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A grey multi-objective programming approach for sustainable land-use in the Miyun Reservoir Basin,China 被引量:6
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作者 GUOHuai-cheng ZHANGZhen-xing YUYong 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2004年第1期120-125,共6页
Miyun Reservoir is the most important water source to Beijing City. Land-use of the basin plays a great role in the protection of water resources. Hence a sustainable land-use planning is required to optimize land-use... Miyun Reservoir is the most important water source to Beijing City. Land-use of the basin plays a great role in the protection of water resources. Hence a sustainable land-use planning is required to optimize land-use structure and protect water resources in the basin. Based on the complete land-use system analysis in Miyun, a grey multi-objective programming to basin land-use(GMOPBLU) model was developed and applied to land-use planning. Two alternatives were produced and analyzed by means of interactive adjustment and scenario analysis. The results showed the GMOPBLU model is a valuable approach for basin land-use planning. 展开更多
关键词 system analysis miyun OPTIMIZATION MODEL land-use planning
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Early Neoarchean Magmatic and Paleoproterozoic Metamorphic Events in the Northern North China Craton:SHRIMP Zircon Dating and Hf Isotopes of Archean Rocks from the Miyun Area,Beijing 被引量:6
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作者 SHI Yuruo ZHAO Xitao 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第3期988-1002,共15页
The Miyun area of Beijing is located in the northern part of the North China Craton (NCC) and includes a variety of Archean granitoids and metamorphic rocks. Magmatic domains in zircon from a tonalite reveal Early N... The Miyun area of Beijing is located in the northern part of the North China Craton (NCC) and includes a variety of Archean granitoids and metamorphic rocks. Magmatic domains in zircon from a tonalite reveal Early Neoarchean (2752±7 Ma) ages show a small range in εHf(t) from 3.1 to 7.4 and tDM1(Hf) from 2742 to 2823 Ma, similar to their U-Pb ages, indicating derivation from a depleted mantle source only a short time prior to crystallization. SHRIMP zircon ages of granite, gneiss, amphibolite and hornblendite in the Miyun area reveal restricted emplacement ages from 2594 to 2496 Ma. They also record metamorphic events at ca. 2.50 Ga, 2.44 Ga and 1.82 Ga, showing a similar evolutionary history to the widely distributed Late Neoarchean rocks in the NCC. Positive eHf(t) values of 1.5 to 5.9, with model ages younger than 3.0 Ga for magmatic zircon domains from these Late Neoarchean intrusive rocks indicate that they are predominantly derived from juvenile crustal sources and suggest that significant crustal growth occurred in the northern NCC during the Neoarchean. Late Paleoproterozoic metamorphism developed widely in the NCC, not only in the Trans-North China Orogen, but also in areas of Eastern and Western Blocks, which suggest that the late Paleoproterozoic was the assembly of different micro-continents, which resulted in the final consolidation to form the NCC, and related to the development of the Paleo-Mesoproterozoic Columbia or Nuna supercontinent. 展开更多
关键词 SHRIMP zircon dating NEOARCHEAN miyun North China Craton Hf isotopes
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Dynamic Monitoring of Soil Erosion for Upper Stream of Miyun Reservoir in the Last 30 Years 被引量:6
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作者 LI Xiao-song WU Bing-fang ZHANG Lei 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第5期801-811,共11页
The Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) was applied to assess the spatial distribution and dynamic properties of soil loss with geographic information system (GIS) and remote sensing (RS) technologies. ... The Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) was applied to assess the spatial distribution and dynamic properties of soil loss with geographic information system (GIS) and remote sensing (RS) technologies. To improve the accuracy of soil-erosion estimates, a new C-factor estimation model was developed based on land cover and time series normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) datasets. The new C-factor was then applied in the RUSLE to integrate rainfall, soil, vegetation, and topography data of different periods, and thus monitor the distribution of soil erosion patterns and their dynamics during a 3o-year period of the upstream watershed of Miynn Reservoir (UWMR), China. The results showed that the new C-factor estimation method, which considers land cover status and dynamics, and explicitly incorporates within-land cover variability, was more rational, quantitative, and reliable. An average annual soil loss in UWMR of 25.68, 21.04, and 16.8o t ha-1 a-1 was estimated for 1990, 2000 and 2010, respectively, corroborated by comparing spatial and temporal variation in sediment yield. Between 2000 and 2010, a 1.38% average annual increase was observed in the area of lands that lost less than 5 t ha-1 a^-1, while during 1990-2000 such lands only increased on average by o.46%. Areas that classified as severe, very severe and extremely severe accounted for 5.68% of the total UWMR in 2010, and primarily occurred in dry areas or grasslands of sloping fields. The reason for the change in rate of soil loss is explained by an increased appreciation of soil conservation by developers and planners. Moreover,we recommend that UWMR watershed adopt further conservation measures such as terraced plowing of dry land, afforestation, or grassland enclosures as part of a concerted effort to reduce on-going soil erosion. 展开更多
