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Development and validation of a nomogram model for predicting the risk of gallstone recurrence after gallbladder-preserving surgery
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作者 Peng Liu Yong-Wei Chen +5 位作者 Che Liu Yin-Tao Wu Wen-Chao Zhao Jian-Yong Zhu Yang An Nian-Xin Xia 《Hepatobiliary & Pancreatic Diseases International》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第3期288-292,共5页
Background:The high incidence of gallstone recurrence was a major concern for laparoscopic gallbladderpreserving surgery.This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for gallstone recurrence after gallbladder-pres... Background:The high incidence of gallstone recurrence was a major concern for laparoscopic gallbladderpreserving surgery.This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for gallstone recurrence after gallbladder-preserving surgery and to establish an individualized nomogram model to predict the risk of gallstone recurrence.Methods:The clinicopathological and follow-up data of 183 patients who were initially diagnosed with gallstones and treated with gallbladder-preserving surgery at our hospital from January 2012 to January 2019 were retrospectively collected.The independent predictive factors for gallstone recurrence following gallbladder-preserving surgery were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis.A nomogram model for the prediction of gallstone recurrence was constructed based on the selected variables.The C-index,receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive power of the nomogram model for gallstone recurrence.Results:During the follow-up period,a total of 65 patients experienced gallstone recurrence,and the recurrence rate was 35.5%.Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the course of gallstones>2 years[odds ratio(OR)=2.567,95%confidence interval(CI):1.270-5.187,P=0.009],symptomatic gallstones(OR=2.589,95%CI:1.059-6.329,P=0.037),multiple gallstones(OR=2.436,95%CI:1.133-5.237,P=0.023),history of acute cholecystitis(OR=2.778,95%CI:1.178-6.549,P=0.020)and a greasy diet(OR=2.319,95%CI:1.186-4.535,P=0.014)were independent risk factors for gallstone recurrence after gallbladder-preserving surgery.A nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of gallstones was established based on the above five variables.The results showed that the C-index of the nomogram model was 0.692,suggesting it was valuable to predict gallstone recurrence.Moreover,the calibration curve showed good consistency between the predicted probability and actual probability.Conclusions:The nomogram model for the prediction of gallstone recurrence might help clinicians develop a proper treatment strategy for patients with gallstones.Gallbladder-preserving surgery should be cautiously considered for patients with high recurrence risks. 展开更多
关键词 GALLSTONE gallbladder-preserving surgery RECURRENCE Risk factors NOMOGRAM
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Snare-assisted flexible endoscope in trans-gastric endoscopic gallbladder-preserving surgery:A pilot animal study
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作者 Xian-Wen Guo Yun-Xiao Liang +3 位作者 Peng-Yu Huang Lie-Xin Liang Yi-Qing Zeng Zhen Ding 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2022年第19期2112-2122,共11页
BACKGROUND Natural orifice transluminal endoscopic surgery(NOTES)gallbladder-preserving surgery by flexible endoscopy is an emerging technology.However,the gallbladder fails to obtain traction and positioning function... BACKGROUND Natural orifice transluminal endoscopic surgery(NOTES)gallbladder-preserving surgery by flexible endoscopy is an emerging technology.However,the gallbladder fails to obtain traction and positioning functions during the operation.AIM To evaluate the feasibility and safety of a new surgical method,“snare-assisted pure NOTES gallbladder-preserving surgery”.METHODS Eight miniature pigs were randomly divided into the experimental group[NOTES gallbladder-preserving surgery using the snare device,snare assisted(SA)]and the control group(NOTES gallbladder-preserving surgery without using the snare device,NC),with four cases in each group.The differences between the two groups of animals in operating time,operating workload,complications,adverse events,white blood cells,and liver function were determined.RESULTS No differences were found in the surgical success rate,gallbladder incision closure,white blood cell count,or liver function between the two groups.The total operating time,gallbladder incision blood loss,gallbladder disorientation time,gallbladder incision closure time,and workload scores on the National Aeronautics and Space Administration-Task Load Index were significantly reduced in the SA group(P<0.05).CONCLUSION These results indicated that snare-assisted pure NOTES gallbladder-preservation surgery using standard endoscopic instruments reduced the difficulty of operation,shortened operation time,and did not increase complications in pigs.A new method for pure NOTES gallbladder-preservation surgery was provided. 展开更多
关键词 SNARE Flexible endoscope Endoscopic gallbladder-preserving surgery Natural orifice transluminal endoscopic surgery Transgastric Minimally invasive
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