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基于BP神经网络的天然橡胶市场风险预警系统构建 被引量:3
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作者 刘锐金 魏宏杰 莫业勇 《华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2012年第1期37-41,共5页
构建了以产区价格为警情指标、以BP神经网络为预警模型的天然橡胶市场风险预警系统。使用1995—2008年的年度比率数据迭代计算进行网络训练,利用权重矩阵和传递函数计算了各指标的灵敏度,在经济学理论上分析其影响方向,理论与实证结果... 构建了以产区价格为警情指标、以BP神经网络为预警模型的天然橡胶市场风险预警系统。使用1995—2008年的年度比率数据迭代计算进行网络训练,利用权重矩阵和传递函数计算了各指标的灵敏度,在经济学理论上分析其影响方向,理论与实证结果基本一致,说明指标选取的合理性。结果表明:所构建的预警系统能够较好地对天然橡胶市场风险进行预警,且能够反映经济危机、重大政策变化等带来的不确定性。 展开更多
关键词 天然橡胶 市场风险 预警系统bp神经网络 灵敏度
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专家系统和神经网络相结合用于钻进过程安全监控 被引量:1
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作者 史玉升 张嗣伟 +1 位作者 樊启蕴 李相方 《现代地质》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 1999年第3期367-370,共4页
提出了把专家系统和神经网络混合起来使用的新方法, 这种方法可以克服专家系统和神经网络单独使用时的缺陷。以钻进过程的安全监控为例, 研究了这种方法在确定性和不确定性条件下的使用步骤及效果。
关键词 专家系统 bp系统网络 钻进过程 安全监控 钻探
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消费者持卡消费风险预测的BP网络改进算法研究
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作者 林晓佳 《宁德师范学院学报(自然科学版)》 2015年第4期358-362,共5页
伴着我国信用卡应用的迅速普及,依托信用卡刷卡消费行为的准确程度预测,也已转变为行业人士考量的关键内容.一般,现实风险评估多选取单纯的BP神经网络系统计算方法,但此种计算方法携带部分自身原有缺陷,如小范围最低值、聚拢速率比较低... 伴着我国信用卡应用的迅速普及,依托信用卡刷卡消费行为的准确程度预测,也已转变为行业人士考量的关键内容.一般,现实风险评估多选取单纯的BP神经网络系统计算方法,但此种计算方法携带部分自身原有缺陷,如小范围最低值、聚拢速率比较低等,进而可能对风险评估造成干扰.基于对单纯BP神经网络算法及其存在不足的分析、试验,学术界又推出一款复合型计算方式,即将BP神经网络算法与传统遗传算法融合,以弥补不足的同时对其做以改良.参数集合的实证检验结果证实:此款复合型计算方式明显比单纯BP神经网络系统计算方式更完善,能够切实地增强凭卡消费活动风险预测的测试比率及精准比率. 展开更多
关键词 bp神经网络系统 GA遗传算法 信用卡消费操作 风险评估
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基于MMAS-BP算法的短期风速非线性组合预测模型 被引量:1
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作者 熊伟 程加堂 艾莉 《水电能源科学》 北大核心 2013年第10期247-249,共3页
为提高风电场短期风速的预测精度,引入一种基于改进蚁群算法优化神经网络的非线性组合预测方法,按误差平方和最小原则对所建灰色GM(1,1)模型、BP网络和RBF网络三种单一预测数据进行非线性组合,并将其结果作为最终预测值。仿真结果表明,... 为提高风电场短期风速的预测精度,引入一种基于改进蚁群算法优化神经网络的非线性组合预测方法,按误差平方和最小原则对所建灰色GM(1,1)模型、BP网络和RBF网络三种单一预测数据进行非线性组合,并将其结果作为最终预测值。仿真结果表明,该方法的平均绝对误差及均方误差分别为17.76%和3.68%,均小于单一模型、线性组合模型及神经网络组合模型的预测结果,提高了网络的泛化能力,降低了预测风险,为风电场风速预测提供了一种新途径。 展开更多
关键词 风电场 短期风速 非线性组合预测模型 蚁群算法 最大-最小蚂蚁系统优化bp神经网络
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Application of BP NN and RBF NN in Modeling Activated Sludge System 被引量:6
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作者 王维斌 郑丕谔 李金勇 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2003年第3期235-240,共6页
Based on the operation data from a certain wastewater treatment plant(WWTP) in northeast China, the models of back propagation neural network(BP NN) and radial basis function neural network(RBF NN) have been designed ... Based on the operation data from a certain wastewater treatment plant(WWTP) in northeast China, the models of back propagation neural network(BP NN) and radial basis function neural network(RBF NN) have been designed respectively and the ability of convergence and generalization has been analyzed separately. As for BP NN, the effects of numbers of layers and nodes have been studied; as for RBF NN, the influences of the number of nodes and the RBF′s width have been studied. It is concluded that BP NN has converged much slowly in comparison with RBF NN. The conclusion that the RBF NN is suitable for modeling activated sludge system has been drawn. An automatically optimum design program for RBF NN has been developed, through which the RBF NN model of traditional activated sludge system has been established. 展开更多
关键词 back propagation neural network(bp NN) radial basis function neural network(RBF NN) MODELING activated sludge
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Development of a spontaneous combustion TARPs system based on BP neural network 被引量:7
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作者 Wang Longkang Ren Tingxiang +4 位作者 Nie Baisheng Chen Yang Lv Changqing Tang Haoyang Zhang Jufeng 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2015年第5期803-810,共8页
Spontaneous combustion of coal is a major cause of coal mine fires.It not only poses a severe hazard to the safe extraction of coal resources,but also jeopardizes the safety of mine workers.The development of a scient... Spontaneous combustion of coal is a major cause of coal mine fires.It not only poses a severe hazard to the safe extraction of coal resources,but also jeopardizes the safety of mine workers.The development of a scientific management system of coal spontaneous combustion is of vital importance to the safe production of coal mine.This paper provides a comparative analysis of a range of worldwide prediction techniques and methods for coal spontaneous combustion,and systematically introduces the trigger action response plans(TARPs)system used in Australian coal mines for managing the spontaneous heating of coal.An artificial neural network model has been established on the basis of real coal mine operational conditions.Through studying and training the neural network model,prediction errors can be controlled within the allowable range.The trained model is then applied to the conditions of Nos.1 and 3 coal seams located in Weijiadi Coal Mine to demonstrate its feasibility for spontaneous combustion assessment.Based upon the TARPs system which is commonly used in Australian longwall mines,a TARPs system has been developed for Weijiadi Coal Mine to assist the management of spontaneous combustion hazard and ensure the safe operation of its mining activities. 展开更多
