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Different El Niño Flavors and Associated Atmospheric Teleconnections as Simulated in a Hybrid Coupled Model
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作者 Junya HU Hongna WANG +1 位作者 Chuan GAO Rong-Hua ZHANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第5期864-880,共17页
A previously developed hybrid coupled model(HCM)is composed of an intermediate tropical Pacific Ocean model and a global atmospheric general circulation model(AGCM),denoted as HCMAGCM.In this study,different El Ni... A previously developed hybrid coupled model(HCM)is composed of an intermediate tropical Pacific Ocean model and a global atmospheric general circulation model(AGCM),denoted as HCMAGCM.In this study,different El Niño flavors,namely the Eastern-Pacific(EP)and Central-Pacific(CP)types,and the associated global atmospheric teleconnections are examined in a 1000-yr control simulation of the HCMAGCM.The HCMAGCM indicates profoundly different characteristics among EP and CP El Niño events in terms of related oceanic and atmospheric variables in the tropical Pacific,including the amplitude and spatial patterns of sea surface temperature(SST),zonal wind stress,and precipitation anomalies.An SST budget analysis indicates that the thermocline feedback and zonal advective feedback dominantly contribute to the growth of EP and CP El Niño events,respectively.Corresponding to the shifts in the tropical rainfall and deep convection during EP and CP El Niño events,the model also reproduces the differences in the extratropical atmospheric responses during the boreal winter.In particular,the EP El Niño tends to be dominant in exciting a poleward wave train pattern to the Northern Hemisphere,while the CP El Niño tends to preferably produce a wave train similar to the Pacific North American(PNA)pattern.As a result,different climatic impacts exist in North American regions,with a warm-north and cold-south pattern during an EP El Niño and a warm-northeast and cold-southwest pattern during a CP El Niño,respectively.This modeling result highlights the importance of internal natural processes within the tropical Pacific as they relate to the genesis of ENSO diversity because the active ocean–atmosphere coupling is allowed only in the tropical Pacific within the framework of the HCMAGCM. 展开更多
关键词 hybrid coupled model tropical Pacific Ocean global atmosphere Eastern/Central-Pacific el Niño atmospheric teleconnections
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Mafic and felsic magmatism in the Wadi Kalalat area, South Eastern Desert, Egypt: mineralogy, geochemistry and geodynamic evolution during the Neoproterozoic in the Nubian Shield
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作者 Adel A.Surour Ahmed A.Madani Mohamed A.El-Sobky 《Acta Geochimica》 EI CAS CSCD 2024年第1期150-173,共24页
In the south Eastern Desert of Egypt,two contrasting types of magmatism(mafic and felsic) are recorded in the Wadi Kalalat area,and form the Gabal El Motaghiarat and Gabal Batuga intrusions,respectively.The two intrus... In the south Eastern Desert of Egypt,two contrasting types of magmatism(mafic and felsic) are recorded in the Wadi Kalalat area,and form the Gabal El Motaghiarat and Gabal Batuga intrusions,respectively.The two intrusions post-dates ophiolitic and arc associations represented by serpentinite and metagabbro-diorite,respectively.The mafic intrusion has a basal ultramafic member represented by fresh peridotite,which is followed upward by olivine gabbro and anorthositic or leucogabbro.This mafic intrusion pertains to the Alaskan-type mafic-ultramafic intrusions in the Arabian-Nubian Shield(ANS)being of tholeiitic nature and emplaced in a typical arc setting.On the other hand,the Gabal Batuga intrusion comprises three varieties of fresh A-type granites of high K-calc alkaline nature,which is peraluminous and garnetbearing in parts.A narrow thermal aureole in the olivine gabbro of the mafic intrusion was developed due to the intrusion of the Batuga granites.This results in the development of a hornfelsic melagabbro variety in which the composition changed from tholeiitic to a calc-alkaline composition due to the addition of S_(i)O_(2),Al_(2)O_(3),alkalis,lithosphile elements(LILEs) such as Rb(70 ppm) and Y(28 ppm) from the felsic intrusion.Outside the thermal aureole,Rb amounts 2-8 ppm and Y lies in the range <2-6ppm.It is believed that the Gabal Batuga felsic intrusion started to emplace during the waning stage of an arc system,with transition from the pre-collisional(i.e.,arc setting) to post-collisional and within plate settings.Magma from which the Gabal Batuga granites were fractionated is high-K calc-alkaline giving rise to a typical post-collisional A-type granite(A_(2)-subtype) indicating an origin from an underplating crustal source.Accordingly,it is stressed here that the younger granites in the ANS are not exclusively post-collisional and within-plate but most likely they started to develop before closure of the arc system.The possible source(s) of mafic magmas that resulted in the formation of the two intrusions are discussed.Mineralogical and geochemical data of the post-intrusion dykes(mafic and felsic) suggest typical active continental rift/within-plate settings. 展开更多
