The peony industry is a characteristic industry in Heze City,and oil-use peony is an emerging industry.Heze City has planned oil-use peony as a key support and development industry in the local area.The oil-use peony ...The peony industry is a characteristic industry in Heze City,and oil-use peony is an emerging industry.Heze City has planned oil-use peony as a key support and development industry in the local area.The oil-use peony industry is full of treasures,but there are still many urgent problems to be solved for its sustained and healthy development:cultivation and planting,variety selection,product processing,and enterprise development,which have hindered the development of the oil-use peony industry.This paper delved into the comprehensive benefits of oil-use peony and its industrial development,providing some reference for the further development of the oil-use peony industry in Heze.展开更多
Oil-use peony is a treasure with broad prospects.Heze City plans to develop oil-use peony as a local key industry.However,there are still many urgent problems that need to be solved for the sustained and healthy devel...Oil-use peony is a treasure with broad prospects.Heze City plans to develop oil-use peony as a local key industry.However,there are still many urgent problems that need to be solved for the sustained and healthy development of the oil-use peony industry.This paper delved into the comprehensive benefits of oil-use peony and its industrial development from the aspects of cultivating high-quality germplasm resources,technological innovation,policy support,developing leading enterprises,improving industrialization system,comprehensive promotion,and strengthening storage and transportation technology,aiming to provide some reference for further development of Heze oil-use peony industry.展开更多
Based on the data of cloud cover, precipitation, temperature, sunshine hours and relative humidity from nine ground meteorological stations in Heze region in the southwest of Shandong Province from 1961 to 2012, chang...Based on the data of cloud cover, precipitation, temperature, sunshine hours and relative humidity from nine ground meteorological stations in Heze region in the southwest of Shandong Province from 1961 to 2012, changes of total and low cloud cover and its relationship with climatic factors associated in the southwest of Shandong Province in recent 52 years were analyzed. The results showed that average total cloud cover in- creased by 0.89%/10 a, but average low cloud cover decreased by 1.1%/10 a in Heze region in recent 52 years. The positive correlation between the average total cloud cover and temperature in autumn and winter was obvious, that is, when cloud cover increased by 10%, the average temper- ature increased by 0.48 ~C in autumn and increased by 0.83~（3 in winter. The average low. cloud cover negatively correlated with the average tam- perature in each season, and the negative correlation was very significant in spring. When cloud cover increased by 10%, the average temperature decreased by 1.49 ~C. The positive correlation between the average cloud cover and average precipitation was significant. The annual precipitation increased by 148.1 mm when annual mean total cloud cover increased by 10%. When seasonal mean cloud cover increased by 10%, the precipita- tion increased by 48.4, 107.1,55.4 and 12.2 mm in spring, summer, autumn and winter respectively. The annual average total cloud cover and low cloud cover had significantly positive correlation with 〉~0.1, ~〉1.0, ~〉10 and ~〉25 mm precipitation days respectively. The sunshine hours were seriously influenced by cloud cover, and when cloud cover increased by 10%, the sunshine hours decreased by 54.5 h in spring, 134.2 h in sum- mer, 154.3 h in autumn and 60.6 h in winter. The total cloud cover significantly positively correlated with relative humidity in summer and autumn, and when cloud cover increased by 10%, the relative humidity increased by 3.3% in summer and 4.1% in autumn.展开更多
[Objective] The research aimed to study climatic characteristics of the thunderstorm days in Heze in recent 51 years. [Method] Using observation data of the thunderstorm days in Heze from 1961 to 2011, interannual and...[Objective] The research aimed to study climatic characteristics of the thunderstorm days in Heze in recent 51 years. [Method] Using observation data of the thunderstorm days in Heze from 1961 to 2011, interannual and monthly change characteristics of the thunderstorm days, change trends of the first and final dates, interannual stage distribution were analyzed. [Result] Annual average thunderstorm days in Heze was 25 d. As decade increase, thunderstorm days decreased at 1.9 d/10 a. Thunderstorm days concentrated from April to September, and occurred most often in July. The minimum days from first date to final date was 86 d, and the most days was 264 d. Average first date of the thunderstorm was on April 16, and final date was on September 16. Climatic characteristics of the thunderstorm had significant stage. [Conclusion] The research provided scientific basis for prediction, assessment, prevention and reduction of the thunderstorm disaster in Heze.展开更多
dough figurine is an important genre of Chinese folk art, a constituent of the Chinese treasury of national culture and traditional culture. It is rooted in folks, and stems from the livelihood , and reflects the wisd...dough figurine is an important genre of Chinese folk art, a constituent of the Chinese treasury of national culture and traditional culture. It is rooted in folks, and stems from the livelihood , and reflects the wisdom and feelings of social mass, and their aesthetical experience stored up from everyday life , and its beauty is not replaceable by the great industrialization.展开更多
目的建立自回归移动平均模型(autoregressive integrated moving average model,ARIMA)并对2022年菏泽市肺结核发病数进行预测。方法以2010-2020年菏泽市肺结核病人月登记发病数为基础建立最优ARIMA模型,预测2021年发病数并与实际值比较...目的建立自回归移动平均模型(autoregressive integrated moving average model,ARIMA)并对2022年菏泽市肺结核发病数进行预测。方法以2010-2020年菏泽市肺结核病人月登记发病数为基础建立最优ARIMA模型,预测2021年发病数并与实际值比较,以此评估模型的预测效果,并对2022年发病趋势进行预测。结果菏泽市肺结核发病数呈现逐年下降趋势,并存在一定的季节变化,最优模型为ARIMA(0,1,1)(1,1,1)12,2021年拟合结果显示其总的预测误差率为2.59%,平均绝对百分比误差为17.76%,预测2022发病数为1644例,继续呈下降趋势,疫情态势平稳。结论ARIMA(0,1,1)(1,1,1)12模型能较好地预测菏泽市肺结核的短期发病趋势,但应根据监测数据变化加以修正,以提高预测精度。展开更多
基金Supported by Social Science Planning Project of Heze City in 2022(HSKGH[2022]3)。
文摘The peony industry is a characteristic industry in Heze City,and oil-use peony is an emerging industry.Heze City has planned oil-use peony as a key support and development industry in the local area.The oil-use peony industry is full of treasures,but there are still many urgent problems to be solved for its sustained and healthy development:cultivation and planting,variety selection,product processing,and enterprise development,which have hindered the development of the oil-use peony industry.This paper delved into the comprehensive benefits of oil-use peony and its industrial development,providing some reference for the further development of the oil-use peony industry in Heze.