关键词 Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation(RUSLE) Soil loss miyun Reservoir Land cover NDVI
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Development and application of a GIS database for the Miyun Reservoir water quality protection 被引量:2
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作者 JIA Hai\|feng, CHENG Sheng\|tong, XIAO Yang (Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,China) 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 1999年第4期485-491,共7页
A high quality database is the starting point for any GIS application. For the Miyun Reservoir, a large amount of spatial data has been accumulated by numerous studies. This paper introduces a GIS database developme... A high quality database is the starting point for any GIS application. For the Miyun Reservoir, a large amount of spatial data has been accumulated by numerous studies. This paper introduces a GIS database development in support of these studies. And some applications of the GIS database, include integration with GPS, view and management of data, and integration with WASP5 model, are also introduced. 展开更多
关键词 GIS DATABASE ARC/INFO ARCVIEW miyun Reservoir water quality
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A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA 被引量:3
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作者 SUN Yan feng,GUO Huai cheng,QU Guang yi(Center for Environmental Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100871,P. R. China) 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2002年第2期157-165,共9页
Miyun Reservoir was designated as the water source of Beijing City in 1982. Since that time, socio economic development in Miyun Area has been slowing due to the restriction of severe environmental standards. More and... Miyun Reservoir was designated as the water source of Beijing City in 1982. Since that time, socio economic development in Miyun Area has been slowing due to the restriction of severe environmental standards. More and more attention from the public and government has been paid to the regional sustainable development. And an effective planning for the local society management system is urgently desired. In this study, a regional sustainable development system dynamics model, named MiyunSD, is developed for supporting this planning task. MiyunSD consists of dynamic simulation models that explicitly consider information feedback that governs interactions in the system. Such models are capable of simulating the system′s behavior and predicting its developing situation of the future. For the study case, interactions among a number of system components within a time frame of fifteen years are examined dynamically. Three planning alternatives are carefully considered. The base run is based on an assumption that the existing pattern of human activities will prevail in the entire planning horizon, and the other alternatives are based on previous and present planning studies. The different alternatives will get different system′s environmental and socio economic results. Through analyzing these dynamic results, local authorities may find an optimal way to realize the objectives that the regional environment will be well protected and at the same time the economy will be rapidly developed. 展开更多
关键词 miyun reservoir sustainable development MODEL POLICY MANAGEMENT system dynamics
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Projection of Water Availability in the Miyun Watershed from an RCM Simulation 被引量:3
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作者 SHI Ying GAO Xue-Jie 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2012年第6期468-472,共5页
Based on a high-resolution regional climate model (RegCM3) simulation over East Asia, future climate changes over the Miyun Reservoir in the 21st century under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Spec... Based on a high-resolution regional climate model (RegCM3) simulation over East Asia, future climate changes over the Miyun Reservoir in the 21st century under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario are analyzed. The model simulation extends from 1951 to 2100 at a grid spacing of 25 km and is one-way nested within a global model of MIROC3.2_ hires (the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate). The focus of the analysis is on the Watershed of Miyun Reservoir, the main water supply for Beijing in northern China. The results show that RegCM3 reproduces the observed temperature well but it overestimates precipitation over the region. Significant warming in the 21st century is simulated in the annual mean, December-January-February (DJF) and June-July-August (JJA), although with differences concerning the spatial distribution and magnitude. Changes in precipitation for the annual mean, DJF, and JJA also show differences. A prevailing increase of precipitation in DJF and a decrease of it in JJA is projected over the region, while little change in the annual mean is projected. Changes of the difference between precipitation and evapotranspiration to measure the potential water availability are also presented in the paper. 展开更多
关键词 miyun Reservoir climate change regional climate model
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Effects of Closing Mountain for Forest Restoration in the Watershed of Miyun Reservoir, Beijing
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作者 YuXinxiao NiuJianzhi XuJunliang 《Forestry Studies in China》 CAS 2004年第3期28-35,共8页
