Existing studies contend that latent heating(LH)will replace sensible heating(SH)to become the dominant factor affecting the development of the Tibetan Plateau vortex(TPV)after it moves off the Tibetan Plateau(TP).How...Existing studies contend that latent heating(LH)will replace sensible heating(SH)to become the dominant factor affecting the development of the Tibetan Plateau vortex(TPV)after it moves off the Tibetan Plateau(TP).However,in the process of the TPV moving off the TP requires that the airmass traverse the eastern slope of the Tibetan Plateau(ESTP)where the topography and diabatic heating(DH)conditions rapidly change.How LH gradually replaces SH to become the dominant factor in the development of the TPV over the ESTP is still not very clear.In this paper,an analysis of a typical case of a TPV with a long life history over the ESTP is performed by using multi-sourced meteorological data and model simulations.The results show that SH from the TP surface can change the TPV-associated precipitation distribution by temperature advection after the TPV moves off the TP.The LH can then directly promote the development of the TPV and has a certain guiding effect on the track of the TPV.The SH can control the active area of LH by changing the falling area of the TPV-associated precipitation,so it still plays a key role in the development and tracking of the TPV even though it has moved out of the main body of the TP.展开更多
In early February 2023,there was severe haze on the North China Plain(NCP)that was contemporaneous with heavy rainfall over southern China,which was known as southern rainfall-northern haze(SR-NH).Based on observation...In early February 2023,there was severe haze on the North China Plain(NCP)that was contemporaneous with heavy rainfall over southern China,which was known as southern rainfall-northern haze(SR-NH).Based on observational and reanalysis data,the meteorological causes of this SR-NH event are investigated in this study using correlation analysis,dynamic diagnostics and numerical experiments.The results show that the anticyclonic anomaly in the Pacific Northwest(also referred to as the northeast Asian anomalous anticyclone)is responsible for the SR-NH.On the one hand,this anticyclonic anomaly leads to persistent rainfall over southern China by causing strong ascending motion in conjunction with an anomalous cyclone over the Chinese mainland and transporting large amounts of water vapor there.On the other hand,it weakens the climatological northerly winds of the NCP through the southeasterly flow,worsening the horizontal diffusion conditions of pollutants.Additionally,the atmospheric stability and relative humidity over the NCP are significantly increased by this anticyclonic anomaly.These conditions result in higher PM2.5concentrations over the NCP.Additional results suggest that this anticyclonic anomaly is related to diabatic heating released by rainfall in southern China,which not only intensifies the rainfall process there(with a contribution of 11.5%)but also induces an anticyclonic anomaly in the upper troposphere of the Pacific Northwest(i.e.,200 hPa).The rainfall-related anticyclonic anomaly reinforces the anticyclonic anomaly in the Pacific Northwest caused by large-scale circulation(with a contribution of 27%)and thus affects haze over the NCP.This study provides a new reference for understanding the contribution of rainfall in southern China to haze over the NCP.展开更多
The movement speed of Typhoon In-Fa(2021)was notably slow,at 10 km h-1or less,for over 20 hours following its landfall in Zhejiang,China,in contrast to other typhoons that have made landfall.This study examines the fa...The movement speed of Typhoon In-Fa(2021)was notably slow,at 10 km h-1or less,for over 20 hours following its landfall in Zhejiang,China,in contrast to other typhoons that have made landfall.This study examines the factors contributing to the slow movement of Typhoon In-Fa,including the steering flow,diabatic heating,vertical wind shear(VWS),and surface synoptic situation,by comparing it with Typhoons Yagi(2018)and Rumbia(2018)which followed similar tracks.The findings reveal that the movement speed of Typhoons Yagi and Rumbia is most closely associated with their respective 500 h Pa environmental winds,with a steering flow of 10^(-12)m s^(-1).In contrast,Typhoon InFa’s movement speed is most strongly correlated with the 850 h Pa environmental wind field,with a steering flow speed of only 2 m s^(-1).Furthermore,as Typhoon In-Fa moves northwest after landfall,its intensity is slightly greater than that of Typhoons Yagi and Rumbia,and the pressure gradient in front of Typhoon In-Fa is notably smaller,leading to its slow movement.Additionally,the precipitation distribution of Typhoon In-Fa differs from that of the other two typhoons,resulting in a weak asymmetry of wavenumber-1 diabatic heating,which indirectly affects its movement speed.Further analysis indicates that VWS can alter the typhoon’s structure,weaken its intensity,and ultimately impact its movement.展开更多
