网格计算经济模型是把经济学的概念应用到网格资源管理和调度的模型,基于计算经济模型的网格资源管理与调度策略借鉴人类社会竞争的市场机制,根据用户的Q oS(Q ua lity of Serv ice)需求进行资源管理与任务调度,不仅使资源所有者和资源...网格计算经济模型是把经济学的概念应用到网格资源管理和调度的模型,基于计算经济模型的网格资源管理与调度策略借鉴人类社会竞争的市场机制,根据用户的Q oS(Q ua lity of Serv ice)需求进行资源管理与任务调度,不仅使资源所有者和资源消费者都能实现各自的经济目标,而且使资源消费者使用轻负载和廉价的资源,达到整个网格资源整体的全局最优、合理利用.展开更多
论文依据工程控制论中的系统辨识理论,就宏观经济系统建模的几个重要方面:先验知识、建模假设、建模数据、机理的恒定性、可辨识性、因果性等进行审视和评论;对宏观经济学术界,有关经济模型的两个有争议的问题、两个责难和卢卡斯批判提...论文依据工程控制论中的系统辨识理论,就宏观经济系统建模的几个重要方面:先验知识、建模假设、建模数据、机理的恒定性、可辨识性、因果性等进行审视和评论;对宏观经济学术界,有关经济模型的两个有争议的问题、两个责难和卢卡斯批判提出了看法.鉴于审视的结果,论文对现用模型经修补后能否预测危机持悲观态度.为此,简介了欧盟经济的巨型并联基于主体的经济模型EU/RACE(agent-based computational model of European economy)及其创新之处.最后为能预测经济危机,论文总结了建模的研究趋势,包括动态随机一般均衡(dynamic stochastic general equilibrium,DSGE)模型和基于主体的可计算(agent-based computational,ACE)模型的结合、需要对宏观经济学进行反思,以及加强对变结构系统辨识的研究等等.展开更多
The intensity allocation criteria of carbon emissions permits and its influence on China＇s regional development are analyzed through the 30-province/autonomous region computable general equilibrium （CGE） model. Sim...The intensity allocation criteria of carbon emissions permits and its influence on China＇s regional development are analyzed through the 30-province/autonomous region computable general equilibrium （CGE） model. Simulation results show that： industrial intensity criteria without taking regional economic development into account deepen the unbalance of regional economic development; regional intensity criteria without taking industrial properties into account exert little negative impact on regional harmonious development, but relatively high negative influence on high-carbon emission industries. The two-step allocation scheme that the central government allocates emissions permits to provincial governments based on regional economic development and then provincial governments allocate emissions permits to emission resources or entities based on industrial properties is a feasible and operable choice.展开更多
The purpose of this study is to analyze economic impacts of reducing greenhouse gases emissions significantly. A large amount of emissions reductions are required throughout this century to avoid dangerous climate cha...The purpose of this study is to analyze economic impacts of reducing greenhouse gases emissions significantly. A large amount of emissions reductions are required throughout this century to avoid dangerous climate change, and understanding the economic consequences under such situations is important and meaningful. The AIM/CGE [Global] model, a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model on a global scale, is applied to analyze carbon prices and changes in GDP when implementing five policy scenarios represented by emissions pathways, respectively. As a result of the analysis, higher carbon prices and larger decreases in GDP compared to the baseline emissions scenario are observed when emissions are reduced more deeply. However, such GDP losses are rather small and insignificant compared to the GDP growth observed throughout the century. These results suggest that although it is challenging to reduce emissions until the level to avoid dangerous climate change, there is a sufficient possibility to achieve it from economic perspectives.展开更多
This paper deals with a single item inventory capacity economic lot sizing model and sale loss. Unsatisfied demand cannot be backlogged. Although the model with time-dependent bounds is a NP problem, however, when los...This paper deals with a single item inventory capacity economic lot sizing model and sale loss. Unsatisfied demand cannot be backlogged. Although the model with time-dependent bounds is a NP problem, however, when lost sale cost is non-increasing, some new properties are proved in an optimal solution, the problem becomes a stockout case. A dynamic programming algorithm is developed to solve the problem in strongly polynomial with O(T3) time. Some numerical results demonstrate that the approach proposed for stockout problem is efficient and applicable.展开更多
We evaluate economic and environmental impacts of climate change mitigation in a country scale considering various time horizons in the analysis applying a single-country dynamic computable general equilibrium model w...We evaluate economic and environmental impacts of climate change mitigation in a country scale considering various time horizons in the analysis applying a single-country dynamic computable general equilibrium model with endogenous technological change. Although there is a possibility that Gross Domestic Product （GDP） becomes larger for the abatement cases than the baseline case in the earlier years, it tends to be lower than that in the later years. The longer the time horizon and/or the more severe the abatement, the larger the negative impacts will be. When subsidizing R＆D investment, increase in GDP compared to the baseline case is realized in the middle of the time horizon, and the larger increase tends to be observed for the longer-term cases. These results would be due to technological change induced by the subsidies and emission abatement. Environmental indicators are also improved. We showed that the results were influenced by the target time horizon when using an intertemporal dynamic model.展开更多
文摘网格计算经济模型是把经济学的概念应用到网格资源管理和调度的模型,基于计算经济模型的网格资源管理与调度策略借鉴人类社会竞争的市场机制,根据用户的Q oS(Q ua lity of Serv ice)需求进行资源管理与任务调度,不仅使资源所有者和资源消费者都能实现各自的经济目标,而且使资源消费者使用轻负载和廉价的资源,达到整个网格资源整体的全局最优、合理利用.