关键词 Neural network Coal spontaneous combustion TARPs Safety management
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Application of PID Controller Based on BP Neural Network in Export Steam’s Temperature Control System 被引量:4
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作者 朱增辉 孙慧影 《Journal of Measurement Science and Instrumentation》 CAS 2011年第1期84-87,共4页
By combining the Back-Propagation (BP) neural network with conventional proportional Integral Derivative (PID) controller, a new temperature control strategy of the export steam in supercritical electric power pla... By combining the Back-Propagation (BP) neural network with conventional proportional Integral Derivative (PID) controller, a new temperature control strategy of the export steam in supercritical electric power plant is put forward. This scheme can effectively overcome the large time delay, inertia of the export steam and the influencee of object in varying operational parameters. Thus excellent control quality is obtaitud. The present paper describes the development and application of neural network based controller to control the temperature of the boiler's export steam. Through simulation in various situations, it validates that the control quality of this control system is apparently superior to the conventional PID control system. 展开更多
关键词 PID controller based on bp neural network supercritical power unit export steam temperature large timedelay
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On Modeling a Fuzzy System Based on BPN and RBFN
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作者 郑逢斌 卿铭 靳景玉 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 1999年第3期30-35, ,共6页
This paper presents a method of modeling a fuzzy system with fuzzy and nonlinear border,obtaining systematic structure by clustering analysis,applying BP network (BPN) to generate rule bases antecedent function and us... This paper presents a method of modeling a fuzzy system with fuzzy and nonlinear border,obtaining systematic structure by clustering analysis,applying BP network (BPN) to generate rule bases antecedent function and using RBF network (RBFN) to approximate each rules conclusion function not only because of efficient capability of approximation nonlinear function of BPN and RBFN but also because of quickness of training speed of RBFN. In addition,structure design and training of relevant networks are discussed in detail. Finally,the structure optimization and overstudy of RBFN are discussed. 展开更多
关键词 bp network RBF network clustering analysis MODELING
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大型工程项目工序工期精准预测方法研究 被引量:10
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作者 祁神军 丁烈云 骆汉宾 《重庆建筑大学学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2007年第6期141-144,共4页
鉴于传统工期预测的模糊性和随机性,提出了基于精准建造的大型工程项目工序工期预测。首先分析了大型工程项目工期预测的基础理论和特点,其次剖析了大型工程项目工期预测的基本理论,再次提出了多元线性回归模型和BP人工神经网络系统分... 鉴于传统工期预测的模糊性和随机性,提出了基于精准建造的大型工程项目工序工期预测。首先分析了大型工程项目工期预测的基础理论和特点,其次剖析了大型工程项目工期预测的基本理论,再次提出了多元线性回归模型和BP人工神经网络系统分别预测线性建造和非线性建造工序的工期,并用一工程实例论证了该方法的有效性,最后得出这两种方法在大型工程项目工序工期预测中具有一定的指导意义和价值。 展开更多
关键词 大型工程项目 精准建造 多元线性回归 bp人工神经网络系统
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A prediction comparison between univariate and multivariate chaotic time series 被引量:3
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作者 王海燕 朱梅 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2003年第4期414-417,共4页
The methods to determine time delays and embedding dimensions in the phase space delay reconstruction of multivariate chaotic time series are proposed. Three nonlinear prediction methods of multivariate chaotic tim... The methods to determine time delays and embedding dimensions in the phase space delay reconstruction of multivariate chaotic time series are proposed. Three nonlinear prediction methods of multivariate chaotic time series including local mean prediction, local linear prediction and BP neural networks prediction are considered. The simulation results obtained by the Lorenz system show that no matter what nonlinear prediction method is used, the prediction error of multivariate chaotic time series is much smaller than the prediction error of univariate time series, even if half of the data of univariate time series are used in multivariate time series. The results also verify that methods to determine the time delays and the embedding dimensions are correct from the view of minimizing the prediction error. 展开更多