Seasonal forecasting of the Indian summer monsoon by dynamically downscaling the CFSv2 output using a high resolution WRF model over the hindcast period of 1982-2008 has been performed in this study. The April start e...Seasonal forecasting of the Indian summer monsoon by dynamically downscaling the CFSv2 output using a high resolution WRF model over the hindcast period of 1982-2008 has been performed in this study. The April start ensemble mean of the CFSv2 has been used to provide the initial and lateral boundary conditions for driving the WRF. The WRF model is integrated from 1st May through 1st October for each monsoon season. The analysis suggests that the WRF exhibits potential skill in improving the rainfall skill as well as the seasonal pattern and minimizes the meteorological errors as compared to the parent CFSv2 model. The rainfall pattern is simulated quite closer to the observation (IMD) in the WRF model over CFSv2 especially over the significant rainfall regions of India such as the Western Ghats and the central India. Probability distributions of the rainfall show that the rainfall is improved with the WRF. However, the WRF simulates copious amounts of rainfall over the eastern coast of India. Surface and upper air meteorological parameters show that the WRF model improves the simulation of the lower level and upper-level winds, MSLP, CAPE and PBL height. The specific humidity profiles show substantial improvement along the vertical column of the atmosphere which can be directly related to the net precipitable water. The CFSv2 underestimates the specific humidity along the vertical which is corrected by the WRF model. Over the Bay of Bengal, the WRF model overestimates the CAPE and specific humidity which may be attributed to the copious amount of rainfall along the eastern coast of India. Residual heating profiles also show that the WRF improves the thermodynamics of the atmosphere over 700 hPa and 400 hPa levels which helps in improving the rainfall simulation. Improvement in the land surface fluxes is also witnessed in the WRF model.展开更多
A heavy rainfall event in south China was simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model with three microphysics schemes, including the Morrison scheme, Thompson scheme, and Milbrandt and Yau scheme(MY),...A heavy rainfall event in south China was simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model with three microphysics schemes, including the Morrison scheme, Thompson scheme, and Milbrandt and Yau scheme(MY), which aim to evaluate the capability to reproduce the precipitation and radar echo reflectivity features, and to evaluate evaluate their differences in microphysics and the associated thermodynamical and dynamical feedback. Results show that all simulations reproduce the main features crucial for rainfall formation. Compared with the observation, the MY scheme performed better than the other two schemes in terms of intensity and spatial distribution of rainfall. Due to abundant water vapor, the accretion of cloud droplets by raindrops was the dominant process in the growth of raindrops while the contribution of melting was a secondary effect. Riming processes, in which frozen hydrometeors collect cloud droplets mainly, contributed more to the growth of frozen hydrometeors than the Bergeron process. Extremely abundant snow and ice were produced in the Thompson and MY schemes respectively by a deposition process. The MY scheme has the highest condensation and evaporation, but the lowest deposition. As a result, in the MY scheme, the enhanced vertical gradient of condensation heating and evaporation cooling at low levels produces strong positive and weak negative potential vorticity in Guangdong, and may favor the formation of the enhanced rainfall center over there.展开更多
The structure and organization of the extreme-rain-producing deep convection towers and their roles in the formation of a southwest vortex(SWV)event are studied using the intensified surface rainfall observations,weat...The structure and organization of the extreme-rain-producing deep convection towers and their roles in the formation of a southwest vortex(SWV)event are studied using the intensified surface rainfall observations,weather radar data and numerical simulations from a high-resolution convection-allowing model.The deep convection towers occurred prior to the emergence of SWV and throughout its onset and development stages.They largely resemble the vortical hot tower(VHT)commonly seen in typhoons or hurricanes and are thus considered as a special type of VHT(sVHT).Each sVHT presented a vorticity dipole structure,with the upward motion not superpose the positive vorticity.A positive feedback process in the SWV helped the organization of sVHTs,which in turn strengthened the initial disturbance and development of SWV.The meso-γ-scale large-value areas of positive relative vorticity in the mid-toupper troposphere were largely induced by the diabatic heating and tilting.The strong mid-level convergence was attributed to the mid-level vortex enhancement.The low-level vortex intensification was mainly due to low-level convergence and the stretching of upward flow.The meso-α-scale large-value areas of positive relative vorticity in the low-level could expand up to about 400 hPa,and gradually weakened with time and height due to the decaying low-level convergence and vertical stretching in the matured SWV.As the SWV matured,two secondary circulations were formed,with a weaker mean radial inflow than the outflow and elevated to 300-400 hPa.展开更多
