Purpose:To examine the joint associations between meeting guidelines for physical activity(PA)and sleep duration and all-cause mortality risk among adults.Methods:Participants were adults(n=282,473)aged 18-84 years wh...Purpose:To examine the joint associations between meeting guidelines for physical activity(PA)and sleep duration and all-cause mortality risk among adults.Methods:Participants were adults(n=282,473)aged 18-84 years who participated in the 2004-2014 U.S.National Health Interview Survey.Mortality status was ascertained using the National Death Index through December 2015.Self-reported PA(Active:meeting both aerobic(AER)and muscle-strengthening(MSA)guidelines,AER only(AER),MSA only(MSA),or not meeting either AER or MSA(Inactive))and sleep duration(Short,recommended(Rec),or Long)were classified according to guidelines,and 12 PA-sleep categories were derived.Adjusted hazard ratios and 95%confidence intervals(95%CIs)for all-cause mortality risk were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models.Results:A total of 282,473 participants(55%females)were included;18,793 deaths(6.7%)occurred over an average follow-up of 5.4 years.Relative to the Active-Rec group,all other PA-sleep groups were associated with increased mortality risk except for the Active-Short group(hazard ratio=1.08;95%CI:0.92-1.26).The combination of long sleep with either MSA or Inactive appeared to be synergistic.For a given sleep duration,mortality risk progressively increased among participants classified as AER,MSA,and Inactive.Within each activity level,the mortality risk was greatest among adults with long sleep.Conclusion:Relative to adults meeting guidelines for both PA and sleep duration,adults who failed to meet guidelines for both AER and muscle strengthening PA and who also failed to meet sleep duration guidelines had elevated all-cause mortality risks.These results support interventions targeting both PA and sleep duration to reduce mortality risk.展开更多
BACKGROUND The Khorana risk score(KRS)has poor predictive value for cancer-associated thrombosis in a single tumor type but is associated with early all-cause mortality from cancer.Evidence for the association between...BACKGROUND The Khorana risk score(KRS)has poor predictive value for cancer-associated thrombosis in a single tumor type but is associated with early all-cause mortality from cancer.Evidence for the association between KRS and all-cause mortality in Japanese patients with gastric and colorectal cancer is limited.AIM To investigate whether KRS was independently related to all-cause mortality in Japanese patients with gastric and colorectal cancer after adjusting for other covariates and to shed light on its temporal validity.METHODS Data from Dryad database were used in this study.Patients in the Gastroen-terology Department of Sapporo General Hospital,Sapporo,Japan,were enrolled.The starting and ending dates of the enrollment were January 1,2008 and January 5,2015,respectively.The cutoff date for follow-up was May 31,2016.The inde-pendent and dependent(target)variables were the baseline measured using the KRS and final all-cause mortality,respectively.The KRS was categorized into three groups:Low-risk group(=0 score),intermediate-risk group(1-2 score),and high-risk group(≥3 score).RESULTS Men and patients with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status(ECOG PS)≥2 displayed a higher 2-year risk of death than women and those with ECOG PS 0-1 in the intermediate/high risk group for KRS.The higher the score,the higher the risk of early death;however,the relevance of this independent prediction decreased with longer survival.The overall survival of each patient was recorded via real-world follow-up and retrospective observations,and this study yielded the overall relationship between KRS and all-cause mortality.CONCLUSION The prechemotherapy baseline of KRS was independently associated with all-cause mortality within 2 years;however,this independent predictive relationship weakened as survival time increased.展开更多
BACKGROUND As per the latest Surviving Sepsis Campaign guidelines,fluid resuscitation should be guided by repeated measurements of blood lactate levels until normalization.Nevertheless,raised lactate levels should be ...BACKGROUND As per the latest Surviving Sepsis Campaign guidelines,fluid resuscitation should be guided by repeated measurements of blood lactate levels until normalization.Nevertheless,raised lactate levels should be interpreted in the clinical context,as there may be other causes of elevated lactate levels.Thus,it may not be the best tool for real-time assessment of the effect of hemodynamic resuscitation,and exploring alternative resuscitation targets should be an essential research priority in sepsis.AIM To compare the 28-d mortality in two clinical patterns of septic shock:hyperlactatemic patients with hypoperfusion context and hyperlactatemic patients without hypoperfusion context.METHODS This prospective comparative observational study carried out on 135 adult patients with septic shock that met Sepsis-3 definitions compared patients with hyperlactatemia in a hypoperfusion context(Group 1,n=95)and patients with hyperlactatemia in a non-hypoperfusion context(Group 2,n=40).Hypoperfusion context was defined by a central venous saturation less than 70%,central venousarterial PCO_(2)gradient[P(cv-a)CO_(2)]≥6 mmHg,and capillary refilling time(CRT)≥4 s.The patients were observed for various macro and micro hemodynamic parameters at regular intervals of 0 h,3 h,and 6 h.All-cause 28-d mortality and all other secondary objective parameters were observed at specified intervals.Nominal categorical data were compared using theχ^(2)or Fisher’s exact test.Nonnormally distributed continuous variables were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test.Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with the Youden index determined the cutoff values of lactate,CRT,and metabolic perfusion parameters to predict the 28-d all-cause mortality.A P value of<0.05 was considered significant.RESULTS Patient demographics,comorbidities,baseline laboratory,vital parameters,source of infection,baseline lactate levels,and lactate clearance at 3 h and 6 h,Sequential Organ Failure scores,need for invasive mechanical ventilation,days on mechanical ventilation,and renal replacement therapy-free days within 28 d,duration of intensive care unit stay,and hospital stay were comparable between the two groups.The stratification of patients into hypoperfusion and nonhypoperfusion context did not result in a significantly different 28-d mortality(24%vs 15%,respectively;P=0.234).However,the patients within the hypoperfusion context with high P(cva)CO_(2)and CRT(P=0.022)at baseline had significantly higher mortality than Group 2.The norepinephrine dose was higher in Group 1 but did not achieve statistical significance with a P>0.05 at all measured intervals.Group 1 had a higher proportion of patients requiring vasopressin and the mean vasopressor-free days out of the total 28 d were lower in patients with hypoperfusion(18.88±9.04 vs 21.08±8.76;P=0.011).The mean lactate levels and lactate clearance at 3 h and 6 h,CRT,P(cv-a)CO_(2)at 0 h,3 h,and 6 h were found to be associated with 28-d mortality in patients with septic shock,with lactate levels at 6 h having the best predictive value(area under the curve lactate at 6 h:0.845).CONCLUSION Septic shock patients fulfilling the hypoperfusion and non-hypoperfusion context exhibited similar 28-d all-cause hospital mortality,although patients with hypoperfusion displayed a more severe circulatory dysfunction.Lactate levels at 6 h had a better predictive value in predicting 28-d mortality than other parameters.Persistently high P(cv-a)CO_(2)(>6 mmHg)or increased CRT(>4 s)at 3 h and 6 h during early resuscitation can be a valuable additional aid for prognostication of septic shock patients.展开更多
Background:Inconsistent results have been reported in developed countries for relationships between sedentary behavior and cancer incidence and mortality,and evidence from the Chinese population is scarce.This study a...Background:Inconsistent results have been reported in developed countries for relationships between sedentary behavior and cancer incidence and mortality,and evidence from the Chinese population is scarce.This study aimed to investigate such relationships in large Chinese population-based prospective cohorts and to explore the joint effect and interaction of sedentary behavior and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity(MVPA)on these relationships.Methods:We included 95,319 Chinese adults without cancer from 3 large cohorts and assessed their sedentary behavior and physical activity with a unified questionnaire.Cancer incidence and mortality were confirmed by interviewing participants or their proxies and checking hospital records and death certificates.Hazard ratios(HRs)and 95%confidence intervals(95%CIs)for cancer and mortality were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models.Results:During 559,002 person-years of follow-up,2388 cancer events,1571 cancer deaths,and 4562 all-cause deaths were recorded.Sedentary behavior was associated with increased risk of developing cancer and deaths in a doseresponse manner.The multivariable-adjusted HRs(95%CIs)were the following:HR=1.16,95%CI:1.01-1.33;HR=1.24,95%CI:1.04-1.48;and HR=1.15,95%CI:1.04-1.28 for cancer incidence,cancer mortality,and all-cause mortality,respectively,for those having≥10 h/day of sedentary time compared with those having<6 h/day of sedentary time.Sedentary populations(≥10 h/day)developed cancer or died 4.09 years and 2.79 years earlier,respectively,at the index age of 50 years.Failure to achieve the recommended level of MVPA may further aggravate the adverse associations,with the highest cancer and mortality risks being observed among participants with both≥10 h/day of sedentary time and<150 min/week of MVPA.Limitations of this study include the fact that physical activity information was obtained via questionnaire instead of objective measurement and that there were insufficient incident cases for the analysis of associations between sedentary behavior and site-specific cancers.Conclusion:Sedentary behavior was associated with an increased risk of cancer and all-cause mortality among Chinese adults,especially for those with≥10 h/day of sedentary time.It is necessary to reduce sedentary time,in addition to increasing MVPA levels,for the prevention of cancer and premature death.展开更多