关键词 multivariate chaotic time series phase space reconstruction PREDICTION neural networks
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Hybrid internal model control and proportional control of chaotic dynamical systems 被引量:1
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作者 齐冬莲 姚良宾 《Journal of Zhejiang University Science》 EI CSCD 2004年第1期62-67,共6页
A new chaos control method is proposed to take advantage of chaos or avoid it. The hybrid Internal Model Control and Proportional Control learning scheme are introduced. In order to gain the desired robust performance... A new chaos control method is proposed to take advantage of chaos or avoid it. The hybrid Internal Model Control and Proportional Control learning scheme are introduced. In order to gain the desired robust performance and ensure the system's stability, Adaptive Momentum Algorithms are also developed. Through properly designing the neural network plant model and neural network controller, the chaotic dynamical systems are controlled while the parameters of the BP neural network are modified. Taking the Lorenz chaotic system as example, the results show that chaotic dynamical systems can be stabilized at the desired orbits by this control strategy. 展开更多
关键词 CHAOS Neural network Internal model control Proportional control
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Underwater hydraulic shock shovel control system
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作者 刘贺平 罗阿妮 肖海燕 《Journal of Marine Science and Application》 2008年第2期139-142,共4页
The control system determines the effectiveness of an underwater hydraulic shock shovel. This paper begins by analyzing the working principles of these shovels and explains the importance of their control systems. A n... The control system determines the effectiveness of an underwater hydraulic shock shovel. This paper begins by analyzing the working principles of these shovels and explains the importance of their control systems. A new type of control system’s mathematical model was built and analyzed according to those principles. Since the initial control system’s response time could not fulfill the design requirements, a PID controller was added to the control system. System response time was still slower than required, so a neural network was added to nonlinearly regulate the proportional element, integral element and derivative element coefficients of the PID controller. After these improvements to the control system, system parameters fulfilled the design requirements. The working performance of electrically-controlled parts such as the rapidly moving high speed switch valve is largely determined by the control system. Normal control methods generally can’t satisfy a shovel’s requirements, so advanced and normal control methods were combined to improve the control system, bringing good results. 展开更多
关键词 hydraulic shock shovel control system PID bp network
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Ecosystem Health Assessment of Honghu Lake Wetland of China Using Artificial Neural Network Approach 被引量:21
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作者 MO Minghao WANG Xuelei +3 位作者 WU Houjian CAI Shuming Xiaoyang ZHANG WANG Huiliang 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2009年第4期349-356,共8页
Honghu Lake,located in the southeast of Hubei Province,China,has suffered a severe disturbance during the past few decades.To restore the ecosystem,the Honghu Lake Wetland Protection and Restoration Demonstration Proj... Honghu Lake,located in the southeast of Hubei Province,China,has suffered a severe disturbance during the past few decades.To restore the ecosystem,the Honghu Lake Wetland Protection and Restoration Demonstration Project(HLWPRDP) has been implemented since 2004.A back propagation(BP) artificial neural network(ANN) approach was applied to evaluatinig the ecosystem health of the Honghu Lake wetland.And the effectiveness of the HLWPRDP was also assessed by comparing the ecosystem health before and after the project.Particularly,12 ecosystem health indices were used as evaluation parameters to establish a set of three-layer BP ANNs.The output is one layer of ecosystem health index.After training and testing the BP ANNs,an optimal model of BP ANNs was selected to assess the ecosystem health of the Honghu Lake wetland.The result indicates that four stages can be identified based on the change of the ecosystem health from 1990 to 2008 and the ecosystem health index ranges from morbidity before the implementation of HLWPRDP(in 2002) to middle health after the implementation of the HLWPRDP(in 2005).It demonstrates that the HLWPRDP is effective and the BP ANN could be used as a tool for the assessment of ecosystem health. 展开更多
关键词 ecosystem health artificial neural network wetland restoration Honghu Lake