Based on diagnostic analysis of reanalysis data for 58-year,the distribution characteristics of decadal variability in diabatic heating,transient eddy heating and transient eddy vorticity forcing related to the sea su...Based on diagnostic analysis of reanalysis data for 58-year,the distribution characteristics of decadal variability in diabatic heating,transient eddy heating and transient eddy vorticity forcing related to the sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies over the North Pacific,as well as their relationship with anomalous atmospheric circulation have been investigated in this paper.A linear baroclinic model(LBM)was used to investigate atmospheric responses to idealized and realistic heat and vorticity forcing anomalies,and then to compare relative roles of different kinds of forcing in terms of geopotential height responses.The results illustrate that the responses of atmospheric height fields to the mid-latitude heating can be either baroclinic or barotropic.The response structure is sensitive to the relative horizontal location of heating with respect to the background jet flow,as well as to the vertical profile of heating.The response to the idealized deep heating over the eastern North Pacific,mimicking the observed heating anomaly,is baroclinic.The atmospheric response to the mid-latitude vorticity forcing is always barotropic,resulting in a geopotential low that is in phase with the forcing.The atmospheric responses to the realistic heat and vorticity forcing show the similar results,suggesting that diabatic heating,transient eddy heating and transient eddy vorticity forcing can all cause atmospheric anomalies and that the vorticity forcing plays a relatively more important role in maintaining the equivalent-barotropic structure of geopotential height anomalies.展开更多
The Tibetan Plateau Vortex(TPV)is one of the main weather systems causing heavy rainfall over the Tibetan Plateau in boreal summer.Based on the second Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications(ME...The Tibetan Plateau Vortex(TPV)is one of the main weather systems causing heavy rainfall over the Tibetan Plateau in boreal summer.Based on the second Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications(MERRA-2)reanalysis datasets provided by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA),8 cases of TPV over the Tibetan Plateau generated in June-August with a lifetime of 42 hours are composited and analyzed to reveal the impact of dynamic and thermal forcing on the intensity evolution of TPVs.The results are as follows.(1)The TPVs appear obviously at 500 h Pa and the TPVs intensity(TPVI)shows an obvious diurnal variation with the strongest at 00 LT and the weakest at 12 LT(LT=UTC+6 h).(2)A strong South Asia High at 200 h Pa as well as a shrunken Western Pacific Subtropical High at 500 h Pa provide favorable conditions for the TPVI increasing.(3)The vorticity budget reveals that the divergence is indicative of the variation of the TPVI.The TPVI decreases when the convergence center at500 h Pa and the divergence center at 200 h Pa lie in the east of the TPVs center and increases when both centers coincide with the TPVs center.(4)Potential vorticity(PV)increases with the enhancement of the TPVI.The PV budget shows that the variation of the TPVI is closely related to the diabatic heating over the Tibetan Plateau.The increased sensible heating and radiative heating in the boundary layer intensify the ascent and latent heating release.When the diabatic heating center rises to 400 h Pa,it facilitates the development of the TPVs.展开更多