关键词 Wadi Kalalat Gabal el Motaghairat mafic intrusion Gabal Batuga felsic intrusion Arc setting POST-COLLISION Within-plate
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SHEL:a semantically enhanced hardware-friendly entity linking method
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作者 亓东林 CHEN Shudong +2 位作者 DU Rong TONG Da YU Yong 《High Technology Letters》 EI CAS 2024年第1期13-22,共10页
With the help of pre-trained language models,the accuracy of the entity linking task has made great strides in recent years.However,most models with excellent performance require fine-tuning on a large amount of train... With the help of pre-trained language models,the accuracy of the entity linking task has made great strides in recent years.However,most models with excellent performance require fine-tuning on a large amount of training data using large pre-trained language models,which is a hardware threshold to accomplish this task.Some researchers have achieved competitive results with less training data through ingenious methods,such as utilizing information provided by the named entity recognition model.This paper presents a novel semantic-enhancement-based entity linking approach,named semantically enhanced hardware-friendly entity linking(SHEL),which is designed to be hardware friendly and efficient while maintaining good performance.Specifically,SHEL's semantic enhancement approach consists of three aspects:(1)semantic compression of entity descriptions using a text summarization model;(2)maximizing the capture of mention contexts using asymmetric heuristics;(3)calculating a fixed size mention representation through pooling operations.These series of semantic enhancement methods effectively improve the model's ability to capture semantic information while taking into account the hardware constraints,and significantly improve the model's convergence speed by more than 50%compared with the strong baseline model proposed in this paper.In terms of performance,SHEL is comparable to the previous method,with superior performance on six well-established datasets,even though SHEL is trained using a smaller pre-trained language model as the encoder. 展开更多
关键词 entity linking(el) pre-trained models knowledge graph text summarization semantic enhancement
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CMIP 6 models simulation of the connection between North/South Pacific Meridional Mode and ENSO
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作者 Yunlong LU Junqiao FENG Dunxin HU 《Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第2期439-453,共15页
The subtropical North and South Pacific Meridional Modes(NPMM and SPMM)are well known precursors of El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO).However,relationship between them is not constant.In the early 1980,the relat... The subtropical North and South Pacific Meridional Modes(NPMM and SPMM)are well known precursors of El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO).However,relationship between them is not constant.In the early 1980,the relationship experienced an interdecadal transition.Changes in this connection can be attributed mainly to the phase change of the Pacific decadal oscillation(PDO).During the positive phase of PDO,a shallower thermocline in the central Pacific is responsible for the stronger trade wind charging(TWC)mechanism,which leads to a stronger equatorial subsurface temperature evolution.This dynamic process strengthens the connection between NPMM and ENSO.Associated with the negative phase of PDO,a shallower thermocline over southeastern Pacific allows an enhanced wind-evaporation-SST(WES)feedback,strengthening the connection between SPMM and ENSO.Using 35 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)models,we examined the NPMM/SPMM performance and its connection with ENSO in the historical runs.The great majority of CMIP6 models can reproduce the pattern of NPMM and SPMM well,but they reveal discrepant ENSO and NPMM/SPMM relationship.The intermodal uncertainty for the connection of NPMM-ENSO is due to different TWC mechanism.A stronger TWC mechanism will enhance NPMM forcing.For SPMM,few models can simulate a good relationship with ENSO.The intermodel spread in the relationship of SPMM and ENSO owing to SST bias in the southeastern Pacific,as WES feedback is stronger when the southeastern Pacific is warmer. 展开更多