The paper provides a systematical analysis of ecological restoration effects of natural secondary forest of closure area in Chao Guanxi Gou, Miyun County, Beijing. The results indicate that through more than twenty ye... The paper provides a systematical analysis of ecological restoration effects of natural secondary forest of closure area in Chao Guanxi Gou, Miyun County, Beijing. The results indicate that through more than twenty years of hillclosing afforestation since 1983, canopy closure has improved almost by 0.2; forest cover rate has raised from 7.2% to 93.8%; biodiversity, tree biomass and vegetation community have increased to a great extent. Compared with the average canopy closure before hillclosing afforestation in this area, it has improved to over 0.4 in average and increased by 0.10.2. The forest coverage degree has reached more than 90%. Consequently, the forest plays more important roles in intercepting precipitation, improving water storage capacity of soil, decreasing the surface runoff, and preventing soil and water loss. 展开更多
关键词 ecological restoration hillclosing afforestation watershed of miyun Reservoir
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Research of the Response of Ecosystem to LUCC in Miyun County,Beijing:Based on Ecosystem Services Valuation
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作者 Xu Xu Li Xiaobing Yu Jingjing 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2012年第3期84-89,共6页
Miyun County,located in the northeast of Chinese capital Beijing,was underwent remarkable variations in land use in recent years.This paper aimed to detect changes in land use of Miyun from 1997 to 2005,and to qualify... Miyun County,located in the northeast of Chinese capital Beijing,was underwent remarkable variations in land use in recent years.This paper aimed to detect changes in land use of Miyun from 1997 to 2005,and to qualify the response of ecosystem to LUCC based on ecosystem services valuation.With two-periods TM images,we got land use change data,and then ecosystem services values were calculated using ecosystem services valuation coefficients proposed by Chinese scholar Xie Gaodi.Results showed that water area,farm land and unused land decreased while residential land,forest land,grassland and orchard land increased during the study period.The loss of ESV was RMB 206 million and the main reason was the decrease of water area and farm land area.As for spatial variation,there were most dramatically land use change and ESV decline in reservoir ecological protection region.The coefficient sensitivity analysis indicates that valuation coefficients used in the study are suitable and results are reasonable.The driving forces of ESV loss were rapid population growth and economic development.More work should be done to make eco-environment stay healthy. 展开更多
关键词 LUCC (Land-Use and Land-Cover Change) ecosys-tem services valuation miyun County
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Land use scenarios simulation in ecological conservation area:A case study of Miyun district,Beijing
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作者 JIN Hao-ran LIU Sheng-he 《Ecological Economy》 2016年第2期102-111,共10页
Ecological conservation area,as the main water source and ecological barrier of a city,provides ecosystem service for urban sustainable development.Land use simulation and forecast could be beneficial to improve futur... Ecological conservation area,as the main water source and ecological barrier of a city,provides ecosystem service for urban sustainable development.Land use simulation and forecast could be beneficial to improve future land use efficiency and environmental protection.In this paper,we took the Miyun district as the study area and applied the CLUE-S model for land use simulation,based on land use data in 2001 and 2010.Eight key driving factors were selected,including elevation,slope,distance,population density and others.Based on the adjusted model parameters,the land use patterns of 2020 in Miyun district were simulated respectively for rapid growth scenario,land use planning scenario and ecological protection scenario and then identify the area needed extraordinary supervision in land planning implementation.The results showed that the simulation accuracy for 2010 reached 85%considerably,implying that the CLUE-S model is well fitted for modeling the land use pattern in Miyun district.Construction land increases and cultivated land decreases dramatically by 2020 in rapid growth and land use planning scenarios.The potential land use change tends to occur near Miyun reservoir,while the sensitive area for ecological protection and land planning implementation are distributed around urban area,Fengjiayu and Jugezhuang town.Some opencast mine areas,which would be converted to forest land in planning,will be hard to execute in the actual situation,so these areas should be paid more attention in land management.The conclusions made in this study will provide data reference and basic information for the future ecological protection and land use planning implementation in Miyun district,which could also be useful for other similar cities. 展开更多
关键词 land use simulation scenario analysis CLUE-S model miyun district
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New Year Fun in Miyun
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作者 GE RUI 《China Today》 2011年第2期58-60,共3页
AT the end of 2010, Miyun County, on the northeastern skirts of Beijing, launched a holiday promotion "Happy Warm Journey to Minyun," beckoning merrymakers to join the locals for the Chinese New Year.