From 26 November to 1 December 2022,intense cold air masses swept across China from northwest to south,resulting in a nationwide cold air outbreak(CAO)case characterised by drastic and sudden temperature drops with ra...From 26 November to 1 December 2022,intense cold air masses swept across China from northwest to south,resulting in a nationwide cold air outbreak(CAO)case characterised by drastic and sudden temperature drops with rain,snow and strong winds.The physical processes that dominate the intensification of the cold air masses during this CAO event remain unclear.In this study,the evolution of the CAO case,which is indicated by the dry static energy(DSE),is investigated using a novel approach in the framework of Lagrangian backtracking.The dominant processes can be identified by decomposing the DSE change into four diabatic heating terms due to shortwave radiation,longwave radiation,latent heat and turbulent processes.Overall,in this case,most of the cold air parcels originated from the east of Novaya Zemlya and crossed Central Siberia before reaching China.Thus,these air parcels mainly manifested on the northwest‒southeast path.The duration of the cold air intensification differed between subregions.The cold air parcels experienced long cooling periods(approximately 9 d)before reaching northern China(i.e.Northwest,North and Northeast China),whilst the southern parts(i.e.Central,East and South China)underwent relatively short cooling periods(6-8 d).Accordingly,the cold air affecting northern China is more intense than that affecting the southern parts,especially for East and South China.For all six subregions,longwave radiative cooling is identified as the dominant contributor to the cold air intensification,and the latent heat processes as the secondary contributor.The weakening of cold air parcels as they approach and pass over these regions is driven by turbulent processes and shortwave heating.Central Siberia and Lake Baikal are identified as key areas for the intensification of cold air passing over both regions.In addition,air parcels affecting Northwest China are intensely cooled as they pass over the Junggar Basin,while the North China Plain is a key area for cooling air parcels reaching Central,East and South China.From a Lagrangian perspective,these findings provide insights into the physical processes driving the behaviour of cold air parcels,which would help understand the mechanisms involved in the past changes and future projections in CAOs.展开更多
Heavy regional precipitation(HRP)over Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei Province(the Jing–Jin–Ji region or JJJ)in early October(1–10 October)is a high-impact climate event because of travel and outdoor activities by except...Heavy regional precipitation(HRP)over Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei Province(the Jing–Jin–Ji region or JJJ)in early October(1–10 October)is a high-impact climate event because of travel and outdoor activities by exceptionally large population during the Chinese National Day Holidays(CNDH).What causes the year-to-year variation of the HRP during early October is investigated through an observational analysis.It is found that the HRP arises from moisture transport by southerly anomalies to the west of an anomalous low-level anticyclone over the subtropical northwestern Pacific(SNWP).Sensitivity numerical experiments reveal that the low-level anticyclonic anomaly is caused by a dipole heating pattern over tropical western and central Pacific associated with a La Niña-like SST anomaly(SSTA)pattern in the Pacific and by a negative heating anomaly over North Europe.The latter connects the SNWP anticyclone through a Rossby wave train.Anomalous ascent associated with a positive heating anomaly over the tropical western Pacific may strengthen the local Hadley Cell,contributing to maintenance of the low-level anomalous anticyclone over SNWP and extending westwards of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH).Therefore,both the tropical Pacific and midlatitude heating signals over North Europe may be potential predictors for HRP forecast in the JJJ region in early October.展开更多
When the horizontal grid size of a numerical weather prediction(NWP)model is between a few hundred meters and~10 km,referred to as the gray zone,updrafts in convective clouds cannot be fully resolved explicitly and th...When the horizontal grid size of a numerical weather prediction(NWP)model is between a few hundred meters and~10 km,referred to as the gray zone,updrafts in convective clouds cannot be fully resolved explicitly and the use of a subgrid convective cloud parameterization scheme is still necessary.Since some critical assumptions in the mass-flux formulation of conventional subgrid convective cloud parameterization become invalid for gray-zone resolutions,it is required for a generalized parameterization to be developed to properly describe subgrid convective clouds.To meet this requirement,a new subgrid convective cloud parameterization scheme that is based on the mass-flux formulation and suitable for gray-zone resolutions has been proposed and preliminarily tested in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model.This new scheme is automatically adaptive to variation in grid size(i.e.,scale-aware),and accounts for microphysical processes consistently with grid-resolved clouds.Numerical experiment of an idealized tropical cyclone shows that this new scheme has a substantial impact on the tropical cyclone’s intensity and precipitation distribution due to the effect of subgrid clouds on the total diabatic heating.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42175002,42030611,42075013)the Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan,China(Grant No.2023NSFSC0242)the Innovation Team Fund of Southwest Regional Meteorological Center,China Meteorological Administration(Grant No.XNQYCXTD-202202)。