Objective This study aimed to assess the association of waist circumference(WC)with all-cause mortality among Chinese adults.Methods The baseline data were from Shanxi Province of 2002 China Nutrition and Health Surve...Objective This study aimed to assess the association of waist circumference(WC)with all-cause mortality among Chinese adults.Methods The baseline data were from Shanxi Province of 2002 China Nutrition and Health Survey.The death investigation and follow-up visit were conducted from December 2015 to March 2016.The visits covered up to 5,360 of 7,007 participants,representing a response rate of 76.5%.The Cox regression model and floating absolute risk were used to estimate hazard ratio and 95%floating CI of death by gender and age groups(≥60 and<60 years old).Sensitivity analysis was performed by excluding current smokers;participants with stroke,hypertension,and diabetes;participants who accidentally died;and participants who died during the first 2 years of follow-up.Results This study followed 67,129 person-years for 12.5 years on average,including 615 deaths.The mortality density was 916 per 100,000 person-years.Low WC was associated with all-cause mortality among men.Multifactor-adjusted hazard ratios(HR)were 1.60(1.35–1.90)for WC<75.0 cm and 1.40(1.11–1.76)for WC ranging from 75.0 cm to 79.9 cm.Low WC(<70.0 cm and 70.0–74.9 cm)and high WC(≥95.0 cm)groups had a high risk of mortality among women.The adjusted HRs of death were 1.43(1.11–1.83),1.39(1.05–1.84),and 1.91(1.13–3.22).Conclusion WC was an important predictor of death independent of body mass index(BMI).WC should be used as a simple rapid screening and predictive indicator of the risk of death.展开更多
BACKGROUND The long-term impact of vitamin D deficiency and metabolic syndrome(MetS)on cardiovascular disease(CVD)and all-cause mortality are still a matter of debate.AIM To test the hypotheses that lower serum 25 hyd...BACKGROUND The long-term impact of vitamin D deficiency and metabolic syndrome(MetS)on cardiovascular disease(CVD)and all-cause mortality are still a matter of debate.AIM To test the hypotheses that lower serum 25 hydroxyvitamin D[25(OH)D]concentrations(a marker of vitamin D level)and MetS have a long-term impact on the risk of CVD and all-cause mortality,and individuals with vitamin D deficiency can be identified by multiple factors.METHODS A sample of 9094 adults,20 to 90 years of age,who participated in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(NHANES III,1988 to 1994)were followed through December 2015 was analyzed.The associations of serum 25(OH)D concentrations and MetS with CVD and all-cause mortality were analyzed longitudinally using Cox regression models.Classification and regression tree(CART)for machine learning was applied to classify individuals with vitamin D deficiency.RESULTS Of 9094 participants,30%had serum 25(OH)D concentrations<20 ng/mL(defined as vitamin D deficiency),39%had serum 25(OH)D concentrations between 20 to 29 ng/mL(insufficiency),and 31%had serum 25(OH)D concentrations≥30 ng/mL(sufficiency).Prevalence of MetS was 28.4%.During a mean of 18 years follow-up,vitamin D deficiency and MetS were significantly associated with increased risk of CVD and all-cause mortality.Subjects with both vitamin D deficiency and MetS had the highest risk of CVD mortality(HR=1.77,95%CI:1.22-2.58)and all-cause mortality(HR=1.62,95%CI:1.26-2.09),followed by those with both vitamin D insufficiency and MetS for CVD mortality(HR=1.59,95%CI:1.12-2.24),and all-cause mortality(HR=1.41,95%CI:1.08-1.85).Meanwhile,vitamin D sufficiency significantly decreased the risk of CVD and all-cause mortality for those who even had MetS.Among the total study sample,CART analysis suggests that being non-Hispanic Black,having lower serum folate level,and being female were the first three predictors for those with serum 25(OH)D deficiency.CONCLUSION Vitamin D deficiency and MetS were significantly associated with increased risk of CVD and allcause mortality.There was a significant joint effect of vitamin D deficiency and MetS on the risk of mortality.Findings of the CART analysis may be useful to identify individuals positioned to benefit from interventions to reduce the risk of CVD and all-cause mortality.展开更多
BACKGROUND Obesity is a major health problem due to its high prevalence. The relationship between obesity and cardiovascular disease is unclear. Some studies agree that certain conditions associated with obesity, such...BACKGROUND Obesity is a major health problem due to its high prevalence. The relationship between obesity and cardiovascular disease is unclear. Some studies agree that certain conditions associated with obesity, such as physical inactivity or cardiovascular risk factors, are responsible for cardiovascular risk excess among obese people. Carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaques(CP) have been associated with cardiovascular adverse events in healthy populations, and recent data suggest a higher prevalence of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis in obese and metabolically unhealthy patients. However, there are no studies correlating subclinical atherosclerosis and adverse events(AE) in obese subjects.AIM To determine the association between carotid disease and AE in obese patients with negative exercise echocardiography(EE).METHODS From January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2010, 2000 consecutive patients with a suspicion of coronary artery disease were submitted for EE and carotid ultrasonography. Exclusion criteria included previous vascular disease, left ventricular ejection fraction < 50%, positive EE, significant valvular heart disease and inferior to submaximal EE. An AE was defined as all-cause mortality,myocardial infarction and cerebrovascular accident. Subclinical atherosclerosis was defined as CP presence according to Manheim and the American Society of Echocardiography Consensus.RESULTS Of the 652 patients who fulfilled the inclusion criteria, 226(34.7%) had body mass indexes ≥ 30 kg/m2, and 76 of them(33.6%) had CP. During a mean follow-up time of 8.2(2.1) years, 27 AE were found(11.9%). Mean event-free survival at 1, 5 and 10 years was 99.1%(0.6), 95.1%(1.4) and 86.5%(2.7), respectively. In univariate analysis, CP predicted AE [hazard ratio(HR) 2.52, 95% confidence interval(CI) 1.17-5.46; P = 0.019]. In multivariable analysis, the presence of CP remained a predictor of AE(HR 2.26, 95%CI 1.04-4.95, P = 0.041). Other predictors identified were glomerular filtration rate(HR 0.98, 95%CI 0.96-0.99; P= 0.023), peak metabolic equivalents(HR 0.83, 95%CI 0.70–0.99, P = 0.034) and moderate mitral regurgitation(HR 5.02, 95%CI 1.42–17.75, P = 0.012).CONCLUSION Subclinical atherosclerosis defined by CP predicts AE in obese patients with negative EE. These patients could benefit from aggressive prevention measures.展开更多
AIM To assess the association of resting heart rate with allcause and cardiovascular disease(CVD) mortality in the Diabetes Heart Study(DHS).METHODS Out of a total of 1443 participants recruited into the DHS, 1315 par...AIM To assess the association of resting heart rate with allcause and cardiovascular disease(CVD) mortality in the Diabetes Heart Study(DHS).METHODS Out of a total of 1443 participants recruited into the DHS, 1315 participants with type 2 diabetes who were free of atrial fibrillation and supraventricular tachycardia during the baseline exam were included in this analysis. Heart rate was collected from baseline resting electrocardiogram and mortality(all-cause and CVD) was obtained from state and national death registry. Kaplan-Meier(K-M) and Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to assess the association.RESULTS The mean age, body mass index(BMI) and systolic blood pressure(SBP) of the cohort were 61.4 ± 9.2 years, 32.0 ± 6.6 kg/m2, and 139.4 ± 19.4 mmHg respectively. Fiftysix percent were females, 85% were whites, 15% were blacks, 18% were smokers. The mean ± SD heart rate was 69.8(11.9) beats per minute(bpm). After a median follow-up time of 8.5 years(maximum follow-up time is 14.0 years), 258 participants were deceased. In K-M analysis, participants with heart rate above the median had a significantly higher event rate compared with those below the median(log-rank P = 0.0223). A one standard deviation increase in heart rate was associated with allcause mortality in unadjusted(hazard ratio 1.16, 95%CI: 1.03-1.31) and adjusted(hazard ratio 1.20, 95%CI: 1.05-1.37) models. Similar results were obtained with CVD mortality as the outcome of interest.CONCLUSION Heart rate is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in this population with type 2 diabetes. In this study, a 1-SD increase in heart rate was associated with a 20% increase in risk suggesting that additional prognostic information may be gleaned from this ubiquitously collected vital sign.展开更多
Background Frailty is a multidimensional syndrome that reflects the physiological reserve of elderly.It is related to unfavorable outcomes in various cardiovascular conditions.We conducted a systematic review and meta...Background Frailty is a multidimensional syndrome that reflects the physiological reserve of elderly.It is related to unfavorable outcomes in various cardiovascular conditions.We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the association of frailty with all-cause mortality and bleeding after acute myocardial infarction(AMI)in the elderly.Methods We comprehensively searched the databases of MEDLINE and EMBASE from inception to March 2019.The studies that reported mortality and bleeding in AMI patients who were evaluated and classified by frailty status were included.Data from each study were combined using the random-effects,generic inverse variance method of Der Simonian and Laird to calculate hazard ratio(HR),and 95%confidence interval(CI).Results Twenty-one studies from 2011 to 2019 were included in this meta-analysis involving 143,301 subjects(mean age 75.33-year-old,60.0%male).Frailty status was evaluated using different methods such as Fried Frailty Index.Frailty was statistically associated with increased early mortality in nine studies(pooled HR=2.07,95%CI:1.67-2.56,P<0.001,I^2=41.2%)and late mortality in 11 studies(pooled HR=2.30,95%CI:1.70-3.11,P<0.001,I^2=65.8%).Moreover,frailty was also statistically associated with higher bleeding in 7 studies(pooled HR=1.34,95%CI:1.12-1.59,P<0.001,I^2=4.7%).Conclusion Frailty is strongly and independently associated with bleeding,early and late mortality in elderly with AMI.Frailty assessment should be considered as an additional risk factor and used to guide toward personalized treatment strategies.展开更多