文摘论文依据工程控制论中的系统辨识理论,就宏观经济系统建模的几个重要方面:先验知识、建模假设、建模数据、机理的恒定性、可辨识性、因果性等进行审视和评论;对宏观经济学术界,有关经济模型的两个有争议的问题、两个责难和卢卡斯批判提出了看法.鉴于审视的结果,论文对现用模型经修补后能否预测危机持悲观态度.为此,简介了欧盟经济的巨型并联基于主体的经济模型EU/RACE(agent-based computational model of European economy)及其创新之处.最后为能预测经济危机,论文总结了建模的研究趋势,包括动态随机一般均衡(dynamic stochastic general equilibrium,DSGE)模型和基于主体的可计算(agent-based computational,ACE)模型的结合、需要对宏观经济学进行反思,以及加强对变结构系统辨识的研究等等.
基金supported by National Natural Sci- ence Foundation of China(No.71173212,41101556 and 71203215)the President Fund of GUCAS(No Y1510RY00)
文摘The intensity allocation criteria of carbon emissions permits and its influence on China＇s regional development are analyzed through the 30-province/autonomous region computable general equilibrium （CGE） model. Simulation results show that： industrial intensity criteria without taking regional economic development into account deepen the unbalance of regional economic development; regional intensity criteria without taking industrial properties into account exert little negative impact on regional harmonious development, but relatively high negative influence on high-carbon emission industries. The two-step allocation scheme that the central government allocates emissions permits to provincial governments based on regional economic development and then provincial governments allocate emissions permits to emission resources or entities based on industrial properties is a feasible and operable choice.
文摘The purpose of this study is to analyze economic impacts of reducing greenhouse gases emissions significantly. A large amount of emissions reductions are required throughout this century to avoid dangerous climate change, and understanding the economic consequences under such situations is important and meaningful. The AIM/CGE [Global] model, a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model on a global scale, is applied to analyze carbon prices and changes in GDP when implementing five policy scenarios represented by emissions pathways, respectively. As a result of the analysis, higher carbon prices and larger decreases in GDP compared to the baseline emissions scenario are observed when emissions are reduced more deeply. However, such GDP losses are rather small and insignificant compared to the GDP growth observed throughout the century. These results suggest that although it is challenging to reduce emissions until the level to avoid dangerous climate change, there is a sufficient possibility to achieve it from economic perspectives.
文摘This paper deals with a single item inventory capacity economic lot sizing model and sale loss. Unsatisfied demand cannot be backlogged. Although the model with time-dependent bounds is a NP problem, however, when lost sale cost is non-increasing, some new properties are proved in an optimal solution, the problem becomes a stockout case. A dynamic programming algorithm is developed to solve the problem in strongly polynomial with O(T3) time. Some numerical results demonstrate that the approach proposed for stockout problem is efficient and applicable.
文摘We evaluate economic and environmental impacts of climate change mitigation in a country scale considering various time horizons in the analysis applying a single-country dynamic computable general equilibrium model with endogenous technological change. Although there is a possibility that Gross Domestic Product （GDP） becomes larger for the abatement cases than the baseline case in the earlier years, it tends to be lower than that in the later years. The longer the time horizon and/or the more severe the abatement, the larger the negative impacts will be. When subsidizing R＆D investment, increase in GDP compared to the baseline case is realized in the middle of the time horizon, and the larger increase tends to be observed for the longer-term cases. These results would be due to technological change induced by the subsidies and emission abatement. Environmental indicators are also improved. We showed that the results were influenced by the target time horizon when using an intertemporal dynamic model.