关键词 New Year Fun in miyun
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Characteristics of Non-Point Source Pollution in the Watershed of Miyun Reservoir, Beijing, China 被引量:6
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作者 王晓燕 王一峋 +3 位作者 李庭芳 贺伟 胡秋菊 张弘芬 《Chinese Journal Of Geochemistry》 EI CAS 2002年第1期89-96,共8页
Nitrogen and phosphorus are the major nutrients to cause eutrophication to degrade water quality of the Miyun Reservoir, a very important drinking water source of Beijing, China, and they are mainly from non-point sou... Nitrogen and phosphorus are the major nutrients to cause eutrophication to degrade water quality of the Miyun Reservoir, a very important drinking water source of Beijing, China, and they are mainly from non-point sources. The watershed in Miyun County was selected as the study region with a total area of 1400 km\+2. Four typical monitoring catchments and two experimental units were used to monitor the precipitation, runoff, sediment yield and pollutant loading related to various land uses in the meantime. The results show that the total nutrient loss amounts of TN and TP are \{898.07\} t/a, and \{40.70\} t/a, respectively, in which nutrients N and P carried by runoff are \{91.3%\} and \{77.3%\}, respectively. There is relatively heavier soil erosion in the northern mountain area whereas the main nutrient loss occurs near the northeast edge of the reservoir. Different land uses would influence the loss amounts of non-point source pollutants. The amount of nutrient loss from the agricultural land per unit is highest, that from forestry comes next and that from grassland is lowest. However, due to the variability of land use areas, agricultural land contributes a lot to TP and forestry lands to TN. 展开更多
关键词 密云水库 蓄水 中国 北京 非点源污染 富营养化
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Nutrient Loss from Various Land-Use Areas in Shixia Small Watershed of Miyun County, Beijing, China 被引量:3
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作者 王晓燕 王晓峰 +2 位作者 王振刚 汪青平 蔡新广 《Chinese Journal Of Geochemistry》 EI CAS 2003年第2期173-178,共6页
In the Shixia small watershed, twenty experimental plots and two monitoring channels, the residential area and livestock areas were used to monitor the flow, runoff and erosion. Nitrogen and phosphorous concentrations... In the Shixia small watershed, twenty experimental plots and two monitoring channels, the residential area and livestock areas were used to monitor the flow, runoff and erosion. Nitrogen and phosphorous concentrations associated with various land uses were analyzed at the same time. The results are presented as follows: (1) TP, TN and COD concentrations of runoff samples in the residential area and livestock areas are nearly 10 times those in other land-use areas. High nutrient loads are associated with village