Background:Both hypertension and grip strength(GS)are predictors of mortality and cardiovascular disease(CVD),but whether these risk factors interact to affect CVD and all-cause mortality is unknown.This study sought ...Background:Both hypertension and grip strength(GS)are predictors of mortality and cardiovascular disease(CVD),but whether these risk factors interact to affect CVD and all-cause mortality is unknown.This study sought to investigate the associations of GS with the risk of major CVD incidence,CVD mortality,and all-cause mortality in patients with hypertension.Methods:GS was measured using a Jamar dynamometer(Sammons Preston,Bolingbrook,IL,USA)in participants aged 3570 years from 12 provinces included in the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology China Study.Cox frailty proportional hazards models were used to examine the associations of GS and hypertension and the outcomes of all-cause mortality and CVD incidence/mortality.Results:Among 39,862 participants included in this study,15,964 reported having hypertension,and 9095 had high GS at baseline.After a median follow-up of 8.9 years(interquartile range,6.79.9 years),1822 participants developed major CVD,and 1250 deaths occurred(388 as a result of CVD).Compared with normotensive participants with high GS,hypertensive patients with high GS had a higher risk of major CVD incidence(hazard ratio(HR)=2.39;95%confidence interval(95%CI):1.863.06;p<0.001)or CVD mortality(HR=3.11;95%CI:1.596.06;p<0.001)but did not have a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality(HR=1.24;95%CI:0.921.68;p=0.159).These risks were further increased if hypertensive participants whose GS level was low(major CVD incidence,HR=3.31,95%CI:2.604.22,p<0.001;CVD mortality,HR=4.99,95%CI:2.649.43,p<0.001;and all-cause mortality,HR=1.93,95%CI:1.472.53,p<0.001).Conclusion:The present study demonstrates that low GS is associated with the highest risk of major CVD incidence,CVD mortality,and all-cause mortality among hypertensive patients.High levels of GS appear to mitigate long-term mortality risk among hypertensive patients.展开更多
AIM: To assess the association of a surrogate of fatty liver disease(FLD) with incident type-2 diabetes, coronary heart disease, and all-cause mortality.METHODS: In a prospective population-based study on 1822 middle-...AIM: To assess the association of a surrogate of fatty liver disease(FLD) with incident type-2 diabetes, coronary heart disease, and all-cause mortality.METHODS: In a prospective population-based study on 1822 middle-aged adults, stratified to gender, we used an algorithm of fatty liver index(FLI) to identify associations with outcomes. An index ≥ 60 indicated the presence of FLD. In Cox regression models, adjusted for age, smoking status, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure, we assessed the predictive value of FLI for incident diabetes, coronary heart disease(CHD), and all-cause mortality.RESULTS: At a mean 8 year follow-up, 218 and 285 incident cases of diabetes and CHD, respectively, and 193 deaths were recorded. FLD was significantly associated in each gender with blood pressure, total cholesterol, apolipoprotein B, uric acid, and C-reactive protein; weakly with fasting glucose; and inversely with high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol and sex hormonebinding globulin. In adjusted Cox models, FLD was(with a 5-fold HR) the major determinant of diabetes development. Analyses further disclosed significant independent prediction of CHD by FLD in combined gender [hazard ratio(HR) = 1.72, 95% confidence interval(CI): 1.17-2.53] and men(HR = 2.35, 95%CI: 1.25-4.43). Similarly-adjusted models for all-cause mortality proved, however, not to confer risk, except for a tendency in prediabetics and diabetic women.CONCLUSION: A surrogate of FLD conferred significant high risk of diabetes and coronary heart disease, independent of some metabolic syndrome traits. Allcause mortality was not associated with FLD, except likely in the prediabetic state. Such a FLI may reliably be used in epidemiologic studies.展开更多
Objective To assess the predictive value of serum uric acid levels for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in a large prospective population based study.Methods The study was based on 3648 participants in Shanghai ...Objective To assess the predictive value of serum uric acid levels for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in a large prospective population based study.Methods The study was based on 3648 participants in Shanghai and Beijing,who were inpatients with high cardiovascular(CV) risk at baseLine (2004.7 to 2005.1),and blood was taken.Follow-up for death from cardiovascular disease and any cause was complete until January 1,2006.Results The mean follow-up was 1 years.There were 303 deaths during follow-up,of which 121 were cardiovascular.Crude mortality rates were 8.3 % for all patients,6.8% for female patients (116/1715),and 9.7% (187/1933) for male patients.Among men,patients in the lower and higher uric acid groups had increased cardiac and overall mortality risks compared with patients in the normal uric acid groups.Similar relation was found in women but not statistically significant.After adjusting for other conventional risk factors (age,diabetes,hypertension,diuretic use and smoking),baseline uric acid level was still associated with increased risk for death from cardiovascular disease (P=0.005),or death from all causes (P=0.014) Conclusion Our data suggest that abnormal serum uric acid levels are independently and significantly associated with risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.(J Geriatr Cardiol 2008;5:15-20)展开更多
Objective This study aimed to determine the association of hyperlipidemia with clinical endpoints among hospitalized patients with COVID-19,especially those with pre-existing cardiovascular diseases(CVDs)and diabetes....Objective This study aimed to determine the association of hyperlipidemia with clinical endpoints among hospitalized patients with COVID-19,especially those with pre-existing cardiovascular diseases(CVDs)and diabetes.Methods This multicenter retrospective cohort study included all patients who were hospitalized due to COVID-19 from 21 hospitals in Hubei province,China between December 31,2019 and April 21,2020.Patients who were aged<18 or≥85 years old,in pregnancy,with acute lethal organ injury(e.g.,acute myocardial infarction,severe acute pancreatitis,acute stroke),hypothyroidism,malignant diseases,severe malnutrition,and those with normal lipid profile under lipid-lowering medicines(e.g,statin,niacin,fenofibrate,gemfibrozil,and ezetimibe)were excluded.Propensity score matching(PSM)analysis at 1:1 ratio was performed to minimize baseline differences between patient groups of hyperlipidemia and non-hyperlipidemia.PSM analyses with the same strategies were further conducted for the parameters of hyperlipidemia in patients with increased triglyceride(TG),increased low・density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C),and decreased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C).Mixed-effect Cox model analysis was performed to investigate the associations of the 28-days all-cause deaths of COVID-19 patients with hyperlipidemia and the abnormalities of lipid parameters.The results were verified in male,female patients,and in patients with pre-existing CVDs and type 2 diabetes.Results Of 1094S inpatients confirmed as COVID-19,there were 9822 inpatients included in the study,comprising 3513(35.8%)cases without hyperlipidemia and 6309(64.2%)cases with hyperlipidemia.Based on a mixed-effect Cox model after PSM at 1:1 ratio,hyperlipidemia was not associated with increased or decreased 28-day all-cause death[adjusted hazard ratio(HR),1.17(95%C/,0.95-1.44),P二0.151].Wb found that the parameters of hyperlipidemia were not associated with the risk of 28-day all-cause mortality[adjusted HR,1.23(95%CI,0.98-1.55),P=0.075 in TG increase group;0.78(95%CI,0.57-1.07),P=0.123 in LDL-C increase group;and 1.12(95%CI,0.9-1.39),P=0.299 in HDL-C decrease group,respectively].Hyperlipidemia was also not significantly associated with the increased mortality of COVID-19 in patients accompanied with CVDs or type 2 diabetes,and in both male and female cohorts.Conclusion Our study support that the imbalanced lipid profile is not significantly associated with the 28-day all-cause mortality of COVID-19 patients,even in those accompanied with CVDs or diabetes.Similar results were also obtained in subgroup analyses of abnormal lipid parameters.Therefore,hyperlipidemia might be not a major causative factor for poor outcome of COVID-19,which provides guidance for the intervention of inpatients during the epidemic of COVID-19.展开更多