文摘Existing studies contend that latent heating(LH)will replace sensible heating(SH)to become the dominant factor affecting the development of the Tibetan Plateau vortex(TPV)after it moves off the Tibetan Plateau(TP).However,in the process of the TPV moving off the TP requires that the airmass traverse the eastern slope of the Tibetan Plateau(ESTP)where the topography and diabatic heating(DH)conditions rapidly change.How LH gradually replaces SH to become the dominant factor in the development of the TPV over the ESTP is still not very clear.In this paper,an analysis of a typical case of a TPV with a long life history over the ESTP is performed by using multi-sourced meteorological data and model simulations.The results show that SH from the TP surface can change the TPV-associated precipitation distribution by temperature advection after the TPV moves off the TP.The LH can then directly promote the development of the TPV and has a certain guiding effect on the track of the TPV.The SH can control the active area of LH by changing the falling area of the TPV-associated precipitation,so it still plays a key role in the development and tracking of the TPV even though it has moved out of the main body of the TP.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2019YFA0607002)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41721004&42275191)。
文摘In early February 2023,there was severe haze on the North China Plain(NCP)that was contemporaneous with heavy rainfall over southern China,which was known as southern rainfall-northern haze(SR-NH).Based on observational and reanalysis data,the meteorological causes of this SR-NH event are investigated in this study using correlation analysis,dynamic diagnostics and numerical experiments.The results show that the anticyclonic anomaly in the Pacific Northwest(also referred to as the northeast Asian anomalous anticyclone)is responsible for the SR-NH.On the one hand,this anticyclonic anomaly leads to persistent rainfall over southern China by causing strong ascending motion in conjunction with an anomalous cyclone over the Chinese mainland and transporting large amounts of water vapor there.On the other hand,it weakens the climatological northerly winds of the NCP through the southeasterly flow,worsening the horizontal diffusion conditions of pollutants.Additionally,the atmospheric stability and relative humidity over the NCP are significantly increased by this anticyclonic anomaly.These conditions result in higher PM2.5concentrations over the NCP.Additional results suggest that this anticyclonic anomaly is related to diabatic heating released by rainfall in southern China,which not only intensifies the rainfall process there(with a contribution of 11.5%)but also induces an anticyclonic anomaly in the upper troposphere of the Pacific Northwest(i.e.,200 hPa).The rainfall-related anticyclonic anomaly reinforces the anticyclonic anomaly in the Pacific Northwest caused by large-scale circulation(with a contribution of 27%)and thus affects haze over the NCP.This study provides a new reference for understanding the contribution of rainfall in southern China to haze over the NCP.
基金Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(ZR2021MD012)CMA Special Fund for Innovation and Development(CXFZ2023J015)。
文摘The movement speed of Typhoon In-Fa(2021)was notably slow,at 10 km h-1or less,for over 20 hours following its landfall in Zhejiang,China,in contrast to other typhoons that have made landfall.This study examines the factors contributing to the slow movement of Typhoon In-Fa,including the steering flow,diabatic heating,vertical wind shear(VWS),and surface synoptic situation,by comparing it with Typhoons Yagi(2018)and Rumbia(2018)which followed similar tracks.The findings reveal that the movement speed of Typhoons Yagi and Rumbia is most closely associated with their respective 500 h Pa environmental winds,with a steering flow of 10^(-12)m s^(-1).In contrast,Typhoon InFa’s movement speed is most strongly correlated with the 850 h Pa environmental wind field,with a steering flow speed of only 2 m s^(-1).Furthermore,as Typhoon In-Fa moves northwest after landfall,its intensity is slightly greater than that of Typhoons Yagi and Rumbia,and the pressure gradient in front of Typhoon In-Fa is notably smaller,leading to its slow movement.Additionally,the precipitation distribution of Typhoon In-Fa differs from that of the other two typhoons,resulting in a weak asymmetry of wavenumber-1 diabatic heating,which indirectly affects its movement speed.Further analysis indicates that VWS can alter the typhoon’s structure,weaken its intensity,and ultimately impact its movement.