land use, which is due to unsuitable livestock rising. These areas should be treated as the critical areas of non-point source pollution. (2) Different land-use influences intensity the loss of nutrients, especially slope tillings in agricultural land. The amount of nutrient loss from agricultural land per unit is highest, that from forestry is intermediate and that from pastures is lowest. However, in consideration of the variability of land-use areas, agricultural land contributes the greatest to TP and forestry land to TN. (3) The concentrations of TN and TP in sediments from gangues are highest, those in forestry land are intermediate, and those in agricultural land are lowest. Nutrient loss from hilly areas is much greater than from mountainous areas. 展开更多
关键词 土地利用类型 营养损失 北京 农业用地 土壤侵蚀
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The Current Situation and Development Countermeasures of Creative Agriculture in Miyun 被引量:1
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作者 Runlian MIAO Tong LIU Mei LI 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2013年第7期53-56,72,共5页
Creative agriculture,a new agricultural format formed by integrating agriculture,tourism and creative industries,is an important part of the urban modern agriculture. Proceeding from the functional position as an ecol... Creative agriculture,a new agricultural format formed by integrating agriculture,tourism and creative industries,is an important part of the urban modern agriculture. Proceeding from the functional position as an ecological conservation area,Miyun creative agriculture has obtained rapid growth,relying on its ecological resources,agricultural resources,tourist resources and leisure industry advantages. But there are still some problems. On the basis of analyzing the advantages and problems of creative agriculture in Miyun,the paper put forward the basic principles and thought pattern of developing creative agriculture in there. Besides,several countermeasures in terms of resources integration, scientific planning,exploring local cultural resources,developing theme products,constructing industrial chain,carrying out project design and creative planning,creating creative agricultural advantage brand are put forward. 展开更多
关键词 CREATIVE AGRICULTURE URBAN MODERN AGRICULTURE Miyu
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密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态健康评价
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作者 朱莎莎 薛万来 +5 位作者 王赛超 李垒 李文忠 刘可暄 范霄寒 吴卿 《人民黄河》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第10期103-108,122,共7页