Objective To verify the optimal cut-off points for overweight and obesity in Chinese adults based on the relationship of baseline body mass index (BMI) to all-cause mortality, and incidence of cardiovascular diseases ...Objective To verify the optimal cut-off points for overweight and obesity in Chinese adults based on the relationship of baseline body mass index (BMI) to all-cause mortality, and incidence of cardiovascular diseases from pooled data of Chinese cohorts. Methods The prospective study data of existing cohort studies in China were collected, and the age-adjusted all-cause mortality stratified by BMI were estimated. The similar analysis was repeated after excluding deaths within the first three years of follow-up and after excluding smokers. The incidence of age-adjusted coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke stratified by BMI were also analyzed. Multiple Cox regression coefficients of BMI for the incidence of CHD and stroke after controlling other risk factors were pooled utilizing the methods of weighting by inverse of variance to reveal whether BMI had independent effect and its strength on the incidence of CHD and stroke. Results The data of 4 cohorts including 76 227 persons, with 745 346 person-years of follow-up were collected and analyzed. The age-adjusted all-cause mortality stratified by BMI showed a U-shaped curve, even after excluding deaths within the first three years of follow-up and excluding smokers. Age-adjusted all-cause mortality increased when BMI was lower than 18.5 and higher than 28. The incidence of CHD and stroke, especially ishemic stroke increased with increasing BMI, this was consistent with parallel increasing of risk factors. Cox regression analysis showed that BMI was an independent risk factor for both CHD and stroke. Each amount of 2 kg/m2 increase in baseline BMI might cause 15.4%, 6.1% and 18.8 % increase in relative risk of CHD, total stroke and ischemic stroke. Reduction of BMI to under 24 might prevent the incidence of CHD by 11% and that of stroke by 15 % for men, and 22 % of both diseases for women. Conclusion BMI ≤18.5, 24-27.9 and ≥28 (kg/m2) is the appropriate cut-off points for underweight, overweight and obesity in Chinese adults.展开更多
Background: Studies on the association between obesity and all-cause mortality have found that the degree of obesity is directly proportional to all-cause mortality. In contrast, there have been studies indicating tha...Background: Studies on the association between obesity and all-cause mortality have found that the degree of obesity is directly proportional to all-cause mortality. In contrast, there have been studies indicating that obese people with underlying diseases have a higher survival rate. We hypothesized that age and underlying diseases lead to such contrasting results. Therefore, we conducted a study to clarify the influence of post-middle age obesity and underlying diseases on all-cause mortality. Methods: This study used data from longitudinal studies in the United States, which conducted follow-up for 19 years on 33,708 participants in different age groups: ≥45, 45 - 64, and ≥65 years. Hazard ratio (HR) was determined using the Cox proportional hazards model to analyze a group consisting of all participants, a group of those with underlying diseases, and a group of those without underlying diseases, considering age, gender, education history, marital status, household income, smoking history, and BMI category as covariates. Results: In the group aged ≥65 without underlying diseases, HR was almost 1 in those with BMI 25 - 35 kg/m2. Further, HR was higher in the 45 - 64 age group without underlying diseases if BMI was >35 kg/m2. However, HR was approximately 1 in the ≥65 age group. Conclusions: The study revealed that among individuals aged ≥65 years without underlying diseases, there was no association between obesity and all-cause mortality. Among individuals without underlying diseases, HR was higher in the 45 - 64 age group with BMI > 35 kg/m2 but was approximately 1 among those aged ≥65 years. Therefore, an interaction based on age was detected. These findings may lead to recommendations regarding the need to modify the advice and education provided to obese individuals in different age groups.展开更多
Objective To explore the association between body mass index(BMI)and all-cause mortality among the elderly in Beijing.Methods This analysis was based on the Beijing multidimensional longitudinal study of aging(BLSA),w...Objective To explore the association between body mass index(BMI)and all-cause mortality among the elderly in Beijing.Methods This analysis was based on the Beijing multidimensional longitudinal study of aging(BLSA),which included 2,090 subjects over 55 years old and was followed-up from 1992 to 2012.BMI-mortality curves were drawn to find the optimal BMI range with the lowest mortality.Cox proportional hazard models were used to obtain the hazard ratios(HRs)for BMI and BMI changes in the overall population and in specific stratified populations.Results During follow-up,1,164 deaths were recorded;BMI-mortality curve was U-shaped,with the lowest mortality at a BMI of approximately 25 kg/m^2.After adjusting for gender,age,smoking,drinking and some pre-existing diseases,HRs for underweight,overweight and obesity compared with normal weight were 1.372(95%CI:1.154-1.631),0.767(95%CI:0.666-0.884)and 0.871(95%CI:0.830-1.246),respectively.HR for BMI drop was 3.245(95%CI:0.824-12.772)in the underweight group and 1.892(95%CI:0.830-1.246)in the normal weight group,HR for BMI rise was 1.795(95%CI:1.243-2.591)in normal weight group and 1.962(95%CI:1.202-3.203)in the overweight group.Conclusion Keeping BMI in an overweight status and stable is related to a reduced mortality.展开更多
Background:A goal of 10,000 steps per day is widely advocated,but there is little evidence to support that goal.Our purpose was to examine the doseresponse relationships between step count and all-cause mortality and ...Background:A goal of 10,000 steps per day is widely advocated,but there is little evidence to support that goal.Our purpose was to examine the doseresponse relationships between step count and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease risk.Methods:Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials,EMBASE,OVID,PubMed,Scopus,and Web of Science databases were systematically searched for studies published before July 9,2021,that evaluated the association between daily steps and at least 1 outcome.Results:Sixteen publications(12 related to all-cause mortality,5 related to cardiovascular disease;and 1 article contained 2 outcomes:both allcause death and cardiovascular events)were eligible for inclusion in the meta-analysis.There was evidence of a nonlinear doseresponse relationship between step count and risk of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular disease(p=0.002 and p=0.014 for nonlinearity,respectively).When we restricted the analyses to accelerometer-based studies,the third quartile had a 40.36%lower risk of all-cause mortality and a 35.05%lower risk of cardiovascular event than the first quartile(all-cause mortality:Q1=4183 steps/day,Q3=8959 steps/day;cardiovascular event:Q1=3500 steps/day,Q3=9500 steps/day;respectively).Conclusion:Our meta-analysis suggests inverse associations between higher step count and risk of premature death and cardiovascular events in middle-aged and older adults,with nonlinear doseresponse patterns.展开更多
BACKGROUND To examine the association of baseline waist circumference(WC)and changes in WC with cardiovascular disease(CVD)and all-cause mortality among elderly people.METHODS A total of 30,041 eligible participants w...BACKGROUND To examine the association of baseline waist circumference(WC)and changes in WC with cardiovascular disease(CVD)and all-cause mortality among elderly people.METHODS A total of 30,041 eligible participants were included from a retrospective cohort in China.The same questionnaire,anthropometric and laboratory measurements were performed at baseline(2010)and the first follow-up(2013).The percent change in WC between baseline and the first follow-up was calculated to evaluate three years change of WC.We collected the occurrence of CVD and all-cause death from the first follow-up to December 31,2018.Restricted cubic splines and Cox proportionalhazards regression models were used to evaluate the relationship between baseline WC/changes in WC and mortality.RESULTS The dose-response relationships between baseline WC and CVD mortality were U-or J-shaped.In low WC group,compared with stable group,the fully adjusted hazard ratio(aHR)for CVD mortality was 1.60(95%CI:1.24−2.06)in WC gain group among men.In normal WC group,the CVD mortality risk increased with WC gain(men:aHR=1.86,95%CI:1.36−2.56;women:aHR=1.83,95%CI:1.29−2.58).In moderate-high WC group,the CVD mortality risk increased with WC gain(men:aHR=1.76,95%CI:1.08−2.88;women:aHR=1.46,95%CI:1.04−2.05)and risk decreased with WC loss(men:aHR=0.54,95%CI:0.30−0.98;women:aHR=0.59,95%CI:0.37−0.96).CONCLUSIONS For the elderly population,WC gain may increase CVD mortality risk regardless of baseline WC,whereas WC reduction could decrease the risk only in the moderate-high WC group.展开更多
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the association of longitudinal changes in physical activity(PA)with long-term outcomes after im-plantable cardioverter-defibrillator(ICD)or cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator(CRT-D)...OBJECTIVE To evaluate the association of longitudinal changes in physical activity(PA)with long-term outcomes after im-plantable cardioverter-defibrillator(ICD)or cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator(CRT-D)implantation.METHODS Patients with ICD/CRT-D implantation from SUMMIT registry were retrospectively analyzed.Accelerometer-de-rived PA changes over 12 months post implantation were obtained from the archived home monitoring data.The primary end-points were cardiac death and all-cause mortality.The secondary endpoints were the first ventricular arrthymia(VA)and first ap-propriate ICD shock.RESULTS In 705 patients,446(63.3%)patients showed improved PA over 12 months after implantation.During a mean 61.5-month follow-up duration,99 cardiac deaths(14.0%)and 153 all-cause deaths(21.7%)occurred.Compared to reduced/un-changed PA,improved PA over 12 months could result in significantly reduced risks of cardiac death(improved PA≤30 min:hazard ratio(HR)=0.494,95%CI:0.288−0.848;>30 min:HR=0.390,95%CI:0.235−0.648)and all-cause mortality(improved PA≤30 min:HR=0.467,95%CI:0.299−0.728;>30 min:HR=0.451,95%CI:0.304−0.669).No differences in the VAs or ICD shocks were observed across different groups of PA changes.PA changes can predict the risks of cardiac death only in the low baseline PA group,but improved PA was associated with 56.7%,57.4%,and 62.3%reduced risks of all-cause mortality in the low,moderate,and high baseline PA groups,respectively,than reduced/unchanged PA.CONCLUSIONS Improved PA could protect aganist cardiac death and all-cause mortality,probably reflecting better clinical efficacy after ICD/CRT-D implantation.Low-intensity exercise training might be encouraged among patients with different baseline PA levels.展开更多
基金MJD is supported by a Career Development Fellowship(APP1141606)from the National Health and Medical Research Council.