文摘Seasonal forecasting of the Indian summer monsoon by dynamically downscaling the CFSv2 output using a high resolution WRF model over the hindcast period of 1982-2008 has been performed in this study. The April start ensemble mean of the CFSv2 has been used to provide the initial and lateral boundary conditions for driving the WRF. The WRF model is integrated from 1st May through 1st October for each monsoon season. The analysis suggests that the WRF exhibits potential skill in improving the rainfall skill as well as the seasonal pattern and minimizes the meteorological errors as compared to the parent CFSv2 model. The rainfall pattern is simulated quite closer to the observation (IMD) in the WRF model over CFSv2 especially over the significant rainfall regions of India such as the Western Ghats and the central India. Probability distributions of the rainfall show that the rainfall is improved with the WRF. However, the WRF simulates copious amounts of rainfall over the eastern coast of India. Surface and upper air meteorological parameters show that the WRF model improves the simulation of the lower level and upper-level winds, MSLP, CAPE and PBL height. The specific humidity profiles show substantial improvement along the vertical column of the atmosphere which can be directly related to the net precipitable water. The CFSv2 underestimates the specific humidity along the vertical which is corrected by the WRF model. Over the Bay of Bengal, the WRF model overestimates the CAPE and specific humidity which may be attributed to the copious amount of rainfall along the eastern coast of India. Residual heating profiles also show that the WRF improves the thermodynamics of the atmosphere over 700 hPa and 400 hPa levels which helps in improving the rainfall simulation. Improvement in the land surface fluxes is also witnessed in the WRF model.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(42230612,41905071,41620104009)。
文摘A heavy rainfall event in south China was simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model with three microphysics schemes, including the Morrison scheme, Thompson scheme, and Milbrandt and Yau scheme(MY), which aim to evaluate the capability to reproduce the precipitation and radar echo reflectivity features, and to evaluate evaluate their differences in microphysics and the associated thermodynamical and dynamical feedback. Results show that all simulations reproduce the main features crucial for rainfall formation. Compared with the observation, the MY scheme performed better than the other two schemes in terms of intensity and spatial distribution of rainfall. Due to abundant water vapor, the accretion of cloud droplets by raindrops was the dominant process in the growth of raindrops while the contribution of melting was a secondary effect. Riming processes, in which frozen hydrometeors collect cloud droplets mainly, contributed more to the growth of frozen hydrometeors than the Bergeron process. Extremely abundant snow and ice were produced in the Thompson and MY schemes respectively by a deposition process. The MY scheme has the highest condensation and evaporation, but the lowest deposition. As a result, in the MY scheme, the enhanced vertical gradient of condensation heating and evaporation cooling at low levels produces strong positive and weak negative potential vorticity in Guangdong, and may favor the formation of the enhanced rainfall center over there.
基金Operational Technology Research Team Project of Chongqing Meteorological Service(YWGGTD-201702)Technology Innovation and Application Development Key Project of Chongqing(cstc2019jscx-tjsb X0007)Natural Science Foundation of Chongqing(cstc2018jcyj AX0434)。
文摘The structure and organization of the extreme-rain-producing deep convection towers and their roles in the formation of a southwest vortex(SWV)event are studied using the intensified surface rainfall observations,weather radar data and numerical simulations from a high-resolution convection-allowing model.The deep convection towers occurred prior to the emergence of SWV and throughout its onset and development stages.They largely resemble the vortical hot tower(VHT)commonly seen in typhoons or hurricanes and are thus considered as a special type of VHT(sVHT).Each sVHT presented a vorticity dipole structure,with the upward motion not superpose the positive vorticity.A positive feedback process in the SWV helped the organization of sVHTs,which in turn strengthened the initial disturbance and development of SWV.The meso-γ-scale large-value areas of positive relative vorticity in the mid-toupper troposphere were largely induced by the diabatic heating and tilting.The strong mid-level convergence was attributed to the mid-level vortex enhancement.The low-level vortex intensification was mainly due to low-level convergence and the stretching of upward flow.The meso-α-scale large-value areas of positive relative vorticity in the low-level could expand up to about 400 hPa,and gradually weakened with time and height due to the decaying low-level convergence and vertical stretching in the matured SWV.As the SWV matured,two secondary circulations were formed,with a weaker mean radial inflow than the outflow and elevated to 300-400 hPa.