密云水库是北京市重要饮用水水源地,开展流域水生态健康评价并分析影响水生态健康的关键因素,对于密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态保护具有重要意义。基于密云水库上游20个小流域生境结构、水质和水生生物数据,结合密云水库上游(北京段... 密云水库是北京市重要饮用水水源地,开展流域水生态健康评价并分析影响水生态健康的关键因素,对于密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态保护具有重要意义。基于密云水库上游20个小流域生境结构、水质和水生生物数据,结合密云水库上游(北京段)流域生态现状,构建了涵盖生境结构、水质和水生生物的评价指标体系,运用基于熵权法的综合健康指数法对流域水生态健康状况进行综合评价,结果表明:密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态健康状况总体为亚健康,其中小流域健康、亚健康、一般等级占比分别为10%、65%、25%;密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态健康状况具有较强的空间异质性,健康等级较高的地区主要分布在白马关河、琉璃河、汤河中游、天河上游,健康等级相对较低的地区主要分布在潮河、白河中下游、汤河下游、清水河、安达木河上游;面源污染、植被覆盖度低、水土流失等是影响密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态健康的关键因素。 展开更多
关键词 水生态健康 生境结构 水质 水生生物 密云水库上游
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生态系统休闲游憩价值评估--以北京密云区为例 被引量:2
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作者 孟晨 肖燚 +1 位作者 饶恩明 欧阳志云 《生态学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期944-954,共11页
作为生态产品总值核算的重要内容,生态系统文化服务主要包括休闲游憩、旅游康养与景观增值三个核算内容,但受公共产品性质的影响,休闲游憩服务缺乏市场价值,因此目前的研究很少涉及对生态系统休闲游憩价值的评估。而随着公园绿地等区域... 作为生态产品总值核算的重要内容,生态系统文化服务主要包括休闲游憩、旅游康养与景观增值三个核算内容,但受公共产品性质的影响,休闲游憩服务缺乏市场价值,因此目前的研究很少涉及对生态系统休闲游憩价值的评估。而随着公园绿地等区域被广泛利用,其能为人们带来的休闲游憩服务也逐渐成为生态系统文化服务中不可忽视的重要组成部分。因此以北京密云区的公园绿地、滨水带与山地健身区为研究对象,运用替代成本法与支付意愿法对生态系统的休闲游憩价值进行评估与比较。结果表明,替代成本法评估的结果相对更合理;公园绿地、滨水带与山地健身区的休闲游憩价值分别为2.93亿元、4.54亿元、2.78亿元;密云区生态系统的休闲游憩价值为10.25亿元,其中费用成本6.69亿元,时间成本3.56亿元。 展开更多
关键词 休闲游憩服务 替代成本法 支付意愿法 生态价值 密云区
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基于小班尺度的北京市密云区森林火灾危险性评价 被引量:1
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作者 李维伟 杨雪清 +5 位作者 张一鸣 冯昕 王博 杜建华 陈锋 刘晓东 《北京林业大学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期75-86,共12页
【目的】森林火灾危险性评价是实现科学林火管理工作的重要前提和基础,基于小班尺度开展森林火灾危险性评价及其空间特征分析,可为林火精细化管理提供依据。【方法】以密云区为研究对象,基于2019年森林资源二类调查小班数据、森林可燃... 【目的】森林火灾危险性评价是实现科学林火管理工作的重要前提和基础,基于小班尺度开展森林火灾危险性评价及其空间特征分析,可为林火精细化管理提供依据。【方法】以密云区为研究对象,基于2019年森林资源二类调查小班数据、森林可燃物数据、气象数据、重要火源点等数据,构建密云区森林火灾危险性评价体系,应用层次分析法和熵权法相结合的主客观赋权法确定评价体系中各指标权重,根据评价体系中最终权重采用加权综合评价法计算各小班的危险性指数,依据自然断点分级法划分为高、中高、中低、低4个等级;采用全域和局域莫兰指数判断各小班之间的空间自相关性和聚集分布特征。【结果】(1)基于小班尺度综合4类因子构建体系,权重分布比例合理,可较好地开展火灾危险性评价;(2)研究区内高等级、中高等级、中低等级、低等级危险性的小班面积占比分别为12.75%,19.01%,41.70%,26.54%。其中,高等级危险性小班以灌木林、侧柏林、油松林为主,小班面积占比分别为38.40%、25.76%、24.13%;(3)高等级危险性小班分布在研究区范围的东部以及中南部区域,从乡镇尺度分析,呈片状分布于巨各庄镇、高岭镇和新城子镇;(4)小班危险性的全域莫兰指数为0.2413(大于0),说明密云区各小班存在一定的正相关性,即小班呈现出聚集分布的特征,采用局域莫兰指数分析发现火灾危险性等级为高-高聚集型小班的面积达34637.77 hm^(2),占密云区面积的15.56%。【结论】(1)构建的森林火灾危险性评价体系中,野外火源所占权重最大,是影响森林火灾危险性的主要因素;(2)高等级危险性小班区域灌木林占比较高,且聚集分布特征明显,根据权重结果,建议增强对野外火源和重点人群的监督和管理;另一方面,制定可燃物清理的标准和要求,定期在农林交错地区和火源点周围进行可燃物清理作业。 展开更多
关键词 密云区 森林火灾 小班尺度 危险性评价 空间分布 自相关分析
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密云水库流域降水径流非平稳特征识别及归因 被引量:1
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作者 李珠 杨默远 +2 位作者 桑燕芳 赵雪花 吴林倩 《南水北调与水利科技(中英文)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期331-338,共8页