文摘Purpose:To examine the joint associations between meeting guidelines for physical activity(PA)and sleep duration and all-cause mortality risk among adults.Methods:Participants were adults(n=282,473)aged 18-84 years who participated in the 2004-2014 U.S.National Health Interview Survey.Mortality status was ascertained using the National Death Index through December 2015.Self-reported PA(Active:meeting both aerobic(AER)and muscle-strengthening(MSA)guidelines,AER only(AER),MSA only(MSA),or not meeting either AER or MSA(Inactive))and sleep duration(Short,recommended(Rec),or Long)were classified according to guidelines,and 12 PA-sleep categories were derived.Adjusted hazard ratios and 95%confidence intervals(95%CIs)for all-cause mortality risk were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models.Results:A total of 282,473 participants(55%females)were included;18,793 deaths(6.7%)occurred over an average follow-up of 5.4 years.Relative to the Active-Rec group,all other PA-sleep groups were associated with increased mortality risk except for the Active-Short group(hazard ratio=1.08;95%CI:0.92-1.26).The combination of long sleep with either MSA or Inactive appeared to be synergistic.For a given sleep duration,mortality risk progressively increased among participants classified as AER,MSA,and Inactive.Within each activity level,the mortality risk was greatest among adults with long sleep.Conclusion:Relative to adults meeting guidelines for both PA and sleep duration,adults who failed to meet guidelines for both AER and muscle strengthening PA and who also failed to meet sleep duration guidelines had elevated all-cause mortality risks.These results support interventions targeting both PA and sleep duration to reduce mortality risk.
文摘BACKGROUND The Khorana risk score(KRS)has poor predictive value for cancer-associated thrombosis in a single tumor type but is associated with early all-cause mortality from cancer.Evidence for the association between KRS and all-cause mortality in Japanese patients with gastric and colorectal cancer is limited.AIM To investigate whether KRS was independently related to all-cause mortality in Japanese patients with gastric and colorectal cancer after adjusting for other covariates and to shed light on its temporal validity.METHODS Data from Dryad database were used in this study.Patients in the Gastroen-terology Department of Sapporo General Hospital,Sapporo,Japan,were enrolled.The starting and ending dates of the enrollment were January 1,2008 and January 5,2015,respectively.The cutoff date for follow-up was May 31,2016.The inde-pendent and dependent(target)variables were the baseline measured using the KRS and final all-cause mortality,respectively.The KRS was categorized into three groups:Low-risk group(=0 score),intermediate-risk group(1-2 score),and high-risk group(≥3 score).RESULTS Men and patients with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status(ECOG PS)≥2 displayed a higher 2-year risk of death than women and those with ECOG PS 0-1 in the intermediate/high risk group for KRS.The higher the score,the higher the risk of early death;however,the relevance of this independent prediction decreased with longer survival.The overall survival of each patient was recorded via real-world follow-up and retrospective observations,and this study yielded the overall relationship between KRS and all-cause mortality.CONCLUSION The prechemotherapy baseline of KRS was independently associated with all-cause mortality within 2 years;however,this independent predictive relationship weakened as survival time increased.
文摘BACKGROUND As per the latest Surviving Sepsis Campaign guidelines,fluid resuscitation should be guided by repeated measurements of blood lactate levels until normalization.Nevertheless,raised lactate levels should be interpreted in the clinical context,as there may be other causes of elevated lactate levels.Thus,it may not be the best tool for real-time assessment of the effect of hemodynamic resuscitation,and exploring alternative resuscitation targets should be an essential research priority in sepsis.AIM To compare the 28-d mortality in two clinical patterns of septic shock:hyperlactatemic patients with hypoperfusion context and hyperlactatemic patients without hypoperfusion context.METHODS This prospective comparative observational study carried out on 135 adult patients with septic shock that met Sepsis-3 definitions compared patients with hyperlactatemia in a hypoperfusion context(Group 1,n=95)and patients with hyperlactatemia in a non-hypoperfusion context(Group 2,n=40).Hypoperfusion context was defined by a central venous saturation less than 70%,central venousarterial PCO_(2)gradient[P(cv-a)CO_(2)]≥6 mmHg,and capillary refilling time(CRT)≥4 s.The patients were observed for various macro and micro hemodynamic parameters at regular intervals of 0 h,3 h,and 6 h.All-cause 28-d mortality and all other secondary objective parameters were observed at specified intervals.Nominal categorical data were compared using theχ^(2)or Fisher’s exact test.Nonnormally distributed continuous variables were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test.Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with the Youden index determined the cutoff values of lactate,CRT,and metabolic perfusion parameters to predict the 28-d all-cause mortality.A P value of<0.05 was considered significant.RESULTS Patient demographics,comorbidities,baseline laboratory,vital parameters,source of infection,baseline lactate levels,and lactate clearance at 3 h and 6 h,Sequential Organ Failure scores,need for invasive mechanical ventilation,days on mechanical ventilation,and renal replacement therapy-free days within 28 d,duration of intensive care unit stay,and hospital stay were comparable between the two groups.The stratification of patients into hypoperfusion and nonhypoperfusion context did not result in a significantly different 28-d mortality(24%vs 15%,respectively;P=0.234).However,the patients within the hypoperfusion context with high P(cva)CO_(2)and CRT(P=0.022)at baseline had significantly higher mortality than Group 2.The norepinephrine dose was higher in Group 1 but did not achieve statistical significance with a P>0.05 at all measured intervals.Group 1 had a higher proportion of patients requiring vasopressin and the mean vasopressor-free days out of the total 28 d were lower in patients with hypoperfusion(18.88±9.04 vs 21.08±8.76;P=0.011).The mean lactate levels and lactate clearance at 3 h and 6 h,CRT,P(cv-a)CO_(2)at 0 h,3 h,and 6 h were found to be associated with 28-d mortality in patients with septic shock,with lactate levels at 6 h having the best predictive value(area under the curve lactate at 6 h:0.845).CONCLUSION Septic shock patients fulfilling the hypoperfusion and non-hypoperfusion context exhibited similar 28-d all-cause hospital mortality,although patients with hypoperfusion displayed a more severe circulatory dysfunction.Lactate levels at 6 h had a better predictive value in predicting 28-d mortality than other parameters.Persistently high P(cv-a)CO_(2)(>6 mmHg)or increased CRT(>4 s)at 3 h and 6 h during early resuscitation can be a valuable additional aid for prognostication of septic shock patients.
基金supported by the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences(2019-I2M-2-003,2017-I2M-1-004)National Key R&D Program of China(2017YFC0211700,2018YFE0115300)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(91643208).
文摘Background:Inconsistent results have been reported in developed countries for relationships between sedentary behavior and cancer incidence and mortality,and evidence from the Chinese population is scarce.This study aimed to investigate such relationships in large Chinese population-based prospective cohorts and to explore the joint effect and interaction of sedentary behavior and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity(MVPA)on these relationships.Methods:We included 95,319 Chinese adults without cancer from 3 large cohorts and assessed their sedentary behavior and physical activity with a unified questionnaire.Cancer incidence and mortality were confirmed by interviewing participants or their proxies and checking hospital records and death certificates.Hazard ratios(HRs)and 95%confidence intervals(95%CIs)for cancer and mortality were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models.Results:During 559,002 person-years of follow-up,2388 cancer events,1571 cancer deaths,and 4562 all-cause deaths were recorded.Sedentary behavior was associated with increased risk of developing cancer and deaths in a doseresponse manner.The multivariable-adjusted HRs(95%CIs)were the following:HR=1.16,95%CI:1.01-1.33;HR=1.24,95%CI:1.04-1.48;and HR=1.15,95%CI:1.04-1.28 for cancer incidence,cancer mortality,and all-cause mortality,respectively,for those having≥10 h/day of sedentary time compared with those having<6 h/day of sedentary time.Sedentary populations(≥10 h/day)developed cancer or died 4.09 years and 2.79 years earlier,respectively,at the index age of 50 years.Failure to achieve the recommended level of MVPA may further aggravate the adverse associations,with the highest cancer and mortality risks being observed among participants with both≥10 h/day of sedentary time and<150 min/week of MVPA.Limitations of this study include the fact that physical activity information was obtained via questionnaire instead of objective measurement and that there were insufficient incident cases for the analysis of associations between sedentary behavior and site-specific cancers.Conclusion:Sedentary behavior was associated with an increased risk of cancer and all-cause mortality among Chinese adults,especially for those with≥10 h/day of sedentary time.It is necessary to reduce sedentary time,in addition to increasing MVPA levels,for the prevention of cancer and premature death.