关键词 North and South Pacific Meridional Modes(NPMM and SPMM) el Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) Pacific decadal oscillation(PDO) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6(CMIP6)
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Geochemistry, mineral paragenesis and geothermal conditions of oreforming fluids from the Ain El Bey Cu–Fe deposit: potential occurrence of native gold and precious metal traces (North African orogenic belt, Northern Tunisia)
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作者 Rania Ben Aissa Wiem Ben Aissa +2 位作者 Said Tlig Lassaad Ben Aissa Abdessalem Ben Haj Amara 《Acta Geochimica》 EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期366-384,共19页
The Ain El Bey abandoned mine, in North-West Tunisia, fits into the geodynamic context of the European and African plate boundary. Ore deposit corresponds to veins and breccia of multiphase Cu–Fe-rich mineralization ... The Ain El Bey abandoned mine, in North-West Tunisia, fits into the geodynamic context of the European and African plate boundary. Ore deposit corresponds to veins and breccia of multiphase Cu–Fe-rich mineralization related to various hydrothermal fluid circulations. Petromineralogical studies indicate a rich mineral paragenesis with a minimum of seven mineralization phases and, at least, six pyrite generations. As is also the case for galena and native silver, native gold is observed for the first time as inclusion in quartz which opens up, thus, new perspectives for prospecting and evaluating the potential for noble metals associated with the mineralization. Scanning Electron Microscope--Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy and Transmission electron microscopy analyses show, in addition, a large incorporation of trace elements, including Ag and Au, in mineral structures such as fahlores(tetrahedrite-tennantite) and chalcopyrite ones. The mineral/mineral associations, used as geothermometers, gave estimated temperatures for the mineralizing fluids varying from 254 to 330 ℃ for phase Ⅲ, from 254 to 350 ℃ for phase Ⅳ, and from 200 to 300 ℃ for phases Ⅴ and Ⅵ. The seventh and last identified mineralization phase, marked by a deposit of native gold, reflects a drop in the mineralizing fluid’s temperature(< 200 ℃) compatible with boiling conditions. Such results open up perspectives for the development of precious metal research and the revaluation of the Cu–Fe ore deposit at the Ain El Bey abandoned mine, as well as at the surrounding areas fitting in the geodynamic framework of the Africa-Europe plate boundary. 展开更多
关键词 Ore-formingfluids Mineral geochemistry Mineral geothermometers Native silver-gold Ain el Bey Ore deposit North Tunisia
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El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Variations and Climate Changes Worldwide
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作者 Marilia Hagen Anibal Azevedo 《Atmospheric and Climate Sciences》 2024年第2期233-249,共17页
This investigation aims to study the El-Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events in these three phases: El Niño, La Niña, and neutral. Warm and cold events relate to the Spring/Summer seasons. This paper... This investigation aims to study the El-Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events in these three phases: El Niño, La Niña, and neutral. Warm and cold events relate to the Spring/Summer seasons. This paper will search for connections between the ENSO events and climate anomalies worldwide. There is some speculation that those events would be necessary for the climate anomalies observed worldwide. After analyzing the data from the reports to the ENSO, it shows almost periodicity from 1950-2023. We emphasized the occurrence of El Niño two years, when it was most prominent, and the climate anomalies (following NOAA maps), 2015 and 2023. The results indicated that the observed climate anomalies couldn’t be linked to the abnormal events observed. The worldwide temperatures in those years enhanced mostly in 2023. It shows an abnormal behavior compared with all the years scrutinized and analyzed since the records began. Therefore, there must be unknown factors beyond ENSO that rule the worldwide temperatures and the climate anomalies observed. 展开更多
