually makes the configuration ordered by moving some surface atoms with high potential energy to the interior of the cluster. Meanwhile, the two-phase local search method guides the search to the more promising region of the configuration space. In this way the success rate of the algorithm is significantly increased. At the final stage of the optimization, in order to decrease energy of the cluster further, the positions of surface atoms are further optimized by using the dynamic lattice searching method. In addition, a simple new method to identify the central atom of icosahedral configurations is also presented. DLS-TPIO has higher computing speed and success rates than some well-known unbiased optimization methods in the literature. 展开更多
关键词 global optimization Lennard-Jones clusters interior operation two-phase local search dynamic lattice searching
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