基金Supported by Social Science Planning Project of Heze City in 2022 (HSKGH[2022]3)Key Laboratory of Plant Biology,Heze University.
文摘Oil-use peony is a treasure with broad prospects.Heze City plans to develop oil-use peony as a local key industry.However,there are still many urgent problems that need to be solved for the sustained and healthy development of the oil-use peony industry.This paper delved into the comprehensive benefits of oil-use peony and its industrial development from the aspects of cultivating high-quality germplasm resources,technological innovation,policy support,developing leading enterprises,improving industrialization system,comprehensive promotion,and strengthening storage and transportation technology,aiming to provide some reference for further development of Heze oil-use peony industry.
基金Supported by the Scientific Research Foundation for Young Scholars of Shandong Meteorological Bureau
文摘Based on the data of cloud cover, precipitation, temperature, sunshine hours and relative humidity from nine ground meteorological stations in Heze region in the southwest of Shandong Province from 1961 to 2012, changes of total and low cloud cover and its relationship with climatic factors associated in the southwest of Shandong Province in recent 52 years were analyzed. The results showed that average total cloud cover in- creased by 0.89%/10 a, but average low cloud cover decreased by 1.1%/10 a in Heze region in recent 52 years. The positive correlation between the average total cloud cover and temperature in autumn and winter was obvious, that is, when cloud cover increased by 10%, the average temper- ature increased by 0.48 ~C in autumn and increased by 0.83~（3 in winter. The average low. cloud cover negatively correlated with the average tam- perature in each season, and the negative correlation was very significant in spring. When cloud cover increased by 10%, the average temperature decreased by 1.49 ~C. The positive correlation between the average cloud cover and average precipitation was significant. The annual precipitation increased by 148.1 mm when annual mean total cloud cover increased by 10%. When seasonal mean cloud cover increased by 10%, the precipita- tion increased by 48.4, 107.1,55.4 and 12.2 mm in spring, summer, autumn and winter respectively. The annual average total cloud cover and low cloud cover had significantly positive correlation with 〉~0.1, ~〉1.0, ~〉10 and ~〉25 mm precipitation days respectively. The sunshine hours were seriously influenced by cloud cover, and when cloud cover increased by 10%, the sunshine hours decreased by 54.5 h in spring, 134.2 h in sum- mer, 154.3 h in autumn and 60.6 h in winter. The total cloud cover significantly positively correlated with relative humidity in summer and autumn, and when cloud cover increased by 10%, the relative humidity increased by 3.3% in summer and 4.1% in autumn.
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to study climatic characteristics of the thunderstorm days in Heze in recent 51 years. [Method] Using observation data of the thunderstorm days in Heze from 1961 to 2011, interannual and monthly change characteristics of the thunderstorm days, change trends of the first and final dates, interannual stage distribution were analyzed. [Result] Annual average thunderstorm days in Heze was 25 d. As decade increase, thunderstorm days decreased at 1.9 d/10 a. Thunderstorm days concentrated from April to September, and occurred most often in July. The minimum days from first date to final date was 86 d, and the most days was 264 d. Average first date of the thunderstorm was on April 16, and final date was on September 16. Climatic characteristics of the thunderstorm had significant stage. [Conclusion] The research provided scientific basis for prediction, assessment, prevention and reduction of the thunderstorm disaster in Heze.
文摘dough figurine is an important genre of Chinese folk art, a constituent of the Chinese treasury of national culture and traditional culture. It is rooted in folks, and stems from the livelihood , and reflects the wisdom and feelings of social mass, and their aesthetical experience stored up from everyday life , and its beauty is not replaceable by the great industrialization.
文摘目的建立自回归移动平均模型(autoregressive integrated moving average model,ARIMA)并对2022年菏泽市肺结核发病数进行预测。方法以2010-2020年菏泽市肺结核病人月登记发病数为基础建立最优ARIMA模型,预测2021年发病数并与实际值比较,以此评估模型的预测效果,并对2022年发病趋势进行预测。结果菏泽市肺结核发病数呈现逐年下降趋势,并存在一定的季节变化,最优模型为ARIMA(0,1,1)(1,1,1)12,2021年拟合结果显示其总的预测误差率为2.59%,平均绝对百分比误差为17.76%,预测2022发病数为1644例,继续呈下降趋势,疫情态势平稳。结论ARIMA(0,1,1)(1,1,1)12模型能较好地预测菏泽市肺结核的短期发病趋势,但应根据监测数据变化加以修正,以提高预测精度。