为更准确揭示和认识变化环境下密云水库流域水文过程的非平稳特征,选取该流域1960—2019年降水和径流资料,采用多种时间序列分析方法综合诊断其趋势、突变点和周期等非平稳特征并进行成因分析。结果显示:该流域降水变化主要表现出较明... 为更准确揭示和认识变化环境下密云水库流域水文过程的非平稳特征,选取该流域1960—2019年降水和径流资料,采用多种时间序列分析方法综合诊断其趋势、突变点和周期等非平稳特征并进行成因分析。结果显示:该流域降水变化主要表现出较明显的随机特性,径流相比降水的下降趋势更显著,且在1979年发生了向下跳跃的强变异;相比气候变异影响,人类活动是密云水库流域径流减少的主导因素;1980—1998年流域水土保持措施与水利工程兴建对径流变化的贡献率为-111.40%,抵消了气候变异11.4%的增水效应;1999—2019年,塘坝建造和用地类型转变对径流变化的贡献率为-66.60%,同时叠加气候变异-33.40%的减水效应,导致近20年来该流域径流呈现显著减少的态势。研究结果可为密云水库安全运行、洪水调度以及流域水资源管理决策提供科学支撑。 展开更多
关键词 降水径流 非平稳特征 诊断归因 时间序列分析 密云水库
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基于多因素分析的密云水库流域径流变化归因
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作者 李珠 桑燕芳 +1 位作者 杨默远 赵雪花 《南水北调与水利科技(中英文)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第3期482-490,共9页
为准确揭示密云水库流域径流变化的物理成因,基于降水、径流非平稳特征诊断结果,采用SWAT(soil and water assessment tool)水文模型,基于Budyko理论的弹性系数法和水量平衡法揭示该流域径流变化原因;对比验证各模型归因结果差异,进一... 为准确揭示密云水库流域径流变化的物理成因,基于降水、径流非平稳特征诊断结果,采用SWAT(soil and water assessment tool)水文模型,基于Budyko理论的弹性系数法和水量平衡法揭示该流域径流变化原因;对比验证各模型归因结果差异,进一步探究归因方法和基准期选择对流域径流变化归因结果的影响。结果表明:基于Budyko理论的水量平衡方法更适用于水利工程众多、跨流域调水活动频繁的密云水库流域径流变化归因计算;利用该方法进行分析,当基准期长度达到16年及以上时,流域径流变化归因分析结果逐渐趋于稳定,而基准期选取过短会高估人类活动对径流的减水效应;此外,基准期选取靠近研究初始时段时,计算得到人类活动的减水效应相对较大。综合考虑上述各因素的影响,认为人类活动是密云水库流域径流变化的主导因素;在变化期Ⅰ,其减水效应在-128.32%~-119.56%波动,在变化期Ⅱ,其对径流的削减作用为-75.58%~-70.70%。研究结果有助于提升对密云水库流域径流复杂演变规律和物理成因的科学认识。 展开更多
关键词 径流 归因分析 基准期 人类活动 密云水库
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利用ArcGIS研究密怀顺回补区地下水位时空变化
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作者 张雨航 史芫芫 +3 位作者 何炜 安同艳 孙长虹 范清 《科学技术与工程》 北大核心 2024年第6期2607-2615,共9页
密怀顺地区是北京市重要的水源涵养区,直接影响着主城区的供水安全。2014年南水北调盈余水量通过潮白河河道回补地下水,地下水位持续抬升,地下水升幅带不断变厚,包气带厚度变薄。基于ArcGIS软件,通过对区域地下水位2014—2022年进行研究... 密怀顺地区是北京市重要的水源涵养区,直接影响着主城区的供水安全。2014年南水北调盈余水量通过潮白河河道回补地下水,地下水位持续抬升,地下水升幅带不断变厚,包气带厚度变薄。基于ArcGIS软件,通过对区域地下水位2014—2022年进行研究,结果表明:研究区地下水位持续快速升高,升幅为26.38 m,其中密云区升幅19.01 m,怀柔区升幅28.26 m,顺义区升幅31.67 m;地下水位低升幅带面积为144.47 km^(2),占研究区面积的29.67%,地下水位中升幅带面积约为128.85 km^(2),占研究区面积的26.47%,地下水位高升幅带面积约为213.52 km^(2),占研究区面积的43.86%;研究区包气带厚度由43.07 m减小至16.69 m,减少了26.38 m,其中密云区由43.42 m减小至24.41 m,减少了19.01 m,怀柔区由39.38 m减小至11.13 m,减少了28.26 m,顺义区由45.83 m减小至14.11 m,减少了31.72 m。结果基本反映了该地区地下水时空变化特征,分区结果可进一步支撑地下水管理、地下水政策制定及地下水型水源地的精细化管理。 展开更多
关键词 密怀顺 地下水 地下水位 地下水升幅带 包气带
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密云水库上游不同空间尺度景观格局指数与水质相关性研究
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作者 范霄寒 薛万来 +5 位作者 王赛超 李垒 李文忠 刘可暄 朱莎莎 吴卿 《人民黄河》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第11期114-120,共7页
密云水库是北京市重要地表饮用水水源地,开展不同空间尺度景观格局指数与水质相关性分析,可以精准识别水源保护的关键区域。以密云水库上游为研究区域,基于水质监测数据和土地利用数据,利用相关性分析和冗余分析等方法,对2015年、2018年... 密云水库是北京市重要地表饮用水水源地,开展不同空间尺度景观格局指数与水质相关性分析,可以精准识别水源保护的关键区域。以密云水库上游为研究区域,基于水质监测数据和土地利用数据,利用相关性分析和冗余分析等方法,对2015年、2018年、2020年研究区水质和景观格局指数进行分析,揭示不同空间尺度景观格局指数与水质的相关性,结果表明:密云水库上游不同尺度缓冲区土地利用类型主要为耕地、林地、草地;随着缓冲区半径的增大,景观破碎程度降低、斑块数量逐渐增多、不同类型斑块之间的分离程度逐渐提高;不同尺度缓冲区优势景观连通性差别不大,景观组成丰富度和均匀度接近;除TN外,研究区其余水质指标基本达到地表水Ⅱ类水质标准;半径为2000 m的缓冲区景观格局指数对水质的解释度最高,2000 m缓冲区是改善水质的关键区域。 展开更多
关键词 水质 景观格局指数 相关性分析 密云水库上游
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