基金supported by National Key R&D Program of China[2016YFC0901001]National Key Technology R&D Program in China[No.2008BAI56B04]。
文摘Objective This study aimed to assess the association of waist circumference(WC)with all-cause mortality among Chinese adults.Methods The baseline data were from Shanxi Province of 2002 China Nutrition and Health Survey.The death investigation and follow-up visit were conducted from December 2015 to March 2016.The visits covered up to 5,360 of 7,007 participants,representing a response rate of 76.5%.The Cox regression model and floating absolute risk were used to estimate hazard ratio and 95%floating CI of death by gender and age groups(≥60 and<60 years old).Sensitivity analysis was performed by excluding current smokers;participants with stroke,hypertension,and diabetes;participants who accidentally died;and participants who died during the first 2 years of follow-up.Results This study followed 67,129 person-years for 12.5 years on average,including 615 deaths.The mortality density was 916 per 100,000 person-years.Low WC was associated with all-cause mortality among men.Multifactor-adjusted hazard ratios(HR)were 1.60(1.35–1.90)for WC<75.0 cm and 1.40(1.11–1.76)for WC ranging from 75.0 cm to 79.9 cm.Low WC(<70.0 cm and 70.0–74.9 cm)and high WC(≥95.0 cm)groups had a high risk of mortality among women.The adjusted HRs of death were 1.43(1.11–1.83),1.39(1.05–1.84),and 1.91(1.13–3.22).Conclusion WC was an important predictor of death independent of body mass index(BMI).WC should be used as a simple rapid screening and predictive indicator of the risk of death.
文摘BACKGROUND The long-term impact of vitamin D deficiency and metabolic syndrome(MetS)on cardiovascular disease(CVD)and all-cause mortality are still a matter of debate.AIM To test the hypotheses that lower serum 25 hydroxyvitamin D[25(OH)D]concentrations(a marker of vitamin D level)and MetS have a long-term impact on the risk of CVD and all-cause mortality,and individuals with vitamin D deficiency can be identified by multiple factors.METHODS A sample of 9094 adults,20 to 90 years of age,who participated in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(NHANES III,1988 to 1994)were followed through December 2015 was analyzed.The associations of serum 25(OH)D concentrations and MetS with CVD and all-cause mortality were analyzed longitudinally using Cox regression models.Classification and regression tree(CART)for machine learning was applied to classify individuals with vitamin D deficiency.RESULTS Of 9094 participants,30%had serum 25(OH)D concentrations<20 ng/mL(defined as vitamin D deficiency),39%had serum 25(OH)D concentrations between 20 to 29 ng/mL(insufficiency),and 31%had serum 25(OH)D concentrations≥30 ng/mL(sufficiency).Prevalence of MetS was 28.4%.During a mean of 18 years follow-up,vitamin D deficiency and MetS were significantly associated with increased risk of CVD and all-cause mortality.Subjects with both vitamin D deficiency and MetS had the highest risk of CVD mortality(HR=1.77,95%CI:1.22-2.58)and all-cause mortality(HR=1.62,95%CI:1.26-2.09),followed by those with both vitamin D insufficiency and MetS for CVD mortality(HR=1.59,95%CI:1.12-2.24),and all-cause mortality(HR=1.41,95%CI:1.08-1.85).Meanwhile,vitamin D sufficiency significantly decreased the risk of CVD and all-cause mortality for those who even had MetS.Among the total study sample,CART analysis suggests that being non-Hispanic Black,having lower serum folate level,and being female were the first three predictors for those with serum 25(OH)D deficiency.CONCLUSION Vitamin D deficiency and MetS were significantly associated with increased risk of CVD and allcause mortality.There was a significant joint effect of vitamin D deficiency and MetS on the risk of mortality.Findings of the CART analysis may be useful to identify individuals positioned to benefit from interventions to reduce the risk of CVD and all-cause mortality.
文摘BACKGROUND Obesity is a major health problem due to its high prevalence. The relationship between obesity and cardiovascular disease is unclear. Some studies agree that certain conditions associated with obesity, such as physical inactivity or cardiovascular risk factors, are responsible for cardiovascular risk excess among obese people. Carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaques(CP) have been associated with cardiovascular adverse events in healthy populations, and recent data suggest a higher prevalence of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis in obese and metabolically unhealthy patients. However, there are no studies correlating subclinical atherosclerosis and adverse events(AE) in obese subjects.AIM To determine the association between carotid disease and AE in obese patients with negative exercise echocardiography(EE).METHODS From January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2010, 2000 consecutive patients with a suspicion of coronary artery disease were submitted for EE and carotid ultrasonography. Exclusion criteria included previous vascular disease, left ventricular ejection fraction < 50%, positive EE, significant valvular heart disease and inferior to submaximal EE. An AE was defined as all-cause mortality,myocardial infarction and cerebrovascular accident. Subclinical atherosclerosis was defined as CP presence according to Manheim and the American Society of Echocardiography Consensus.RESULTS Of the 652 patients who fulfilled the inclusion criteria, 226(34.7%) had body mass indexes ≥ 30 kg/m2, and 76 of them(33.6%) had CP. During a mean follow-up time of 8.2(2.1) years, 27 AE were found(11.9%). Mean event-free survival at 1, 5 and 10 years was 99.1%(0.6), 95.1%(1.4) and 86.5%(2.7), respectively. In univariate analysis, CP predicted AE [hazard ratio(HR) 2.52, 95% confidence interval(CI) 1.17-5.46; P = 0.019]. In multivariable analysis, the presence of CP remained a predictor of AE(HR 2.26, 95%CI 1.04-4.95, P = 0.041). Other predictors identified were glomerular filtration rate(HR 0.98, 95%CI 0.96-0.99; P= 0.023), peak metabolic equivalents(HR 0.83, 95%CI 0.70–0.99, P = 0.034) and moderate mitral regurgitation(HR 5.02, 95%CI 1.42–17.75, P = 0.012).CONCLUSION Subclinical atherosclerosis defined by CP predicts AE in obese patients with negative EE. These patients could benefit from aggressive prevention measures.
文摘AIM To assess the association of resting heart rate with allcause and cardiovascular disease(CVD) mortality in the Diabetes Heart Study(DHS).METHODS Out of a total of 1443 participants recruited into the DHS, 1315 participants with type 2 diabetes who were free of atrial fibrillation and supraventricular tachycardia during the baseline exam were included in this analysis. Heart rate was collected from baseline resting electrocardiogram and mortality(all-cause and CVD) was obtained from state and national death registry. Kaplan-Meier(K-M) and Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to assess the association.RESULTS The mean age, body mass index(BMI) and systolic blood pressure(SBP) of the cohort were 61.4 ± 9.2 years, 32.0 ± 6.6 kg/m2, and 139.4 ± 19.4 mmHg respectively. Fiftysix percent were females, 85% were whites, 15% were blacks, 18% were smokers. The mean ± SD heart rate was 69.8(11.9) beats per minute(bpm). After a median follow-up time of 8.5 years(maximum follow-up time is 14.0 years), 258 participants were deceased. In K-M analysis, participants with heart rate above the median had a significantly higher event rate compared with those below the median(log-rank P = 0.0223). A one standard deviation increase in heart rate was associated with allcause mortality in unadjusted(hazard ratio 1.16, 95%CI: 1.03-1.31) and adjusted(hazard ratio 1.20, 95%CI: 1.05-1.37) models. Similar results were obtained with CVD mortality as the outcome of interest.CONCLUSION Heart rate is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in this population with type 2 diabetes. In this study, a 1-SD increase in heart rate was associated with a 20% increase in risk suggesting that additional prognostic information may be gleaned from this ubiquitously collected vital sign.