文摘Based on diagnostic analysis of reanalysis data for 58-year,the distribution characteristics of decadal variability in diabatic heating,transient eddy heating and transient eddy vorticity forcing related to the sea surface temperature(SST)anomalies over the North Pacific,as well as their relationship with anomalous atmospheric circulation have been investigated in this paper.A linear baroclinic model(LBM)was used to investigate atmospheric responses to idealized and realistic heat and vorticity forcing anomalies,and then to compare relative roles of different kinds of forcing in terms of geopotential height responses.The results illustrate that the responses of atmospheric height fields to the mid-latitude heating can be either baroclinic or barotropic.The response structure is sensitive to the relative horizontal location of heating with respect to the background jet flow,as well as to the vertical profile of heating.The response to the idealized deep heating over the eastern North Pacific,mimicking the observed heating anomaly,is baroclinic.The atmospheric response to the mid-latitude vorticity forcing is always barotropic,resulting in a geopotential low that is in phase with the forcing.The atmospheric responses to the realistic heat and vorticity forcing show the similar results,suggesting that diabatic heating,transient eddy heating and transient eddy vorticity forcing can all cause atmospheric anomalies and that the vorticity forcing plays a relatively more important role in maintaining the equivalent-barotropic structure of geopotential height anomalies.
基金National Key R and D Program of China(2018YFC1507804)National Natural Science Foundation of China(91637105,41775048 and 91937301)Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research(STEP)program(2019QZKK0105)
文摘The Tibetan Plateau Vortex(TPV)is one of the main weather systems causing heavy rainfall over the Tibetan Plateau in boreal summer.Based on the second Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications(MERRA-2)reanalysis datasets provided by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA),8 cases of TPV over the Tibetan Plateau generated in June-August with a lifetime of 42 hours are composited and analyzed to reveal the impact of dynamic and thermal forcing on the intensity evolution of TPVs.The results are as follows.(1)The TPVs appear obviously at 500 h Pa and the TPVs intensity(TPVI)shows an obvious diurnal variation with the strongest at 00 LT and the weakest at 12 LT(LT=UTC+6 h).(2)A strong South Asia High at 200 h Pa as well as a shrunken Western Pacific Subtropical High at 500 h Pa provide favorable conditions for the TPVI increasing.(3)The vorticity budget reveals that the divergence is indicative of the variation of the TPVI.The TPVI decreases when the convergence center at500 h Pa and the divergence center at 200 h Pa lie in the east of the TPVs center and increases when both centers coincide with the TPVs center.(4)Potential vorticity(PV)increases with the enhancement of the TPVI.The PV budget shows that the variation of the TPVI is closely related to the diabatic heating over the Tibetan Plateau.The increased sensible heating and radiative heating in the boundary layer intensify the ascent and latent heating release.When the diabatic heating center rises to 400 h Pa,it facilitates the development of the TPVs.
基金supported by the National Nature Science Foundation of China(41875119 and 42005118)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China University of Geosciences(Wuhan)(2642023095)+1 种基金Science and Technology Development Plan in Jilin Province of China(20230203135SF)Open Research of State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather(2022LASW-B05).