关键词 ENSO Southern Oscillation el Niño Climate Anomalies
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河北省城乡居民消费结构变动研究——基于ELES模型的实证分析
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作者 张静 李志晓 高红志 《沧州师范学院学报》 2024年第1期36-40,共5页
基于ELES模型,对2013-2021年河北省城乡居民消费结构变动情况进行了研究.从边际消费倾向可以看出,随着生活水平的提高,河北省城乡居民的消费逐渐从“温饱型”向“小康型”转变.消费结构变动度分析显示,除个别年份外,居民消费结构整体变... 基于ELES模型,对2013-2021年河北省城乡居民消费结构变动情况进行了研究.从边际消费倾向可以看出,随着生活水平的提高,河北省城乡居民的消费逐渐从“温饱型”向“小康型”转变.消费结构变动度分析显示,除个别年份外,居民消费结构整体变动不大,相对较稳定.通过分析消费结构熵数发现,河北省城乡居民整体消费质量较高,但是消费结构升级速度相对较慢.根据分析结果,提出了增加居民收入、优化消费环境、拓展新型消费、坚持推进城乡融合发展、提高农村居民的社会保障水平等建议. 展开更多
关键词 elES模型 河北省 城乡居民 消费结构
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基于YOLOv5的光伏组件EL照片缺陷检测报告系统研究
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作者 刘保松 姜伟 《光源与照明》 2024年第1期134-136,共3页
基于YOLOv5的光伏组件EL照片缺陷检测报告系统,利用YOLOv5的图像识别能力对光伏组件的EL照片进行缺陷检测,并自动生成检测报告。文章详细介绍系统的设计、实现、测试和优化过程,并探讨系统的实际应用和发展前景。通过该系统,用户可以快... 基于YOLOv5的光伏组件EL照片缺陷检测报告系统,利用YOLOv5的图像识别能力对光伏组件的EL照片进行缺陷检测,并自动生成检测报告。文章详细介绍系统的设计、实现、测试和优化过程,并探讨系统的实际应用和发展前景。通过该系统,用户可以快速准确地检测光伏组件EL照片中的缺陷,提高光伏组件质量控制的效率和精度。未来,该系统可以进一步扩展应用于其他领域的瑕疵检测,具有广阔的发展前景。 展开更多
关键词 光伏组件 el照片 缺陷检测 YOLOv5
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海气相互作用在模式FGOALS-g3模拟东亚夏季风及其对前冬El Niño响应中的贡献
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作者 丁天 郭准 +4 位作者 周天军 胡帅 陈晓龙 何林强 巫明娜 《大气科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期687-703,共17页
本文基于观测、再分析资料和中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室(LASG)最新版本气候系统模式FGOALS-g3,探究了海气相互作用在模拟东亚夏季风及其对前冬El Niño响应中的贡献。大气环流模式(AGCM... 本文基于观测、再分析资料和中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室(LASG)最新版本气候系统模式FGOALS-g3,探究了海气相互作用在模拟东亚夏季风及其对前冬El Niño响应中的贡献。大气环流模式(AGCM)模拟的气候态夏季风雨带偏东,东亚季风区表现为干偏差,耦合模式(CGCM)虽模拟出了夏季风雨带的位置,但降水仍偏弱。AGCM由于缺乏海气耦合过程,夏季西北太平洋地区对流模拟过强,使得副热带高压(简称副高)偏东、南中国海季风槽偏东,造成东亚夏季风雨带偏东;东亚陆地区域水汽偏少,也是降水干偏差的一个重要原因,此两项可以解释70%以上的干偏差。在考虑海气相互作用后,西北太平洋的降水正异常减弱了局地海表温度,因此CGCM显著改进了副高以及南中国海季风槽偏东等偏差,使得夏季风雨带位置得到改进,季风区降水干偏差减小了36%,但由于水汽偏少,水汽纬向输送偏少,东亚季风区仍维持着显著的干偏差。另一方面,对前冬El Niño的响应,CGCM能够再现El Niño衰减年夏季印度—西太平洋电容器效应(IPOC机制)对西北太平洋异常反气旋(WNPAC)的维持作用及偶极型分布的降水异常。而AGCM中夏季西北太平洋以及孟加拉湾、印度半岛周围海域对流对于海温的响应过于敏感,一方面西北太平洋局地暖异常造成的对流质量输送一定程度上抑制了WNPAC的建立,另一方面孟加拉湾、印度半岛周围海域过强的上升异常,通过局地环流,抑制了其南侧印度洋的对流异常,导致无法模拟出IPOC机制对衰减年夏季WNPAC的维持作用。因此,缺乏海气耦合过程是AGCM不能模拟出东亚夏季风对前冬El Niño滞后响应的关键原因。 展开更多
关键词 FGOALS-g3 模式 东亚夏季风 海气相互作用 厄尔尼诺 气候态
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Estimation of soil erosion and sediment yield in Wadi El Hachem watershed(Algeria)using the RUSLE-SDR approach 被引量:1
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作者 SAOUD Mohammed MEDDI Mohamed 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第2期367-380,共14页
One of the most common types of soil degradation is water erosion.It reduces soil quality at the erosion site and may cause sedimentation issues at the deposition site.This phenomenon is estimated using a variety of m... One of the most common types of soil degradation is water erosion.It reduces soil quality at the erosion site and may cause sedimentation issues at the deposition site.This phenomenon is estimated using a variety of models.The Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation(RUSLE)model is the most often used,due to its consistence and low data requirement.It is useful for estimating annual soil loss at the watershed scale.To investigate the relationship between soil erosion and sediment deposition,the combined RUSLE and Sediment Delivery Ratio(SDR)models are used.The Wadi El Hachem watershed is a coastal and mountainous Mediterranean basin with rugged topography and high degree of climatic aggressiveness.Both of these characteristics can have an immediate effect on soil erosion and sediment yield.This research includes estimating the Average Annual Soil Loss(A)and Sediment Yield(SY)in the Wadi El Hachem watershed,mapping different RUSLE factors as well as A and SY,and studying the influence of rainfall erosivity(R)on A and SY in dry and rainy years.The A results vary from 0 to 410 t·ha^(-1)·yr^(-1)with an annual average of 52 t·ha^(-1)·yr^(-1).The Renfro's SDR model was selected as the best model for estimating SY,with standard error,standard deviation,coefficient of variation,and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency(NSE)values of 0.38%,0.02,0.07%,and 1.00,respectively.The average SY throughout the whole watershed is around 27 t·ha^(-1)·yr^(-1).The SY map for the entire Wadi El Hachem watershed revealed that sediment production zones are mainly concentrated in the Northeast of the basin,at the basin’s outlet,and in the tributaries of the dam.The simulation results of soil loss and sediment yield in dry and rainy years revealed that R is one of the main factors affecting soil erosion and sediment deposition in the Wadi El Hachem watershed.The mean difference in R factor between dry year and rainy year is 671 MJ·mm·ha^(-1)·h^(-1)·yr^(-1).As a result of this fluctuation,the soil loss and sediment yield have increased by 15 and 8 t·ha^(-1)·yr^(-1),respectively.The results of this research can be used to provide scientific and technical support for conservation and management strategies of the Wadi El Hachem watershed. 展开更多
