Wind electricity power has fluctuation, and accurate and reasonable wind electricity power prediction is very important for solving wind electricity network and combination. This paper takes an analysis of a lot of ac...Wind electricity power has fluctuation, and accurate and reasonable wind electricity power prediction is very important for solving wind electricity network and combination. This paper takes an analysis of a lot of actual data of a certain wind electricity field. Through wavelet neural network and time series method rolling, it can predict the overall power of wind electricity field. The result shows that for the original data of sampling time length and large sampling frequency, the model constructed by this paper has very good prediction effect. Because of the fan installation position, wind electricity fan flow effect and other random factor influence, wind electricity field overall power and single unit power distribution have difference. Through comparing with the time series parameters, it puts forward that single wind electricity unit power has smooth effect for overall power of wind electricity field. Finally, it summarizes the prediction effect and puts forward some reasonable suzestions for wind electricity network troblems.展开更多
文摘Wind electricity power has fluctuation, and accurate and reasonable wind electricity power prediction is very important for solving wind electricity network and combination. This paper takes an analysis of a lot of actual data of a certain wind electricity field. Through wavelet neural network and time series method rolling, it can predict the overall power of wind electricity field. The result shows that for the original data of sampling time length and large sampling frequency, the model constructed by this paper has very good prediction effect. Because of the fan installation position, wind electricity fan flow effect and other random factor influence, wind electricity field overall power and single unit power distribution have difference. Through comparing with the time series parameters, it puts forward that single wind electricity unit power has smooth effect for overall power of wind electricity field. Finally, it summarizes the prediction effect and puts forward some reasonable suzestions for wind electricity network troblems.