文摘From 26 November to 1 December 2022,intense cold air masses swept across China from northwest to south,resulting in a nationwide cold air outbreak(CAO)case characterised by drastic and sudden temperature drops with rain,snow and strong winds.The physical processes that dominate the intensification of the cold air masses during this CAO event remain unclear.In this study,the evolution of the CAO case,which is indicated by the dry static energy(DSE),is investigated using a novel approach in the framework of Lagrangian backtracking.The dominant processes can be identified by decomposing the DSE change into four diabatic heating terms due to shortwave radiation,longwave radiation,latent heat and turbulent processes.Overall,in this case,most of the cold air parcels originated from the east of Novaya Zemlya and crossed Central Siberia before reaching China.Thus,these air parcels mainly manifested on the northwest‒southeast path.The duration of the cold air intensification differed between subregions.The cold air parcels experienced long cooling periods(approximately 9 d)before reaching northern China(i.e.Northwest,North and Northeast China),whilst the southern parts(i.e.Central,East and South China)underwent relatively short cooling periods(6-8 d).Accordingly,the cold air affecting northern China is more intense than that affecting the southern parts,especially for East and South China.For all six subregions,longwave radiative cooling is identified as the dominant contributor to the cold air intensification,and the latent heat processes as the secondary contributor.The weakening of cold air parcels as they approach and pass over these regions is driven by turbulent processes and shortwave heating.Central Siberia and Lake Baikal are identified as key areas for the intensification of cold air passing over both regions.In addition,air parcels affecting Northwest China are intensely cooled as they pass over the Junggar Basin,while the North China Plain is a key area for cooling air parcels reaching Central,East and South China.From a Lagrangian perspective,these findings provide insights into the physical processes driving the behaviour of cold air parcels,which would help understand the mechanisms involved in the past changes and future projections in CAOs.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42088101 and 41875074)China Meteorological Administration Innovation and Development Project(CXFZ2021J030 and CXFZ2021J046)+1 种基金Beijing Meterological Service Science and Technology Project(BMBKJ 201901031)Climate Change Special Fund of China Meteorological Administration(202009).
文摘Heavy regional precipitation(HRP)over Beijing,Tianjin,and Hebei Province(the Jing–Jin–Ji region or JJJ)in early October(1–10 October)is a high-impact climate event because of travel and outdoor activities by exceptionally large population during the Chinese National Day Holidays(CNDH).What causes the year-to-year variation of the HRP during early October is investigated through an observational analysis.It is found that the HRP arises from moisture transport by southerly anomalies to the west of an anomalous low-level anticyclone over the subtropical northwestern Pacific(SNWP).Sensitivity numerical experiments reveal that the low-level anticyclonic anomaly is caused by a dipole heating pattern over tropical western and central Pacific associated with a La Niña-like SST anomaly(SSTA)pattern in the Pacific and by a negative heating anomaly over North Europe.The latter connects the SNWP anticyclone through a Rossby wave train.Anomalous ascent associated with a positive heating anomaly over the tropical western Pacific may strengthen the local Hadley Cell,contributing to maintenance of the low-level anomalous anticyclone over SNWP and extending westwards of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH).Therefore,both the tropical Pacific and midlatitude heating signals over North Europe may be potential predictors for HRP forecast in the JJJ region in early October.
基金supported by the Special Scientific Research Fund of Meteorological Public Welfare of China GYHY201206006the National Science Foundation of China Grants 41175094,41575101.
文摘When the horizontal grid size of a numerical weather prediction(NWP)model is between a few hundred meters and~10 km,referred to as the gray zone,updrafts in convective clouds cannot be fully resolved explicitly and the use of a subgrid convective cloud parameterization scheme is still necessary.Since some critical assumptions in the mass-flux formulation of conventional subgrid convective cloud parameterization become invalid for gray-zone resolutions,it is required for a generalized parameterization to be developed to properly describe subgrid convective clouds.To meet this requirement,a new subgrid convective cloud parameterization scheme that is based on the mass-flux formulation and suitable for gray-zone resolutions has been proposed and preliminarily tested in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model.This new scheme is automatically adaptive to variation in grid size(i.e.,scale-aware),and accounts for microphysical processes consistently with grid-resolved clouds.Numerical experiment of an idealized tropical cyclone shows that this new scheme has a substantial impact on the tropical cyclone’s intensity and precipitation distribution due to the effect of subgrid clouds on the total diabatic heating.