关键词 RUSLE Sediment delivery ratio Soil loss Sediment yield Wadi el Hachem Algeria
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Dynamical Predictability of Leading Interannual Variability Modes of the Asian-Australian Monsoon in Climate Models 被引量:1
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作者 Lin WANG Hong-Li REN +2 位作者 Fang ZHOU Nick DUNSTONE Xiangde XU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第11期1998-2012,I0002,I0003,共17页
The dynamical prediction of the Asian-Australian monsoon(AAM)has been an important and long-standing issue in climate science.In this study,the predictability of the first two leading modes of the AAM is studied using... The dynamical prediction of the Asian-Australian monsoon(AAM)has been an important and long-standing issue in climate science.In this study,the predictability of the first two leading modes of the AAM is studied using retrospective prediction datasets from the seasonal forecasting models in four operational centers worldwide.Results show that the model predictability of the leading AAM modes is sensitive to how they are defined in different seasonal sequences,especially for the second mode.The first AAM mode,from various seasonal sequences,coincides with the El Niño phase transition in the eastern-central Pacific.The second mode,initialized from boreal summer and autumn,leads El Niño by about one year but can exist during the decay phase of El Niño when initialized from boreal winter and spring.Our findings hint that ENSO,as an early signal,is conducive to better performance of model predictions in capturing the spatiotemporal variations of the leading AAM modes.Still,the persistence barrier of ENSO in spring leads to poor forecasting skills of spatial features.The multimodel ensemble(MME)mean shows some advantage in capturing the spatiotemporal variations of the AAM modes but does not provide a significant improvement in predicting its temporal features compared to the best individual models in predicting its temporal features.The BCC_CSM1.1M shows promising skill in predicting the two AAM indices associated with two leading AAM modes.The predictability demonstrated in this study is potentially useful for AAM prediction in operational and climate services. 展开更多
关键词 Asian-Australian monsoon(AAM) leading interannual variability modes el Niño seasonal forecasting models multimodel ensemble(MME)
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CMIP5/6气候模式对ElNiño多样性模拟能力的评估
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作者 王卫强 张茜娅 +2 位作者 徐康 李俊灵 苗浩宇 《热带海洋学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第2期21-33,共13页
利用第五次和第六次国际间耦合模式比较计划(coupled model intercomparison project,CMIP)中全球气候模式的历史时期和未来增暖情景模拟结果,结合观测资料,文章对比评估了23个CMIP6模式和32个CMIP5模式对El Niño多样性的模拟能力... 利用第五次和第六次国际间耦合模式比较计划(coupled model intercomparison project,CMIP)中全球气候模式的历史时期和未来增暖情景模拟结果,结合观测资料,文章对比评估了23个CMIP6模式和32个CMIP5模式对El Niño多样性的模拟能力,并预估了东部(eastern Pacific,EP)型和中部(central Pacific,CP)型El Niño对未来全球变暖的响应特征。结果表明,绝大多数CMIP5/6气候模式能够合理地模拟El Niño的多样性特征,且CMIP6多模式的模拟性能较CMIP5有明显提升。CMIP6模式不仅减弱了EP型El Niño空间模态模拟的离散性,而且还显著提高了CP型El Niño空间模态的模拟能力;CMIP5/6多模式基本能够模拟出两类El Niño的季节锁相性特征,但CP型El Niño衰亡时间较观测明显滞后3个月;同时CMIP5/6多模式模拟的EP型El Niño强度与观测值较为接近,但CP型El Niño的振幅却强于观测。在未来全球变暖背景下,CP型El Niño事件的发生频率相对于EP型事件将趋于降低;EP型和CP型El Niño振幅强度随着全球变暖加剧将被增强,且EP型增强幅度显著强于CP型。 展开更多
关键词 CMIP5/6气候模式 东部型el Niño 中部型el Niño 全球变暖 未来预估
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正弦波与EL波作用下桩身土压力响应对比研究
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作者 陈虹羽 蒋关鲁 +2 位作者 何晓龙 刘勇 田鸿程 《铁道科学与工程学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第5期1708-1717,共10页