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Modeling the Sojourn Time of Items for In-Networ Cache Based on LRU Policy 被引量:1
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作者 LIU Jiang WANG Guoqing HUANG Tao CHEN Jianya LIU Yunjie 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第10期88-95,共8页
To reduce network redundancy,innetwork caching is considered in many future Internet architectures,such as Information Centric Networking.In in-network caching system,the item sojourn time of LRU(Least Recently Used) ... To reduce network redundancy,innetwork caching is considered in many future Internet architectures,such as Information Centric Networking.In in-network caching system,the item sojourn time of LRU(Least Recently Used) replacement policy is an important issue for two reasons:firstly,LRU is one of the most common used cache policy;secondly,item sojourn time is positively correlated to the hit probability,so this metric parameter could be useful to design the caching system.However,to the best of our knowledge,the sojourn time hasn't been studied theoretically so far.In this paper,we first model the LRU cache policy by Markov chain.Then an approximate closedform expression of the item expectation sojourn time is provided through the theory of stochastic service system,which is a function of the item request rates and cache size.Finally,extensive simulation results are illustrated to show that the expression is a good approximation of the item sojourn time. 展开更多
关键词 sojourn time Markov chain LRU steady-state probability
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A research on an energy-saving software for pumping units based on FNN intelligent control
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作者 丁宝 齐维贵 王凤平 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2004年第3期240-244,共5页
An energy-saving scheme for pumping units via intermission start-stop performance is proposed. Because of the complexity of the oil extraction process, Fuzzy Neural Network (FNN) intelligent control is adopted. The st... An energy-saving scheme for pumping units via intermission start-stop performance is proposed. Because of the complexity of the oil extraction process, Fuzzy Neural Network (FNN) intelligent control is adopted. The structure of the Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy neural network model is introduced and modified. FNNs are trained with sample information from oil fields and expert knowledge. Finally, pumping unit energy-saving FNN software, which cuts down power costs substantially, is presented. 展开更多
关键词 rocker pumping unit T-S fuzzy system fuzzy neural network bp algorithm
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Multi-objective hydraulic optimization and analysis in a minipump 被引量:1
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作者 Bin Duan Minqing Luo +1 位作者 Chao Yuan Xiaobing Luo 《Science Bulletin》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第17期1517-1526,共10页
Minipump is widely used in microfluidics system, active cooling system, etc. But building a high efficiency minipump is still a challenging problem. In this paper, a systematic method was developed to design, characte... Minipump is widely used in microfluidics system, active cooling system, etc. But building a high efficiency minipump is still a challenging problem. In this paper, a systematic method was developed to design, characterize and optimize a particular mechanical minipump. The optimization work was conducted to cope with the conflict between pressure head and hydraulic efficiency by an improved back-propagation neural network (BPNN) with the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II). The improved BPNN was utilized to predicate hydraulic performance and, moreover, was modified to improve the prediction accuracy. The NSGA-II was processed for minipump multi-objective optimization which is dominated by four impeller dimensions. During hydraulic optimization, the processing feasibility was also taken into consideration. Experiments were conducted to validate the above optimization methods. It was proved that the optimized minipump was improved by about 24 % in pressure head and 4.75 % in hydraulic efficiency compared to the original designed prototype. Meanwhile, the sensitivity test was used to analyze the influence of the four impeller dimensions. It was found that the blade outlet angle β2 and the impeller inlet diameter Do significantly influence the pressure head H and the hydraulic efficiency η, respec- tively. Detailed internal flow fields showed that the optimum model can relieve the impeller wake and improve both the pressure distribution and flow orientation. 展开更多
关键词 Minipump OPTIMIZATION Back-propagation neural network Non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II
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