文摘Background Frailty is a multidimensional syndrome that reflects the physiological reserve of elderly.It is related to unfavorable outcomes in various cardiovascular conditions.We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the association of frailty with all-cause mortality and bleeding after acute myocardial infarction(AMI)in the elderly.Methods We comprehensively searched the databases of MEDLINE and EMBASE from inception to March 2019.The studies that reported mortality and bleeding in AMI patients who were evaluated and classified by frailty status were included.Data from each study were combined using the random-effects,generic inverse variance method of Der Simonian and Laird to calculate hazard ratio(HR),and 95%confidence interval(CI).Results Twenty-one studies from 2011 to 2019 were included in this meta-analysis involving 143,301 subjects(mean age 75.33-year-old,60.0%male).Frailty status was evaluated using different methods such as Fried Frailty Index.Frailty was statistically associated with increased early mortality in nine studies(pooled HR=2.07,95%CI:1.67-2.56,P<0.001,I^2=41.2%)and late mortality in 11 studies(pooled HR=2.30,95%CI:1.70-3.11,P<0.001,I^2=65.8%).Moreover,frailty was also statistically associated with higher bleeding in 7 studies(pooled HR=1.34,95%CI:1.12-1.59,P<0.001,I^2=4.7%).Conclusion Frailty is strongly and independently associated with bleeding,early and late mortality in elderly with AMI.Frailty assessment should be considered as an additional risk factor and used to guide toward personalized treatment strategies.
文摘Background:Both hypertension and grip strength(GS)are predictors of mortality and cardiovascular disease(CVD),but whether these risk factors interact to affect CVD and all-cause mortality is unknown.This study sought to investigate the associations of GS with the risk of major CVD incidence,CVD mortality,and all-cause mortality in patients with hypertension.Methods:GS was measured using a Jamar dynamometer(Sammons Preston,Bolingbrook,IL,USA)in participants aged 3570 years from 12 provinces included in the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology China Study.Cox frailty proportional hazards models were used to examine the associations of GS and hypertension and the outcomes of all-cause mortality and CVD incidence/mortality.Results:Among 39,862 participants included in this study,15,964 reported having hypertension,and 9095 had high GS at baseline.After a median follow-up of 8.9 years(interquartile range,6.79.9 years),1822 participants developed major CVD,and 1250 deaths occurred(388 as a result of CVD).Compared with normotensive participants with high GS,hypertensive patients with high GS had a higher risk of major CVD incidence(hazard ratio(HR)=2.39;95%confidence interval(95%CI):1.863.06;p<0.001)or CVD mortality(HR=3.11;95%CI:1.596.06;p<0.001)but did not have a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality(HR=1.24;95%CI:0.921.68;p=0.159).These risks were further increased if hypertensive participants whose GS level was low(major CVD incidence,HR=3.31,95%CI:2.604.22,p<0.001;CVD mortality,HR=4.99,95%CI:2.649.43,p<0.001;and all-cause mortality,HR=1.93,95%CI:1.472.53,p<0.001).Conclusion:The present study demonstrates that low GS is associated with the highest risk of major CVD incidence,CVD mortality,and all-cause mortality among hypertensive patients.High levels of GS appear to mitigate long-term mortality risk among hypertensive patients.
基金Supported by automotive company TOFASIstanbulTurkey
文摘AIM: To assess the association of a surrogate of fatty liver disease(FLD) with incident type-2 diabetes, coronary heart disease, and all-cause mortality.METHODS: In a prospective population-based study on 1822 middle-aged adults, stratified to gender, we used an algorithm of fatty liver index(FLI) to identify associations with outcomes. An index ≥ 60 indicated the presence of FLD. In Cox regression models, adjusted for age, smoking status, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure, we assessed the predictive value of FLI for incident diabetes, coronary heart disease(CHD), and all-cause mortality.RESULTS: At a mean 8 year follow-up, 218 and 285 incident cases of diabetes and CHD, respectively, and 193 deaths were recorded. FLD was significantly associated in each gender with blood pressure, total cholesterol, apolipoprotein B, uric acid, and C-reactive protein; weakly with fasting glucose; and inversely with high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol and sex hormonebinding globulin. In adjusted Cox models, FLD was(with a 5-fold HR) the major determinant of diabetes development. Analyses further disclosed significant independent prediction of CHD by FLD in combined gender [hazard ratio(HR) = 1.72, 95% confidence interval(CI): 1.17-2.53] and men(HR = 2.35, 95%CI: 1.25-4.43). Similarly-adjusted models for all-cause mortality proved, however, not to confer risk, except for a tendency in prediabetics and diabetic women.CONCLUSION: A surrogate of FLD conferred significant high risk of diabetes and coronary heart disease, independent of some metabolic syndrome traits. Allcause mortality was not associated with FLD, except likely in the prediabetic state. Such a FLI may reliably be used in epidemiologic studies.
文摘Objective To assess the predictive value of serum uric acid levels for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in a large prospective population based study.Methods The study was based on 3648 participants in Shanghai and Beijing,who were inpatients with high cardiovascular(CV) risk at baseLine (2004.7 to 2005.1),and blood was taken.Follow-up for death from cardiovascular disease and any cause was complete until January 1,2006.Results The mean follow-up was 1 years.There were 303 deaths during follow-up,of which 121 were cardiovascular.Crude mortality rates were 8.3 % for all patients,6.8% for female patients (116/1715),and 9.7% (187/1933) for male patients.Among men,patients in the lower and higher uric acid groups had increased cardiac and overall mortality risks compared with patients in the normal uric acid groups.Similar relation was found in women but not statistically significant.After adjusting for other conventional risk factors (age,diabetes,hypertension,diuretic use and smoking),baseline uric acid level was still associated with increased risk for death from cardiovascular disease (P=0.005),or death from all causes (P=0.014) Conclusion Our data suggest that abnormal serum uric acid levels are independently and significantly associated with risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.(J Geriatr Cardiol 2008;5:15-20)
基金National Key R&D Program of China(2016YFF0101500)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(81970364,81770053).
文摘Objective This study aimed to determine the association of hyperlipidemia with clinical endpoints among hospitalized patients with COVID-19,especially those with pre-existing cardiovascular diseases(CVDs)and diabetes.Methods This multicenter retrospective cohort study included all patients who were hospitalized due to COVID-19 from 21 hospitals in Hubei province,China between December 31,2019 and April 21,2020.Patients who were aged<18 or≥85 years old,in pregnancy,with acute lethal organ injury(e.g.,acute myocardial infarction,severe acute pancreatitis,acute stroke),hypothyroidism,malignant diseases,severe malnutrition,and those with normal lipid profile under lipid-lowering medicines(e.g,statin,niacin,fenofibrate,gemfibrozil,and ezetimibe)were excluded.Propensity score matching(PSM)analysis at 1:1 ratio was performed to minimize baseline differences between patient groups of hyperlipidemia and non-hyperlipidemia.PSM analyses with the same strategies were further conducted for the parameters of hyperlipidemia in patients with increased triglyceride(TG),increased low・density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C),and decreased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C).Mixed-effect Cox model analysis was performed to investigate the associations of the 28-days all-cause deaths of COVID-19 patients with hyperlipidemia and the abnormalities of lipid parameters.The results were verified in male,female patients,and in patients with pre-existing CVDs and type 2 diabetes.Results Of 1094S inpatients confirmed as COVID-19,there were 9822 inpatients included in the study,comprising 3513(35.8%)cases without hyperlipidemia and 6309(64.2%)cases with hyperlipidemia.Based on a mixed-effect Cox model after PSM at 1:1 ratio,hyperlipidemia was not associated with increased or decreased 28-day all-cause death[adjusted hazard ratio(HR),1.17(95%C/,0.95-1.44),P二0.151].Wb found that the parameters of hyperlipidemia were not associated with the risk of 28-day all-cause mortality[adjusted HR,1.23(95%CI,0.98-1.55),P=0.075 in TG increase group;0.78(95%CI,0.57-1.07),P=0.123 in LDL-C increase group;and 1.12(95%CI,0.9-1.39),P=0.299 in HDL-C decrease group,respectively].Hyperlipidemia was also not significantly associated with the increased mortality of COVID-19 in patients accompanied with CVDs or type 2 diabetes,and in both male and female cohorts.Conclusion Our study support that the imbalanced lipid profile is not significantly associated with the 28-day all-cause mortality of COVID-19 patients,even in those accompanied with CVDs or diabetes.Similar results were also obtained in subgroup analyses of abnormal lipid parameters.Therefore,hyperlipidemia might be not a major causative factor for poor outcome of COVID-19,which provides guidance for the intervention of inpatients during the epidemic of COVID-19.
基金This project is supported by China Roche Pharmaceuticals.