为研究正弦波与EL波作用下抗滑桩支挡的高陡边坡桩身前后土压力响应差异,设计完成振动台试验进行响应分析。桩身前、后土压力分别呈倒三角形及抛物线型分布,峰值分别位于靠近桩顶、滑面附近,且桩后土压力略大于桩前。因存在频段耦合效应... 为研究正弦波与EL波作用下抗滑桩支挡的高陡边坡桩身前后土压力响应差异,设计完成振动台试验进行响应分析。桩身前、后土压力分别呈倒三角形及抛物线型分布,峰值分别位于靠近桩顶、滑面附近,且桩后土压力略大于桩前。因存在频段耦合效应,正弦波与EL波产生的桩身前、后土压力峰值的差值随加速度峰值的提高较为波动,整体在0.5g达到峰值,分别达到3.242 kPa和2.268 kPa。通过FFT分析,EL波作用下,相对于桩后土压力,桩前土压力具有更强的低频放大效应;桩后土压力在高震级时,其次频带内的最大峰值频率会有较明显向低频带靠近的趋势。利用小波包分析频带划分均匀和时频局部化特性,得到2个峰值点处各频带小波重构分量。结果表明,正弦波与EL波工况下都是测点土压力第1频带(0~6.25 Hz)重构信号较为接近原始信号,即加载波卓越频率所在子频带对土压力响应影响最大,且就第1频带重构分量土压力最大值数值而言,正弦波约为EL波的1.15~1.85倍。此外,大震级时EL波第2频带(6.25~12.50 Hz)小波分量对桩后土压力影响较大。考虑到地震波的成分复杂,常用试验加载波正弦波与实测EL波在时域、频域特性差异较大,所引起的响应存在不同,因此对于边坡工程中支挡结构的抗震性能研究,应选择实测天然地震波作为加载波。 展开更多
关键词 正弦波 el 边坡与抗滑桩 动土压力 小波包 振动台
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Seasonal Prediction Skill and Biases in GloSea5 Relating to the East Asia Winter Monsoon 被引量:1
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作者 Daquan ZHANG Lijuan CHEN +1 位作者 Gill MMARTIN Zongjian KE 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第11期2013-2028,共16页
The simulation and prediction of the climatology and interannual variability of the East Asia winter monsoon(EAWM),as well as the associated atmospheric circulation,was investigated using the hindcast data from Global... The simulation and prediction of the climatology and interannual variability of the East Asia winter monsoon(EAWM),as well as the associated atmospheric circulation,was investigated using the hindcast data from Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5(GloSea5),with a focus on the evolution of model bias among different forecast lead times.While GloSea5 reproduces the climatological means of large-scale circulation systems related to the EAWM well,systematic biases exist,including a cold bias for most of China’s mainland,especially for North and Northeast China.GloSea5 shows robust skill in predicting the EAWM intensity index two months ahead,which can be attributed to the performance in representing the leading modes of surface air temperature and associated background circulation.GloSea5 realistically reproduces the synergistic effect of El Niño–Southern Oscillation(ENSO)and the Arctic Oscillation(AO)on the EAWM,especially for the western North Pacific anticyclone(WNPAC).Compared with the North Pacific and North America,the representation of circulation anomalies over Eurasia is poor,especially for sea level pressure(SLP),which limits the prediction skill for surface air temperature over East Asia.The representation of SLP anomalies might be associated with the model performance in simulating the interaction between atmospheric circulations and underlying surface conditions. 展开更多
关键词 East Asia winter monsoon(EAWM) Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5(GloSea5) el Niño–Southern Oscillation(ENSO) prediction skill model bias
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城镇居民不同收入群体消费习惯的差异研究——基于具有习惯效应的面板ELES模型
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作者 吴学品 马永俊 《沈阳师范大学学报(社会科学版)》 2023年第4期84-90,共7页
有效融合ELES模型、效用函数和外部习惯理论,可以构建具有外部习惯效应的面板ELES模型,实证分析现阶段高、中收入群体对低收入群体在各类消费支出的外部习惯效应及在不同收入地区的主动需求和被动需求大小。研究结果表明:第一,高、中收... 有效融合ELES模型、效用函数和外部习惯理论,可以构建具有外部习惯效应的面板ELES模型,实证分析现阶段高、中收入群体对低收入群体在各类消费支出的外部习惯效应及在不同收入地区的主动需求和被动需求大小。研究结果表明:第一,高、中收入群体在食品、居住、交通和文教的外部习惯效应较强,在衣着、医疗和家庭设备的外部习惯效应较弱,且中等收入群体的外部习惯效应要都强于高收入群体的外部习惯效应。第二,当收入差距处于较低水平时,外部习惯效应对城镇居民消费影响较大,可支配收入影响较小;当收入差距持续拉大时,可支配收入对城镇居民消费影响也会随之增强,此时外部习惯效应的影响强度会相应减弱。第三,就主动需求和被动需求而言,总体上存在主动需求大于被动需求;就不同收入群体而言,高收入群体对各类消费支出的需求影响(包含主动需求和被动需求)大于中等收入群体;就地区整体需求而言,高收入地区需求最大,中等收入地区次之,低收入地区需求最小。 展开更多
关键词 消费结构 外部习惯形成 面板elES模型 城镇居民消费
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基于ELES模型的河北省城乡居民消费结构研究
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作者 张静 樊永艳 李志晓 《农村经济与科技》 2023年第20期221-226,共6页
为了进一步优化消费结构促进经济发展,基于2013—2021年河北省城乡居民人均收入与消费支出的数据,通过建立ELSE模型,从边际消费倾向、需求收入弹性、需求价格弹性角度以及恩格尔系数,详细分析河北省城乡居民的消费结构。通过分析发现,... 为了进一步优化消费结构促进经济发展,基于2013—2021年河北省城乡居民人均收入与消费支出的数据,通过建立ELSE模型,从边际消费倾向、需求收入弹性、需求价格弹性角度以及恩格尔系数,详细分析河北省城乡居民的消费结构。通过分析发现,河北省城乡居民整体消费质量较高,但尚有一定的提升空间。基于研究结果,提出优化河北省城乡居民消费结构的措施建议。 展开更多
关键词 elES模型 消费结构 MATLAB
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Contrasting Regional Responses of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall to Exhausted Spring and Concurrently Emerging Summer El Nino Events
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作者 E.K.KRISHNA KUMAR S.ABHILASH +3 位作者 SANKAR SYAM P.VIJAYKUMAR K.R.SANTOSH A.V.SREENATH 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第4期697-710,共14页
The inverse relationship between the warm phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation(ENSO)and the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall(ISMR)is well established.Yet,some El Nino events that occur in the early months of the ye... The inverse relationship between the warm phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation(ENSO)and the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall(ISMR)is well established.Yet,some El Nino events that occur in the early months of the year(boreal spring)transform into a neutral phase before the start of summer,whereas others begin in the boreal summer and persist in a positive phase throughout the summer monsoon season.This study investigates the distinct influences of an exhausted spring El Nino(springtime)and emerging summer El Nino(summertime)on the regional variability of ISMR.The two ENSO categories were formulated based on the time of occurrence of positive SST anomalies over the Nino-3.4 region in the Pacific.The ISMR’s dynamical and thermodynamical responses to such events were investigated using standard metrics such as the Walker and Hadley circulations,vertically integrated moisture flux convergence(VIMFC),wind shear,and upper atmospheric circulation.The monsoon circulation features are remarkably different in response to the exhausted spring El Nino and emerging summer El Nino phases,which distinctly dictate regional rainfall variability.The dynamic and thermodynamic responses reveal that exhausted spring El Nino events favor excess monsoon rainfall over eastern peninsular India and deficit rainfall over the core monsoon regions of central India.In contrast,emerging summer El Nino events negatively impact the seasonal rainfall over the country,except for a few regions along the west coast and northeast India. 展开更多
关键词 exhausted spring el Nino emerging summer el Nino Indian Summer Monsoon Hadley and Walker circulation tropical easterly jet vertical integrated moisture flux convergence
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The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Effects on Cowpea and Winter Wheat Yields in the Semi-Arid Region of the Southern US
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作者 Prem Woli Gerald R. Smith +1 位作者 Charles R. Long Francis M. Rouquette Jr. 《Agricultural Sciences》 CAS 2023年第2期154-175,共22页
Information is limited on the effects of climate variability on cowpea (Vigna unguiculata L.) and winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) yields in the semiarid region of the southern US. Using the Decision Support System... Information is limited on the effects of climate variability on cowpea (Vigna unguiculata L.) and winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) yields in the semiarid region of the southern US. Using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) crop model and weather data spanning 81 years, we assessed the impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the grain yields of these crops in the Llano Estacado region of the southern US as affected by cowpea and wheat planting dates and N application rate. Simulated results showed that the El Niño phase of ENSO produced about 30% more yields of mono-cropped cowpea than those produced under the La Niña phase, especially with the cowpeas planted in July. The cowpea yields under El Niño were about 10% more than the 81-year average normal yield, whereas those under La Niña were about 20% less. At the N rates of 0, 50, and 100 kg·ha<sup>−1</sup>, regardless of wheat planting dates, the El Niño years produced, respectively, about 8%, 40%, and 60% higher wheat yields than those produced in the La Niña years, and about 5%, 20%, and 27% more than the 81-year average normal yield. In the La Niña years, the wheat yields at 0, 50, and 100 kg N ha<sup>−1 </sup>were, respectively, about 5%, 15%, and 20% less than the normal yield with similar N levels. The impact of ENSO on wheat yields under cowpea-wheat double-cropping systems was significant, especially for the wheat crops planted on October 15 (October 30) or later following the cowpea crops planted in June (July). At zero N, the mono-cropped wheat yields were not impacted by ENSO due to N limitation. However, the double-cropped wheat yields were impacted by ENSO even when no N fertilizer was applied due to high soil N status caused by N transfer from cowpea stover residues and roots. Results indicated that management strategies need to be attentive to ENSO forecasts and adjust potential planting dates and N application rates with the ENSO phase to avert risks of crop failure and economic loss. 展开更多
关键词 Climate COWPEA DSSAT Double-Crop el Niño ENSO Model Semi-Arid Wheat
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Variation of the coastal upwelling off South Java and their impact on local fishery resources
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作者 Chunlong WEN Zhenyan WANG +4 位作者 Jing WANG Hongchun LI Xingyu SHI Wei GAO Haijun HUANG 《Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第4期1389-1404,共16页