文摘Objective To verify the optimal cut-off points for overweight and obesity in Chinese adults based on the relationship of baseline body mass index (BMI) to all-cause mortality, and incidence of cardiovascular diseases from pooled data of Chinese cohorts. Methods The prospective study data of existing cohort studies in China were collected, and the age-adjusted all-cause mortality stratified by BMI were estimated. The similar analysis was repeated after excluding deaths within the first three years of follow-up and after excluding smokers. The incidence of age-adjusted coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke stratified by BMI were also analyzed. Multiple Cox regression coefficients of BMI for the incidence of CHD and stroke after controlling other risk factors were pooled utilizing the methods of weighting by inverse of variance to reveal whether BMI had independent effect and its strength on the incidence of CHD and stroke. Results The data of 4 cohorts including 76 227 persons, with 745 346 person-years of follow-up were collected and analyzed. The age-adjusted all-cause mortality stratified by BMI showed a U-shaped curve, even after excluding deaths within the first three years of follow-up and excluding smokers. Age-adjusted all-cause mortality increased when BMI was lower than 18.5 and higher than 28. The incidence of CHD and stroke, especially ishemic stroke increased with increasing BMI, this was consistent with parallel increasing of risk factors. Cox regression analysis showed that BMI was an independent risk factor for both CHD and stroke. Each amount of 2 kg/m2 increase in baseline BMI might cause 15.4%, 6.1% and 18.8 % increase in relative risk of CHD, total stroke and ischemic stroke. Reduction of BMI to under 24 might prevent the incidence of CHD by 11% and that of stroke by 15 % for men, and 22 % of both diseases for women. Conclusion BMI ≤18.5, 24-27.9 and ≥28 (kg/m2) is the appropriate cut-off points for underweight, overweight and obesity in Chinese adults.
文摘Background: Studies on the association between obesity and all-cause mortality have found that the degree of obesity is directly proportional to all-cause mortality. In contrast, there have been studies indicating that obese people with underlying diseases have a higher survival rate. We hypothesized that age and underlying diseases lead to such contrasting results. Therefore, we conducted a study to clarify the influence of post-middle age obesity and underlying diseases on all-cause mortality. Methods: This study used data from longitudinal studies in the United States, which conducted follow-up for 19 years on 33,708 participants in different age groups: ≥45, 45 - 64, and ≥65 years. Hazard ratio (HR) was determined using the Cox proportional hazards model to analyze a group consisting of all participants, a group of those with underlying diseases, and a group of those without underlying diseases, considering age, gender, education history, marital status, household income, smoking history, and BMI category as covariates. Results: In the group aged ≥65 without underlying diseases, HR was almost 1 in those with BMI 25 - 35 kg/m2. Further, HR was higher in the 45 - 64 age group without underlying diseases if BMI was >35 kg/m2. However, HR was approximately 1 in the ≥65 age group. Conclusions: The study revealed that among individuals aged ≥65 years without underlying diseases, there was no association between obesity and all-cause mortality. Among individuals without underlying diseases, HR was higher in the 45 - 64 age group with BMI > 35 kg/m2 but was approximately 1 among those aged ≥65 years. Therefore, an interaction based on age was detected. These findings may lead to recommendations regarding the need to modify the advice and education provided to obese individuals in different age groups.
基金supported by the Beijing Natural Science Foundation(7131002)the Key Projects in the National Science&Technology Pillar Program in the Twelfth Five-year Plan Period of China(2011BAI08B01)the Beijing Municipal Natural Science Foundation(Serial Number:7122016)
文摘Objective To explore the association between body mass index(BMI)and all-cause mortality among the elderly in Beijing.Methods This analysis was based on the Beijing multidimensional longitudinal study of aging(BLSA),which included 2,090 subjects over 55 years old and was followed-up from 1992 to 2012.BMI-mortality curves were drawn to find the optimal BMI range with the lowest mortality.Cox proportional hazard models were used to obtain the hazard ratios(HRs)for BMI and BMI changes in the overall population and in specific stratified populations.Results During follow-up,1,164 deaths were recorded;BMI-mortality curve was U-shaped,with the lowest mortality at a BMI of approximately 25 kg/m^2.After adjusting for gender,age,smoking,drinking and some pre-existing diseases,HRs for underweight,overweight and obesity compared with normal weight were 1.372(95%CI:1.154-1.631),0.767(95%CI:0.666-0.884)and 0.871(95%CI:0.830-1.246),respectively.HR for BMI drop was 3.245(95%CI:0.824-12.772)in the underweight group and 1.892(95%CI:0.830-1.246)in the normal weight group,HR for BMI rise was 1.795(95%CI:1.243-2.591)in normal weight group and 1.962(95%CI:1.202-3.203)in the overweight group.Conclusion Keeping BMI in an overweight status and stable is related to a reduced mortality.
基金The project was funded by National Natural Science Foundation(NSFC 81872711)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(2242021S40011)of China。
文摘Background:A goal of 10,000 steps per day is widely advocated,but there is little evidence to support that goal.Our purpose was to examine the doseresponse relationships between step count and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease risk.Methods:Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials,EMBASE,OVID,PubMed,Scopus,and Web of Science databases were systematically searched for studies published before July 9,2021,that evaluated the association between daily steps and at least 1 outcome.Results:Sixteen publications(12 related to all-cause mortality,5 related to cardiovascular disease;and 1 article contained 2 outcomes:both allcause death and cardiovascular events)were eligible for inclusion in the meta-analysis.There was evidence of a nonlinear doseresponse relationship between step count and risk of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular disease(p=0.002 and p=0.014 for nonlinearity,respectively).When we restricted the analyses to accelerometer-based studies,the third quartile had a 40.36%lower risk of all-cause mortality and a 35.05%lower risk of cardiovascular event than the first quartile(all-cause mortality:Q1=4183 steps/day,Q3=8959 steps/day;cardiovascular event:Q1=3500 steps/day,Q3=9500 steps/day;respectively).Conclusion:Our meta-analysis suggests inverse associations between higher step count and risk of premature death and cardiovascular events in middle-aged and older adults,with nonlinear doseresponse patterns.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Programme of China(2017YFC1307705&2016YFC0106907)the Science and Technology Development Programme of Henan(No.201403007).
文摘BACKGROUND To examine the association of baseline waist circumference(WC)and changes in WC with cardiovascular disease(CVD)and all-cause mortality among elderly people.METHODS A total of 30,041 eligible participants were included from a retrospective cohort in China.The same questionnaire,anthropometric and laboratory measurements were performed at baseline(2010)and the first follow-up(2013).The percent change in WC between baseline and the first follow-up was calculated to evaluate three years change of WC.We collected the occurrence of CVD and all-cause death from the first follow-up to December 31,2018.Restricted cubic splines and Cox proportionalhazards regression models were used to evaluate the relationship between baseline WC/changes in WC and mortality.RESULTS The dose-response relationships between baseline WC and CVD mortality were U-or J-shaped.In low WC group,compared with stable group,the fully adjusted hazard ratio(aHR)for CVD mortality was 1.60(95%CI:1.24−2.06)in WC gain group among men.In normal WC group,the CVD mortality risk increased with WC gain(men:aHR=1.86,95%CI:1.36−2.56;women:aHR=1.83,95%CI:1.29−2.58).In moderate-high WC group,the CVD mortality risk increased with WC gain(men:aHR=1.76,95%CI:1.08−2.88;women:aHR=1.46,95%CI:1.04−2.05)and risk decreased with WC loss(men:aHR=0.54,95%CI:0.30−0.98;women:aHR=0.59,95%CI:0.37−0.96).CONCLUSIONS For the elderly population,WC gain may increase CVD mortality risk regardless of baseline WC,whereas WC reduction could decrease the risk only in the moderate-high WC group.
基金supported by Natural Science Foundation of China (81470466)the National Science&Technology Pillar Program during the12th Five-Year Plan Period (2011BAI11B02)
文摘OBJECTIVE To evaluate the association of longitudinal changes in physical activity(PA)with long-term outcomes after im-plantable cardioverter-defibrillator(ICD)or cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator(CRT-D)implantation.METHODS Patients with ICD/CRT-D implantation from SUMMIT registry were retrospectively analyzed.Accelerometer-de-rived PA changes over 12 months post implantation were obtained from the archived home monitoring data.The primary end-points were cardiac death and all-cause mortality.The secondary endpoints were the first ventricular arrthymia(VA)and first ap-propriate ICD shock.RESULTS In 705 patients,446(63.3%)patients showed improved PA over 12 months after implantation.During a mean 61.5-month follow-up duration,99 cardiac deaths(14.0%)and 153 all-cause deaths(21.7%)occurred.Compared to reduced/un-changed PA,improved PA over 12 months could result in significantly reduced risks of cardiac death(improved PA≤30 min:hazard ratio(HR)=0.494,95%CI:0.288−0.848;>30 min:HR=0.390,95%CI:0.235−0.648)and all-cause mortality(improved PA≤30 min:HR=0.467,95%CI:0.299−0.728;>30 min:HR=0.451,95%CI:0.304−0.669).No differences in the VAs or ICD shocks were observed across different groups of PA changes.PA changes can predict the risks of cardiac death only in the low baseline PA group,but improved PA was associated with 56.7%,57.4%,and 62.3%reduced risks of all-cause mortality in the low,moderate,and high baseline PA groups,respectively,than reduced/unchanged PA.CONCLUSIONS Improved PA could protect aganist cardiac death and all-cause mortality,probably reflecting better clinical efficacy after ICD/CRT-D implantation.Low-intensity exercise training might be encouraged among patients with different baseline PA levels.