There is a vast upwelling area induced by the southeast monsoon in the waters off South Java,making the region an important fishing ground.Climate events can affect the variation of upwelling,but oceanographers have d... There is a vast upwelling area induced by the southeast monsoon in the waters off South Java,making the region an important fishing ground.Climate events can affect the variation of upwelling,but oceanographers have different understandings on the extent to which climate events control upwelling in this area,which leads to a lack of basis for studies on the evaluation and mechanisms of the variability of fishery resources in the region.The correlation between environmental parameters,including surface temperature(SST),chlorophyll-a(Chl-a)concentration,and climate event indices in South Java from 2003 to 2020 was analyzed.Results show that the Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD)has a greater influence on the interannual variability of upwelling intensity than ENSO.During the IOD,variations in equatorial latitudinal winds excite different types of Kelvin waves that anomalously deepen or shallow the thermocline,which is the main cause of anomalous variations in upwelling,independent of variations in the local wind field.A correlation between the interannual variability in upwelling and the annual catches was revealed,showing that climatic events indirectly affect fishery resources through upwelling effects.During positive IOD/El Niño periods,strong upwelling delivers more nutrients to the surface layer,which favors fish growth and reproduction,resulting in higher annual catches.A negative IOD/La Niña,on the other hand,leads to weaker upwelling and fewer nutrients into the surface waters.Fish tend to move in deeper waters,making traditional fishing methods less efficient and consequently lower annual catches. 展开更多
关键词 South Java el Niño/La Niña-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD) fishery resources UPWelLING
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Supplemental feeding on rangelands:new dynamics of the livestock in the El Ouara rangelands in southern Tunisia
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作者 Houda RJILI Mohamed JAOUAD Chaker SELMI 《Regional Sustainability》 2023年第4期359-368,共10页
Fodder production in arid rangelands has been traditionally considered as the main source of nutrition for livestock.However,the production of these fodder may be influenced by some socio-economic and climatic factors... Fodder production in arid rangelands has been traditionally considered as the main source of nutrition for livestock.However,the production of these fodder may be influenced by some socio-economic and climatic factors.This study aims to identify the various rangeland use forms and determine the types of livestock feeding system in the El Ouara rangelands of Ben guarden District in southern Tunisia by analysing the importance of supplemental feeding and main determinants of this practice.Data were collected by a survey that targeted a sample of 50 breeders in the El Ouara rangelands.Descriptive statistics and binary logistic regression were used to analyse the data.The results showed that there are two types of association practiced by breeders:“Cherka”association practiced by 10.00% of breeders and cash payment association practiced by 53.00% of breeders.Then,transhumance,sedentary,and semi-urban forms are the main ways in which breeders use the rangelands.There are four livestock feeding systems in the El Ouara rangelands being used to feed livestock:natural rangeland,rangeland-based,mixed,and concentrate-based feeding systems.Supplemental feeding has become fundamental for the livestock feeding system in the El Ouara rangelands.The breeders with the largest camel size still use the natural rangeland feeding system,while the breeders who have the largest herd size practice the mixed feeding system.The logistic regression results reveal that breeder age,cereal area,herd size,migrant remittance,second activity,and agricultural development group membership can significantly impact the supplemental feeding.In summary,this study can help policy-makers plan innovative practices based on climatic change,ensure the sustainability of livestock feeding system,and make effective decisions for local development. 展开更多
关键词 Livestock feeding system Supplemental feeding Rangeland use forms “Cherka”association Cash payment association el Ouara rangelands
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